Newbie 2051: Iceland! - End!
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floo Goon
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"..." not part of original post.In post 46, safebet222 wrote: So how can you have a serious vote of 3 people haven't even checked in?
...
OMGUS?
With the game becoming more serious, I can explain my motives. I switched my RVS vote from Enchant to flow trap because I wanted to see where a conversation would go. flow trap's posting style is lighthearted with a lot of small talk and interactions with other player, as one of the most active users so far (might be the most active in terms of post count). I stated my vote was "partially serious" (40) to avoid seeming suspicious from an apparent OMGUS (as you guessed) and a second (apparently) random vote. I am explaining my intentions now because I would rather have flow trap discuss his/her gameplay or opinions than post joke reactions.- floo
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What about safebet222?In post 121, flow trap wrote:
Floo seems typical chaotic town and Spartan seems genuine hereIn post 119, Salsabil Faria wrote:In post 98, flow trap wrote:I'm leaning town on safe, floo and SpartanCan you share the reasons?- floo
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You townread three people who have voted you. I started the wagon. safebet made a point of putting you a step away from death. Spartan voted you for no stated reason other than "pressure" (61). In particular, I find the Spartan townread strange because he has posted only three times, but you find him "genuine" (121). Meanwhile, you are scumreading esotericzoomer (implied in 114), who is the person who has questioned the votes on you a lot while staying away from an explicit townread. Do you think the wagon on you has a legitimate or beneficial purpose?In post 98, flow trap wrote:I'm leaning town on safe, floo and Spartan- floo
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Right, as I explained I said it was "partially serious" to avoid seeming scummy / too random.In post 136, Spartan117 wrote: Found this sus to even insinuate it is somewhat serious a vote this early on with such little discussion, unless ofc this is to obtain a reaction and read responses.- floo
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flow trap reacted quite a bit. If those reactions weren't meaningful, the wagon still allowed flow trap to produce reads related to the wagon (121).In post 102, esotericzoomer wrote:
What are you gonna do, risk having potential harmful effects on town and make yourself look like a wolf?In post 101, safebet222 wrote:So what were you going to do? Twiddle your thumbs until sxum raise their hand and say, "Its me!"
There's plenty of different ways to reaction test, putting someone on e-1 doesn't achieve anything.- floo
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Townreading three people who have voted you might seem like trying to court favor with them to get them to unvote you.In post 135, flow trap wrote:In post 134, floo wrote:You townread three people who have voted you.I started the wagon. safebet made a point of putting you a step away from death.Spartan voted you for no stated reason other than "pressure"(61). In particular, I find the Spartan townread strangebecause he has posted only three times, but you find him "genuine" (121). Meanwhile, you are scumreading esotericzoomer (implied in 114),who is the person who has questioned the votes on you a lotwhile staying away from an explicit townread. Do you think the wagon on you has a legitimate or beneficial purpose?I fail to see the relevance
This is a valid reason
The "I'm so confused" card is not one I find town and also it felt like a pocket attempt
To answer your question, yes; pressure is a valid reason and it has clearly benefited us as it was a good means for a discussion- floo
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Just finished reading the thread up to now.
Some players have found my vote switch to flow trap suspicious because I didn't want to attract suspicion (Enchant in 150 comes to mind). If I don't want to be voted out, I don't see why I shouldn't take the effort not to seem overly scummy.
Will post other thoughts soon.- floo
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Enchant has played Newbie 2046 before according to Sal (44); it's a pure joke. But Enchant has not posted anything else that relates to this or is a pure joke. It looks unnatural/forced.In post 11, Enchant wrote:Hello. This is my first game on this site.
How to play as Mafia Goon? What it do?
Also, you still haven't made any productive comments about your flow trap vote. What did you learn from the pressure you put on flow trap, and in retrospect was it a good idea?- floo
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All right, here's my read on the player I've posted the most about: flow trap.
At the beginning of the day, flow trap asked for "tips on how to read someone" (53), and short, inconsequential posts suggested that the player did not have a clear sense of their goals. Later on, we saw reads and other opinions that showed a sense of direction. The short posting style remained, but the topics were more substantial. flow trap later admits:
Here is a post written a week ago in the Newbie Introduction thread (In post 281, flow trap wrote:Because I was pretending to be new?not in this game):
This makes me think flow trap was also confused.In post 2326, flow trap wrote:Well, as usual when I get on a new site: I have no idea what I'm doing
I think the change in style suggests town. flow trap was moving away from being confused and/or pretending to be new because (s)he maintained the same style that might seem fillery. There was no pretending to have a different personality or posting style, even if that might have looked more towny.
The pair analysis chart (282) looks like town effort superficially. The image looks like it took time to input the names, fill the color, find a chart template, etc. But I'm skeptical considering how little effort flow trap has put into the writing of other posts. Ultimately, I don't put much weight on the chart.- floo
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Responding to some questions.
In the middle of figuring out my reads, that didn't come to mind. I'll UNVOTE:In post 379, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:floo, why is your vote still on flow trap?
You really think it's like this.In post 382, Salsabil Faria wrote:In post 351, floo wrote:Just finished reading the thread up to now.
Some players have found my vote switch to flow trap suspicious because I didn't want to attract suspicion (Enchant in 150 comes to mind). If I don't want to be voted out, I don't see why I shouldn't take the effort not to seem overly scummy.
Will post other thoughts soon.Point is, your vote fromEnchanttoflow trapwasn't suspicious but the explanation you gave on post 139 raised suspicion cause towns don't usually bother if they look scummy. But for mafias, they have to blend in, they have to pretend to be towns, that's why 'image-conscious' is not a town thing for sure.
