Open 804: Popcorn Mafia Redux [Game Over!]
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- Dunnstral
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Based on what, 11 and 15?In post 16, Netflix and Chill wrote:You also wouldn't be my first choice for a shot anyways.
Or do you already have an idea of what type of person you want to shoot?
You don't have to answer me- Dunnstral
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When I replaced inIn post 98, Imperium wrote:
Are you comparing me to the beginning of last game or at about page 30 when you replaced in?In post 89, Dunnstral wrote:VOTE: Norfolk Boy1
My scumreads are norfolk and Imperium
Norfolk had strange/lamisty posts
Imperium is playing different from when they were town/they have a lot of filler and it makes me feel bad about them- Dunnstral
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Do you want my opinion on this?In post 95, Netflix and Chill wrote:
Wheme this question is for youIn post 88, Netflix and Chill wrote:If you were scum how would you approach choosing the first gunbearer?
Ninja
Hi Cakez- Dunnstral
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Realistically the first gunbearer is going to die at some pointIn post 108, Netflix and Chill wrote:Feel free.
After this point town gets to choose all the gunbearers (unless godfather is hit)
So by choosing you they've made it so you'll die at some point- Dunnstral
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Is this your list of who you think picks you or something else?In post 125, Netflix and Chill wrote:Assuming no secret alts?
You Cakez dunn Norfolk. The former three have seen me in pretty dead on games. Norfolk lost to town me (we were competing day one wagons and he died)- Dunnstral
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What lists?In post 131, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:It might be instructive to see the other half of both hydras add their lists (unless they both combined their lists already), and make this page a nice easy one-stop-shop for scumhunting after a red flip or two narrows things down.- Dunnstral
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I don't like the dig at meIn post 137, SirCakez wrote:
This post kinds of bothers me. It feels like STT felt they needed to comment on all of the "major" things that happened. When that's not really ever a necessary thing to do.In post 134, ScrewTheTells wrote:Hi all.
FOS Norfolk. Their 2 posts so far are slightly scummy, and also going silent after people pointed this out makes it even more suspicious. Could be explained by timezones or whatever but, that's some bayesian evidence imo.
I initially thought Imperium scummy because their early posts were fluffy to the point of spam-like, which reduces readability, which I don't see why town would do. But they seemed to post more substance after the first couple pages.
MUSHSHAGANA seemed town initially because they put in a lot of apparent effort, but I really don't like the reasoning against Whemestar. My understanding is that MUSHSHA's argument is that Whemestar is playing like a bad town. It just so happens that with these game mechanics, a bad town isn't really good strategy for scum to imitate, outside of WIFOM. So I don't understand their suspicion on Wheme.
I think some people said they read Dunnstral as town? I don't get why.
I lean town on Wheme for reasons related to the interaction with MUSHSHA mentioned above.
Anyone else I haven't mentioned are either lurkers or haven't caught my attention in any direction yet. Normally lynching lurkers isn't bad at all. Not sure if shooting is good though.
Regarding mechanics: yeah I agree with MUSHSHA's point that we should not try to make this game emulate one with normal votes and lynches. If we shoot the most suspicious person it kind of has a double benefit: either we get scum or the wrong read gets confirmed as town.- Dunnstral
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I agreed with this until I remembered 121In post 139, Imperium wrote:I don’t think I’ve posted anything of substance.- Dunnstral
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Who said that?In post 160, Norfolk Boy1 wrote:Anyone suggesting a committee or that votes should decide the shot is a scum candidate for me.- Dunnstral
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I don't understand what you're getting at.In post 163, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:I really don't care about who does this (the participants can even do it themselves, I /really/ don't care), but I'd like to get opinions on the Dunn/Imperium interactions in general. There's a couple of them and they have some actual substance to them. I have my own thoughts, but I'd like to see what other people have to say. FTR, I'm not looking for alignment related opinions, just trying to figure out what other people see happening there.
Yeah.
The middle of their post is grandstanding about something that didn't happenIn post 170, SirCakez wrote:
Another bad Norfolk postIn post 160, Norfolk Boy1 wrote:I'm not digging ScrewTheTells jumping in and claiming it's suspicious that i'm not posting when it's Sunday night in the UK.
Anyone suggesting a committee or that votes should decide the shot is a scum candidate for me.
