[phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/ext/alfredoramos/seometadata/event/listener.php on line 114: Undefined array key 13027802 [phpBB Debug] PHP Warning: in file [ROOT]/ext/alfredoramos/seometadata/event/listener.php on line 114: Trying to access array offset on value of type null Slaughter Hour: The Grand Debut! | Fin - Mafiascum.net
so yeah I finished reading earlier today - I replaced in sunday, read all of event 1/2 with reads of Prism & Dwlee look town and skitter looked slightly scummy, then pointed out that that 'oh shit there are 3 days til deadline GET PASSIONATE MY FRIENDS', then everyone showed up between me going to sleep on sunday and noonish monday to nom Infinity with Gamma Emerald vehemently objecting.
current reads are like
probtown: dwlee, Gypxyx, Ulyana
slightly town to varying degrees: Taly, Cakez, peta, Gemerald
scummish: Infinity, Toog, Saber, Ydrasse
fight me scummo: Skitter
maybe don't put too much faith into the middle chunks yet but that's where I'm at for now
SKITTER can you give me like a timeline/summary of who you were suspecting and how strongly through events 1-3? (also I might just call them days 1 and 2 later because that feels correct to me)
also there is zero chance I can keep up with this hyperposting
I'm gonna try to finish up a bit of work for an hour and change and I'll be back in like 2 hours or so
Like 2 scum van just be aligned on wanting one person + any given townie would have made the 'nomming' wagon and that just didn't happen
And the lines that split the pt were just really weird and complex and idk didn't really feel like people were working together
There's prob like 1 tho cuz i dont think all scum were with u guys either
Also i do think there's something weird going on in taly/dwlee
Pedit @ydra
Why would scum need to? Scum working together or seeming like they're working together in the PT seems actively bad and if there are two scum in Pink that means they only have to not nom a single person in blue team. and if all 3 scum were in pink obv they don't have to give a shit about the nom at all.
@peta - you went over some Dunn+Taly thoughts in the PT, I'm interested in your prior thoughts on Taly pre-Dunn flip - was there anything in particular you had in mind in regards to Taly before the flip or was your read on him not particularly deep (something like "has good posts seems fine for now")
I'm very likely voting for infinity to die over peta
I do want to bug skitter and infinity some before that tho so if ya'll can hold off on starting the vote until I have time to post in a couple hours and they can respond I'd appreciate it. Also Saber should post like at least once before we start it? Several people going "Saber was scummy and dropped out of the PT convo" followed by silence followed by "Saber is being replaced" during the voting or the next event would be a dumb thing to happen
In post 3644, Dwlee99 wrote:You're worried about scum manipulation so you want us to let scum pick who dies. Homie
I’m near certain this is basically scum’s wet dream for how this event is going. My idea was to force scum to tip their hand. I feel like their choice would help confirm or deny certain theories about what’s going on. It’s not like the scum would be able to rock the vote unless they were all in the blue room basically.
my dude
I know you've got a strong town read on infinity from what you said in the blue PT and you're concerned about scum doing and/or getting away with some bullshit b/c you got ignored and it was a quick wagon, but choosing to let scum get the kill choice instead of even taking a stab at eliminating scum today is pretty obviously a bad move. If you think both are town then honestly just chill for a couple days and point out shit when you feel like it, mafia doesn't have to be high intensity and the game doesn't particularly need a BIG MOVE to figure shit out at the moment imo.
@Infinity - I think what I'd like to hear from you is just your broad thoughts on the game up to now and especially what you think you see in your strong scum reads that you think other people might be overlooking or be incorrect about their thinking/posts.
I also wouldn't mind hearing your thoughts on Ydrasse+Taly since you have them as town reads & I don't have a strong read on them yet.
In post 3652, Infinity 324 wrote:i guess what i mostly don't understand is why people townread gypyx and saber, yes they've had decent surface-level townposts but that's just not enough at this stage of the game. i can try to explain a bit better the townreads that lead me there; one read that i feel like i haven't elaborated on enough is my cakez read, i though he was really towny at the end of the last phase but i'll find quotes
For Gypyx I personally townread Prism and then his posting in the Blue PT was also good (for anyone who's interested in he went over some thoughts on whether Dunn/Toog would have done the duel differently if they were scum together & talked over his thoughts on Dwlee w/ petapan & unwnd early on).
I do think that most of the game could arguably be placed as surface-level town or better for various parts of their posting so far (except like Toog), but for scum reads in particular I'd be a lot more interested in any particular posts you think are more likely to come from scum than town if you have any rather than *everyone else is townier than them*
Gypyx is welcome to add context/more info, quick rephrase fmpov: Dunn/Toog interactions during the duel were awkward but prob not scum theater, b/c Dunn putting in effort to do the whole *I have thought through everything and here is my detailed explanation for all the possibilities* would have been followed by more than Toog spinning the barrel if they were both scum together.
In post 2556, Dwlee99 wrote:ulyana
Ydrasse
SirCakez
Infinity 324
Toogeloo
Dunnstral
Here's a list of people I'd be cool shooting each other today. I vaguely remember townreading the other people the last time I was actually thinking about the game, but I don't feel super confident in this poe.
In post 3070, Dwlee99 wrote:Can we put infinity and Dunnstral in the shootout please?
