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well reck kind of confirmed his claim, but i also believe UT is town because i dont really see any reason for him to make that claim as scum as i cant imagine we would be in mylo. i suppose there is a possibility he would be lying about seeing reck visiting 2 players but thats a bit too wifomy for my taste, so yeah i believe his claim and i believe he is town.In post 769, Noraa wrote:
Hi duppin! A few questions to get u started:In post 762, duppin wrote:alright hello everyone, i kind of read up on this game initially when the first replacement request went up but i need to catch up fully so i need like 30 minutes or so.
however id really appreciate if people would ask me questions as it helps me get into the game
What do u think of UT's hammer and now claim to be tracker?
i mean i thought the votes themselves were pretty easy to justify since tn pretty much said he didn't care and this does bother me because seeing as i know my slot is town i think it is worth noting that both of the wagons yesterday were on town, however there was also a wagon on you earlier that day. i am trying to go over the vote progression at the moment and will get back to this later.What do you think about the tn wagon?
i will say i believe there is at least 1 scum on tn's wagon
i dont really have any thoughts on that at the moment to be completely honest. The only thing I did note was that Reck seemed to push the idea that the wagon was towndrivenWhat do you think about the chkflip wagon?
I don't think it makes sense for me to evaluate my predecessor to be honest, but if you really want me to I canWhat do you think about ur predecessor?
hm thats a good question actually. One thing I will say is that the votes on you yesterday are very similar to the votes on the tn lynch.Bonus question:
What do you think about my slot?
To clarify at one point the wagons were tied up:
Noraa [X-2] xRECKONERx, Untrod Tripod, tn5421, AGar
tn5421 [X-2] Ythan, Gamma Emerald, Noraa, brighteningskies
And this is the lynch:
tn5421 [OUT] Ythan, Noraa, brighteningskies, VP Baltar, xRECKONERx, Untrod Tripod
ill get back to this in a moment- duppin
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I believe UT's claim so I believe reck is most likely scum, but regarding this i either believe UT is telling the truth about blocking or he believes he is going to get lynched today no matter what and is trying to reveal the roleblocker.In post 784, Noraa wrote:
Reck said he blocked UT n1. That was a bit ~fishy~ cuz it was after UT said he got blocked n1. However I think we just gotta wait and see if a jailkeeper cc's.In post 778, Ythan wrote:Someone prevented my action from resolving on Reck n1. If it had he would know my role. I think the most likely explanation is that Reck is lying scum and blocked me n1 right after I outed myself as not vanilla.
Thoughts?
But then also ... UT told me there could be two jailkeepers bc the formats fucked up or something
I just cant see a world where UT does this as scum unless he loves the wifom. I suppose it is a possibility he is just reaction testing as well but meh- duppin
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apologise for potential wall of text,
Before I start talking about votes I will say that my top towns are UT (for his claim) and VP. I thought the way VP evaluated tn near the end was extremely townie.
I also have a slight townread on Gamma Emerald actually, although it's not super strong.
Anyway, to get back to the VCA the most interesting things to me were these:
Day 1 lynch:
[OUT] xRECKONERx,chkflipVP Baltar, Untrod Tripod, Ythan, Gamma Emerald,Annie Edison, Haschel Cedricson
Day 2 tie
Noraa [X-2]xRECKONERx, Untrod Tripod,tn5421,AGar
tn5421[X-2] Ythan, Gamma Emerald, Noraa, brighteningskies
Then a wagon formed at my slot which resulted in this:
Noraa [X-5]tn,AGar
tn5421 [X-3]Ythan, Noraa, brighteningskies
Dr. pepper [X-1]xRECKONERx, VP, Untrod Tripod, Gamma Emerald,tn5421
And well then it resulted in a tn lynch:
[OUT] Ythan, Noraa, brighteningskies, VP Baltar, xRECKONERx, Untrod Tripodtn5421
So I find it extremely unlikely there is no scum on chkflips wagon, sure it is possible but I sincerely doubt it.
Which means at least 1 scum between Reck, VP, UT, Ythan, Gamma and Haschel.
I also believe there is at least 1 scum on tn's wagon.