The only confirmed town is Netflix, so Netflix should decide.
They're basically saying don't scumhunt, it's netflix's job.- Dunnstral
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I have trouble seeing how you can townread enough people to poe him out at this point in timeIn post 224, WhemeStar wrote:Its more like he plays the same every game he is in and I townread a lot of people currently so he is probably not town.
I'm not scumreading Duchess right now, I'd save there because there seems to be some considerationIn post 237, Netflix and Chill wrote:Let’s play a game.
Everyone can save three people who do you save and why?
At this point in time it's hard for me to come up with three people to save vs people I'm lukewarm about and don't really care
Rlotus is gut towny, no this isn't a very strong read
MUSHAGANA feels like town/out of their scum range, but I don't know them or how they play. It just feels like this is them as town.- Dunnstral
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There's no point in keeping things a secret.In post 282, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Meanwhile, there's exactly and precisely one shot I'd take. But I'll keep that out of sight unless you actually want it.
I read it that way because you said I shouldn't be townread but didn't offer any other thoughtsIn post 295, ScrewTheTells wrote:For Dunnstral: Why was it a "dig"? I genuinely want to know why some players said they had a town read, because I don't have that read. Why do you think I was digging at you?
I may have been quick on the draw in coming to conclusions
Like what?In post 295, ScrewTheTells wrote:On the other hand, MUSH's scumhunting effort is also convincing at face value, but this is overshadowed by the actual logic of some of what he has said, which I don't think is very town-like logic, which makes me think he's just good at faking effort.- Dunnstral
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It's easy to bus in this setupIn post 302, unwnd wrote:The newbie game we played he sorta just said 'yeah I'll self-vote to resolve myself' after being run up. Energy isn't something he relies upon, maybe that's evident in just his avatar alone. How do you think partners would be treating right now in a hypothetical situation of scum?
You don't actually have to pressure with a vote- Dunnstral
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Scum aren't in a position to act even if you reveal secret information, you're just hiding things from town at this pointIn post 317, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:There's plenty of points in keeping things a secret right now. For example, doing so lets me know that you don't like that I did it and want me to stop.
I'm just saying.- Dunnstral
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Just a feeling. This feels like a town playerIn post 328, Netflix and Chill wrote:
How can you say they're out of their scum range if you don't know how they play?In post 315, Dunnstral wrote:MUSHAGANA feels like town/out of their scum range, but I don't know them or how they play. It just feels like this is them as town.
Maybe this read is dumb- Dunnstral
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I'm also reading you as not wanting to put in big effort in this setupIn post 368, unwnd wrote:
I think what you perceive to be scummy just turns into mutual disagreement. I find myself saying this more often but it does remain to be true. I think some things Norfolk has done is scummy, I pointed out one instance when I was explaining why I advocated his shot. I don't thinkIn post 334, Imperium wrote:I don't like unwnd's posts regarding this at all. We're two days in the start of a two-week deadline with not even 20 pages in. It's super misguided and kinda scummy to be advocating for a shot here right now for slanker shot. We have no idea whether or not norfolk will start actually posting, but based on previous games he should regardless of alignment. If he's scum, we get oh look everyone thought he was scum but no associatives to speak of, and we potentially go right into one of us eating a night kill before any impact can be made, which means we're not too far ahead.everyonethinks he's scum actually, if I were accounting based on Ctrl+F who-mentioned-norfolk-as-good-shot it'd be like.. 3 people. First: What do I gain as scum to advocate a shot on someone like this so strongly. Secondly: You answered you didn't know how scum would be treating him so. Where does the connection lie with me being scummy/misguided, and does this equate to you believing he's town?