In post 3166, Dwlee99 wrote:Stop this shit fight and flip infinity/dunn please. Cakez is town for agreeing with me on both of these reads
In post 3174, Dwlee99 wrote:I'm gonna try a pooky trick: this day phase should end by page 130, preferably with Dunn and infinity being the ones shooting each other. If you disagree, stop doing so
not sure what you're point is, i've been calling you town for quite a long while
you voted Dwlee during the setup for the Russian roulette duel at one point? Tbf reading through 130+ pages in 4 days does not give me a good impression of how extensive "a long while" is time-wise tho
In post 3465, Gammagooey wrote:
SKITTER can you give me like a timeline/summary of who you were suspecting and how strongly through events 1-3? (also I might just call them days 1 and 2 later because that feels correct to me)
I still want this when you have time btw. I don't really understand your read progression on either of peta or infinity at the moment and going through some of your thoughts about them (and any other strong reads) from previous days would help me out a lot with that
Harley I know you've got an ungodly amount of reading in front of you and I don't/won't begrudge you for skipping around, but "two dueling scum is unlikely" is some of the laziest analysis I've heard in a while
Maybe start 10/15 pages back from the duel participants getting chosen and read from there? Or start with the blue PT where Infinity was chosen as an execution nominee for this event and see if you get any reads from that?
Harley I know you've got an ungodly amount of reading in front of you and I don't/won't begrudge you for skipping around, but "two dueling scum is unlikely" is some of the laziest analysis I've heard in a while
Maybe start 10/15 pages back from the duel participants getting chosen and read from there? Or start with the blue PT where Infinity was chosen as an execution nominee for this event and see if you get any reads from that?
Well, in general, when you have two wagons and one flips scum, the cw tends to be town. I’ve seen very few games with two competing scum wagons.
It's not even necessarily wrong, it's just a lazy assumption that you shouldn't build off of unless/until you have context or other reasons that make those wagons unlikely to be SvS.
Ydrasse I had a slight scum read on from early reading of the thread + blue PT. I don't recall any strong pushes she's made for people to die/events to happen in a certain way except for the unwnd/Ydrasse fight, which I wrote off as probably not alignment-indicative b/c some people on-site that use legitimate anger/frustration to their advantage regardless of their alignment (kuribo, LLD). It's not a super strong read and I think there's a fair chance she's town, but she'd def. be one of the people I'd read over and consider if I were handed an execution throne like the first event (though there is a fairly large gap between my more minor scum reads and skitter atm).
You have posted much words that generally seem pro-town, but I think you're a good player and I haven't seen anything in particular that's been SHOCKINGLY town, just a lot of good but theoretically fakeable-by-scum posts. Also I think I mentioned this in blue PT, but it's pretty hard for me to keep track of a lot of people's suspicions this game - some of it has been 'AAH WHAT THIS THRONE DO' and other worries like that from other people, for you it's just hard to remember your thoughts on particular players when they get crowded out by your questions/prodding at people that don't have explicit mentions of what you think people's alignments are. (tbf, this is more my issue in that I should prob re-read some more of the game and your posting after this event than something you should worry about)
Pink team sounds like a clusterfuck
I've forgotten your exact reads on peta/infinity so I wouldn't mind a refresher on that. If you've already posted it then just say that and I can look it up when I'm back from a movie w/ friends which I need to run to v. soon
In post 4277, Morning Tweet wrote:
As soon as four players have yet to cross, the player who is crossing is resolved and the game ends.
@Mod:
Can you clarify this? Is this when there are only 4 people who
haven't
crossed (7 people across with 1 scum kill, 4 left behind), or when 4 people have successfully crossed over? Or some other way I'm failing to interpret correctly?[/b]
In post 4277, Morning Tweet wrote:If four successive town players reach the other side before scum make a kill, all scum die.
wait does this mean that if scum makes a kill at any point town can no longer trigger the four successive town players clause?
send four across (1 dies) + 4 more townies i think
but if the scum kills someone can town still do the four successive towns thing, is what i'm asking
That's not how I read it. I think getting 4 townies to cross in succession is key, regardless of when.
before
scum make a kill
seems like the relevant text there. but it's prob worth bugging MT about in case I'm wrong
I'm also not particularly interested in going hard into gaming the system with 'the least townie of the 8 first' but I do see the appeal - just put wagons on people I think are town and I'll vote for 'em
@Gemerald- yeah Cakez did want peta/Dunn specifically for at least a bit
@Taly- peta I just like for his day 1 posting I think. His Blue PT posting was good too but I specifically read over his day 1 posting before voting to yeet Infinity over him and it just seemed like he was casually scumhunting and regular ass townposting
I feel like I just want to leave Skitter/SaberXHarley/Toog/??? uncrossed unless vast amounts of goodposting occurs from them soon. Cakez will probably fight me on Skitter/Saber but I do want to know why he's townreading them so that's fine
In post 3465, Gammagooey wrote:
SKITTER can you give me like a timeline/summary of who you were suspecting and how strongly through events 1-3? (also I might just call them days 1 and 2 later because that feels correct to me)
I still want this when you have time btw. I don't really understand your read progression on either of peta or infinity at the moment and going through some of your thoughts about them (and any other strong reads) from previous days would help me out a lot with that
One person whom (most) everyone believes is 100% town, decides the order of who crosses and who gets left behind.
