Open 782: Triad Conspiracy (Finish!)
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Ah, cause an individual voting themself only has a 1/7 chance to be right, whereas if we vote on hoods we have a 1/3 chance then a 1/2 chance.. kind of ?In post 16, Isis wrote:Hi Morning Tweet.
It's been pointed out before that being no fun and using pseudovotes to collectively select a neighborhood that will be forced to destroy itself is better EV than playing normally. This is a lot more workable in this variant of the setup because theres an odd number of neighborhoods.
this setup is based on a shitpost I made once
That is certainly interesting, especially so if you're town and you don't think it's theatre. I am not really sure why any of that is happening -- a townie supposedly acts intentionally scummy, gets it pointed out that they're scummy town, they deny it, and then they call the accuser a conspirator.Tommy Two Times wrote:I just want to be transparent with the thread and let everyone know because I think transparency with the thread is important right now:
Isis and superbowl are having a massive 1v1 in the hood. It's kind of weird but Isis thinks superbowl is town acting intentionally scummy, and superbowl is denying it and accusing Isis of conspiring. It's getting kind of heated and I'm uncomfortable standing in the crossfire. Any advice for how I should be handling this, to put a handle on it?
try offering them both food, then maybe you could all have a snack break and calm down for a while- Morning Tweet
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My first thought would be: if Tommy is town, then the entire hood is probably town, unless it seems really theatrey. I suppose it's also possible that Tommy is scum with Isis or superbowl and this is a real TvS interaction between superbowl and Isis, i just don't really have enough info to know what's most likely yetIn post 21, Tommy Two Times wrote:Isis wants me to let her resolve it but I really think everyone needs to know this. I'll summarise what happened, Morning Tweet:
>superbowl entered the hood saying it was a lovely hood and he's really looking forward to this (grinning emoji face)
>I entered and greeted him normally
>Isis enters and asks him about why he's so excited
>He says no reason in particular, but the setup looks cool
>Isis asks him what's cool about the setup
>superbowl does a u-turn in attitude and threatens toself-vote on the spot(not kidding) because he thinks Isis is being weirdly antagonistic
>They have a back and forth here and I won't summarise every post, but basically Isis thinks he's intentionally acting scummy and doesn't get why, and superbowl is accusing her of scummy anti-OMGUS
The thing is he outright refuses to talk to me now and is insisting we're both scum. I just want us to be friends, and I don't think this is theatre. What should I do? I need advice on what to do, because I don't think our hood is in a theatre.- Morning Tweet
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who's the meta on? i just want to know more about it now.In post 39, Isis wrote:TOMMY IF YOU PARAPHRASE MY META POST FROM THE PT I WILL SELFVOTE IMMEDIATELYwho is it onnnnn- Morning Tweet
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The 1v1 question? Halfway joke. you mentioned that perhaps our hood was quiet cause scum was off in their own PT, I theorized scum would actually be more active in their hood since they need to make an effort to be the towniest group. So i was interested in debating that with you if u wanted, but u said it was more of a joke comment- Morning Tweet
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well i wasn't really gonna put any faith in your answers to it, so i suppose its a joke then yeahIn post 56, Doctor Drew wrote:
No the 'are you guys conspiring against me' post.In post 55, Morning Tweet wrote:The 1v1 question? Halfway joke. you mentioned that perhaps our hood was quiet cause scum was off in their own PT, I theorized scum would actually be more active in their hood since they need to make an effort to be the towniest group. So i was interested in debating that with you if u wanted, but u said it was more of a joke comment
You admitted that was a joke.- Morning Tweet
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i dont get it -- theres 6/7 odds im with my teammates, so it's much more likely scum is outside of my hood. It makes more sense to me prioritize seeing if scum is elsewhere, rather than spending your time being paranoid of your partners. Additionally if i spend all my time investigating my own hood, and it's wrong, im not gonna know what to do later with regards to the other two hoodsIn post 69, Isis wrote:Faith is not how mafia works
Also it's the least fun way to play a setup since if you have faith in your teammates you can't play Conspiracy in your hood.