Which is fair, the 14 day deadline is overkill too- Dunnstral
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We're thinking of different gamesIn post 384, Imperium wrote:
I don't!In post 382, Dunnstral wrote:I think after last game saying 'just shoot norfolk' is very reasonable from unwnd- Dunnstral
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I meant from recent posts, not your iso, you shouldn't feel offendedIn post 388, unwnd wrote:
Actually this offends me, I'm trying much harder this game because it's at a readable pace and I don't have to skim to the point I get fucking bored. My reads feel much more concrete and these past towngames either one or two things have happenedIn post 377, Dunnstral wrote:
I'm also reading you as not wanting to put in big effort in this setupIn post 368, unwnd wrote:
I think what you perceive to be scummy just turns into mutual disagreement. I find myself saying this more often but it does remain to be true. I think some things Norfolk has done is scummy, I pointed out one instance when I was explaining why I advocated his shot. I don't thinkIn post 334, Imperium wrote:I don't like unwnd's posts regarding this at all. We're two days in the start of a two-week deadline with not even 20 pages in. It's super misguided and kinda scummy to be advocating for a shot here right now for slanker shot. We have no idea whether or not norfolk will start actually posting, but based on previous games he should regardless of alignment. If he's scum, we get oh look everyone thought he was scum but no associatives to speak of, and we potentially go right into one of us eating a night kill before any impact can be made, which means we're not too far ahead.everyonethinks he's scum actually, if I were accounting based on Ctrl+F who-mentioned-norfolk-as-good-shot it'd be like.. 3 people. First: What do I gain as scum to advocate a shot on someone like this so strongly. Secondly: You answered you didn't know how scum would be treating him so. Where does the connection lie with me being scummy/misguided, and does this equate to you believing he's town?
Which is fair, the 14 day deadline is overkill too
1) I die literally n1 for some reason
2) Wait that's it- Dunnstral
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In post 548, unwnd wrote:I forgot Dunn and NM
Cakez
STT
Mush
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RLotus
Imperium
Wheme
Dunn
N_M
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Norfolk
Rockhopper
Duchess
I'm at:
Mush
STT
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RLotus
Duchess
Imperium
Cakez
Unwnd
N_M
Rockhopper
--
Wheme
Norfolk- Dunnstral
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Can you share them before you fire, in case you die?In post 558, Netflix and Chill wrote:Also, Notty and I have other shared scumreads so we are probably shooting one of those.- Dunnstral
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Why?In post 573, WhemeStar wrote:Dunn read list is bad- Dunnstral
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I'd need to take a closer look at the push itselfIn post 594, Imperium wrote:Definitely not loving the way that Lotus is pushing Duchess.
I was focused on Duchess reaction which seemed fine
I don't understand Unwnd' read there- Dunnstral
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It's a high effort = town sort of read from me.In post 613, Netflix and Chill wrote:Why does everyone townread Mush?
I do think she made some good points. There's a lot of stuff I admittedly haven't read because it started getting wordy and into analysis I really wasn't interested in- Dunnstral
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No
Near the top is townleans, near the bottom is scumleans- Dunnstral
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I'm open for reconsideration. I do like their posts so far, I don't see how what happened in death curse is relevant here though since they're different people. To be clear, I'm not familiar with what happened in death curse.In post 643, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Oh, and one more thing. Anyone who townreads STT, I'm going to be looking through the lists. I would very much like you to explain yourselves. In great, exhaustive detail. Really beat the hell out of your belief that STT is town, /challenge yourself/, because I will throw down a /solid/ wager that you are wrong. Say, winner gets to control the loser's first shot when they inevitably get the gun (because this is gonna look /real/ bad for whoever is wrong, and they shouldn't trust themselves to hit shit anyway). I'm not joking or exaggerating, STT looks awful here, and you can check Death Curse to see that I'm right. ISO Zdenek, and Ctrl+F "MUSH". Recognize that Zdenek was replaced by Frederick A Campbell, who was our very first scum kill in Death Curse, and opened the door to red flip city. I am putting my bet down, I want anyone who thinks I'm wrong to put their money where their mouth is and/or eat lead.
I did like STT's posts, starting from the second one. The way he is looking at norfolk being above baseline for scum resonates with me- Dunnstral
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Yes I agreeIn post 699, WhemeStar wrote:
That’s why I said we need someone to get shotIn post 697, Dunnstral wrote:I think we've entered the part of the game where people are arguing in circles about the same things
Would like Netflix and Chill to share their reads before shooting, even if it's right before they shoot- Dunnstral
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What does this mean?In post 716, Netflix and Chill wrote:I’m currently wrestling with my stack rank not accounting for me getting the gun and that concerns me a ton.- Dunnstral
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I think it's reasonably likely to hit town as well. Not sure that it's aIn post 720, unwnd wrote:I think Tammycho is a bad shot and I'd be willing to explain it if you want me tobadshot though- Dunnstral
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So the swing to Rtlotus came out of nowhere for me when I was reading, all I remember previously is someone pointing to not liking their push on Duchess
I'm not really seeing a progression from Unwnd here, for example.
