Micro 948: Noughts and Crosses Blitz [Game over!]
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- Clover Ebi
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Clover Ebi Goon
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I don't really think the chart has anything to do with Blairs alignment. You could talk about how one side has more detail than the other, but the likely thing is she just made it pre-game.
pedit: Fair enough. The answer I came to is it's only optimal if a lot of the town agrees on a certain pair probably being scum, but if that's the case you just lynch them.- Clover Ebi
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I mean you could be right and this is her trying to get credit and look townie by giving us both sides, but I think realistically this isn't something we can really push and if Blair is scum this isn't gonna be the selling point.
pedit: Well that sounds nice, it's rare for town to agree on poe even though I would love the idea of it. I think mafia has the advantage of being very read flexible because of this game, I just wanna take that away from them.- Clover Ebi
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Thank goodness I have a real scumread now, I was worried with all these slight townreads I was getting awkwardly shuffling on my feet on what to do.
Spoiler:
I feel like these posts by Guilty don't feel like genuine attempts to find scum. It feels like he's nitpicking and trying to find reasons to scumread people. Heck, the last post you can't really even defend against. Really the only post here I can somewhat nod at is the one against myself. Kanna and Max/Roz just feels off to me. Dunnstrals reaction to T-bone rubbed me the wrong way as well, but maybe I just don't like how defensive it was.- Clover Ebi
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I strongly disagree with this philosophy as a whole. I think everyone is town until proven otherwise. But even then, finding reasons for why people are scum is fine, but it feels like the reasons you're coming up with are reaches. I think the best way to put it is I don't think someone would have their expectations as high as you're acting like they are. Thinking Kanna is sus because she didn't say what those good points are right away or, the fact two people didn't post in a game right away. One of those points you can't even make a defense for. It's...off to me.In post 69, GuiltyLion wrote:Why do you feel like they're not genuine? I fully agree they are nitpicky, but it is early game. Finding reasons to scumread people is exactly what town should be doing!
This isn't what I was saying at all. The post against myself is something I can nod at because I understand it and the thought behind it, even if your reasoning is off in the first place. I don't think my posting is suspicious obviously. The post you made is 'true' that I was trying to stop people from making any type of scumread on Blair for her chart, that's why I can nod along. Do I think that's bad or AI? No, but that's not for me to decide.In post 69, GuiltyLion wrote:The "somewhat nod at is the one against myself" feels hilariously self-conscious scum. If you're town you should not find any reasoning against you to be good! Believable maybe, but why would you agree that your own posting is suspicious, instead of trying to correct me for why it is not?
While that is all fine and dandy that doesn't take away from your previous actions. Just because you call someone town doesn't mean the actions leading up to that townread can't be seen as off right?In post 71, GuiltyLion wrote:
on this, I would also point you to see how I did not escalate or push further once Kanna gave me satisfying explanation! I think she is more likely town than scum after our exchangeIn post 65, Clover Ebi wrote:It feels like he's nitpicking and trying to find reasons to scumread people
And what is wrong with having a hedge? I don't like a post by Dunnstral so I'm going to wait and see more of his posting. So in theory, yes you could say I am 'giving myself room' as you say. Taking a solid stand at the moment would simply be a lie and I see no reasn to pretend I have a solid stand on a player. Not all people can just get a read that easily.In post 72, GuiltyLion wrote:
I also do not like this hedge! Do you see yourself voting Dunnstral today or not? Take a stand sir, this feels like giving yourself room to vote there later!In post 65, Clover Ebi wrote:Dunnstrals reaction to T-bone rubbed me the wrong way as well, but maybe I just don't like how defensive it was.- Clover Ebi
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I see, I just don't really like how he's trying to paint something that seems entirely NAI as scummy. The only way this would turn into a point with merit in my eyes is if GuiltyLion had meta history on either of the slots pointing to them not enjoying scum, but even then other reasons can come up for not wanting to post in a game.In post 78, Blair wrote:I didn't mind his scumread on the absent slots. It is difficult to defend against, but the absence of a reasonable defense doesn't make it a bad case - just an unfortunate case to have leveled against you.
What you expect from other people who are town. Posting reasons right away, checking your role pm and instantly posting. This even further proves my point in the same exact post you made.In post 79, GuiltyLion wrote:Whose expectations are you referring to, mine? And what about these "expectations" is not likely to come from a town!GuiltyLion?
