Mini Theme 2161: Undertale C Open - Chara's Folly
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so i had some setup questions, im not sure if the mod should answer these or if we should hash out what the best course here is, i didnt want to think about the setup too much until the game started
uh, scum wins if if two scum are spared, where scum are goons / chara, or is sparing the chara an automatic game over?
i kind of don't get any of this, what's the point of the vengeful role if it basically can't get triggered? seems like the best play is to fight someone immediately (fight! fight! fight!) because that would automatically also kill the Chara. (also what's a chara?) or we could spare twice, would that lead to a better day 4? but we definitely have to commit to one or two of these courses of action, right?
also, maybe this is obvious, but it all means that even w/ 2 votecounts we can only do one of spare/fight on a given day right
i think this makes sense but it seems like the hardest of the outcomes for us to winIn post 1, Isis wrote:Four : If town hasn't already won or lost, the town immediately spares another player, then all players in the game thread perish without flipping and the occupants of the Spared PT return to the game thread. Those players vote on one guess of the remaining mafia, and win or lose on its correctness.
One to three :The mafia must choose an unspared player to be publicly investigated for each living mafia.Skip night 4. Return spared players to the game thread. If mafia was spared, the mafia immediately wins if two of its players survive the day 5 decision.
bolded makes no sense to me. if by d4 town has spared 1-3 times, then... town gets a public cop result for each living scum? why isn't this the best town outcome?
except, isn't this saying if the chara is killed and no one is spared, we basically autowin?Zero : The mafia must choose two players to be publicly investigated. If Chara was fought, the mafia must choose everyone. Skip night 4.- CantHateAPuppy
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it's ok, i'm all bark no bite!In post 38, Tanner wrote:i also Have Thoughs, we should do genocide.
hi!! they say you can't lynch a puppy, but can you Fight a puppy?- CantHateAPuppy
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thanks isis! sorryr for not bolding
so genocide is just better right? at least to start? sparing has a 1/12 chance of just plain losing the game, fighting has a 1/12 chance of hitting the vengeful but that would help in the Zero spare route and even if we hit town we'll still be setting up more cop clears in the 1-3 route.- CantHateAPuppy
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This is town af
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this is town afIn post 59, Tanner wrote:In post 49, Chara wrote:pedit: hm. i'll agree.
whichever one of you gives me a better/more convincing/funnier explanation on why you think so gets 5 free TownPoints™ [limited time offer] [batteries not included]- CantHateAPuppy
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I think 1-3 could be better in one or two cases. 0 is better if chara gets fought, but 1-3 is better if no scum get eliminated (though that would depend on chara living which is unlikely?) Hm, maybe 0 spares straight up is betterIn post 1, Isis wrote:One to three : The mafia must choose an unspared player to be publicly investigated for each living mafia. Skip night 4. Return spared players to the game thread. If mafia was spared, the mafia immediately wins if two of its players survive the day 5 decision.
