Newbie 2084: Signs [game over!]
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Prism Jack of All Trades
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Hello everyone. I'm an SE, or a semi-experienced player. I've been playing for 11 years, so I've been around the mafia block quite a few times. I'm eager to share all I've learned over the years with you, and my experience is here for you to draw upon. That said, I am far from perfect and I am most excited for the chance for some of you, as fresh young blood, to teach this old dog some new tricks. I have very little experience with any of you, which for me is very exciting! I hope we have a fun game we can walk away proud of at the end of the day.
Skimming there are some indepth discussions, which I am happy to see. I will catch up and vote a bit later after I get off of work.- Prism
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As a brief summary, I have only some sparse comments at the moment. I lean that marcistar is town for the comfort and early force of presence, which is an improvement on her performance in Tarot. It is always scary to read players quickly improving, and there is less to worry about in a Newbie game, but I'm fine assuming the best at the moment.
Meg is the only player I have some direct experience with here, but it is very limited in the form of my brief appearance in Mini Normal 2216. They were much more reads-focused early that game, while they were a lot more theory/mech oriented in their run as scum in Trust Fall. This really piques my curiosity, but I'm not really sold on it being AI. I want to judge them more based off of their reads.
I'll hold of voting Meg, or anyone, for the moment.- Prism
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Scattered commentary/questions I had:
I can see this applying to a generalized userbase, but leveraging your personal knowledge of marcistar-do you think she makes such an attempt as scum?In post 34, Meuh wrote:The [marcistar's] invitation just feels like fake confidence and like I said, they never said they scumread you, so it came out of nowhere. I can easily see scum make that post in an attempt to posture as a confident townie willing to die, yknow?
Can you elaborate on why for both of these statements?In post 49, marcistar wrote:
prob meg, since I wanna solve them and I feel like it might be more benefical to do it earlier on.In post 46, Greeting wrote: Let's say I do. Who is your choice and why?My response was just a player intro, completely lacking in game commentary and a vote. I just replaced in so of course I would post eventually-it's the game content you should be waiting for.
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Oh, actually I almost forgot:
VOTE: ProHawk
I was curious if anything came of this.In post 40, ProHawk wrote:Seems like we've escaped the random voting scene so I need to take a few moments to digest the scene which I haven't had enough time to do properly yet.
Man I feel old when new terms come into play that are new to me... when did "locktown" become a thing... haha
Anyhow, I'd love to get a feel for the experience of our newer players if you'd like to intro that a bit for those of you who haven't, that would be great.- Prism
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For StrangeMatter, I think the nervousness idea is very intuitive. Most of us remember the nervous trepidation of being scum for the first time. It's the first barrier to overcome, which also makes it quite common.
I don't find it strong, but I see exactly why marcistar keyed in on it. It is also obvious in one of her scumgames, Tarot, which I would link were I not on my phone, that she also struggled with it.
What do you think of marci's entrance on a mission?- Prism
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I missed it, thanks for pointing it out Meuh.
Some people are very readable at basically every stage, some not readable at any stage, and some very readable lategame with flips. It's an unusual opinion to find someone easier to read early.In post 89, marcistar wrote:i haven't actually voted them, i just threw their name there and dipped lol
the reason i threw their name out there, was partly because i felt like if we were to pressure them, we would get a good response, and hopefully make it easier for others as they join the game to get a few reads. i also felt as if they might be a bit harder for me to read as the game progresses, but like this is backed up on nothing except pure vibes.
I was mostly wondering if this was backed up by any personal experience, but "vibes" suggests it'd be limited in how much to explain.- Prism
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Sorry, I typed that part when it was almost my turn for something so it wasn't very polished.In post 99, StrangeMatter wrote:I’m not sure what you exactly mean by this last sentence.