So then who would you personally want to be MASTER OF CROSSINGS? (imo you're perceived as too scummy to do it yourself and I doubt you'd disagree with that)
And if you were theoretically promoted to Hand of Crossings if I remember correctly you're not fans of Saber & peta - do you think they're particularly likely to be scum together, or would you be fine with your MASTER leaving just one of them uncrossed to hit what they thought a more likely scum grouping would be? I'm also interested in any spicy panda takes you have under that fuzz
In post 4602, Gammagooey wrote:And if you were theoretically promoted to Hand of Crossings if I remember correctly you're not fans of Saber & peta - do you think they're particularly likely to be scum together, or would you be fine with your MASTER leaving just one of them uncrossed to hit what they thought a more likely scum grouping would be? I'm also interested in any spicy panda takes you have under that fuzz
I'd prefer not to say anything unless I am made Master Commander. Since that seems extremely unlikely, then I don't need to say anything at all and will just wait until the town leaders that most certainly aren't scum decide for me.
In post 4602, Gammagooey wrote:And if you were theoretically promoted to Hand of Crossings if I remember correctly you're not fans of Saber & peta - do you think they're particularly likely to be scum together, or would you be fine with your MASTER leaving just one of them uncrossed to hit what they thought a more likely scum grouping would be? I'm also interested in any spicy panda takes you have under that fuzz
I'd prefer not to say anything unless I am made Master Commander. Since that seems extremely unlikely, then I don't need to say anything at all and will just wait until the town leaders that most certainly aren't scum decide for me.
Uuugh
What if you
didn't
make yourself intentionally hard to read tho
actually I wanna follow up on this toog
I generally consider myself decent at mafia - not awesome, but above average b/c I think the average is
bad
. My reads generally get goodish by mid/lategame but I can get hung up on people who are just being obstinate and are either tunneling really hard on what I think is a bad elim without considering why they could be wrong or people who just won't answer people's questions about their thoughts so people can actually read them.
The one thing in mafia I DO think I'm top-notch at is making games
fucking work
. The 'Pick someone and they choose everything' idea is fine in theory, but it's not actually what we're voting on in-game, and you aren't committed enough to your own idea to even vote for a nominee for it.
I've only been here like a week so far and I think the game would probably be more fun for me personally with like 3 day deadlines so we could speed out most of the decisions and just enjoy the events, which at least seems close to what your ideal of the game would be. Can you at least vote someone for the first crossing so that the game has a better chance of functioning and we have less of a chance of dealing with a half week of waiting followed by a dumb clusterfuck of "oh this person's town enough to cross but I don't want them to cross yet" and everyone getting hung up on their absolute favorite order?
I might re-read Gypyx and Ydrasse a bit tonight/tomorrow (Toog I disagree with being on the survive list for now but I could maybe deal with it for a skitter+harley death)
Ulyana I'd be fine with voting across first, Cakez I'm pretty fine w/ too atm
For the most part yeah, and definitely about skitter & Saber
On Skitter - Her latching onto 'No more than 1 scum in Pink' and 'something fucky happened in the Blue PT' without seeing the blue PT herself I dislike a LOT. It seemed like really shallow logic that she wouldn't give up on, and focusing on that instead of her actual reasons to find peta scummy outside of that just seemed like filler posting to me.
Saber I just reread a bit of and Harley's posting now is both a) better than it was last event when it was just random thoughts based on borderline no reading at all and b) still not good enough to not be faked by scum or to outweigh what I think looks slightly sketchy from Saber's posts regarding Dunn - Saber had Dunn as a 2nd from the bottom tier read for a while but didn't bother voting him until there were major wagons on both him & Toog, and early-game had a few statements/comments that redirected people away from Dunn.
Ydrasse I like their posting this event but I still want to reread her and most people I townread more than her
Toog I'm probably fiiiine with not dying today but I don't think the Dunn/Toog interactions are impossible to fake and if he doesn't contribute actual posting in future events either I will try my damnedest to chuck him into the nearest meatgrinder before whatever this game's equivalent of LYLO is
oh jesus there are like 20 posts that happened while I was typing this
In post 4908, Ydrasse wrote:why does voting taly thru feel like a mistake lol
i mean
there's a reason why Taly's the only person that I mentioned preferring to go 5th-8th across whereas I don't give a shit about the order for anyone else aside from who gets left behind
In post 4916, Gammagooey wrote:Saber I just reread a bit of and Harley's posting now is both a) better than it was last event when it was just random thoughts based on borderline no reading at all and b) still not good enough to not be faked by scum or to outweigh what I think looks slightly sketchy from Saber's posts regarding Dunn - Saber had Dunn as a 2nd from the bottom tier read for a while but didn't bother voting him until there were major wagons on both him & Toog, and early-game had a few statements/comments that redirected people away from Dunn.
For the most part yeah, and definitely about skitter & Saber
On Skitter - Her latching onto 'No more than 1 scum in Pink' and 'something fucky happened in the Blue PT' without seeing the blue PT herself I dislike a LOT. It seemed like really shallow logic that she wouldn't give up on, and focusing on that instead of her actual reasons to find peta scummy outside of that just seemed like filler posting to me.
