i think i remember something similar to this thread (or maybe this thread's prelude) existing somewhere else and some people asking some pretty good questions that maybe could be answered. here are a few of my prior beliefs, though:
- On a day 1 elimination wagon on scum, other scum are more likely to be at the end of the wagon (and possibly slightly less likely but still >rand to be at the very start of the wagon)
- In 9 player games, scum are almost never on day 1 scum elimination wagons
- This one might be hard to test—In games where multiple scum members are being voted early on (essentially they have been "caught" early in the game), they will be more likely to vote each other (i.e crossvote).