Which means at least 1 scum between Ythan, Noora, brighteningskies, VP, Reck, UT.
As I said I have strong townreads on VP and UT. I also have a slight TR on Gamma. So from my point of view there is at least one scum between Reck/Ythan/Haschel and at least one between Ythan/Noraa/brighteningskies/Reck.
I believe Reck is (unless UT is reaction testing) scum. I also find brighteningskies suspicious, play is a bit too passive and seems to have no issue jumping from wagon to wagon. I think noora could be scum based on votes but for that to be the case I believe she was bussed.- duppin
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Actually no that is not what I said. tn and agar are both confirmed town and I believe UT is town as well. Which means Reck could have bussed if he is scum. brighteningskies also voted on you yesterday but swapped their vote to tn shortly after.In post 808, Noraa wrote:Noraa [X-2]xRECKONERx, Untrod Tripod,tn5421,AGar
The Noraa was bussed by her scum partners theory isn't sitting well with me. Ur trying to tell me my scum partners were in {xRECKONERx, Untrod Tripod, tn5421, AGar}- duppin
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if UT is scum then 4 isnt necessarily true though, but i think that is very unlikelyIn post 821, xRECKONERx wrote:things i know to be true:
1. ut isnt lying about being a tracker. could be town or scum tracker.
2. haschel seems to be able to confirm ythan's role as giving masks? could be town or scum though
3. vpb is confirmed town unless haschel is going for some kinda mega big dick scum play w/ his partner (@vpb- u know HOW haschel confirmed you as town then?)
4. there is a 2nd manipulation role in addition to the town bus driver- duppin
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i concur, i just cant see this being a scum play.In post 827, xRECKONERx wrote:i mean it seems insane for him to make that up as scum, unless he actually tracked me and thought he could nail me to the wall as visiting the dead person to cover for a buddy, still dont know why make up the second part about me visting ythan then
issue is logic tells me that makes you scum, but i actually quite like your reaction to all of this so i will at least accept there is a chance there could be a role modifying your night actions especially since your roleblocking does seem to be confirmed at least for n1.
could you explain the reasoning behind your night targets?- duppin
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i mean i cant see how we cant lynch reck today, the only thing i will say though is that he does feel rathe genuine to me.
but id for us to focus on other stuff before ending the day though. personally i'd be up for claiming but i kind of want another player to claim first for a specific reason but ultimately id be okay with claiming before him.
I still believe brighteningskies is very likely to be scum so I really need to hear from them as well- duppin
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oh i actually was not aware, i apologiseIn post 902, xRECKONERx wrote:stop using lynch- duppin
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skies I think my main concern regarding your vote hopping is that to me it felt like you were trying to justify all of your votes rather than trying to figure out the alignment of the slots. I think that is more likely to come from a scum mindset.
There is a I suppose lack of direction from you, you never questioned any of the wagons but just accepted them since they were the leading wagons. I don't think you have been very proactive this game at all, do you disagree with that?
Everyone knows who we are yeeting today, but if we ignore his slot for now do you have any scum reads at the moment?- duppin
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Okay good, that makes me believe that the busdriver claim (reck>herschel) is probably true, in which case we know that at least Ythan tried to visit reck n1 as well. Herschel claims he targeted him as well but no way to really confirm that.
Point is though if reck does flip scum then we we know that Ythan tried to visit him n1. I mean I still don't know exactly what Ythan is claiming to be but just wondering whether it would make sense for him to visit a partner in that case. I'm leaning more towards it not making sense at this point but I don't know.- duppin
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Herschel claims he targeted reck n1 as wellIn post 993, Untrod Tripod wrote:you know what else might explain Reck not knowing who he targeted N1
if it's a situation like in a scum PT people are submitting actions for the whole scum team and Reck didn't realize that the final version of the scum action plan wasn't the one he thought it was
I also want to understand something else:
VP targets Reck with (presumably a friendly neighbor)
I target Reck with a track
Ythan targets Reck with what I assume is a fruit vendor
Reck blocks me
Annie swaps Haschel and Reck
is this what the claims are?- duppin
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well actually i have to admit that i am not really trying to evaluate Gamma's play at all, my read is based on nothing but my night results and while they do not fully confirm him as town i am very inclined to believe it is the caseIn post 1058, VP Baltar wrote:
Yeah, I think we basically lim those two and then if the game is still going, Haschel.In post 1053, duppin wrote:alright so VP and ythan are confirmed town, i am pretty confident that Gamma is town.