Saber I just reread a bit of and Harley's posting now is both a) better than it was last event when it was just random thoughts based on borderline no reading at all and b) still not good enough to not be faked by scum or to outweigh what I think looks slightly sketchy from Saber's posts regarding Dunn - Saber had Dunn as a 2nd from the bottom tier read for a while but didn't bother voting him until there were major wagons on both him & Toog, and early-game had a few statements/comments that redirected people away from Dunn.
Ydrasse I like their posting this event but I still want to reread her and most people I townread more than her
Toog I'm probably fiiiine with not dying today but I don't think the Dunn/Toog interactions are impossible to fake and if he doesn't contribute actual posting in future events either I will try my damnedest to chuck him into the nearest meatgrinder before whatever this game's equivalent of LYLO is
oh jesus there are like 20 posts that happened while I was typing this
In post 4916, Gammagooey wrote:Her latching onto 'No more than 1 scum in Pink' and 'something fucky happened in the Blue PT' without seeing the blue PT herself I dislike a LOT. It seemed like really shallow logic that she wouldn't give up on, and focusing on that instead of her actual reasons to find peta scummy outside of that just seemed like filler posting to me.
i mean true, i didn't see the blue pt, but i saw the pink pt and i was basing my understanding of the game from what i saw there
and i take issue with the fact that you're saying i was focusing more on the pt than why i found peta scummy, and i also described my peta read above more
In post 4916, Gammagooey wrote:Her latching onto 'No more than 1 scum in Pink' and 'something fucky happened in the Blue PT' without seeing the blue PT herself I dislike a LOT. It seemed like really shallow logic that she wouldn't give up on, and focusing on that instead of her actual reasons to find peta scummy outside of that just seemed like filler posting to me.
i mean true, i didn't see the blue pt, but i saw the pink pt and i was basing my understanding of the game from what i saw there
and i take issue with the fact that you're saying i was focusing more on the pt than why i found peta scummy, and i also described my peta read above more
Tbf reading back I think I missed a post or two where you went into slightly more detail in your peta read, but you were townreading him when unwnd asked you about him pre-Dunn flip, you were one of only two people to actually vote peta and get the wagon you wanted, and it felt like the effort you put into pushing for peta-scum and 'only 1 scum in the pink PT' felt comparable. Gemerald, as you have probably heard, got v. visibly irritated when he got ignored by most of Blue PT and had a strong town read nominated. You on the other hand, were one of TWO people in your group to actually get exactly what they wanted, and you had a town read on infinity, and what might have been your best chance to get rid of your scumread felt just lackluster when I would think most people in that position would push harder to rally people to vote out peta-scum.
I finished rereeading through some stuff to try to read Ydrasse and Gypyx better and it was mostly not helpful. I do think I should downgrade Gyoyx/Prism from strong town to regular town read b/c most of my read came from the Prism slot and just Gypyx *efforting* but he still comes across as town to me
Ydrasse wasn't around much for pages like 50-70, kinda helped start the Galron wagon and then wasn't around for a while but also those pages were like a single real-life day so I don't think it's anything to really hold against her. Ydrasse also wasn't around a ton in blue PT which is slightly eh but most of her content there was pushing Toog which I can't really fault either.
My perfect left behind-team atm is prob skitter/Saber/Ydrasse/whoever Ydrasse wants to take down with her but I'm much more concerned with just getting skitter/saber dead atm
If Taly gets within hammer range of sending across I'll do it even though I want him to go later, but also I want to be slamming through the first 4 people once we've got the 1st person crossing. VOTE: petapan for now
oh hey more posts. I would still push dwlee through too and be perfectly happy about it, so if more votes go in that direction I'll jump back on dwlee wagon. Gemerald is also fine would vote to cross
oh and LAST THING I probably don't have much time to post until Saturday evening except for tomorrow morning and pop-ins to change my vote as a heads-up.
In post 5074, Harley Quinn wrote:<peta stuff>
I don’t need to post every single thought that goes through my head. I think that both Peta and especially googey talking about me but never affording me the respect of directly interacting with me is not okay but at least Peta bothers to shade me by name but never quotes a single post why but whatever, I’m over it.
This is...pretty clearly not true? We interacted v. directly when we talked about you thinking the Toog/Dunn wagons meant Toog was town.
I can see how it might feel like I'm being a bit dismissive of you, but I think you're pretty likely scum compared to the rest of the players here and your reads feel more reactive than based on actual reading of the game before your entrance, which I don't view as particularly helpful. To answer your question from earlier I could see you as scum with almost all of the playerlist if I assumed that those other particular player(s) were scum (not like...peta and imo likely not Ydrasse b/c I don't think you'd tie yourself to her strongly as Scum/Scum which I feel you're doing when she'd otherwise be in a pretty fine position), and its particularly that if you can be scum with skitter, since you'd feel somewhat forced into distancing/bussing atm given the collective opinion of both of your slots. And if you disagree I feel like it's on you to read through the game and give coherent reads and give actual reasons for why you wouldn't be scum with person X or Y (and peta already made a similar point to this earlier).
also I don't think I've mentioned my reads on Ulyana or Cakez much so I should prob elaborate on them since they're in the 3 votes for being left section (tho obv out of that pile I want skitter to stay behind)
Ulyana's style I found pretty hard to put a read on in my first read-through since she puts a lot of her thoughts & ideas out there but most of them are hard to follow their progression into a solid read - eventually I put her as slight town b/c of her posting with infinity around page 116/117 (https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... start=2875), her trying to work out the Toog/Unwnd wagon unvotes that she found scummy with infinity (and other people to a lesser degree) felt like genuine scumhunting to me.