I hesitate to believe Auto dislikes fun so much he would choose faith
Presently id be extremely surprised if im being conspired against, given a.) 6/7 odds, b.) One opposing hood is silent, the other has weird arguments happening, and c.) my independent townreads of my hoodmates so far- Morning Tweet
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Eeeh i suppose you could say that with regards to arguing. i could just as easily see a case for it being nai (just depends on who the players are and how argumentative they are), or it being scummy (scum feels like they need to do something to make their group stand out as the towniest)In post 100, superbowl9 wrote:The fact that you've had no arguments would make yall more sus if anything, wouldn't it? In most mafia games I've played, "nice" interactions are usually scum/scum or scum buddying town, confrontations are usually started by town and more likely to hit town
i am enjoying our hood though (^ω^)- Morning Tweet
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In my last game with Adorable, she was moderately scumread-to-null on most people's reads, but then she townslipped thinking we hammered a lynch and reacting to it in some obvtown way, and we locktowned her the rest of the day. Interesting that this may be happening a second time, but my initial reaction was that its genuine- Morning Tweet
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has she called you "fruit bowl" yet?In post 123, superbowl9 wrote:
We're on page 20 - she just called me soup bowlIn post 118, Auro wrote: Are you still arguing with Isis in your hood?
I do think you'd stage an argument with your buddy in the hood if you believed that people would townread arguments and scumread "buddying"
Also this is WIFOM- Morning Tweet
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im sorry im sorry!!In post 136, superbowl9 wrote:Stop giving her ideas Morning Tweet
for real? my first instinct is that's funny, my second is that could potentially be scummy since now they don't have to make content, but in the end i think scum actually might not agree to that since now they have no chance to seem townie and be the towniest of the 3 hoods. unless they're really confident they can pocket the towniegobbledygook wrote:I told them we should troll all of you by posting in the neighborhood and not in the main thread. They obliged.- Morning Tweet
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whAt are you guys even doing (≧∀≦)In post 167, superbowl9 wrote:Yeah Isis just posted an entire page of just "LALALA I CANT HEAR YOU" over and over again
how do you even find the strength to argue for so long? how is Tommy holding up? im worried for him- Morning Tweet
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(/ω\) ah!!In post 205, superbowl9 wrote:I feel like if adorable or morning tweet were scum I would never be able to pick up on it - they're just too pure
We've been scum together actually-- it was in this game. One hint i could give is that i sweat bullets as scum
So far i've noticed that Adorable townslipped in our town game together but not in our scum game. she was all business there >‿<
Would she fake confusion about the setup in this game to relive that townslip towncred..... I just don't know!!- Morning Tweet
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I am virtually 100% convinced im not being conspired against at this point
i'm also inclined to believe hood #1 is town
VOTE: Hood #2
(gobble, galron, Adorbs)
Think it's probably Adorable who is the town in the hood-- leaving gobble n galron. Auro prefers hood #1 though so we're still discussing, but i prefer hood #2 atm- Morning Tweet
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hhhhhhhhhhhh (>ω<)In post 235, Isis wrote:I want to read this thread
but pandora is picking up her string in her mouth and dropping it on my mousepad and purring for me to play
ok. basically all u need to know is that my hood is all town and it's also probably not yours- Morning Tweet
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(;﹏;)gobbledygook wrote:I think my hood is town. Personally I think it’s Isis hood because she does weird role play things as scum (see weird Hydra game) and I think her neighborhood does not have 40 pages in it.
That said, Morning Tweet is not inspiring a lot of confidence in that hood.
What do u mean by weird roleplay things? Her argument thing with superbowl, you mean? What makes it weird scummy as opposed to a weird townie play?- Morning Tweet
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i didn't actually think it was your hood gobble (ノ﹏ヽ)
I was playing along with Drew before he self-voted us to help us pick out which other hood it is after we stump. I was sort of gambiting by pretending to fully trust my mates but i kinda actually do. I wanted us to stump then to have Isis' hood stump- Morning Tweet
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i didn't actually think it was your hood gobble (ノ﹏ヽ)
I was playing along with Drew before he self-voted us to help us pick out which other hood it is after we stump. I was sort of gambiting by pretending to fully trust my mates but i kinda actually do. I wanted us to stump then to have Isis' hood stump- Morning Tweet
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Ohhhhh my god my townreads this game are gobble/Adorable/Drew/Auro. I buy Adorable's slip and i quite like you gobble (Auro also helped convince me with his meta stuff since we didnt play long together in our last game)
Drew wanted to investigate your hood first, since he had a gut scumread on you. I wanted to help so i just laid extra pressure on with my vote but i was too lazy to fake total scumreads. At the end of it Drew decided you were town- Morning Tweet
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likewise i would be absolutely FLOORED if you two planned this out together. But I can't exactly use that as an argument for why our hood is town when trying to convince DrewIn post 276, Auro wrote:I think it's pretty brilliant play if they're both scum together, at least from my PoV.