This is just, well...wrong. Mafia isn't as black or white as you're trying to make it out to be. Just as the things you're trying to push as scummy are NAI atIn post 79, GuiltyLion wrote:Please do not handwave reasoning with vague meaningless statements like "this is off", that is how scum like to push mislynches!best.Can scum make simple statements like "this is off" yes, of course they can. But so can town. In fact scum are more to play in the perfect manner you're trying to judge people on than town! It's not suspicious if someone didn't fully explain something in one post. Nor is it suspicious if someone didn't post right away. As I said before, I think the bottom line is you're trying to make things out to be scummy that are by no means even close to being so.
Of course, no matter how wild and insane a theory is, if the actions of the player are something that are genuine and come from good faith it's much more important than what the theory is in the first place. However, I don't get that from you because the way you're acting and pushing is something I would expect from someone brand new at mafia. Not this!In post 79, GuiltyLion wrote:Ah but that's not at all why I pushed you? I said the specific phrasing you used when you talked about why we can't scumread Blair made it sound like your mindset was thinking in terms of justified reasons to push someone moreso than justified reasons to evaluate Blair's alignment.
It's actually a similar problem I have with your push on me! You say my reasons are "reaches", but that does not mean that I do not believe they are valid reasons to pressure people! If my beliefs are genuine, I am town, regardless of whether they're "justifiable" or not.
Because I had/have nothing to say to Dunnstral. I saw no reason to ask him a baseless question that wouldn't help with my read on him All I want is for him to post more, and obviously he will.In post 79, GuiltyLion wrote:If you don't have a read, why are you taking a "wait and see" approach instead of talking to Dunnstral directly yourself? Why throw out some vague shade but not bother to actually engage with or pressure Dunnstral?
I'm speaking about you here? I'm not defending them at all. I'm saying your stances are how I as a corner player would apporch this game as scum. Okay well, I didn't say that but It is.In post 80, GuiltyLion wrote:
Why are you speaking for Maxwell and Rozyroz? They are entirely capable of defending themselves once they start playing!In post 77, Clover Ebi wrote:Townreading one other corner while putting up some kind of scumread that the other two slots can't defend against as well. Am I the only one getting bad vibes from this whole thing? If I am, I'll back off so do let me know.- Clover Ebi
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No this wouldn't really change my read on you.In post 81, GuiltyLion wrote:Clover, I will also engage you on this front:
If I can show you many, many, many, town games where I, as town, pressure people within the first 3 pages for "reaches" or molehills, and additionallyget flakfor doing so much like you are doing here, will you concede that your point is NAI? Because I am confident that a simple meta search will back me up here
Jeez I thought joining a smaller game would be less work than the larger one but I should've known from playing on MU how wrong I was- Clover Ebi
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Because this is a game of teamwork. If enough people told me I was simply tunneling and that I was wrong I want to be told so I can back off and rethink. You can have as much conviction or confidence in a read as you want, but that doesn't mean you get results.In post 86, maxwell wrote:
One quick thing before I get into this: Why would you back off just because nobody agrees with you? This makes it seem like you're looking for support, rather than having a real conviction.In post 77, Clover Ebi wrote:Townreading one other corner while putting up some kind of scumread that the other two slots can't defend against as well. Am I the only one getting bad vibes from this whole thing? If I am, I'll back off so do let me know.- Clover Ebi
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I'm not calling you a newbie! I just think your entire viewpoint on how people would play is something I would expect from one. If that makes sense.In post 88, GuiltyLion wrote:I ammmm willing to reconsider Clover I think
not a fan of you casting me as a newbie tho I'll have you know I have played anextensiveamount of games here over 5 years thank you
I haven't liked maxwell's posts so far
Post 90 rings really weird to me mostly because of him saying before that he purposely waited for RVS to end. I guess I would assume he'd be more considerate? Yes a lot of the posters are filler like he explained, but he himself knew this. I honestly would've liked it better if he just said he didn't have a read on a few slots because it was mostly filler. Maybe it was pressure to get a reads list going? I could be looking into this too much. I am looking forward to seeing who these strong townreads are and strategy though. If Max is scum he's basically forcing himself into a really odd spot.
Did everyone take my post about Lion calling him a newbie? I guess I need to explain better.In post 91, Blair wrote:
Who has played with GuiltyLion before? I have a question.In post 88, GuiltyLion wrote:I ammmm willing to reconsider Clover I think
not a fan of you casting me as a newbie tho I'll have you know I have played anextensiveamount of games here over 5 years thank you
I haven't liked maxwell's posts so far
If GuiltyLion is scum, being perceived as a newbie when he is not is objectively an advantage - being underestimated where you are competent and overestimated where you are not is strategically ideal (insert vapid Tsun Zhu reference here).
GuiltyLion throws that advantage away here, ostensibly to defend his reputation as an experienced player.