Cakez is mostly a gut town read - the one non-gut part is that he was one of the people actively pushing for a duel to include Dunn before it got much momentum. The gut part is that he is active and chasing people down and wants BLOOD at multiple times during the game which I think is more likely to come from town overall.
In post 5283, Ydrasse wrote:in retrospect that was the most obvious thing the mafia could do and we're idiots
personally don't think we're idiots for at least giving a shot at getting an advantage from the wagoning order, but if anyone had expectations above "mayybe we get a bit of info" then those were prob a bit high. Now that the kills happened, I can say that unless mafia wanted/needed a particular player dead TERRIBLY badly one of the better strats for them that event is prob killing in the first two send-ees, so anyone getting sent 5th-8th was prob safe for that player in my mind.
I can roll with voting like half the playerlist since order doesn't matter anymore, biggest preference is Taly but I'll hold off voting for a bit since the game chilling for a day or so for Tamora's Angel to read and everyone to catch their breath mentally seems nice. Also I think I missed a few pages when I read through b/c I missed something about pairs almost entirely
Oh and one last thing for Taly & Ulyana mostly -
In post 5352, Taly wrote:
But I will digress in the posts you linked since the purpose behind me doing them has passed.
In post 5352, Taly wrote:Yo, I'm just trying to get slots to spew so I can better discern who is likelier informed or not, it's not that deep. That's the most simplistic motivation behind almost every post you can have a question about in my ISO.
it's like, why do you think i ask you questions, if everything you're doing is so simple it sIhould be easily explained right? but it hasn't been nor has it been apparent,
I know Ulyana said she wasn't asking about them right now but I do think sharing the reasons/logic behind a few things you asked earlier would be helpful so Ulyana can see where you're coming from better.
In post 5357, Gammagooey wrote:I know Ulyana said she wasn't asking about them right now but I do think sharing the reasons/logic behind a few things you asked earlier would be helpful so Ulyana can see where you're coming from better.
it's infinitely more useful in the moment like i ask people who are there when i am for a reason
my general point was
taly, if town,
is making himself intentionally difficult to read
so taly asking 'am i difficult to read?'
is ridiculous
or possibly cheeky
In regards to asking you specifically in that list of 4 people, yeah I agree that it's kind of a dumb question and you made your point about Taly being anti-transparent w/ some of their questions already before he asked it.
In regards to some other people on it I can pretty easily guess on at least a possible direction of Taly's line of thinking for asking it, and I tend to do something I think is a little similar early game by telling people that something is a SERIOUS read without saying the actual reason behind it for several pages to see if other people see where I'm coming from. (But actually telling people the reason for asking questions like that/after being unclear with why you're doing something does tend to help a lot with being readable).
Also Ulyana I literally just asked Taly to do explain a few things like that in my last post. like I do see where you're coming from with a lot of this but I don't think it's behavior more likely to come from scum than town here.
Tamora are you fully caught up with reading yet? I'm admittedly impressed if you are, but atm it feels more like you've missed that there was another replacement in my playerslot between Galron and me (Unwnd) and haven't actually caught up to where I joined yet - I've only been here for 11 days and I've posted multiple times a day in I think most of them so far.
You are getting close to outposting me, but you're welcome to check my wiki page with a decades worth of games to check and see that I'm not the type of player to post 15 times a day as either alignment. If you have any questions about how/why I'm reading particular people feel free to ask but my iso as you've said is pretty short and I think I've been pretty clear with where I stand on most of the playerlist right now.
I'll be cheeky and do this first since they're my strongest town read who hasn't crossed yet VOTE: Ulyana
will also be happy to hammer myself across if the votes are there for that
idk something about that slot not dying event 1 still doesn't feel... good
That's a fair reason to find my slot suspicious and tbh I don't think there's much I could say to reassure you about it - like for p. much anyone in my position, I'd say from an outside perspective they'd deserves extra scrutiny. If you have any questions about any of my posts or things you want me to share thoughts about feel free to poke me about it
Do you have any detailed wordz you want to share about skitter-slot, or do you have anyone uncrossed still that you REALLY think should cross or anyone you'd want to reread before voting for them to cross/voting other people over?
The rereading part can actually be addressed to pretty much everyone btw - it looks like deadline's gone down a day each crossing except it being more after the first, so after this next one pretty much all the rest are likely to be semi rapid-fire (i'd guess something like 24 hours/12 hours/8 hours/6 hours, but it could be either faster or slower than that)
I feel quite confident that Fire can sheep things without reading as any alignment and is perfectly fine announcing it to the world
Taly wrote:
In post 5588, Ydrasse wrote:if it’s the read on your slot... saber doesn’t leave the game like that as scum nor does hq show that level of emotional range as scum (i’m crying every day, etc etc)
I disagree with both points but I'm confident you're speaking from a sincere angle now.
I think the Saber argument has more basis than the HQ one at least but I also disagree on that behavior being unlikely to come from scum. I think it's very unlikely that they planned to do any of it as part of a scum strategy, but genuine irritation and broadcasting mental health triggers/issues to try to get people to lay off aren't alignment specific.