"Hello I'm Mafia I want to blend in!" - floo
"OK Mafia" - Sal
Town doesn't want to seem scummy. There are scummy behaviors that don't benefit town at all like lurking, and there are others that do benefit town if done correctly (aggression as pointed out by Spartan). It was the beginning of the game. Being hyper-aggressive would only seem scummy at the time, no benefit because there was little to no information. So posting scummy would leave me worse off in the first place, and there wouldn't be anything good to make up for that.- floo
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I see other players passing esotericzoomer for questioning the flow trap wagon for a difference in gameplay philosophy. The problem is he was too insistent in his complaint even though flow trap was at zero chance to actually die. There was no harm in the wagon while he yelled that there was no gain. That makes me think EZ was insincere. Besides he has no reads besides the convenient safebet scumread needed to vote him even though he talks Mafia theory and debates the little town/scumtells other people have pointed out. Scumlean on esotericzoomer currently.- floo
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possible motives for this:In post 478, Enchant wrote:You will hate me for this.
I will hammer anyone, if i see him at E-1.
Don't put people on E-1 unless you surely decide you want them dead. Ask for claims on E-2, so mafia can't trade self on some Cop claim with instant punch.
I decided on it, so don't argue.
- wild reaction test (most rational motive)
- attention seeking
- perplex other players
- avoid scumreads for posting weird stuff (like the Mafia joke claim) and then not posting weird stuff
- concern over lolhammer (talked about it at the beginning of the game, very disapprovingly)- floo
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I find it suspicious again that Enchant does a wild joke post 478, similar to 11, and then posts no follow-ups to the joke, no responses to questions or explanation of motive, despite posting at least 10 more times after 478. More suspicion on Enchant now, a scumlean at this point.
Maybe this gambit is for the scumpartner to interact and seem towny, but there have been no reaction posts to suggest that.- floo
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Your comments about 365 assume that Enchant and Fredrick are scumpartners. Let's say that Fredrick is town, however, regardless of Enchant's alignment. Then he would just be asking you to read Enchant in a different way that is more logically sound, which is perfectly normal for town to do. I haven't read/thought enough about if it is likely that Enchant and Fredrick are partners.In post 531, Salsabil Faria wrote:Okay, so I just go throughFredrick A Campbell's iso, these are the things I found:
Post= 166, 169 and 173 are good, feels like a town post
Post= 212 seems opportunistic vote onFloo, not getting town vibe
Post= 365 by keepingesotericzoomer's post 444, it actually makes sense, like you tried to protect/defend your scum partner (in this caseEnchant) there
Post= 494 here I asked your reads which is a serious question and game-related question which you avoided. But you interacted with me in those posts which were not game-related, from which I feel you're somewhat lurking at this point or want to be the second mysterious player here, not a town thing for me.
VOTE: Fredrick A Campbell
AboutPrism, their posts are less but really meaningful and can be counted almost all. Getting a good town vibe at the moment.
You said in 228 that you didn't want to give Enchant the benefit of the doubt because you "don't want to get burned again." If I'm reading that as it appears, you don't want to think about Enchant with the proper assumptions because you don't want to be voted. Correct me if I'm wrong.
I'm reading through your ISO and feel like half of your posts are interactions with flow trap. What's your current read on flow trap?- floo
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Analyzing Enchant and Fredrick for a) a read on Fredrick and b) a read if they are partners.
In post 211, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:
I third that.In post 209, Salsabil Faria wrote:In post 150, Enchant wrote:
I probably ask something nonsense, but really want.In post 139, floo wrote:
Right, as I explained I said it was "partially serious" to avoid seeming scummy / too random.In post 136, Spartan117 wrote: Found this sus to even insinuate it is somewhat serious a vote this early on with such little discussion, unless ofc this is to obtain a reaction and read responses.
Why you think placing votes suspicious? Do you really care how suspicious are you?
Of course explaining votes is good, but doing that and claiming you did that just to don't seem suspicious for that is really something strange.
Town supposed to push suspicious people, you know.I second that. Not your vote but your explanation is suspicious : "to avoid seeming scummy"In post 604, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:
Why I agreed with that is because I think that is a possibility and the best lead I have had since then.In post 498, Prism wrote:Actually I'll try directly quoting
I am saying I directly disagree with this, particularly Salsabil's reasoning here. I think this is a natural thought for relative beginners. I am wondering why someone who has been around the block more often agrees with this.In post 211, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:
I third that.In post 209, Salsabil Faria wrote:In post 150, Enchant wrote:
I probably ask something nonsense, but really want.In post 139, floo wrote:
Right, as I explained I said it was "partially serious" to avoid seeming scummy / too random.In post 136, Spartan117 wrote: Found this sus to even insinuate it is somewhat serious a vote this early on with such little discussion, unless ofc this is to obtain a reaction and read responses.
Why you think placing votes suspicious? Do you really care how suspicious are you?
Of course explaining votes is good, but doing that and claiming you did that just to don't seem suspicious for that is really something strange.
Town supposed to push suspicious people, you know.I second that. Not your vote but your explanation is suspicious : "to avoid seeming scummy"
At this level I don't see any scum openly admit to being insecure about their appearance with 0 prompting, because scumfear being perceived as selfconcious
I assumed that 211 was the reason for your vote. I didn't feel like commenting too much more because I had explained my early motivation already. I can understand where this is coming from as town. You'd want to pressure a player who is self-admittedly conscious about his perception to see what the fear of being scumread would cause. This action by itself would be NAI to me, but in 604 you say that my post was a scum hint. So there is a pivot from possible scumtell -> just a reaction test. This is dishonest; the honest answer would be "possible scum, want to test for reactions as I believe this player will produce useful reactions, but I do not believe this player is scum anymore" rather than "just a reaction test." The idea to scumread me came from Enchant in the first place, but I don't see any leads in this about an Enchant-Fredrick partnership.In post 644, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:I was actually voting floo to see what would happen, not because I truly believed they were very probably scum.