Zero : The mafia must choose two players to be publicly investigated. If Chara was fought, the mafia must choose everyone. Skip night 4.- CantHateAPuppy
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the only way for the chara to live is 1 spare then one fight right? so an early spare is necessary for scum hereIn post 96, Elements wrote:
how do you figure that?In post 95, CantHateAPuppy wrote:if you spare early you also increase the risk of the chara surviving
If there are 2 spares chara dies
if we commit to sparing twice that's one thing, but if we spare today and then fight tomorrow someone is getting the stinkeye- CantHateAPuppy
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reading all this, i think the right play is:
fight today
fight or spare tomorrow
fight today gives a chance of hitting chara -> autowin, and even if we hit town we get the chara anyways. that's two flips
if we spare today, we basically have to spare tomorrow too or the chara squirms out. that's two days without flips except nightkills which seems like too much imo. but if we wanted to spare tomorrow, 1-3 spares isn't that different from the 0 spares path (?)- CantHateAPuppy
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townhunting is powerful, better than scumhunting imo, but we can townhunt inside the fight framework too. even if it's not as fun as doing somtehing different by sparing ( )
but if we're going to spare anyone, it should be me because 1) im town 2) im obvtown
(ok, ok, besides tanner from earlier i also kind of like pooky, i just think there are some good vibes there. i want to like hectic more than i actually do rn tbh)- CantHateAPuppy
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damn. how can scum compete with this?In post 148, Chara wrote:
chara, what do you think of pooky? tanner? i played a game once with tanner where iw as technically scum, so i kind of think he sounds like that game, but i think my light tr is also half wanting him to be town so we can play town together as an apology. pooky just gives off good vibes. idk, it's kind of early still in day to have any good reads, but i'm bored with setup spec and i want to talk about something else- CantHateAPuppy
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nothing but if you make a scumcase i'll sheep it. why do you scumread him? i def don't agree w/ the pro-spare argument, i'm trying to decide if arguing it is inherently scummy (this is on my mind wrt hectic too.) it's probably too extreme to just assume it has to be bad faith right?In post 152, Chara wrote:i scumread Elements. what do you think about them?- CantHateAPuppy
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this is pretty cool ngl. but is it town cool? are you a cool enough dude for this townbloc?In post 164, Elements wrote:
The best thing I have ever made.In post 156, CantHateAPuppy wrote:alternatively, elements could do something really awesome and we could realign into the cute animal avatar townblock alliance supreme- CantHateAPuppy
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?In post 194, Elements wrote:
changing your tune a bitIn post 193, CantHateAPuppy wrote:hectic who would you spare right now- CantHateAPuppy
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i said your slot was mostly mechtalk, not solely mechtalk, also 120 isn't yours?In post 204, Hectic wrote:Launchy pal, how is 120 "solely mechtalk"?
it's based on others' mechtalk but non-mech reads
why catboi for the spare- CantHateAPuppy
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i asked you who you would spare, and said your slot was mostly mechtalk and you said this:
now that we've clarified that you meant 190, you say this:In post 204, Hectic wrote:Launchy pal, how is 120 "solely mechtalk"?
uh? i wasn't picking at your explanation, i was trying to get you to develop some non-mech talk, 190 didn't really answer my question? actually, i started this post thinking there was some sort of contradiction here, i guess it's not as strong as i thought, maybe we're just talking past each other? ok, spare catboi because you think his ev mech was genuineHectic wrote:that's the post i meant to link to earlier and that's why i think catboi is town
why are you dissatisfied with my explanation?
also why are you so prickly- CantHateAPuppy
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i kind of want to do more, but i also feel pretty ok atm. im ok with my townreads, i'm ok with my votes on elements, and i'm ok with my position on the fight/spare thing. not sure what else there is to do except wait for other people to firm themselves up a bit. (and then you can vote elements with me!)- CantHateAPuppy
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oh yeah, right sorry (<_<)In post 240, Tanner wrote:
answer this in the meantime?In post 226, Tanner wrote:
can you talk about your ~good vibes~ on pooky? i'm lowkey feeling nervous due to the push for sparesIn post 139, CantHateAPuppy wrote:(ok, ok, besides tanner from earlier i also kind of like pooky, i just think there are some good vibes there. i want to like hectic more than i actually do rn tbh)