In post 5595, Gammagooey wrote:I feel quite confident that Fire can sheep things without reading as any alignment and is perfectly fine announcing it to the world
if you're town then it would mean firebringer also voted for two towns to cross so if scum!firebringer i would think partners or at the very least one would have to already be crossed? because otherwise would be sheeping team into doomed position and not trying to do anything about it
like,
the 'look see i don't have an agenda' thing doesn't really work if it puts team in unwinnable situation,
the alternative is worse for Firebringer-scum and also just not firebringer's playstyle at all
Firebringer as a player doesn't jump in, read a bunch and make a STRONG OPINION to try to save his faction. he's a lazy boi regardless of alignment and by being a lazy boi people town read him for silly reasons, again regardless of his actual alignment. Fire immediately jumping in and trying to save someone from being left behind off of very little reading just makes him look sus and makes it more likely he gets left behind.
In post 5601, ulyana wrote:
so hope for scum!firebringer with partners in the poe would be to cross by seeming agendaless and then hope that just continues to carry him forever, hmhm
i think i am unfamiliar with firebringer outside of a game i read a while ago that i wasn't in
It's from a while back (5 years now jeez) but Firebringer and I both replaced into scum playerslots in Kids TV Show Characters mafia (him lateish day 1, me mid-day 2) if you want to take a quick skim of our isos there for a baseline of either of our potential scum play. https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=56&t=67884
Also fun fact literally not a single mafia got voted out that game, there was just a good commuterizer and a good vig and they teamed up and slowly destroyed us during the night phases
Firebringer wrote:man we are old. and i forgot how extensive ur scum range is
its dece. I feel like I haven't had a really good scum game in years but also I have a habit of playing 1-3 games a year and then not playing any forum mafia for a year and then coming back so I don't exactly roll scum too often either
VOTE: SirCakez
I personally lean Cakez out of everyone to cross next, but the two things I'm confident on this game are Tamora/Firebringer-scum (b/c of Saber/HQ and skitter's play) and I'm pretty willing to openly wheel and deal with my vote to make sure they're left uncrossed.
TALY
you probably disagree with me on Cakez over Ydrasse crossing next, and I think you've mentioned that you think Cakez is a likely busser of Dunn - are there any specifics you could point me to on why you feel that way?
In post 5651, Gammagooey wrote:VOTE: SirCakez
I personally lean Cakez out of everyone to cross next, but the two things I'm confident on this game are Tamora/Firebringer-scum (b/c of Saber/HQ and skitter's play) and I'm pretty willing to openly wheel and deal with my vote to make sure they're left uncrossed.
TALY
you probably disagree with me on Cakez over Ydrasse crossing next, and I think you've mentioned that you think Cakez is a likely busser of Dunn - are there any specifics you could point me to on why you feel that way?
oh hey there's a taly
Then why not ydrasse now
b/c they're not my strongest townread of who's left (or 2nd most townread), and if I got my perfect read list they'd be left behind too. I can see myself being wrong on them but if Ydrasse is going through before Cakez I'd at least like to drag a little info out from the people who do prefer that scenario to happen.
Taly
eh, if you're busy don't bother with rereading or pulling up specific posts. But I do want to pluck at your
VERY SOUL
for what feelings you have or previously had about Cakez and a few things you remember him doing that you think are worth yeeting him over.
Hey Almost read this to get a handle on the votes/Crossed/Uncrossed/etc for now. Dwlee is dead town unless scum are absolute madmen/madlasses who killed their own scumpartner
In post 5677, Tamora's Angel wrote:No one is going to highlight the obvious...there's guaranteed scum in the people who have crossed. Maybe we should have listened to me and sent Toog and Firebringer.
untrue. and maybe this will come across as mean but please read the crossed out section of the above post I quoted very, very carefully. if necessary, type the word "before" into google and follow a link until you find a definition.
In post 5683, Almost50 wrote:Oh, my! And 16 more pages in what seems like a locked up neighborhood. FUN!
Oh.. Toog's in the game?? He always rolls TOWN (and somehow can stop kills too)
How's everyone reading Toog?
Toog has been incredibly apathetic for most of the game but like around half the game reads him as town partially because of it? He was also in a duel with flipped scum (because he was the top wagon and Dunn was the 2nd highest wagon, which was public knowledge that it would cause one of the two top wagonees/duel-ees to die) and there is at least a reasonable argument that Dunn would have behaved differently if Toog was his scumpartner.
@Almost - Tamora is just being salty-scum and is mad that I'm being present and assertive in wanting them to stay uncrossed & probably die, despite also trying to shit on me earlier when they came close to outposting my whole 11 days of posting since replacing into unwnd's slot in two days themselves by posting 15 times a day.
Toog's not actually dead btw, he's just still uncrossed and these last two crossings are relatively unclear, compared to the previous...6? Where everyone's been if not universally town-read, town-read by at least enough of the game for them to get sent across by 6 votes within 24 hours or so. Out of everyone I'd say Gamma Emerald is probably the most universally town-read, and he's been pushing most of the wagons through with Taly and whoever else has been online at the time.