As for opinions, I don't formulate them unless it is a rather sure thing.
Will continue my analysis.- floo
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If he's that desperate, yes.In post 710, quiet wrote:@floo any chance town!Enchant does the self-vote scum claim from your perspective?
It’s hard for me to ever credit it, but I’m not caught up.
Enchantappearsto have attempted gamethrow in frustrated desperation, that's the important takeaway. Could be legitimate town desperation or a scum Hail Mary.- floo
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Reread. This isn't intended self-hammer. It's intended self-vote to put yourself at E-1.In post 692, Enchant wrote:Oh sorry, i dind't saw this is on E-1.- floo
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Why? Do you want to prevent a Fredrick or Enchant wagon?In post 728, flow trap wrote:VOTE: Prism
Will most likely not stay on this but I want a 3-way tie dynamic- floo
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Back to post, sorry for being inactive lately. I read through the thread up to this point.
If Enchant is Mafia, they are playing very poorly. The selfhammer drama is a wonderful gift for anyone (town or scum) who wants to push Enchant. Without it, Enchant would probably not be hammered soon, and would instead have several IRL days for themselves and their partner to redirect a wagon. My question throughout the drama has been, "where is Enchant's partner?" No player has taken Enchant's actions to draw attention to himself. And it is doubtful that a scumpartner would even let Enchant post insanity in the first place.
The only post that stood out to me as partner-indicating is
I'll assume that Fredrick is Enchant's scumpartner in this paragraph. Fredrick does not mention an Enchant read in this post or any other post so far post-drama, not even to analyze anything Enchant has done. At this time, Enchant is the most important read, but he has none (865), with an excuse of not having caught up (866). Instead, he redirects attention to two other scumreads but admits that there is a low chance of his reads being correct. So his strategy is to a) avoid discussing Enchant because any position in the Enchant drama will result in (eventual) suspicion, b) propose some other scumreads while admitting inconfidence to avoid angering his (town) scumreads or explaining his reads too far, and c) hope his partner's gambit and his own pivoting will allow them both to survive Day 1.In post 871, Fredrick A Campbell wrote: If I were to try to make a readlist of my own, I would definitely "screw" something too. Hence, my reads are very fluid with players that were more likely to be town to me turning into more likely to be scum and vice versa.
Right now, given what I have read, my guess of the scumteam is Salsabil Faria and quiet with a higher than random chance of being right. Random chance is (1/28). Odds of right to wrong are (1:27).
My point is not that Fredrick is likely Enchant's partner, but that if the two are scumpartners, Fredrick is pursuing a rational strategy. A desperation strategy is possible because the scumteam was in an awful position at the time, both members being widely scumread and the two most voted players.
I want an Enchant vote, even just for the information. But without the consent of other players, I can't risk selfhammer.
Finally, to Enchant. Yes, you are hurting town. Not because you are bad in the first place, but because your vision of yourself being bad has led you to make confusing and self-defeating plays. You did not try to self-hammer yourself because you really were a net negative at the time. You made yourself a net negative by trying to self-hammer. If there's one thing you can do for town, escape the loser mentality, then you will start contributing to the town.- floo
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Stuff I thought up before but I want to post now. Not a full readlist because I don't have the time.
flow trap:as I explained before. Nothing too scummy has gotten my attention, granted that I've mentally filtered out contradictory or silly statements. Seems sincere.
Salsabil Faria:She has relied on incorrect assumptions in some of her reads that town has no reason to lie or hide their thoughts, but has not changed her beliefs even while some players have pointed out the mistake. I also get the feeling that she confuses long-paragraph or intelligent-sounding analyses for town. Is contributing to the town, but too often uses the aforementioned assumptions in her reads.
Enchant:scumread right now per what I've written before.
esotericzoomer:Complaining about flow trap feels more like scum defending town for towncred now. Absolute confidence in Enchant scumread also suspicious. Scumpool candidate.
Fredrick A Campbell:Between the read pivoting and invalid read justifications as pointed out by other players. Lack of Enchant read, even "this player is unreadable," is concerning. Scummier if Enchant flips Mafia than Town as the most likely partner. (Unrelated, but keep in mind that Fredrick has gotten more suspicion for not posting reads than flow trap.)
I have not read enough of Prism, Spartan, or Quiet (safebet) yet to make an informed read.- floo
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Reasons to kill esotericzoomer:
Widely townread?esotericzoomer was more of a "passive townread," in that he was away from scrutiny in the final leg of Day 1. He had his share of scummy lines to justify a vote. Prism or myself would be a better choice for this reason.
ScumreadsHis other scumread was Fredrick. There are other players who scumread Fredrick, so killing EZ would be a poor choice. Fredrick is somewhat vindicated by Enchant's town flip. Plus, EZ's 100% confidence about scumreading Enchant would have blocked his chances of pushing a further scumread.
I think there are two plausible reasons then. The two reasons I mentioned above would not be the main reasons to kill, but could be secondary ones.
- Probable power role. I have not read enough into EZ's posts to see where this is implied though.
- Avoid Doctor/Jailkeeper. This is a hybrid reason which combines "widely townread" and/or "scumreads."- floo
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Part of the reason to scumread Fredrick was scummy interactions with Enchant. In particular, I pointed out Fredrick avoided reading Enchant. EZ pointed out Enchant made his vaguest read on Fredrick. If Enchant flipped scum, Fredrick would likely be today's hammer.In post 1054, Spartan117 wrote:
Why do you think that Floo, I don't agree.In post 1050, floo wrote:Fredrick is somewhat vindicated by Enchant's town flip- floo
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You vote quick. How does the Enchant flip change your read of Fredrick?