Is GuiltyLion the kind of player who looks a gift horse in the mouth? I'm discounting all the WIFOM-fuel answers here in favor of either A.) he is not the sort of player who believes being underestimated is an advantage, or B.) he is that sort of player, but didn't mind tossing that advantage in the garbage here because he's town and doesn't care about that sort of thing.
(If the answer really is "C.) he knows it's an advantage but tossed it aside here for the even greater advantage of being townread by Blair for doing so" then please don't even answer - I don't need that kind of stress)- Clover Ebi
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How much of the game did you read when making this post? If all of it, who are your stronger townreads?In post 107, Rozyroz wrote:Right now no one pops out at me as suspicious. This will probably change soon and I'm open to hearing any evidence. My opinion right now is that we should lynch someone in a corner and of there is no way to know which corner to lynch as none of those players have said anything.
VOTE: GuiltyLion
Their name must make them guilty
I see Blair has already made the same point as myself in post 111 neato.
Is it bad I like this? I don't know, combined with the fact that everyone is kinda open to max dying and him doubling down I get bad feelings. Although this would go against my entire theory in the first place.In post 113, maxwell wrote:
Well, it's the truth and I can't help it. The fact is I wasn't concerned with appearing active and wanted to wait until there was something more to comment on.In post 97, Celeste wrote:The excuse in 82 is very strange. You make such ugly noises when you overexplain, maxwell.
If anything, the opposite? I said over-discussion of the tic tac toe mechanics be rather empty. I do have a strategy in mind for what people should do but posting mostly about board mechanics feels rather empty, a way to talk without advancing the game state.In post 104, Dunnstral wrote:If I'm being less reactionary Maxwell put up a blanket 'this person is fillery' read for everyone who wasn't talking about mechanics
I don't that's true, I at least tried to evaluate everyone I could even if my reads weren't particularly strong.In post 110, T-Bone wrote:And finally, I hate *most* of this post and I can't quite put my finger on why (basically all the quick thoughts). Probably hanging several "player X, Y, and Z are devoid of content" while being devoid of content. Self-awareness not being shown at this point. But they are quick thoughts? IDK.
Gutfeel of noobtown from rozyroz's opening posts.- Clover Ebi
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It leads me back to my first post on how influenced will people be by the other wincon. Do you think Maxwell is trying to lynch someone he townreads is genuine or just an excuse to get a ML off banking on the fact we won't lynch him? Honestly, I can see a world where GL/Max fits the bill, but I think I want Max to flip the most out of the four squares. The only real appeal I see in lynching Roy is we're killing the bottom row whereas I can see both the people next to me flipping scum. Wait, that would lead to my own death. Well I guess that's okay but yeah let me get some coffee- Clover Ebi
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The problem with this is we don't know if you're town at the moment. So you picking out two other town might be good for you, it isn't helpful for us. Plus putting yourself up for a lynch is awful if you're thinking pure row base. Which should only be used to help with night kills not win us the game imo.In post 128, maxwell wrote:Actually don't terribly see a need to vote at this point in time, I think my words are enough to get my views across and the vote should be more about the optimal play rather than anything else. I still find dunnstral somewhat suspicious, although his posts on the last page are a little bit better, and lynching him day 1 is obviously optimal for me, but I'm not arrogant enough to include myself in my own survivor pool especially when it seems most of the game doesn't townread me. I'm perfectly okay with putting myself in line for elimination as it means I'll flip town and hopefully my views will be trusted - There's 7 other players and I should at least be able to pick out 2 as town.
I get that you're playing a character but I strongly agree with thisIn post 131, Celeste wrote:A lack of adaptability...is a lack of survivability. Survival is not based on who is the strongest or the smartest. It comes down to who can adapt.
I see several that have failed.
Wait really?! That wasn't my intent at all. Now I feel bad hopefully I cleared it upIn post 135, Blair wrote:..But yes, it definitely did come across that way. You explicitly compared his play to newbie play, but that's not the main reason - it's because your responses to him felt very... teachy? Educational? You were talking to him like you felt you needed to explain the game to him.
Max feels like he's playing to get the game solved than survive is my main worry with lynching him. Like if max is scum he's trying to set up his partner here not live.In post 149, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:What about maxwell's post did you like?- Clover Ebi
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Now that they've posted more that is.In post 187, Clover Ebi wrote:What don't you like about Blair and T-bone?- Clover Ebi
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T-bones first post seems like something he just doesn't need to say as scum. Along with the fact I don't really see much of an agenda in his posting. The biggest qip I can really give to him is he's blending in. But I'd make that same statement to 3 other people here.In post 192, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:Actually yeah Clover, why is T Bone your top townread? You haven't really mentioned him until now
Blair has made exact posts I would've made before I did. I just agree with a lot of her thought process and like the way she's handling the game.In post 196, GuiltyLion wrote:
this is exactly why Max is townIn post 183, Clover Ebi wrote:Max feels like he's playing to get the game solved than survive is my main worry with lynching him. Like if max is scum he's trying to set up his partner here not live.