I'd characterize her entrance as being "on a mission", with the quick reads, forcing herself to justify them indepth, and the determination to use them to drive content from other users. I was asking what you thought about this approach.- Prism
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My point was mostly that I specifically don't think so based off of the games I've spectated, but there are limits to how much I want to shove this read of mine down the throat of others, and players that grow quickly tend to render such meta obsolete.In post 98, Meuh wrote:Not too sure, haven't played a game with mafia!Marci (or with Marci at all) since last April, I could reread that game to try to see how she plays at scum? But then I'd also need to read a towngame of hers to actually see what she does out of the norm as scum. I've proven on multiple occasions that having played with Marci before doesn't actually end up with me making better reads on her sadly not sure if should try meta reading her because honestly I've always been further off doing it than without
my statement was more based on general patterns I notice than anything specific to Marci- Prism
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I'm not committing to it, but I'm not terribly concerned and am fine assuming the best until proven otherwise. I don't doubt your explanation in that Tarot was a brutal table to roll scum against, but Isekai you had a very similarly slow start.In post 104, marcistar wrote:
i think im just best when im comfortable with the playerlistIn post 92, Prism wrote:I lean that marcistar is town for the comfort and early force of presence, which is an improvement on her performance in Tarot. It is always scary to read players quickly improving, and there is less to worry about in a Newbie game, but I'm fine assuming the best at the moment.
This might be an intentional switch on your end in response to very specific advice from players, but I think it's both a towntell in general and for you specifically and I'm willing to challenge people to address the approach itself beyond shutting down the reads themselves.- Prism
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How did it go? Were there any tangible takeaways from it?In post 99, StrangeMatter wrote:Also a fair point, my first real scum game on this website has me playing pretty nervously despite not really showing it and not talking much.- Prism
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I was referring to the digestion of the first few pages. The vote was a friendly prod.
I would love something more concrete on the Marcistar and Meuh reads, which are very vague. I am especially interested in the latter.
I also fundamentally disagree on the value of intense discussion relating to the new players. Your two townreads, three counting your gutread on me, all came from such discussions. Two of the newer players have been core drivers, and the rest have not shied away.- Prism
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I've intentionally avoided commenting on Greeting as I knew that they faced issues with players scumreading their tone and finding their play frustrating in Newbie 2081. I wanted to take the time to work through the substance and progression instead.
There's an instinct to be transparent about trying something new that might backfire. Unfortunately, it is usually counterproductive and results in more scrutiny being put on the thing you're testing. I think this is the confusion Greeting is experiencing.
Reviewing Greeting's ISO, I see some pieces I like and some common themes. It's very obvious, at least to me, that what they're doing involves running people up to high-but-not-elimination wagons. Post 91 makes it clear that they weren't voting Meg out of suspicion. I think the most illuminating line comes at the end of 91 in reply to marci: "Wagons can also be used for other purposes than actually voting someone out and that's what I want to do."
I'm not really inclined to vote this slot yet. I wouldn't call it hardtown but I liked 46's reply to Marcistar. Greeting wasn't enthused by the gamepace, but didn't realize that marcistar was highlighting thatsomeonehas to push the game forward, and the response is in line with that.- Prism
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You've expressed mostly skepticism, both of players and of reads/process. I don't see any issue but I don't townread you either and I think it's better to put the question of reading you off. I also don't think a vote is really going to help sort you given that focus on process.In post 147, Cape90 wrote:
You have not even really talked about me, walk me through why you aren't really willing to vote meIn post 137, Prism wrote:Right now, this is where I am at:
Happy to vote pile: ProHawk, MegAzumarill, StrangeMatter
Willing to vote pile: Meuh, AsusStuckey by default
Not really willing to vote: Greeting, Cape90
Not voting: marcistar
Contrast that with Meuh, who is in a similar nullish boat, but I think their more personal style means that pressure and aggression would probably be fruitful in sorting.- Prism
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? Is this based off of Mini Normal 2241?In post 162, MegAzumarill wrote:I like Prism for town, it's clear they are looking at very nuanced reasons to townread the people they do,which I don't feel like would be a concern with scum!prism- Prism
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I'm happy to help with most of these!In post 165, AsuStuckey wrote:So some of the slang I am not used to. I am guessing that a scum would be someone on the mafia side? And I'm not sure what abbreviated stuff like E-2 means.