For some reason I thought haschel would be mechanically cleared if reck flipped red but i realised that wasnt.
pretty sure its just noora and skies at this point though
Obviously you're still outside the realm of confirmed too duppin.
Why do you read gamma as town here? He's still technically in the pool as well. More curious than anything- duppin
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I suppose i might as well just claim as i am not sure sitting on my claim really matters. I also don't really think it matters whether me or gamma claims first at this point because if he is scum then he should be able to conclude what my read on him is related to i think
i am a motion detector:
n1: ythan - motion detected
n2: gamma - no motion
n3: gamma - no motion
so initially thought gamma was more likely to be town for not doing anything n2 but after him not doing anything n3 either I feel pretty confident about him being town actually.
I don't want to go too wifom on this, but in my opinion i just think it seems logical for mafia to use gamma as the kill after reck flipped assuming one of skies and noora is the other mafia given they were obvious tpr targets.
the only plausibile possibility i can really see if haschel is scum and they used him to do the kill instead i guess, but yeah only possible teammate i can really see for Gamma is haschel but I honestly just think Gamma is town- duppin
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my role is town motion detectorIn post 1109, Ythan wrote:What's your role name then Dup?- duppin
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i honestly have no idea what you are referring toIn post 1111, Ythan wrote:
That is a very bad answer double check and get back to me quick.In post 1110, duppin wrote:
my role is town motion detectorIn post 1109, Ythan wrote:What's your role name then Dup?
i am sewer sunny if that is what you mean? but my role is motion detector- duppin
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hm i suppose but id need to tell everyone not to visit him either to not mess with my result in that case in which case scum might just do that and lets assume they can still multitask so if gamma is town that wouldnt be idealIn post 1116, VP Baltar wrote:Also, wouldn't it have made sense to not claim now and get a guaranteed result on Gamma after we yeet noraa into the sun?- duppin
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I am really curious about this now actuallyIn post 1117, Haschel Cedricson wrote:Huh.
I kind of want to claim now because I can't decide if my role makes duppin's claim to be more or less likely.- duppin
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okay this is a weird post? It comes across as you wanting to appear pro town.In post 1256, Noraa wrote:We have time. No rush. Let's hear skies' reply to intent and gamma's reply to the whole mass claiming thing. Then it'll be a good somewhat productive day for town and hopefully skies is scum otherwise we'll have one hell of a time tmrw.
I'd also like to hear something - anything from duppin to show that he is in fact alive...
if you want to "hear something" then you ought to ask me
it's fairly obvious I have already shared all i have to share. my "fear" is a team of Gamma and Haschel as I believe haschel is the only real possible teammate for Gamma from my point of view, i think it is more likely that the team is just skies and you though. There is a possibility that you are town but i think it is very unlikely. I am very confident skies is scum though so if they flip town that would really mess with my reads
i already said all of this though and i have nothing more to add, its really just up to ythan and vp to hammer someone- duppin
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unless you believe the team is exactly me and Gamma then my role is pretty much confirmed however my alignment isn't. I suppose it's technically possible for me to be some kind of rolecop then it would be really risky for me to randomly guess that no one visited Gamma for two nights in a row eitherIn post 1254, VP Baltar wrote:
duppin- Find myself nodding when duppin talks, but the voting record isn't great. It also seems possible that one of him and Haschel is lying about their role.