i went through to iso pooky and didn't find as much as i wanted tbh. ithink the vibes come through more during liveposting? in the context of the thread? i did like these posts:
Spoiler:
i just kind of like that "trust in the heart of the cards" "i assert i am obvtown" vibe. maybe that's kind of weak? i like that he's voting to self-heal (im doing that too, i think it's the obvious play but scum wouldn't be bold enough to do) but i guess i also want to see if he has anyone he wants to spare now that i think about it
@pooky: whose hearts are shining bright with good town spare vibes?- CantHateAPuppy
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aw thanks, this was sweet! but, who are you?In post 435, redtea wrote:
This game feels so disconnected I think puppy was the bridge plz come back- CantHateAPuppy
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but i did read this! it's always fun to read gossip about yourself. fyi my elements vote is semi-serious now, it's more than sheeping chara (actually i think she made the point first and technically i voted first?) anyways, i think i have a decent reason for voting elements if you want to hear it (you want to hear it don't you squidward)In post 430, catboi wrote:puppy:
39 actually kind of pinged me hard when he made it? Just this big pile of setup questions out in the open to start things off, that triggered my gut along with the early snap townread of Tanner in 48 for a post I didn't feel was particularly telling. Tone of 62 actually kind of funny/good, though? Light assessment. I don't really like 139 though. The comment of "good vibes" from pooky just is way weird and I don't care for him asserting he's town this way. Main suspicion just sheeping onto Chara's Elements vote in 155/161 besides that doesn't have much else. Response to Hectic's questioning in 213 reads a tad overdefensive? Really very buddy-buddy in 234. I definitely do not townread CLAP. In fact the ISO mostly recharged my early gut-level suspicion.- CantHateAPuppy
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also i was thinking about spares again. i forgot why we gave up on them. i know it's unlikely that we'll spare correctly 4 times in a row, but is the 4 spare ending really that bad? say there's one scum in finale, wouldn't that be pretty good odds with strong town players? or would paranoia + no flips be too much to overcome?- CantHateAPuppy
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anybody who has more posts than me is, officially, scummy. not trying to call anyone out or anything, but that's right, im officially putting yall on blast, chara / prism / pooky / hectic. (actually i feel pretty mixed about this list, but rules are rules, posting more than the talking puppy is scummy and there's probably one scum in this group tbh)- CantHateAPuppy
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Okay!
It started with Chara's observation in 160 that elements is talking about sparing, but isn't really looking for spares. Like, he still isn't, btw, he's just sort of moved on since everyone is over sparing. But where's the passion, does he look like he's trying to town hunt at all?
Ok that was old stuff but then there's my argument (?) With him around 196. He sort of decides that my asking about spares is scummy. Uh...? He doesn't posit why this is scummy, he just asserts that I'm "changing my tune" and after a respectable distance he parks his vote on me (and hasn't done anything with it?)
Maybe this is weak but it's only D1 and I'm fine with this read and would wagon him for it- CantHateAPuppy
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On phone so not gonna parse the quote just a few different things:In post 457, Tanner wrote:
it's because she keeps going "yes i will play once you stop talking about mechanics" but we have stopped talking about mechanics a long while ago and started talking reads while she's *still* saying how she needs mafia content to play so... what am i supposed to think exactly?In post 444, CantHateAPuppy wrote:@tannerwhy are you voting taylor? is it just because she's still talking setup/spare stuff, or because you have some stronger scumread? if you did i couldn't find it
ok, i'll remind you. (1) in order to win immediately, we need to correctly townread and agree on 7 players. there are 9 town players in the game. those are very bad odds. (2) we have not one, butIn post 445, CantHateAPuppy wrote:also i was thinking about spares again. i forgot why we gave up on them. i know it's unlikely that we'll spare correctly 4 times in a row, but is the 4 spare ending really that bad? say there's one scum in finale, wouldn't that be pretty good odds with strong town players? or would paranoia + no flips be too much to overcome?twolosing conditions (sparing two mafia/sparing Chara). (3) the game becomes half-flipless. that is a much harder environment to solve in, and then it becomes frustrating and demotivating. (4) if we make it to the end of day 4 and we haven't won yet (or lost), town's EV then becomes 25%. which is already bad enough, but also with the possibility of there being 2 scum in 5 players, which means one wrong vote and gg.