Why are you townreading Blair?
I will admit my worry about you is if this is just a playstyle clash and you really are just, town. Hence why I'm not really trying to push your slot very hard. The better way to put it is I see reasons why you'd be scum over others.In post 198, GuiltyLion wrote:
also not really following how I'm still your biggest scumread at this pointIn post 184, Clover Ebi wrote:Guilty who is still my biggest scumread.
like if you step back and take a look at the game in the objective sense I've done much more to try to sort and solve than well over half the players in this game- Clover Ebi
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Everyone wants to lynch the row I feel the most...well almost nothing about. Dunnstral is Null Roy is Null and Cat is someone I wouldn't mind lynching but mostly because nothing they say is impressive so that's also a shade of null. I just want them to all do something more. It's very easy for scum to just be in that row and I'm considering the two slots beside me as partners because they're posting. You are more likely to think things bad with a post the more you do post after all.
So yeah lynching the bottom row is something I have no real strong objections for, nor against besides the fact I'm just iffy on a Max/GE pairing. But that pairing is unlikely cause I think Max is town here and want to talk to Blair on it- Clover Ebi
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Max has little to no people he can be partners with in my eyes. The only way we'd lose to Max scum in your eyes is if 1 of me/T-bone are scum. Are you worried about that?In post 202, Blair wrote:
If you can free me from this death tunnel I'm all ears, but I'm having a hard time seeing Max's posts as coming from town in good faith.In post 200, Clover Ebi wrote:I think Max is town here and want to talk to Blair on it- Clover Ebi
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(Because if the 5p has Guilty Lion in it I hope he would be lynched)In post 232, Blair wrote:
Why are we ruling out GuiltyLion? Am I missing something obvious?In post 227, Clover Ebi wrote:
Max has little to no people he can be partners with in my eyes. The only way we'd lose to Max scum in your eyes is if 1 of me/T-bone are scum. Are you worried about that?In post 202, Blair wrote:
If you can free me from this death tunnel I'm all ears, but I'm having a hard time seeing Max's posts as coming from town in good faith.In post 200, Clover Ebi wrote:I think Max is town here and want to talk to Blair on it- Clover Ebi
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Why? I get you're a fan of the one sentence typing due to our last game Dunnstral but a bit more would be helpful here.In post 244, Dunnstral wrote:I'm pretty sure one of beeboy/Clover Ebi is scum here
You mean the person I've been calling scum for the entire game? Yeah probably.In post 245, Dunnstral wrote:They probably push Guiltylion next
Why is townreading someone who has the same thought process as you bad?In post 249, GuiltyLion wrote:
this feels like a really bad reason to townread someoneIn post 199, Clover Ebi wrote:Blair has made exact posts I would've made before I did. I just agree with a lot of her thought process and like the way she's handling the game.
What about my read needs updating? It wasn't just page 2 pushes and during our interaction you didn't say much that would make me change my scumread on you. I don't see what part needs updating. You made about *checks* 20 posts after we were done talking and not all of them even were content worthy. Now you're talking about how scum are trying to set you up. I don't get what posts you've made that make it so I should change my read on you.In post 250, GuiltyLion wrote:
alsoIn post 234, Clover Ebi wrote:(Because if the 5p has Guilty Lion in it I hope he would be lynched)
can you give an updated reason on why you think I am scum?
Like, we're well beyond my page 2 pushes which you considered reachy, what about the rest of my play since then has reinforced your scumread?- Clover Ebi
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Day 1 should be our most productive day, only 2 people are tricking us and yet I feel the only thing we've really agreed on is lynching in the corners. And even that still feels rather messy because we should even more unified in this since. I think if the choice is between Dunnstral and Beeboy Dunnstral is the better lynch here due to his lack of reasoning on most of his posts. It feels like he's just making up reads on the spot to better fit the narrative.- Clover Ebi
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Wait did he mean that as in tomorrow. That is a baseless assumption! I mean, at first I was leaning wanting Dunnstral dead so I could be a little selfish and have options on wanting to push Guilty but that was only for like, five minutes at best. Then I went back to just wanting to kill the bottom row.