as for the voting record, are you referring to my preds? because i dont think votes yesterday meant anything as it was obvious who we were going to lim- duppin
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sure it is a possibility that me and Gamma could be scum partners, but it would definitely not be because of the night action. just to clarify targeting Gamma two days in a row was pretty logical:In post 1275, Noraa wrote: I currently am more comfortable voting gamma as I'm pretty sure the solve isnt duppin/haschel. But my guess for gammas partner is probably duppin bc I remember duppin claimed he targeted gamma two days in a row. And I'm sorry but like ... why tf? Like I could understand targeting Ythan(for his small amounts of sheeping early in the game) or targeting me(for my at the time, classified as "bad accusations" against Reck) or targeting Reck as he was quote, "a lightning rod" and attracted all the prs early on for his play or just about everyone else. But like ... Gamma. Why gamma? I just don't understand why you would target gamma and two nights in a row at that. It just doesn't make sense to me. I could see Haschel/Gamma but that would mean the scum team distanced really damn well this entire game and I mean kudos to them if that's the solve cuz I'm not seeing it.
there is no reason for me to check any of PR claims as the result is useless, which left me with you, skies and Gamma.
there was no reason to check you or skies since i think it was pretty likely that UT was going to check you which means my result would most likely be useless espcially considering he was likely to die in the night so would not be able to confirm who he visited
we limmed a scum who is confirmed to have commited the night kill, so if suddenly Gamma did an action it could perhaps be due to him performing the nk now- duppin
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yes i targeted noraa and got motion detectedIn post 1305, Haschel Cedricson wrote:
For clarification, your claim is that you targeted Noraa?In post 1304, duppin wrote:actually theres no real reason for me not to claim my result first since noraa already seems to have claimed VP visited her- duppin
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by saying you could confirm someone as town you seemed to imply that as the case. if ythan gave you a mask that doesnt really confirm him as townIn post 1308, Noraa wrote:
no. Vp and Ythan are both roles that visit at night. I did not claim vp visited me.In post 1304, duppin wrote:actually theres no real reason for me not to claim my result first since noraa already seems to have claimed VP visited her
nonetheless point still stands; you confirmed someone visited you meaning my result doesnt matter- duppin
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I have absolutely no idea what my action counts as but if you are claiming i am lying then it definitely makes it easier for me to solveIn post 1307, Haschel Cedricson wrote:I also targeted Noraa. She was targeted last night by one Miscellaneous Action and one Action Investigation (me).
That means either we are both telling the truth and you were the Miscellaneous Action, VP targeted Noraa and you are lying, or Ythan targeted Noraa and you are lying.
Based on what Noraa said I'm going with the middle option. Ythan, can you confirm that you did not send a mask to Noraa?- duppin
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yes exactly, so it only confirms taht either you did something or someone visited youIn post 1313, Noraa wrote:Or is motion detector also influenced by actions performed on me?- duppin
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i believe he is town because mafia roleblocker is confirmed to have visited him, but i dont think there is anything that confirms his role as townIn post 1315, Noraa wrote:
isnt mask giver a town role? so if he gave me a mask, it would technically confirm him right? Both mask giver and fn have night actions that confirm them I believe...?In post 1310, duppin wrote:
by saying you could confirm someone as town you seemed to imply that as the case. if ythan gave you a mask that doesnt really confirm him as townIn post 1308, Noraa wrote:
no. Vp and Ythan are both roles that visit at night. I did not claim vp visited me.In post 1304, duppin wrote:actually theres no real reason for me not to claim my result first since noraa already seems to have claimed VP visited her
nonetheless point still stands; you confirmed someone visited you meaning my result doesnt matter- duppin
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yes that is fair if you are town then gamma and me are probably a possibility but im actually doing VLA at the moment so give me some time to finish it upIn post 1317, Noraa wrote:
I'm a little bit reluctant to believe your claim considering I had just said that I could confirm someone tho I do know that technically it's not ur fault(if u actually are town motion detector) that I claimed first :/In post 1314, duppin wrote:
yes exactly, so it only confirms taht either you did something or someone visited youIn post 1313, Noraa wrote:Or is motion detector also influenced by actions performed on me?