4 spare route is literally shooting ourselves in the foot for no reason.
puppy, can you talk a bit about your read on me? the only *concrete* thing you've said so far (unless i missed something, in which case link me) is that i sound kinda like that game we played together (151)
* Tanner you're kinda prickly you know? I noticed it in our last game when you got on me and didn't let go. (I don't mean it's a bad thing lol) but in addition to the other stuff about wanting you to be town, you have that same sticky energy by hunting down the people talking about spares (which tbh maybe you are doing too much of? It's not *that* productive)
Also I'm lately trying something where I just assume a few players are town and work on that basis. Less wifom that way, and if you get a deep townbloc going that's way more powerful than pure scumhunting. If you're not town I think you'll be unable to keep up with me- CantHateAPuppy
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It's me! I'm here. Ready once again to save the day and help you do, uh ...?In post 525, redtea wrote:@Puppy I kept missing your posting hours, and then you were gone but I did indeed read your posts and had some opinions I couldn't go anywhere with without you around.- CantHateAPuppy
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LmaoIn post 535, Elements wrote:Hectic - Town
Elements - Town
Chara - null
Prism - town
PookyTheMagicalBear - chara
catboi - town
Morning Tweet - town
Tayl0r Swift - eh
Lavender - who?
redtea - eh
Tanner - scum
CantLynchAPuppy - scum- CantHateAPuppy
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sorry, i guess i left out the thought that goes "you're kind of prickly and i think that matches what i saw of your town game, also im not sure if you could fake being prickly or not"In post 546, Tanner wrote:
ehh, you're not wrong. is there a reason you're putting it to alignment rather than personality? (other than "assume some people town" i guess)In post 536, CantHateAPuppy wrote:* Tanner you're kinda prickly you know? I noticed it in our last game when you got on me and didn't let go. (I don't mean it's a bad thing lol) but in addition to the other stuff about wanting you to be town, you have that same sticky energy by hunting down the people talking about spares (which tbh maybe you are doing too much of? It's not *that* productive)
like, i think if you were scum you'd have to be more accommodating? maybe you're prickly as scum, you can point me to a scumgame of yours and convince me you're not town if you want- CantHateAPuppy
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no, it's a fair question because hectic was talking about sparing but hadn't suggested anyone he'd wanted to spare. it's the same idea chara used to scumread elements that i sheeped onto. (no offense but did you actually read my posts lol)In post 560, catboi wrote:
He had an issue with you agreeing that fighting today was correct but then humoring hectic about who he would spare, I believe. I don't terribly want to answer for him but if that's what he was saying I see why he said it. Definitely disengaged but I suspect he's a strange player in terms of playstyle?In post 534, CantHateAPuppy wrote:Okay!
It started with Chara's observation in 160 that elements is talking about sparing, but isn't really looking for spares. Like, he still isn't, btw, he's just sort of moved on since everyone is over sparing. But where's the passion, does he look like he's trying to town hunt at all?
Ok that was old stuff but then there's my argument (?) With him around 196. He sort of decides that my asking about spares is scummy. Uh...? He doesn't posit why this is scummy, he just asserts that I'm "changing my tune" and after a respectable distance he parks his vote on me (and hasn't done anything with it?)
Maybe this is weak but it's only D1 and I'm fine with this read and would wagon him for it- CantHateAPuppy
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you absolutely have to read through my posts, they're the most important ones! i have a 100% catch-scum find-town winrate in this game rn. (don't bother reading if you're scum though)In post 570, Morning Tweet wrote:
Okay, so who--In post 545, Tayl0r Swift wrote:
in case it wasnt clear, i was advocating that we fightIn post 537, CantHateAPuppy wrote:Also I think taylor still talking spares is null, maybe she's just stubborn? There are a few players I'd like to see reads from more than setup spec (looking at you pooky ) and you're maybe tunneling on them tbh?In post 546, Tanner wrote: ok, who do you want to fight?
I believe some other people (cat) have been considering Puppy recently, so maybe your reasons are similar to theirs. but i'll ask anyway.In post 549, Tayl0r Swift wrote:my lame take is that lavender is scummy for lurking. my spicy take is that puppy might be a good candidate to fight.
Are you interested in explaining more details of why you think Puppy is a good fight, or at least perhaps voting for Puppy?