In post 5694, Gammagooey wrote:Toog's not actually dead btw, he's just still uncrossed and these last two crossings are relatively unclear, compared to the previous...6?
In this case..
VOTE: Toog
why toog town tho?
also like description of duel presented to you kinda ???
like why dunnstral wouldn't have just shot toog if they weren't partnered still the biggest question regarding
Oh yeah, to follow up on that, I guess I'll describe the duel between Toog & Dunn-scum in more detail. Then I gotta go walk my dog tho
1)It's Russian Roulette, Scum knew where the bullet was initially placed
2)Dunn got the gun first, b/c he was the 2nd wagon
3)He made a big post that was 100% WIFOM, and I think shot at himself first? not sure about that last part
4)Toog spins the gun barrel, randomizing where the bullet is (each player in the duel can do this once)
5)Dunn spins the barrel
6)Toog shoots Dunn and kills him
If scum puts the bullet in the first chamber and immediately shoots the other person, they can save themselves reliably but that also pretty much makes them conf. scum, whereas if they don't they have a chance of living but assuming the barrel gets spun at some point it becomes just actual russian roulette.
In post 5802, Taly wrote:I'm genuinely angry if I'm wrong on so many things in this game and people have just been yesmen to me.
that's been the lingering fear for me for a while but don't know how to address that
meh
I'm slightly concerned about a quarter of the game has been replaced this event and that all of the scum replacing out at once feels unlikely compared to the possibility of at least one spooky deepwolf.
But the people complaining about the results while putting no effort to point out exactly who/where they think we went wrong are just being reactionary instead of trying to solve the game and give me zero cause for alarm
Also I guess I still haven't put together an actual skitter scum case in-thread yet have I? I probably don't have much free time until lateish tonight but if the event's still going then I'll see if I can at least get that explained a bit more thoroughly
In post 5811, Ydrasse wrote:this part of the event seems to be where people are finally kicking it into gear and being more verbal about who they want or don’t want and idk what that Means.
I mean maybe it's a bit self-centered to think, but you can prob just trace this back to me - if I just vote you immediately and roll with Taly/Gemerald I think you prob go over v. quickly instead of the game slowing down and this happening, though maybe it just becomes *pretty much this but much more rushed* for the last choice instead. I'm pretty happy with it b/c regardless of the outcome we get a bit more info on pretty much everyone this way and the replacements get a bit more time to go over the game and make/share reads if they want to influence the game before getting left behind.
I'm going to start with a few things that I gut don't like but are frankly shrugworthy if they had actually had things that gave townvibes afterwards. Here's a borderline comedically bad readslist for instance with all flipped town except Pooky being either scum or 'weirded out by', Dunn being 'forgot he was there', and having no thoughts on who I think is likely scum Saber.
In post 0, Morning Tweet wrote:Cephrir - scumvibes
petapan - feels weird. idk if that makes him scum necessarily but yeah
ulyana - probably town
Ydrasse - scum-ish
Saber - no thoughts
PookyTheMagicalBear - maybe town?
SirCakez - probably town
skitter30 - shining beacon of towniness, etc
Gypyx - had some townpings on prism, but she isn't a slot i can read confidentally. liked gypyx's entrance tho
Infinity 324 - still kinda weirded out by her lack of reaction to me voting her, and i think she's townreading me too easily
Toogeloo - honestly feels too clueless/unaware of what's happening to be scum
Galron - very underwhelmed thus far. was p easy to pick out town-him in radio buzz but not really seeing the same things here yet. could be because he hasn't caught up so i'll give this a little more time but right now feels kinda scummy
Dunnstral - forgot he's in the game
Dwlee99 - scum
Taly - townie
Gamma Emerald - scum
idk you read me wrong in radio buzz i'm not really planning to try to sort you until lategame anyway
In post 509, skitter30 wrote:uh this is a weirdly muted reaction to me scumreading you ...
Shit like this in regards to the duel and people self-voting isn't specific to skitter but it's literally pointless paranoia - it was known that one of the two duelees were going to die, and being paranoid about literally anything except *maybe it's secretly better for one player to be the first wagon than the second* was a complete was of time and effort for everyone involved
i'm kinda suspicious that the suspicious people are voting themselves for this ...
THE MEAT OF THE CASE
Go back to page 49 and 50 and re-read it. like right now, go ahead. In retrospect, something that I think is very important happened there.
No seriously go back and read it yourself. But I'll give you the cliffnotes anyway - there was a quickwagon popping up on Dunn on page 49. You know what happened on the next page? Skitter posted SEVENTEEN TIMES on a single page in rapid succession, the Dunn wagon got ignored, and skitter started up a galron wagon on the next page instead. It was an ENORMOUS distraction to a scum wagon, and by page 53 this was the votecount:
With 16 contestants remaining, it takes 9 votes to place a player in the chair. If deadline is reached, plurality is in effect.
The deadline for this decision is in:
(expired on 2021-10-12 01:43:44)
.[/mech]
Oh let's take a look at some more of skitter's iso regarding Dunn maybe it's better oh wait no it's skitter mentioning that Dunn is an okay/good vote several times but literally never voting him
In post 2550, Infinity 324 wrote:still though, i think that logic applies in the abstract whether or not you've seen someone's meta
i'm sort of wondering where else you're looking if not to dwlee (and maybe me) but then again unwnd hasn't really towntold yet
for the first point: strongly disagree, i think it very much depends on someone's meta and how they're likely to play the game
second point: dwlee/unwnd/dunn maybe ydra maybe maybe you
In post 2801, skitter30 wrote:I felt his mortal-kombat reaction just now doesnt come from scum-him
Dunn wouod also be a good vote
In post 2759, Taly wrote:Unwnd, if you're going to rip into my soul, type quicker.