I even mentioned this possibly happening like way earlier and i'd have to start begging Drew not to self vote -- i didn't think it'd actually happen though i thought Drew would vote sooner- Morning Tweet
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I'm convinced my partners aren't scum. Adorable's towntell earlier seemed genuine to me. I had like a gobble post or two i liked and Auro vouched for gobble being town in our hood. I haven't gotten any townie signals from your hood yetIn post 297, superbowl9 wrote:Your entire hood's reaction is still bothering me though, do you have some reason to assume we didn't hit scum or is this a scumtell?
My second guess behind your hood was their hood, with gobble/galron conspiring against Adorbs but i found that a lot less likely than it just being some combination inside yours. Your theatre this game has been really fake. From you and Isis' arguing and Tommy's scriptedish sounding reactions. I know that's not inherently scummy, you could have been doing it as some sort of town gambit, but it doesn't make me townread you either.
I could see you and Isis being teamed and you asked Tommy in on pretending like your argument is a thing, but I also thought perhaps it was possible some of the early game fight was real TvS (making Tommy scum with one of you), but later you ended up TRing each other and kept on pretending it's a thing as some sort of gambit.
None of my guesses involve Adorable being scum or my hoodmates being scum, so gobble self voting is a total "Oh no"- Morning Tweet
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I would lose my mind if Auro and Drew were scum somehow
the entirety of hood #1 were genuinely pushing for gobble's hood. Drew also did -- i was just coming along for the ride to help drew sort your hood and i did not realize you were going to selfvote that quick. i feel incredibly stupid now, you don't gotta tell me i know
Auro and I have consistently said we'll pick hood #1 after we stump ourselves (cause we assumed Drew was gonna selfvote)- Morning Tweet
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im not mad at him i just seriously misjudged the amount of pressure we were placing on his hood. I achieved what i wanted sort of -- Drew was coming around to turkey being townIn post 302, superbowl9 wrote:
Okay, so it's more of a "mad gobbles did that" than "mad we didn't hit scum"In post 298, Morning Tweet wrote:None of my guesses involve Adorable being scum or my hoodmates being scum, so gobble self voting is a total "Oh no"- Morning Tweet
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In post 332, Isis wrote:Auro's demonstrative efforts to do have visually townish reactions all game looks very theatrical and has such a jerky progression that I think it's really, really unlikely he's town. Unfortunately I'm starting to think Drew is more likely the partner than Tweet which makes this pretty much an L.
God damn they're fucking geniuses if they planned all this out. They would have had to somehow predict or get lucky that turkey would self vote, cause otherwise I'd have just selfvoted after Drew went back on his suspicions. ProbablyIn post 337, superbowl9 wrote:I think MT as scum would try to prevent her hood from self-voting. Thus the only scumteam that makes sense to me from hood 2 is Drew+Auro.
269 just still reads to me as a scumslip though - do I think Auro+drew could manipulate MT into townreading them? Yes. Do I think it's more likely than Isis+Tommy? Not at the moment.
Morning tweet can you elaborate a little more on why you townread your hoodmates so much?
LMAO come on man.... 40 pages? Also Isis directly contradicted me on my argument summaryIn post 336, Auro wrote:Your and Isis' descriptions of what happened in your hoods, as an answer to me - were they true?
310 is accurate - I can give you more details if you believe one of us is being manipulated
Drew went all hyper paranoid on me, and then Auro at the start of the game. Auro and I were like "Okay whatever let's just all townread each other and see how the other hoods react. Then, after maybe a week we self vote". Drew didn't even go along with it lol i really would expect more cohesion if they were scum AT LEAST
Drew has consistently seemed like he was right about to pull the trigger. Auro has been like "Okay sure just wait a sec". I've been like "Okay sure just wait a sec" I completely threw out bothering to suspect my partners cause i assumed we'd be the first hood to go down
Not to mention we've shared many real feeling passive aggressive interactions (esp early) around our various gambits. I think in the latter half we were getting along pretty great though, we still were assuming we were going down though. Drew did end up being like "Don't assume my reads" or whatever one time when I speculated that he was gonna self vote soon. Maybe he was planning on going back on it. I will definitely spend some time looking into that
Drew and Auro also had huge dissonance when it came to which of the other hoods were scum-- Auro and I were pretty sure it was Isis' hood, Drew was pretty sure it was us but if it wasn't he wasn't quite digging the turkey.
Teams that involve me in them are way more plausible than Auro/Drew. But im not scum. So they have played me very hard if they are- Morning Tweet
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B-bat mom?! i don't have any pups!In post 351, gobbledygook wrote:The question is, can we depend on mega troll Auro to be a reliable narrator, semi troll Drew to be a reliable narrator, or potentially scum Bat Mom to be a reliable narrator?- Morning Tweet
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In post 381, Isis wrote:Morning Tweet this is a safe space we would never get in touch with the individual who has a signed copy of your leasing agreement you can safely tell us what nonnegative integer number of batlings you have.