Another reminder for myself to actually read thru puppys posts
more seriously, do you have a case on taylor? i see your vote there but you said earlier you were undecided and i'm wondering if you've changed. also would you like to join my townbloc? offer valid through the next 2 minutes- CantHateAPuppy
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lolIn post 579, catboi wrote:
I guess that's fair. I had kinda taken it more as humoring him in an even-handed way rather than asking him in an attempt to evaluate him but I guess I was wrong! Does it make elements scummy? Idk if he's trying to be cheap or just thinking on a level beyond us.In post 573, CantHateAPuppy wrote:no, it's a fair question because hectic was talking about sparing but hadn't suggested anyone he'd wanted to spare. it's the same idea chara used to scumread elements that i sheeped onto. (no offense but did you actually read my posts lol)
What I do know is the exchange between you two still make me laugh out loud.
my style is to ask questions and try to do it in a neutral way, because i like seeing how people respond when you don't cue them exactly how you want them to respond. like, if you warn someone "im probing you" before you probe them you get a different response than if you don't. fyi. i think some people misread me when i do this
also i wanted hectic to elaborate more than he did. i still feel like he shoudl feel townier than he does, so i'm kind of null on the slot. (maybe it's just the posting gimmick? i admit the pictures do get me to at least read what he says)- CantHateAPuppy
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I think this was me. Or if it wasn't, it's something I'd like an answer to. Have you played a lot of games with hectic?In post 586, Chara wrote:Not Chara's venge means we do need to eliminate another scum before then, though.
someone asked what my read on Hectic was the last time i checked the thread: it's a hesitant TR. but i believe i can read him better than that.- CantHateAPuppy
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if you want to give an opinion on my slot i'd be curious to hear it, but i'm still going to treat you as town at least until the end of d1In post 597, Tanner wrote:i'm seeing people starting to get suspicious of puppy and at some point i did start wondering if he's been pocketing me and if he starts looking like a plausible day one fight i will look into it.- CantHateAPuppy
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now i have to know more! you can't tell me that people are gossipping about me and not tell me more. what game was it? why did you not think i was town? do i have my own fanclub? im actually pretty pleased with my games on this account so far, ive made it to endgame in all of them and won all my town games. (There was one scum game but i dont really count that because i subbed into a scumteam where i was the only scum left, which makes me extra curious to get a sense of how you read me)In post 614, catboi wrote:
I recall talking with a friend over your alignment in a game we were spectating. He was extremely confident you were town while you were basically a coinflip to me. I will accept that it is possible your style is just one that is difficult for me to read.In post 582, CantHateAPuppy wrote:lol
my style is to ask questions and try to do it in a neutral way, because i like seeing how people respond when you don't cue them exactly how you want them to respond. like, if you warn someone "im probing you" before you probe them you get a different response than if you don't. fyi. i think some people misread me when i do this
also i wanted hectic to elaborate more than he did. i still feel like he shoudl feel townier than he does, so i'm kind of null on the slot. (maybe it's just the posting gimmick? i admit the pictures do get me to at least read what he says)
As for Hectic, I feel comfortable enough now to say he has said things I like, as well as some I do not like. I do not have a definite conclusion on him, but I would say my misgivings are relatively minor right now.- CantHateAPuppy
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anyways, based on what vibes / reads im hearing from people here's my take on what wagons are viable, fwiw:
* pooky
* elements
* * hectic
* taylor
catboi seems to have divided people 50-50 but with more leaning town, same with me i think? (not sure why tbh.) there hasn't been as much wagon development today as im used to with all the spare talk, so the options look a little weird. there's also probably some room to fight someone who hasn't made much of an impression (i might put lavender and prism in this category, though prism has posted enough so maybe i'm making that up? maybe redtea? idk).
also apropos of nothing i want to talk to morning tweet and chara a little more, i had some productive convos with them early on and haven't lately. - CantHateAPuppy
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