First, you're right that scum=mafia. E-2 is an abbreviation for "Elimination Minus 2", which refers to how many votes someone is away from getting eliminated. If someone is at "E-X" they need X number of votes to get eliminated.
It's okay to be confused on who to vote.[/quote]You'll find as me ideas about what is "scummy", or mafia-indicative, and "towny", as there are players in the game!In post 165, AsuStuckey wrote:Also right know I am trying to find out easy ways to tell if someone is mafia in the way you guys talk to each other, but in general I'm really confused on who to vote.
Finally, If you guys can give me tips on what to look for and how to jump into conversations that would really help
That said, the MafiaScum wiki has some great articles that have kind of stood the test of time. I'm partial to this one. They're not universal keys to psychology, but they're great to get your mind thinking about what deceptive and honest behavior will look like.
Generally speaking, when looking for mafia you want to look for players that are looking foran excuseto vote out other players rather than a true belief. Some people focus more on who looks "towny", or that they truly believe the things they're saying and advocating for. Both of these approaches are very hard to discern: Does someone do a seemingly irrational 180 in response to pressure, do they go the extra mile when they don't need to, or is their thinking so downright bizarre that it's hard to believe someone could come up with itwithoutbelieving it? People might think all of these are mafia or town depending on the situation!
Some people find townhunting easier than the scumhunting or vice versa, but it's best to strike a balance.- Prism
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It doesn't serve a specific purpose, but many things don't as scum and they're fairly rote?In post 168, MegAzumarill wrote:No not from scum!you just scum in general doesn't have reason to immediately deepdive into a player to try to find minute details to justify a player is town. ( It doesn't serve a purpose, is hard to do naturally, and often isn't convincing evidence to protect a partner. )
Spoiler: Scum post sample
I don't want to get too much into the weeds here debating why my own play isn't strongly AI, but this is a strangely lax belief.- Prism
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I'm skeptical of the legitimacy of this read in general.
It doesn't help that I don't think it applies to me, and instinctively I want to grab receipts and make it all about me and my history, but I'm going to restrain myself and not write a grand soliloquy of my mafia exploits way back in the year 1812.- Prism
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Sure thing, I'll go person by person.In post 186, StrangeMatter wrote:I'm kind of wondering, can you explain the top two columns? [My happy to vote/willing to vote piles]
Happy to vote pile
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ProHawk: Didn't follow up with the content commentary and didn't seem to know how to engage with the marcistar/Meuh content. He ended up calling them both likely town but couldn't really justify it. The fear for me is that he saw two people who knew each other and that it would be suicide to get in the middle of them as scum.
MegAzumarill: I didn't really like his entrance and thought there was a slight meta difference from the games I had seen. I thought the comments about his own behavior and the policy about lurkers very easy to talk about as scum. Since then, I haven't liked his read on me.
StrangeMatter: I thought your entrance was pretty rote, and I didn't like either the vote on marcistar or the followup in 76. My fear is that that post, and this question to me, are engagement for the sake of engagement rather than genuine questions of interest. The only way to tell is over time, but for now it gets you in the happy to vote pile.
Willing to vote pile
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Meuh: I explained this one a bit in 159, but she was generally null for me and I obviously disagreed with her reaction to marcistar.
AsuStuckey: As mentioned, this was by default, they just hadn't posted.- Prism
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StrangeMatter, can you give more specific thoughts about that readslist I gave, or maybe what you think of Meuh's conclusions?
Take it whatever direction you want but some ideas might be whether you disagreed with my placements, thought that any were weird on my end, or think any of Meuh's conclusions (which actually track with my own almost exactly) are completely off- Prism
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I'm actually wrong on Meuh and will have to revisit. They've done the readslist and analysis before as scum, though not nearly as indepth, likely because of the contrast in content available.
Pleasant surprise but also a bit annoying!- Prism
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In post 102, Prism wrote:
Sorry, I typed that part when it was almost my turn for something so it wasn't very polished.In post 99, StrangeMatter wrote:I’m not sure what you exactly mean by this last sentence.