Im also reluctant to believe u cuz gamma/duppin is my current solve- duppin
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yes he was confirmed because UT tracked reck visiting ythan and agar on the same night, we know he killed agar so it seems logical to conclude he roleblocked ythanIn post 1318, Noraa wrote:
so that was why he's confirmed? I always thought it was bc mask giver couldn't be scum aligned :/In post 1316, duppin wrote:
i believe he is town because mafia roleblocker is confirmed to have visited him, but i dont think there is anything that confirms his role as townIn post 1315, Noraa wrote:
isnt mask giver a town role? so if he gave me a mask, it would technically confirm him right? Both mask giver and fn have night actions that confirm them I believe...?In post 1310, duppin wrote:
by saying you could confirm someone as town you seemed to imply that as the case. if ythan gave you a mask that doesnt really confirm him as townIn post 1308, Noraa wrote:
no. Vp and Ythan are both roles that visit at night. I did not claim vp visited me.In post 1304, duppin wrote:actually theres no real reason for me not to claim my result first since noraa already seems to have claimed VP visited her
nonetheless point still stands; you confirmed someone visited you meaning my result doesnt matter- duppin
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Yes indeed, I get either a motion detected or no motion detectedIn post 1328, Haschel Cedricson wrote:Motion Detector is a new role for me; it shows both comings AND goings but doesn't say which is which? Is that correct?- duppin
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so I think I would like to defend my slot first actually.
Day 2 Reck was the one who started the wagon on my pred slot in 625, 630, 632, 671.
Gamma voted on me a bit after putting my pred at E-2. (649, 653)
A bit after this tn put my slot at E-1. VP was the one to unvote shortly after putting it back at E-2
sure bussing is a possibility but bias aside I think it is unlikely that my slot would be with reck and I especially think the duppin/gamma/reck team is extremely unlikely.
By the way after reading through it I also think it is relatively unlikely for noraa and Gamma to be together mainly because I think it would be weird for Gamma due to their interactions day 2. Essentially Gamma started pushing Noraa due to this: 398, 399, 400 which I just think would be a weird thing to do to a partner
which means if there are 2 scum remaining I believe it is either noraa + haschel or gamma + haschel.
I will however say that the lack of a kill last night bothers me. It's too WIFOMy for me to really try to play around it, but i just dont get the point of it. I have a couple of theories like perhaps there was a traitor that got recruited which could also make a lot of the associative reads more useless and so on, or perhpas that the mask can save people or whatnot. Ultimately it's not something I think is really worth discussing, but it does make me slightly paranoid.
anyway the common denominator between the possible teams i see is haschel.
now he also seems to be counterclaiming me so obviously that also makes it more straightforward as we should lim between me and him- duppin
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as i just pointed out he joined recks wagon on my slot d2 and tried to lim me.In post 1340, Noraa wrote:"kinda sussing" is perfect for shallow distancing :/
of course bussing is a possibility but we can wifom all day long if we want to, but unless you have an independent scumread on us i dont think its very logical to push a duppin/gamma/reck team
actually to be completely honest im not even sure why you think my claim makes us more likely to be partners either but i dont really think its worth discussing- duppin
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we are limming between me and haschel, you should be evaluating us.
I am curious as to why you think Gamma and haschel is impossible? Why are you of the opinion that they have "distanced so well"? I am just curious as to why you believe there is a bigger split between the two of them than let's say my slot and Gamma?- duppin
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by the way one thing id like to mention is that haschel is directly counterclaiming my night action. The only reason i mention this is because for that to make sense it would mean that i either lied about my target or i dont have a night action and just randomly guessed that gamma did nothing and that no one visited him two nights in a row.
if i was scum i dont see how it would make sense for me to lie about who i visited especially when i picked the most obvious target and if i were scum then haschel would be town and i know his role so just doesnt really make any sense for me to lie about my target when no one died- duppin
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Okay I am very much looking forward to this explanation because even without my bias I just dont see how you can possibly think this. Gamma tried to get my slot limmed day 2. How is that less distance than the few interactions that Gamma and Haschel have had? If you are town I really need you to revaluate your position because I definitely think they could be together but the fact that you seem to be pushing the notion that they have "distanced" so well is weird and I am unsure as to why you got that impression so please elaborate on thisIn post 1347, Noraa wrote:
Theres definitely been a bigger split. I'll explain it later today if I remember but rn imma go out for a run with a few friends. Adios.In post 1343, duppin wrote:we are limming between me and haschel, you should be evaluating us.