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I don't townread Prism. A lot of vote pressure/suspicion would be the best way to get a read out of a player who stays under the radar by just contributing a lot. I'm open to voting Prism, but I would prefer voting Salsabil Faria, who stays out of suspicion for the same reason as Prism.In post 1056, Spartan117 wrote:I agree that is true but I don't see why he is even somewhat vindicated when he was being scumread before them interactions occurred, Floo how do you feel about Prism? Would you be willing to join a wagon on them today?- floo
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True, Sal mocked many scumreads/suspicion on her meaninglessly (like with emojis) while not necessarily refuting them.In post 1086, quiet wrote: Salsa, you get almost indignant with your posts sometimes when responding to people lobbing suspicion your way. Do you think that’s AI at all?
Spoiler:
It's irrationally defensive at best, arrogantly scummy at worst. The underlying thought process in any case is "I'm so towny, how could someone scumread me?"Yes, you're arrogant.
Ironically, you're outspokenly image-conscious as seen by the posts in the spoiler.In post 209, Salsabil Faria wrote:I second that. Not your vote but your explanation is suspicious : "to avoid seeming scummy"
VOTE: Salsabil Faria for now- floo
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Your gut reaction to a scumread is to do the exact same thing I scumread you for lmaoIn post 1123, Salsabil Faria wrote:In post 1108, floo wrote:
True, Sal mocked many scumreads/suspicion on her meaninglessly (like with emojis) while not necessarily refuting them.In post 1086, quiet wrote: Salsa, you get almost indignant with your posts sometimes when responding to people lobbing suspicion your way. Do you think that’s AI at all?
Spoiler:
It's irrationally defensive at best, arrogantly scummy at worst. The underlying thought process in any case is "I'm so towny, how could someone scumread me?"Yes, you're arrogant.
Ironically, you're outspokenly image-conscious as seen by the posts in the spoiler.In post 209, Salsabil Faria wrote:I second that. Not your vote but your explanation is suspicious : "to avoid seeming scummy"
VOTE: Salsabil Faria for now- floo
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Though this is a normal reaction. Unfortunately, you haven't said what you "like" about this scumread. Is it just that quiet is less harsh than me, or seems easier to convince? quiet seems to scumread you for your defensiveness (as this would not be a scumread if he saw "defensive towny vibes"), which is the same reason as mine. So you "like" the scumread that implies why in two words (defensive ... vibes) while you mock the more elaborate scumread with multiple quotes and accusations.In post 1124, Salsabil Faria wrote:In post 1113, quiet wrote:
So I'm jumping on the Salsa wagon today. Other wagons I'd consider: Prism, Floo, because I sure as hell aren't going to be able to sort them by reading them. No interest in a Fred vote today, I think enough people can eliminate that slot if my gut is wrong about that one without me. When I get a moment, I'm going to see if defensive towny vibes are a thing for Salsa generally, or if this is a deviation, because I'm still early enough in my mafia career to enjoy meta.
VOTE: SalsabilI like this. Though I don't have anything to say to you at the moment, if you have any question, ask please.
There are some recent Prism posts but I will post this before I read them.- floo
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Is there any change in Sal's posting style that makes you scumread her, or did you vote her upon reviewing her posts and finding that they were not as towny as you originally believed?In post 662, quiet wrote:One such thing: Hi Salsa, nice to be here, you’re town asf.- floo
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Is being dismissive really towny or NAI? There's a line between "the scumreads on me don't matter, I'll just hunt for scum" versus "the people who scumread me are stupid." I'm seeing the latter from Salsabil Faria.
I took a negative tone because I knew she was more prone to being baited into a fight as you call it, I wouldn't do the same to a calmer player who reasons it out rather than yelling with GIFs and emojis. Sal is baiting me too into a fight, either intentionally or not, by responding to a harsh and serious accusation flippantly. This only makes me want to pressure her further, which I did, consciously accepting the risk of growing bitterness. Is a dismissive and flippant attitude appropriate anymore?
I have to admit I didn't read Spartan/quiet/Prism because I didn't feel like doing it in the pre-hammer days and didn't have time to on the day of my final reads. At least in part I formed reads on other players first because of their lower post volume/length. I take responsibility for my laziness as a negative for the town. I'm still alive though, and can make reads for the rest of the day on the players I didn't read on Day 1.- floo
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I'm trying to quote another game but I can't figure out how to (the server says something like "Forum is locked"), so I'll just post links to relevant posts from other games Sal has played. Newbie 2035 has no relevant posts to the current discussion, and Newbie 2042 is ongoing (I did not read that). Because the entire length of each one of these completed games is shorter than our Day One and Sal has mostly stayed under the radar as town, I have found only one relevant example.
Newbie 2039
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... #p12298058
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... #p12299804
In this game we see Salsabil responding to a bad accusation (I agree that triple posting is a bad reason for a scumread). She asks the accuser to substantiate their vote and, when the reason is stated, calls it out as a "crappy reason" and asks them to argue rationally. All while including elements of mocking/dismissiveness/flippantness (whatever you want to call it) mixed into her language. Big difference from this game.- floo
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I reread Sal's iso in more depth for info on her defensiveness. It's not that she doesn't respond to accusations, she does. But she uses overly defensive wording, and when a debate about a scumread on her gets dragged out enough, she uses an excuse of "I don't care" / "That's only your opinion" / "You're a hypocrite" / etc. This isn't comprehensive, but some things that I've taken note of. Note that the posts are out of chronological order.
flow trap interaction
544 reminds me of the arrogance that she will not be scumread. "I think I'm giving you everything which you need to prove me as a scum" and you'll soon figure you can't, is what she is saying. Inviting someone to write a scumread case against you (with a negative tone too) would be the opposite of what Sal wants considering her overall defensiveness. If she's town, it's an emotional reaction driven by anger to hammer in a point.