pedit: I would've felt better about it if he reassessed it sooner. It could be genuine of course but if you look back he only committed to said townread after other people expressed a townread on me. He did say he'd reconsider but that's a middle ground that can go either way. I suppose I'll have to wait and see how strong that townread holds up day 2.- Clover Ebi
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I wonder if I value fairness too much in mafia games. I was just thinking how Dunnstral saying Beeboy/Me pushing Guilty is unfair/baseless because we've both expressed interest in wanting him dead so if we do vote him the next day it'll probably come off as 'odd' due to the day before. However I didn't realize in my own head I was about to do the same thing to Guilty where if he start to scumread me day 2 I would want his death even more because I would expect scum Guilty to retract that scumread. Yet, there's no real for me to believe Town guilty can't change his mind either.
Dunnstral say Beeboy is lynched today what row are you going for?- Clover Ebi
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Am I missing something? Can't in theory we lynch the person on the other side of the square? Not just beside them. So if max was lynched we have 4 options not just a 1v1? Or am I incorrect.In post 266, T-Bone wrote:Okay. Celeste gets NKed because it is pointless to speculate otherwise.
Maxwell is lynched means T-Bone vs Clover. In order to lynch Maxwell here, he has to be scum, otherwise this nearly guarantees 5p LyLo.
Lynching beeboy means T-Bone vs. CSF. Which, while I think CSF is more likely to be scum than Clover at this point, is not ideal from my perspective for obvious reasons.
Lynching GuiltyLion means Clover vs Blair. This is interesting pairing. I townread Clover...I don't know how I feel about Blair anymore, but probably would want to test her more to see how viable as scum she is.
Lynching Dunnstral means Blair vs. CSF. Which is ideal from my perspective. Dunn and CSF are my two strongest scumreads. They are a possible pair, but that hinges on getting beeboy lynched today and me lynched tomorrow.
Right now beeboy is at L-1. Meaning that we lynch either CSF or myself tomorrow. We already know where Maxwell's comfort level is on this. Presumably Dunnstral is going to prefer my lynch. GuiltyLion, are you okay with this?
(yes I know we could lynch another corner as well meaning it's actually a 3-way tomorrow, but for all intents and purposes it would result in the same sets of deaths)- Clover Ebi
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I think our reads are exactly the same atm.In post 280, beeboy wrote:Personally I want the top left corner to be our lylo.- Clover Ebi
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I also don’t see the problem with my reads being static. Although, I don’t think my reads have been static the closest you can say to that is guilty but that’s cherry picking
Pedit: The part you seem to ignore is I’ve openly agreed to killing csf. Along with the fact your entire basis for why you should be town read is wrong- Clover Ebi
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I feel like the only one you can say I really didn’t update my read on is T-bone but considering he just posted i felt like it should be self explanatory that I still had a town read on them. Along with the fact I feel my progression with each slot has been very open so I don’t see how you’re not understanding. Yes 3 of my reads started from early game but I don’t see why you and guilty aren’t making sure a big deal about it. I’m always willing to listen to others opinions and back off if needed but just because I still hold the same opinion after a conversation does not make my reads static- Clover Ebi
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Clover Ebi Goon
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As your B tier townie I won’t let you down miss!In post 334, Celeste wrote:I say I don't fear death...but my ability to lie is unrivaled, and I take pride in that. It's not just other people—I can even fool my own emotions. The conscious deceives the unconscious.
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It's okay.
Well then, take care, everyone. Perhaps we'll meet again, in another life.
VOTE: Dunnstral- Clover Ebi
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Maybe this was more to get rid of beeboy than anything else? If you look at things we're basically getting the same result: A lylo with the top left corner. Really this just seems like a trap to make us go off the path. It makes a lot of sense if scum is in GL/Blair but even if the scum really is in T-bone/Max/Myself we were agreeing to this f3 in the first place right? So really the paranoia and overthinking just seems like what mafia want.
I think the best play here is Guilty and Blair trying to give reads on the top left corner and who they think scum could be.- Clover Ebi
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As long as I stay in the B tier you can stay all game in my eyes.In post 390, Celeste wrote:Well, you certainly wouldn't mind keeping me around for an extra couple of days if you were mafia, now, would we, Clover? Don't worry, I'm just examining the odds.- Clover Ebi
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Is it better to lynch someone we all think is scum right now? Like if CSF is somehow town we just accept that we lose that right? Or is that not a stance we should take? Because if you guys are more confident in Blair figuring out something then I am you can force a Blair/T-bone/CSF f3 (or Celes/T-bone/CSF f3 but I don't think people would be keen to that)- Clover Ebi
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Clover Ebi Goon
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