I am curious as to why you think Gamma and haschel is impossible? Why are you of the opinion that they have "distanced so well"? I am just curious as to why you believe there is a bigger split between the two of them than let's say my slot and Gamma?- duppin
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for day 3 i think the only n2 actions claimed before i opened up to claim were UT and reckIn post 1352, Haschel Cedricson wrote:
Option 3: You have a different night action and lied about Gamma doing things. Most people with roles had already claimed their actions by the time you first claimed to have targeted Gamma, if I'm reading things correctly.In post 1348, duppin wrote:by the way one thing id like to mention is that haschel is directly counterclaiming my night action. The only reason i mention this is because for that to make sense it would mean that i either lied about my target or i dont have a night action and just randomly guessed that gamma did nothing and that no one visited him two nights in a row.
for day 4 i dont believe anyone had claimed
Also there were no kills, why would I lie about my target even if I had a different night action?- duppin
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well before i go to bed the last thing i would like to add is that like i said when i claimed my role the only possible partner i could see with Gamma was Haschel, so the fact that Noraa now suddenly pushes the idea that this simply isn't possible just feels off to me. I am unsure as to why she would have that read that they have "distanced" so much that they can't possibly be partners.
The fact that she could not elaborate on this now and the fact that she does not seem to acknowledge that Gamma tried to lim my slot day 2 to me seems to indicate that her read isn't actually based on something concrete.
I don't think the fact that Gamma voted on me necessarily means we can not be partners, but if she was looking for distancing it does not make much sense to me that the reaches the conclusion that there is more of a split between Gamma and Haschel. I thought it would make sense if she was pushing the idea that Gamma could have been bussing or something else but the fact that she went with this makes me lean a tad more towards Haschel + Noraa at the moment because I am fairly confident it is a fake read that is not based on anything specific and I do not believe she has actually been trying to solve possible associations because then she should have realised that if distancing was her concern then Gamma voted on my slot day 2. I thought it might be a possibility that she was just being influenced by the current interaction eg Gamma seems to be siding with me over Haschel at the moment, but her post 1347 makes it sound like she has actual reasons but I suppose I'll wait for her response for now
That is a bit misleading; I was already claiming in 901 that i was down for claiming but would like to wait for someone else to claim first and in 912 I state that the person is Gamma. I think it is this stage it is fair to conclude that my claim has to do with something Gamma did. I earlier this day stated I had a slight tr on him and I also claimed in in 1060 that my townread on him has nothing to do with his play but my read on him. So I was definitely commited to a claim relating to something Gamma did that would not clear him fully but was something I thought was more likely to make him town. I then claim as you pointed and even if you believe my day 3 hinting was a lucky guess based on some players claiming their n2 action, that same logic does not really apply to my n3 result as people had not claimed their targetIn post 1354, Haschel Cedricson wrote:
Ythan admitted the person he gave a mask to died in post 796, a whole 300 posts before you said you targeted Gamma. I also mentioned that VP Baltar had targeted me Night 2 in post 834. You don't mention targeting Gamma until post 1106.In post 1353, duppin wrote:for day 3 i think the only n2 actions claimed before i opened up to claim were UT and reck- duppin
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Please do not lim outside me and Haschel.
Also I am unsure as to why you are suddenly townreading her. She could be town, but I dont think her posting now has been that town ans definitely not enough to lim outside. I feel her logic is a bit inconsistent; we know there is 1 scum between me and haschel, she believes that Gamma is always scum and she does not believe Gamma and Haschel are ever scumbuddies. If she is town then from her point of view I should always be the lim for today. Trying to lim outside simply due to some association logic that is in my opinion very questionable as in I dont think her association read is justified at all, to me comes across as the “easy” play for her to do as she doesnt really have to take a stance between me and Haschel and can just kind of justify voting on someone else due to “associations”. I think the most likely explanation is just that she is with Haschel but doesnt want to take too hard of a stance in me vs Haschel in case Haschel gets limmed. I could be wrong and would like to hear some more from her but yeah. I really need to sleep now though - duppin
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