If she's scum, the best course of action is not responding at all. The reaction then is emotional or instinctive, ultimately irrational. I will read Sal’s interactions to see which emotions are at play. Towny emotions include a willingness to help other players amid debate, and sincere frustration. Scummy emotions include fear in that she prefers hiding away to talking, and overdefensiveness.
Regardless of whether she’s town or scum, I think the dismissive and flippant comments (using Prism’s wording) are a mental defense mechanism. Her style is to mock and dismiss negative comments in advance of a more serious response or using an excuse to avoid a conversation (which is itself for mental defense). Unfortunately, I haven’t found another game to see if this is natural for her.
544 doesn’t suggest towny helpfulness, as it is sarcastic and snarky. It reveals a fighting rather than talking attitude to a mid-D1 scumlean, which wouldn’t even put her close to the stake. It's overdefensive panicking - scummy.
553 responds to flow trap’s accusations in the same conversation as 544. Sal evades responding to flow trap’s questions about why her prior post might not make sense in terms of logic and clarity of ideas. She calls out flow trap for hypocrisy and uses this as an excuse to ignore.
Explaining her post could avoid flow trap’s scumread (and benefit town) for both town and scum Sal. There are two explanations for suboptimal play then: she realizes her post is scummy and prefers to avoid it entirely, or she is angry. The former explanation doesn’t seem likely since she could just apologize for her negative tone. It’s also hard to see why town would be so angry about someone just pointing out one weird post about them, so I think this is scum overdefensiveness too.
Enchant interaction + sidenote
413 is very defensive, calling Enchant "totally wrong" and accusing them of "twist[ing]/shad[ing]" her words. Even while Enchant was not the hot scumread, the wording of this post suggests that Enchant is Mafia manipulating the evidence rather than a possibly incorrect player who could be town or scum. This is definitely a retaliatory attitude that is not helpful for anyone who is trying to read her.
When flow trap calls Sal out for a "victim tone” (a good way to describe it), she responds by a GIF "I don't care" (416). Rather than apologize as town for counterproductive tone, she shuts down further discussion. Her fear of being scumread is stronger than her motivation to scumhunt. Pointing out one scummy thing in an overall townread could anger her, which is actually the case with the response to EZ’s townread in 523.
Final Notes
At the time I started being rude to Sal (1108), as explained, I took the negative tone because I noticed Sal’s overdefensiveness and emotionality (if that’s a word). I would never have done this to a player who would counter me rationally and calmly, which I’d expect everyone else alive to do (except flow trap, who I townread anyway).
I don’t want to comment on her interactions with me today, as I still want to see how they play out.- floo
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1. 553 is calling flow trap a hypocrite. Whether you're town or scum, you're avoiding discussion.
2. I got the feeling that "the people who scumread me are stupid" by your negative tones directed toward other players, in different phases of the game and of different experiences.
We have two choices. We can either:
a. continue our shouting match
b. discuss civilly
Please choose one.- floo
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Let's walk back to safebet222 first before I read quiet.
46 shows seriousness before even post 50, asking about player motivations (including OMGUS). safebet222 had been consistently more serious than flow trap despite both posting in short sentences.
86 to 91 progression is reaction testing as admitted in 99, but it has two intentions. Some players only think it was for the pressure; I also noticed that safebet222 states in 91 that he's proving a point that the Enchant wagon is harmless. The ensuing discussion benefited town, and as stated, scum wouldn't want that attention. I'll rate this only as slightly town-suggesting because it's still a strange move with possible layers of reverse logic.
safebet took the time to analyze reactions to his E-1 maneuver, defending it, along with looking at the wagon itself. He used this info to form 129's reads. This is towny, helping solve the puzzle and moving it into the mid-phase of D1. 144 might seem scummy in isolation because it looks like he just wants a wagon, but it's only a logical next step from a scumread.
345 is backtracking. Not because EZ pointed out that pair analysis was of little worth, but because EZ was too insistent on complaining to be scum even while being sussed for it. At that point it looked like the potential for an EZ wagon dried up though, and Prism's point is a good excuse to backtrack. Could be genuine, could be an excuse. NAI for me, but it shows safebet's (at least apparent) commitment to good logic and tells for reading regardless of his alignment.
459 Read list makes logical and genuine points for 5 players, but 3 reads look like putting a square peg into a round hole. Fred is nulled (not scumleaned!) for being "aloof and cryptic," while this is a reason to scumread flow trap. Even while it's mentioned that Fred has more experience than flow trap, so being aloof and cryptic should be more scummy for Fred.
You could get away with saying flow trap was "fake at hell" at the time, but flow trap has kept up his style the whole game. Doesn't seem fake anymore. What it really misses, though, is that flow trap is sophomoric (as in having some experience, but not enough to be truly "experienced"), and some anti-town/arrogant behavior mixed with genuine gamesolving is typical of this kind of player. Should have been nulled then.
An EZ read after the previously expressed EZ townread, is conveniently avoided because he posted a Pepe. The logic of the offensiveness isn't right. The ABC article quoted saying it's a hate symbol also says that Pepe's creation was not hateful - it's "a ubiquitous internet meme," and was only "hijacked" and "repurposed." Indeed, "its usage does not appear limited to promoting hate." Asking for a "policy elim" for this - really? I'm not defending EZ's use of Pepe, I'm just saying safebet overreacted. This is probably just safebet going too angry to think properly. It could be an excuse not to read EZ, but there's really no harm in an EZ townread. NAI in itself but just wanted to point this faulty read.