I am going to advocate that we shoot Norfolk Boy next. I understand that you scumread Duchess - we should talk more about this, I think Norfolk has a high likelihood of being scum here and each new post they make is just bad, bluntly.
It's important to think about what scum are doing here. Do they get into 1v1s with someone who is town... or do they play back and avoid making waves? There's a lot of people right now who don't have big opinions, or are scumreading someone who is likely to shoot elsewhere (looking at cakez scumreads here).
I'm not sure that 96 whole hours is necessary, but at least 48 would be nice- Dunnstral
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I don't mind the timing of the shot, but I feel like the target came out of left field and we didn't really talk about it and then they shotIn post 784, Imperium wrote:
They said they were shooting but I didn’t realize they meant right then.In post 782, WhemeStar wrote:i didnt even see it and was so confused on why trhread was locked
There were people egging that shot on. Unwnd what do you mean that rllotus shot helps you resolve duchess? If duchess is your top scumspect I don't understand why you go for rllotus there- Dunnstral
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This and the stuff following it is a good pointIn post 778, Nachomamma8 wrote:For one, the bolded in the above quote freaks me the fuck out because of the magnitude of the swing.- Dunnstral
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You and Imperium.In post 791, unwnd wrote:
...Like who?In post 790, Dunnstral wrote:There were people egging that shot on.
You because of what you wrote, Imperium because they suddenly brought up nacho's suspicion on rtlotus right when Netflix and Chill was saying they were thinking about shooting- Dunnstral
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You're speaking like a politician right nowIn post 789, unwnd wrote:
Where in any of my posts did it say that I thought he was scum, all I mentioned that is that the shot would be 'interesting'In post 787, Dunnstral wrote:I'm not really seeing a progression from Unwnd here, for example.- Dunnstral
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How does rtlotus being town clear up the gamestate?In post 797, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:That shot was solid for cleaning the gamestate up fast- Dunnstral
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At this point people are saying I'm not posting a lot to mess with me. How do you bring me up after wheme, not mafia, stt, while talking to norfolk, and I'm the one who's not posting?In post 796, Imperium wrote:What's your previous experience with Rockhopper? Is it multiple games or just one?
Do you have anything that bothers you about Duchess other than what Lotus pointed out? What bothers you about Wheme?
Why is Not Mafia "reserved" instead of "lurkfucking"?
Could you rephrase your STT suspicion for me again? What are your opinions on Dunnstral - I know he hasn't posted a lot but what do you think of the positions that he's taken in the game thus far?
I am posting.- Dunnstral
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No but it doesn't make sense to me. If nobody had hard reads on them, how does this help?In post 803, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Get in line, Wheme. STT goes first.
PEDIT: Dunn, I literally explained it in the same fucking post dude. Do not play these games with me.- Dunnstral
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I don't think answering this question falls within the scope of my argumentIn post 809, Imperium wrote:And I think it's pretty natural to give opinions on the gunbearer's preferred target after he reveals it - fuck else would you want us to do?- Dunnstral
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I'm going to need pointed examples of what was cleared up and what it means for the town.In post 812, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Because now we know all of Lotus's interactions were genuine, this gives us meat to dig into their interactions with and see if the other side of them looks genuine as well. Stop being deliberately obtuse.
PEDIT: Aimed at Dunn. Seriously, this is some bullshit aimed at demoralizing and creating chaos in the town. Someone else has to see this, tell me I'm not alone.
Stop accusing me of demoralizing the town, I'm clearly not doing that- Dunnstral
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Probably 2, honestly. That doesn't mean there's can't be some scum who are active this game.In post 816, unwnd wrote:I definitely see it MUSH, it was such an angled read on two people who just happen to be there at the time Netflix shot his gun off. Let me spin this however, what do you feel is more likely Dunn
1) Two potential scum "egging on" a shot from the gunbearer
2) Scum sitting back and letting town misfire into themselves while playing hero the moment the bullet is fired
I'm not saying you and imperium are both scum. I don't even think it's imperium, I think you're kind of suspect this game, in the sense that you'd be something like my fifth or sixth most preferred shot in a game with five scum - Dunnstral
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