I'd characterize her entrance as being "on a mission", with the quick reads, forcing herself to justify them indepth, and the determination to use them to drive content from other users. I was asking what you thought about this approach.
These posts further explain my marcistar read, specifically that I think she would struggle to make this interest as scum and that it would have to come from very specific player feedback.In post 103, Prism wrote:
My point was mostly that I specifically don't think so based off of the games I've spectated, but there are limits to how much I want to shove this read of mine down the throat of others, and players that grow quickly tend to render such meta obsolete.In post 98, Meuh wrote:Not too sure, haven't played a game with mafia!Marci (or with Marci at all) since last April, I could reread that game to try to see how she plays at scum? But then I'd also need to read a towngame of hers to actually see what she does out of the norm as scum. I've proven on multiple occasions that having played with Marci before doesn't actually end up with me making better reads on her sadly not sure if should try meta reading her because honestly I've always been further off doing it than without
my statement was more based on general patterns I notice than anything specific to Marci
The SE behavior is very NAI. A common side effect is getting townread, but it's just the reason I play these games.- Prism
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I'm currently distracted elsewhere but I assume this is referring first to my question about the previous scumgame and second my question about what you thought of my placements of players.In post 226, StrangeMatter wrote:Here's something completely random but I noticed but, Prism you really haven't made any attempt to respond to anything I've said, just every single time you've said something to me it's a question with I feel like very little follow-up or discussion. I know I haven't done that but still.
I think I've been very clear and thorough in my responses to your direct questions so I assume you are asking about the lack of followup on my own. The first question about what you learned from the scumgame was to see how you think about the game, and about the idea of scum nervousness, for future reference. The second about the readslist was to get you to think about the players, your questions with my placements, and hopefully get you to discover your own reads in response. I found the response very dry and essentially calling ProHawk null for the engagement stuff. I could itigate this but chose not to.- Prism
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The phrasing on the second question was very specific, and I took time to craft it, because it was meant to be open-ended and provide more of a foundation for you to build something off of and hopefully read you in turn. I didn't feel I got that, and blame it more on my inability to spur it rather than on you.- Prism
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...Did you read the post where I voted Greeting?In post 232, MegAzumarill wrote:Prism why the change of read on Greeting?
And I know I am one of your scumreads so I'm wondering if you think I'm bussing, me/Greeting are s/t or something else- Prism
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"Preflips" is short for "Preflip assocations"
An example would be that if I scumread one person, I could extend that belief to thinking another person is more likely scum because of an interaction, as opposed to viewing them independently.
So as an example: I think A is scum. That post from A to B is weird, so I think B is probably scum too!
It's possible if you're ambitious, but I'd rather just go one at a time and analyze the interactions when I actually have a flip in hand.
I previously exploited bad preflip speculation in a game with MegAzumarill and gave a lot of feedback to players on why they need to be careful with it.- Prism
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In post 220, Prism wrote:Thanks for answer. Unfortunately I think we've reached the end of the road on discussing this one.
I don't believe it and it's a matter of votes and whether the other players have questions and agree/disagree.- Prism
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My vote was direct and immediate. The questioning was in the hopes of catching him in an outright lie and making my life easier in pushing it. I think the explanation is implausible but not technically impossible.
They are uncommon, but not super rare, and the usage depends on the person. I personally use them exclusively to commentate scumgames for postgame reference and study, but this is not the norm.- Prism
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In post 249, Prism wrote:They[Notes PTs]are uncommon, but not super rare, and the usage depends on the person. I personally use them exclusively to commentate scumgames for postgame reference and study, but this is not the norm.- Prism
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My swap is because no one else is voting Greeting for it and I'm not going to harp on it. I don't enjoy pushing the angle to begin with. Someone asked about why a notes PT is less likely-uncommon, especially from newer players, though one...unusual player did during my last game, and unlikely to need to link to.
StrangeMatter, you haven't changed your vote since entering with RVS. Do you have nothing better than random in your mind?