(I have been thinking that scum wanting to replace wouldn't post a full playerlist read. But there's about 16 hours between when safebet made his read list and final post to the replacement announcement - meaning that the replacement was probably sudden and not planned ahead. This isn't a town or scum tell in any way then.)
Of course every town has misconceptions or uses faulty logic at some point. safebet's other reads are logical though, so this seems more like just a slip-up rather than a calculated manipulation of reasoning. Overall I'd lean town on this slot before quiet replaced in.- floo
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On to quiet's actual posts. This is shorter than my read on safebet22. My read on quiet is more based on his posts in comparison and as a whole rather than individual ones (as with safebet).
662 looks like part gutread. quiet explains it's also based on common towntells as in 663 1163, mainly posting quality. Keep in mind that high posting quality can be replicated by scum. Gut feeling and posting quality are the easiest reasons to say you townread someone, but I don't see any particular scum incentive for this - you need to keep your options open for pushes, even if it doesn't like right now like Prism or Sal will be pushed. NAI but important to note for quiet's reads strategy.
Talking Enchant out of the defeatist mentality while simultaneously voting and scumreading them is the major thing quiet did on D1. This can be easily faked as scum for town cred. I haven't seen anything particular in his comments that's AI - nothing particularly towny that scum wouldn't do, or posts/votes that seem out of place.
742 reversing safebet's flow trap scumread is only logical. The other reads have good reasons. For quiet it's hard to tell if it's sincere town or insincere Mafia, but there's been no poorly argued reads. From 757, the reads have stayed consistent with changes in them happening at a natural pace. Asking questions and being open to analyzing former and recent posts is another "standard" towntell that goes toward quiet.
832, pressuring flow trap to vote Enchant, is a break from 707. You're implying in 707 that you want as much information as possible - wouldn't you want players to naturally vote Enchant, rather than forcing a mere scumleaner to vote? In your place with the same strategy in mind, I would have tried to force out reads on Enchant from players who had been reluctant to read them (Fred and Sal come to mind). Even a simple question like "do you think this post is more scum or town?" would have been more useful. I get why you didn't want to prolong the day (1000). Fred and Sal explicitly stated that they have no read on Enchant (no null read though?) and instead lukewarmly tried to vote each other (the fact that they didn't push hard to vote each other even while they thought each other were better kills than Enchant, makes me suspect potential bussing; take this with a grain of salt because I haven't thought about this thoroughly, and I could be factually wrong). But the break from the information seeking pattern to "just end this madness" seems too sudden to me without a fuller explanation of this. Slightly scummy post.
922 is helping town. Asking flow trap to contribute more and be less scummy decreases the chance of any push on them; it's not worth another helpful post for towncred. Directing Sal from flow trap to Enchant only helps town too, as a flow-Sal conflict would be far more damaging to town than just another misled Enchant voter. One of the towniest quiet posts in my opinion.
Would scum fake standard towntells like contribution and helpfulness? Not much indication of this. I'd expect a scum quiet to have been scumread pushing harder on day 1 and not looking for town tells as often. In conclusion, a pretending scum is possible, but I haven't seen a behavior that would strongly suggest that. Town lean on quiet himself, town lean on the former safebet.
At this time I have only read quiet's ISO up to 922 for time purposes. Will need to read more later, but my read won't change much. Nor have I read spartan's post above.- floo
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Finishing my quiet read. My gut has been telling me safebet/quiet are town this whole game, if nothing else for an honestly informative tone. Thus my read might be flawed due to confirmation bias, in particular missing LAMIST or subtly manipulative posts. I assume it's not though, unless someone can point out my own reading flaws.
Brief question
925 says quiet does not think the scumteam is Fred + Enchant. Contradicts other posts, as at this time quiet was voting and scumreading Enchant and in the same post placing suspicion on Fred. There's no reason stating why quiet believes this, so there's not enough info for this to be AI. @quiet, please elaborate?
Enchant
Throughout the Enchant push, quiet is acknowledging the possibility that Enchant is town and this is a not very useful push. Their tone of their interactions with Enchant assume Enchant is town, which is a necessity for talking Enchant out of it. The problem is that quiet goes silent on scumreading Enchant afterwards, preferring to worry about Enchant flipping town. At this point quiet is treating Enchant like a policy elimination.
It's an easy way to blend in, but throughout the Enchant controversy wasn't setting up the town to "implode" (as Prism puts it). In fact, no one did this that comes to my mind; there isn't a blame game for Enchant which leads to votes because the Enchant wagon was uncontroversial. Off the top of my head:
- Enchant encouraged a self-wagon
- 4 other players voted Enchant
- I would have voted Enchant had the wagon not progressed so quickly
(That's 6/9 voters already)
- Two people (Fred + Sal) who explicitly had no read on Enchant without much explanation
I think there was that one player who thought Enchant was town but didn't defend them strongly. I can't check it right now.
Which makes me think scum was just letting the Enchant wagon run its course and get them an easy miselim while they set up further pushes by attacking other players. quiet himself (1046) acknowledges the wagon was a "policy elim" without a particularly scummy player being spotted. The only pushable "ringleader" was EZ with his 99.9...% confidence; pushing an widely scumread town that hard is too risky for scum anyway.
Back to the point, this means I can't call quiet's pushing of Enchant noticeably town or scum indicative.
D2
1086 is the start of when my and quiet's reads begin to match closely, even if I'm only relying on gut at that time for Prism and Spartan. The noticeable similarities are a strong flow trap townread, a Fredrick scumlean while preferring another (hopefully more useful) wagon. Scumreading Sal for the same reason as me (1113). It's a great place to pocket me honestly if I'm wrong - he could also follow my (mis)reads while I take the D3 heat because my scumreads are more assertive. Once again it's not certain this is a scumtell, but quiet is suspicious if Sal or another floo-led vote flips town.