(((・・;)))Isis wrote:Remember that time we played permanent marker
and we learned how mafia is always a safe space
when i'm not being waterboarded with mice, she comes after my pups! The ones i dont have! about as safespace-like as hell!- Morning Tweet
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There are quite a lot of small interactions in my hood that add up to just make it feel incredibly unlikely to me. I could try to relay them sometime I guessIn post 390, superbowl9 wrote:Ty for this detail. Based on this game's experience with them I don't think that's out of either of their scum play ranges. Considering I scumread Auro most in this game that team is just as likely IMO as Isis/Tommy. The one thing that concerns me is Isis' meta scumread on Auro, trying to figure out if that's genuine or manipulative.
lalalalalalala i cant hear yousuperbowl9 wrote:Woah you have a pet chinchilla? News to me- Morning Tweet
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nooo!!!!!!!!!!In post 396, Galron wrote:
This may be the most interesting thing I've heard all game.In post 391, superbowl9 wrote:Woah you have a pet chinchilla? News to me
VOTE: Time Out I want to learn about chinchillas.
i think they're trying to paranoia me and it's not funAuro wrote:You guys should focus more on Turkey appeasement tbh, Isis hood.- Morning Tweet
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This is kinda reachy isnt it? that's not going to sway the counsel !In post 401, Isis wrote:I think if you were town here you'd be less likely to need to look up the game. Town uses emotional memory
What's the opposing hoods official scumteam guess? I'm gonna have to go with Isis/superbowl as mine and Isis/Tommy secondary.
same as always, unlike them who apparently thought it was gobbles hood!!- Morning Tweet
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Heres Drew's progression with lots of paraphrasing
"Isis is my strongest TR"
"Maybe i should have went with your gimmick but i really have never trusted you two"
"Gun to my head if it werent our hood, I'd say the Turkey hood. it's a gutread"
He spends a while debating Turkey with auro. Then he decides to place some pressure on turkey to figure him out. He calls his own reasoning BS, and then ends up concluding turkey is town.
HERES THE CRITICAL BIT:
Morning: "Woo were in agreement that the bird is town. Wait, I guess that makes us your primary scumread again."
Auro: "Thats okay, we self vote then make Isis' hood self vote. I guess."
Drew: "Don't assume what im thinking"
Gobble hammers.
A bit later..
Drew asks Auro if he's an alt of Hectic. Says that if Auro says yes, he 100% won't self vote. I ask Drew what i have to do to stop him from self voting, and he replies that it depends on Auros answer. Auro says he isnt an alt of Hectic.
Drew says he's confused about Isis' behaviour if shes town. Drew says all his paranoia of us is gone.
A bit later he calls Tommy scum too- Morning Tweet
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Hm. I mostly scumread Isis. I have spent the whole game placing my faith in Auro/Drew because we made it very clear we were going to die first and Auro/Drew had so many arguments that felt realIn post 432, Galron wrote:
Sounds like you're scum reading Drew.In post 425, Morning Tweet wrote:I dont know. Drew decided that the turkey is town, Auro and I prepare for self doom, and then Drew told us not to assume what he's thinking. He may have been relenting but i will never know for sure now because the gobble self hammer interrupted it
I spent all my time buddying Auro lol, it's not a huge surprise Drew found us sus. But MAN I wish i could have seen what would have happened had turkey not self voted.- Morning Tweet
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Auro/Drew get a 9/10 from me mate i'd be fuckin lividIn post 443, Tommy Two Times wrote:I'm not sure. If it is the other hood, I don't know what combination it is, but there's scum equity in the way Auro/Morning have been treating each other, and equity in Drew's sudden turn from paranoiaing to asking superbowl to self-vote.
Isis and superbowl have put on a 6/10 performance if they're scum. I'm leaning towards the other hood atm at the moment.- Morning Tweet
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Ah! don't listen to anything Isis is telling you about my puppies! it's not true!In post 452, superbowl9 wrote:
idk if I could ever scumread the batmom so it'd have to be you and AuroIn post 450, Doctor Drew wrote:So which one of Auro/Morning am I scum with?