Also very excited for ProHawk to ISO and give something concrete for once. The reads on marcistar/Meuh were vague, he declined to expound on them further, and I am hoping the read on me will be different.- Prism
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While I am town, I am uncomfortable being assigned that way on the basis of guidance. Some of my questioning (eg. towards StrangeMatter) is trying to both further my own alignment and be guiding, but I'm always going to try and make sure players are engaged and walk away from this with a better understanding of the game. The fact that I am town this time, as implosion was, will make it tempting to reinforce this instinct that players are town for it, but this is a mistake. I can, have, and will provide the same sort of advice and guidance as scum.
While I've explained a lot of terminology and the like, I also want to emphasize I am not the only SE this game, and their experience is equally valuable and available.- Prism
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I again skimmed that game 3 weeks before the start of this one and only noticed Greeting in passing as my focus was on another player.
It informed my focus on using an analysis of his progression as opposed to tone and surface level when it came to reading the slot. My first post is exactly the result. I do not remember a single post of his, I have more vivid memory of the frustration of other players.
While it may seem like I have infinite time to work over every game played onsite, this is unfortunately not the case. I will reread it if I have time but it should be obviousfrom the post you quotedwhere my effort was directed and why.- Prism
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I literally just addressed this in the two previous posts. What is making sense to you here if not those posts?In post 301, ProHawk wrote:That makes more sense. Why haven't you skimmed my previous games?- Prism
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I have cited 6 games of meta so far.
4 of these I had read or played inpriorto the game starting, ranging from many weeks ago to several months.
-The first two games contrast a small behavior of Meg's, emphasis on mechanics vs. reads. One of these games is Mini Normal 2246, which we both played Day 1 of back in August. By definition, I read it before the start of this one. One of these is trist fall, which I spectated because of the playerlist and a personal interest in the setup. I can decisively prove I read this game prior to the start of this one, because I quoted from it in the next iteration.
-The third game is Tarot, by marcistar. I spectated this game because I wanted to play in it originally, I am friends with the moderator, and it was a good playerlist. This game swung off of marcistar's elimination Day 1 for the behavior I outlined here. I can again decisively prove I read this game prior to the start of this one, because I commented on the postgame.
-The fourth game is 2081 of Greeting's. I have explained why I spectated this game,3 weeks prior to the start of this one, several times already.While I cannot decisively prove I read it prior to the start of this game, why the fuck would I even bring it up if I were trying to dodge using it?
I have further skimmed 2 games that Ihad not already read this game. The intention was to look forextremely specific behaviorsas a sanity check.
-The first of these is marcistar, who contended that she could be this forceful on entrance as scum. I looked at a scumgame of hers, Isekai, and looked to see how forceful and assertive of an entrance she made. The contrast was clear.
-The second of these was Meuh, who posted a giant readslist. I looked at a scumgame of hers with the intention of seeing if this is something she had replicated. She had.- Prism
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Prism Jack of All Trades
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I have no reason to spectate your games without aspecific behavior to look for.I have already said this in post 300, one of the ones that "made sense" to you.
I amnotrandomly or universally spectating games to divine things from scratch for every player in a game.- Prism
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Prism Jack of All Trades
- Prism
- Jack of All Trades
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- Posts: 8597
- Joined: August 18, 2015
re: 302 Yours was the only start I hated because you didn't engage with the content and didn't follow up on the promise to. It was on page 2. I wrote a catchup post when I finished reading and didn't like my vote anywhere. I remembered that entrance existed and placed my vote accordingly.
The trajectory is 4 minutes. Do you think as scum worried about where to put a vote I just made the decision to vote nowhere, then changed it out of fear or nervousness <4 minutes later? This isn't something impossible to fake but there's a clear trajectory here and you're arguing it's a lack of one.
I have kept you in my top vote picks ever since that opening. I have grilled you continuously to make your reads concrete and to provide content. If the trajectory you're expecting is to have moved you to town, why on earth would I have when you still hadn't done a thing? - Prism
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