Not pushing Fredrick because he's an easy miselim if town, I understand. My fear is that Sal's slot is town, and scum will push Fredrick (easy push) or me ("ringleader" of bad Sal vote) D3 as a final easy but divisive push. At that point, scum is using me perfectly - let's say flow trap knows I'm townreading him for NAI parts of his regular posting style, while quiet is pocketing me and using my reads as a Trojan Horse. My point: if Sal/fairy slot flips town, scum was playing differently with regards to the Enchant vote and the inactive D2 analytical posts than I am expecting - I will take this in mind and start my readlist anew.
1115 about the inactivity. Gut tells me scum is deliberately semi-active, setting up their near-final votes right now while waiting for the D2 finale and changing their final vote if necessary. You could calculate and compare the post rates/day of every player in the game if you wanted to. That would also be a reaction test to see which scums try to seem towny by posting more (unnaturally), but it's too late for that to work.
1154 Sal saying quiet is playing very different between D1 and D2, I don't agree. We still see an analytical player who admits his insecurity (D1, enchant may be town; D2, floo and prism may be scum), who doesn't get into conflict a lot or push his scumreads too hard, although he has many substantiated reads. LAMIST-esque posts seem like his natural style.
1160 quiet is missing the very real possibility of a hard push D2 (backed by useful idiot towns) -> easy Fred push D3 is a great scum strategy. When he redirects attention to other players, he talks more about how they would play as scum (and implies how he might scumread them) without comparing & contrasting with himself in detail. He says floo/Prism/Sal (the first two of which are townleans of his) are playing well if scum, fully admitting that those two townleans are flimsy effort reads (per 1113) and assumed (a better reason is found in 1163). Mediocre reasoning or evasion aimed toward deflecting a serious question, a scummy post.
That's all, I townlean quiet.
Other Stuff
I'll try to read Prism and Spartan soon, but here's what my gut is telling me:
- Spartan and Prism lean town (I have not formally read any of them yet)
- At least one scum was off the Enchant wagon, good chance both - at least one team member distanced themselves from the entire Enchant affair to set up future misvotes (I explained some careful thinking to back it up)
- Spartan vs Fredrick is town vs scum, and there is one scum on each side of the wagon (i.e. one partner is vote bussing; this is a wild guess)
- if you haven't guessed where this leads, Frederick + Sal is the most likely scumteam in terms of individual probability of being scum (i.e. two scummiest players) as well as plausible strategy/interactions (I don't count on this being correct though, I'm focused on getting just one scum today)
Based on my experience in chat mafia my gut is only a little better than random chance, but I just wanted to share my thoughts.- floo
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In post 1186, Prism wrote:I don't think the very carefully curated posts from floo are as town as you think they are.
I'll save judgment on the essay until I see it but the initial reasoning I do not like at all, nor much of floo's play around the stronger slots.
"Very carefully curated" might describe my early D1 posts because I was a chat player going into forum mafia, relieved to be able to post in higher quality. I realized by D2 that I don't have all the time in the world for very carefully thought out, well-written posts. Now I say a lot of whatever's on my mind.In post 1221, quiet wrote: Floo, I also am going to need some more reads on the rest of the room. Just top of your head. Bonus points for a response to the Prism quote I pulled.
@Prism If you don't like my initial reasoning, you can respond to my essay. Specifically why you don't think there's a fearing scum undercurrent in Sal's posts.- floo
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Hello, I'll get right to the point.In post 1258, fairyprincess69 wrote:hey guys! not quite sure how replacing into a game at this stage is gonna go, but i figured id give it a shot to test myself. i was decently confident of my slot being town based on a quick skim of the last few pages - i felt her frustration at not being understood and her decision to leave abruptly was coming from a town's POV. i'd much rather replace into town than scum, so yeah.
how would you guys like me to approach this? read through the whole thread first or provide reads bit by bit? im thinking the former will be less annoying, but i'd like to ask questions about the early stages of the game even if it's from like 2 weeks ago. tell me wat ya think.
VOTE: quiet this dude's maf btw
I haven't reacted to Sal quitting the game because reading quiet/Prism/Spartan would be more important than talking to a non-replaced slot. What's really strange is that your predecessor decided to leave the game just because one player was mean to her. She's playing Mafia, a serious conflict-driven game, shouldn't she expect this to happen to her one day. There's an official site post (forgot where) that tells you that rough conflicts and insults are to be expected.
quiet's scumread and vote on Sal was less elaborately reasoned, but I believe he was a factor. Sal scumread quiet as her last read statement - the two possible reasons she gave were LAMIST (explicit, worse reason) and the scumread on her (implicit, better reason). The problem was that she refused to scumread me, she was acting more like "f u" than "you're scum." The exams might have played a part, in that she couldn't write a full refutation of my reasoning and instead resorted to a short rant, but she would have at least expected herself to have some activity.
I'd like you to post some short gutreads. I'm most interested in your reads on quiet (if you sincerely scumread him) and me (to sort out the conflict).- floo
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Yesterday was busier than I expected. responding to some recent posts (starting at page 50) first.
1226 and succeeding posts: Fred forced to maintain his appearance of being lazy if scum, and has committed to no effort if town. Asking questions is the best way to get info from Fred at this point, especially yes/no ones that can be answered in seconds.
@Frederick A Campbell please explain whatever reads come to your mind in 5ish words each? Even if you don't have the time to respond to follow up questions, just having the basic reasons is useful to everyone. A brief "Lurking, evades my questions" is far more useful than no explanation.