..i wish you'd have put me in the scum group. woulda made me feel better.- Morning Tweet
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i dont want to be dumb either but now im feeling like whoever the townie in the scum hood in this game is, they feel like pretty confident they're not being played. and that could be me -m-In post 457, Isis wrote:i don't like the gamestate
cause
I don't want morning tweet to be dumb
and she says 9/10
i don't want her to be scum
but i guess she probably is
if 9/10
but i feel liek
8/10
that I don't have a scum hood
and i think it's differenter between the two
that it's superbowl townspew that he posted in the gamethread
when he was 1v1ing several pages ago
when people are in the neighborhood and can tailor to 1 audience
it's more dangerous
idk how you scumread superbowl's bout of wallposting that happened like ten pages ago or whenever it was
Now I just don't know- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
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She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
that would be very hypocritical of me if i did that! i would never be cruel to my puppies, they're my little cute babies that deserve the worldIn post 455, Isis wrote:Morning Tweet confiscates her puppies' toys whenever they make bad reads
If i had any anyway- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
It almost feels like Drew might not have ended up self-voting. But there's also a lot of evidence against Drew/Auro being scum. i thoughtIn post 473, gobbledygook wrote:
What do you need help with?In post 471, Morning Tweet wrote:turkey can you please help me out
And now the other hood is calling it Auro/Drew which makes me sad because if they were accusing me id be a lot more comfortable
And and and
Isis and Auro are battling each other over like the dumbest stuff now- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
and the puppieessss are about to wake uuppppppppppIn post 475, Morning Tweet wrote:
It almost feels like Drew might not have ended up self-voting. But there's also a lot of evidence against Drew/Auro being scum. i thoughtIn post 473, gobbledygook wrote:
What do you need help with?In post 471, Morning Tweet wrote:turkey can you please help me out
And now the other hood is calling it Auro/Drew which makes me sad because if they were accusing me id be a lot more comfortable
And and and
Isis and Auro are battling each other over like the dumbest stuff now
im not having a good time rn ╥﹏╥- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
he said it before gobble self-voted. Right after he got a townread of turkeyIn post 480, Auro wrote:Note that Drew wouldn't have pointed out that he was going to not self-vote if that was the case; Gob's self vote would be a golden ticket for us and we'd take full advantage to posture- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
he basically dared drew to self vote several times in main thread and in the hood. but also he wanted him to wait of course.In post 483, Isis wrote:auro and tweet decide for auro to do crazy yell stuf wada wad to hist meta as best he can except if you know his meta it's kinda different and they decide tweet can be the cautious one and more passive while auro demosntrates the proactivity to make drew think someone in his neighborhood is being proactive and yet someone else is scared and it looks like a perfect conspiracy hood
and then when he threatens to selfvote they freak out but auro knows about being calm he's seasoned and he jsut main thread posts a bunches- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
[i knew hood #1 was gonna do this regardless of whether they're scum or not but it still freaks me out, anyway!]In post 491, Adorable wrote:I knew the scum hood would redirect attention to the other hood.- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
u did lol but it was really early on. Drew was super paranoid way early onIn post 494, Auro wrote:I don't think I dared him? O.o did I nowIn post 68, Auro wrote:
DO ITIn post 66, Doctor Drew wrote:I might do a thing.....
But if we treestump we're going to get Isis' hood to treestump for sure.- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
The reason i trusted my partners so heavily was because our plan was to stump ourselves and everybody was comfortable with that. However, right before you stumped, Drew seemed to begin softening his paranoia. It's not a lot. Just a small commentIn post 495, gobbledygook wrote:
I am confused by your first comment. How can I help it that Drew wants to self vote? I am the last person to talk to about convincing people to not do irrational things.In post 475, Morning Tweet wrote:
It almost feels like Drew might not have ended up self-voting. But there's also a lot of evidence against Drew/Auro being scum. i thoughtIn post 473, gobbledygook wrote:
What do you need help with?In post 471, Morning Tweet wrote:turkey can you please help me out
And now the other hood is calling it Auro/Drew which makes me sad because if they were accusing me id be a lot more comfortable
And and and
Isis and Auro are battling each other over like the dumbest stuff now
Why would you be more comfortable if people were calling you scum?
I do agree that Isis and Auro are battling over dumb things, but at least one of them is town.
I do not feel like Isis is really scumhunting. I don't think I have seen her give a solid reason for any of her stances. I think her reasoning is fake (like the contents of her hood).
If the other hood were calling me scum, i'd know they're wrong! And they'd be more likely to be scum. But if they all agreed im the town in this hood, for example, that's really uncomfortable
I agree with regards to Isis. At least I'm pretty sure i do. I think- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
- Morning Tweet
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Morning Tweet SheThe Modfather
- Morning Tweet
She- The Modfather
- The Modfather
- Posts: 9807
- Joined: September 5, 2016
- Pronoun: She
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