I got a curfew.
Also sorry but what does this mean wrt how ur reading unwnd?
I took his last post of "but actually" as a "will get to you
Taly
ASAP."
In post 2801, skitter30 wrote:I felt his mortal-kombat reaction just now doesnt come from scum-him
Dunn wouod also be a good vote
VOTE: Dunn
Teamwork makes the dreamwork.
Dunn
, do something.
Ah ok - was willing for a read/ur thoughts on the unwnd/ydra thing. Would u mind sharing that and/or requoting if i missed it
(Tomorrow is fine tho, night!)
And a dunn/unwnd duel would be cool
In post 3072, skitter30 wrote:i would put dunn instead of cakez yeah
i don't think i want infinity there
And then uh last thing that should arguably be in the first category but I just really don't like that it feels like skitter is dissassociating their actions from what they want to do with this statement, and knows they shouldn't be voting unwnd but is making an excuse for doing it anyway
skitter talking to unwnd wrote:pedit ok i can drop it if you don't want to do this. i don't think i can unvote at this time tho
oh, and very last part. I don't think this should be considered nearly as much as the above, but I also really, really dislike Harley Quinn's interactions with skitter in their short time in the Saber/HQ/Tamora playerslot. It goes from town reading skitter to having doubts because of this skitter post (with the reasoning of HQ thinking skitter has a really bad sr on her)
saber's slot has just kinda been around and just making kinda polished observations without follow-through and without really having an underlying thought process. kinda reminds me of scum-lilith in that way tbh. harley's entrance was focusing on the wrong things and was kinda scummy in that i think it's easier for scum to focus on mechancis in a game like this than figure out what their reads ought to be
and then later after some previous pretty innocuous (imo) conversation with skitter her then this
In post 4874, skitter30 wrote:i am but there's something missing in ur logic there that i'm not getting
Your positioning on gypyx looks more like a buddy than toog, because of your positioning on me.
Because if you’re scum, you’re setting me up to flip me first, then toog, so it looks like a possible chaining of miselims. I still think gypyx is extremely scummy but less certain on that now because of Prism.
I don’t understand your confidence on scum!toog either, so there’s that.
I VERY think this looks like scumVscum and as I've said for a few days the things that I am confident on is that skitter/Fire slot and HQ/Tamora slot should stay behind.
man now I'm all hyped up but everyone's peaced out already
so I guess I will talk to myself for a few sentences instead
@Gammagooey - Hey Gamma, you know that Taly & Gemerald just voted Cakez right? You prob didn't need to do all that
Shut up me, I was already half done and making sure that skitter/Fire actually gets left behind is important. Also one or if this game is wackier than I think both of them could survive the event this is putting them in, and I could get yeeted into the sun with no notice at any time after this event.
But what if you're wrong
Then I'll deal with it when I see some flips gawd shut up
p.s. firebringer you're chill sorry you replaced into a slot I thought was very likely scum. hope the next event is fun at least!
so yeah I finished reading earlier today - I replaced in sunday, read all of event 1/2 with reads of Prism & Dwlee look town and skitter looked slightly scummy, then pointed out that that 'oh shit there are 3 days til deadline GET PASSIONATE MY FRIENDS', then everyone showed up between me going to sleep on sunday and noonish monday to nom Infinity with Gamma Emerald vehemently objecting.
More details - Saber was on Infinity very early and sat on it while everyone talked about a lot of things (generally their reads in regards to other people potentially being scum/not scum with Dunn), I posted 'deadline's in 3 days GET PASSIONATE', and in the next 10 hours all the rest of the votes on infinity came on. peta iso'd a chunk of infinitys posting first, Gypyx voted infinity with a semi prod dodge post, Gemerald tried to get other wagons going, and Cakez hammered.
VOTE: Gammagooey
I probably need to try to look at who else looks like potential scum with skitter aside from TA soon but uh I don't want to worry about it tonight and probably won't bother until either tomorrow or the weekend
quote="SirCakez"]I'm annoyed TA did not die they were my highest suspect in that group
Surprised Skitter was scum[/quote]
fight meeeEEEEEEE
also this is RAMPANT speculation that probably doesn't even matter in the long run
but Almost voted for both Toog & Firebringer to cross - unless he was astoundingly convinced by my skitter case the last scum sabotage might have been used to save Tamora/prevent Almost from shooting?
In post 6076, Taly wrote:
Anyone you currently believe should go to Heaven aside from yourself?
Gemerald. Next would maybe be SirCakez? After that I dunno. Still think Ulyana is probtown that just had a bad read on skitter but I want to reread things before deciding past the first heaven+hell spot. (which I want to be me->heaven tamora->hell for reasons that I think are obvious for anyone reading my posts)
Taly wrote:omg
ggy
gave me the shitty quote tags disease
it kills 1000
Taly's
every year.
I blame cakez for posting before I could finish my other post