Typing up some follow up posts quickly.- floo
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@Prism the point you're missing is that I find the main emotion in Sal's posts to be fear. A reaction is not evidence of fear in itself; however when you have longer posts suggest a fear emotion, then it is plausible for those kind of reactions to be fear motivated. Compare a post like 426 from flow trap, these kind of short reactions don't ever mean anything in themselves. They're important when taken as a collective. They're very important when compared to other types of posts to look at the underlying motives and emotions.
1264 The reason to call me low effort, for Prism, is not seeing a reason to scumread the fairy slot while my townreads aren't impressive. Prism is making it sound like Sal was obvious town, in that pushing her, even having a wrong read, would make me scum. If you don't think Sal is an obvious enough townread for that, the other reason to scumread me is my tone. What difference is there between sounding angry or mocking at times between the former Sal and me?
Yes, I was reaction baiting. How much though? I'll look back at my former posts. 1108 wasn't thought out too carefully. If I had explained "arrogance" and "image-consciousness" more thoroughly, it would not have been openly provocative. It would have taken an analytical tone, even if that sounds brutally honest. I didn't really feel the need to explain those points, as I expected Sal to talk it out more rather than ignoring it even if only one sentence. I was trying to see what she would do with it, how she proves she's not being arrogant or image-conscious without too much evidence to refute, or admitting it herself.
1127 is the one post designed to reaction bait the most. I didn't expect sal to respond to my scumread with literally the same thing I scumread her for. I have to admit it was quickly thought out and written poorly. I should have taken a less combative tone like "OK, you're doing the same thing I scumread you for. In retrospect do you think you were acting arrogantly? etc" I knew a fight would happen though, but only predicted that it would continue for 3 or less days before it evolved into a less acrimonious discussion. A net negative considering what happened afterwards. I couldn't have foreseen the sub.
The rest of my posts elaborating on my read are like 1108, attempting to be objectively analytical. I prioritized building my case with reasoning over making sure another player's mental state (which broke down unexpectedly quickly and hard) was temporarily stable.
1204 is like 1127, I would agree it's a combative tone. I wrote it in ~15 seconds. 1127 not an irrational decision in retrospect, but learning from 1127, 1204 was a clear mistake.
1212 After half an hour I realized I was taking this too far. I tried to rectify the situation as quickly as possible, and I thought the post in itself implied I'd calm down. My move was decent, if I could improve it there I'd apologize and promise to calm down explicitly.
BTW I again prioritized solving the puzzle (i.e. my reads) over communications (e.g. by expressing remorse like Prism has suggested). I didn't feel a need to go , it's not how I play commenting my feelings at every twist and turn of the game. I'm at high risk for death now though so you got your apology.
TLDR I explained my perception of the events that led to Prism scumreading me. I still consider the slot the best scumread push for today (unless I review further and discover a scummier player) and believe that pushing her was the right move to make. I do apologize, however, for rash words that over-escalated the situation and know I should have de-escalated the situation quicker.- floo
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1266 I agree being upset is not a scumtell. But being overly upset in response to inconsequential matters is a scumtell. And acting really upset in a way that seems unnatural (i.e. refusing to scumread me while saying I'm playing well if scum but horribly if town, which would be a scumtell in her eyes) is also suspicious.
1269 @Prism just to be sure, are you 100% confident I'm scum? I've explained what you're getting wrong about my point.
also 1270 @Fredrick wild gut guess, take it with a grain of salt.- floo
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My point is Enchant is a forced vote on D1/D2, and if Enchant flips Mafia Fredrick is the probable partner. Enchant is mildly scummy but not certain Mafia. Fredrick is still suspicious if Enchant flips Town, though I would look into other players.In post 1357, fairyprincess69 wrote: find this post (1005) weird because it's essentially an indictment of Frederick, not of Enchant. the language he uses here ("if Enchant is Mafia, they are playing very poorly.") ("Enchant would probably not be hammered soon")("I want an Enchant vote, even just for the information.") seems to imply Enchant is a townlean overall, and he's only scum in relation to Frederick. why he doesn't just make a case on and push Fred i'm not sure. It also makes no sense for Fred to be partnered with Enchant here - he's completely AWOL from the thread and would likely be targeted tomorrow if Enchant was his scum partner. but i can see that as being a difference of opinion since EZ thought the same thing. we can see from 1014 that Enchant really is a scumread, so why all the psuedo-defending in 1005? why not jsut say yes i think this guy is mafia and we should vote him?
im pretty sure this read is a load of crap by me since it's nearly 6am and i can barely think straight but i just wanted to get something out on floo
A takeaway from the wagon is what scum did instead. There's little to be gained in being another Enchant pusher, far more to gain in setting pushes on other players.- floo
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I don't recognize this slot and CTRL+F isn't helping me either, anyone can explain?In post 1362, shadowslug wrote:
How are you on spartan?In post 1360, Prism wrote:Alright, I'm up and moving, making some coffee and then circling back.
Where are people at atm? Who are you willing to vote? We can't have the game go dead right before deadline. I'd be willing to compromise on Frederick if I have to, but I'm not really thrilled about it esp. since he's voting floo.- floo
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Still scumleaning fairy. Fredrick vote is forced later in the game; how Fredrick eventually votes will inform my final read going from null to an outright scumread.In post 1380, Prism wrote:hi floo
who are your top vote candidates atm, do you still scumread fairy?
Thinking about Spartan and Prism. Reasons to scumread Spartan might include avoiding Enchant and pushing Fredrick without thought for other players, and I will think about this.
Prism looks really bad if I'm voted out today. I think Prism being scum only makes sense if Fairy is scum though. I'm not scumleaning Prism atm, but I find that becoming more annoyed, stressed, and determined on single-handedly saving the town creates a good excuse for leading a miselim. - floo
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