Newbie 2089 | Endgame
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ofmercia Goon
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ofmercia Goon
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ofmercia Goon
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Claiming your town power role when you're about to be voted out is good. Fake claiming is bad under all circumstances, it'll will most likely get 2 town power roles out and guaranteed to confuse the rest of town who has no other info and no private way of discussing things. Mafia will always know which column we are in, so I disagree when you say they will get confused about being in column A or C in your example where it's viable for town to fake claim.In post 33, TistDaniel wrote:ofmerica, do you have any thoughts on strategy? Either power roles, or just general scumhunting? I haven't heard much from you.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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Thing about claiming mason is that there's no other power role which is worthy of killing more than mason anyway. So you're not buying yourself more time so even though you're the cop trying to hide, mafia have no reason to go night kill a better PR, and will most likely out the other power role who will and should counter claim you, since this legit town PR has no idea you are a different town PR fake claiming.In post 36, TistDaniel wrote:NorwegianboyEE:
Not especially. I've read 17 of Progo's posts, and it was all RVS stuff. I don't know which way he flipped, so I don't have any handle on his tells or anything.
I feel like all I really know about him is that 2087 was his first online game (though he played in person before that) and that he's never played League of Legends. (It came up as a discussion point in 2087.)
So ... I know almost as much about you as about him.
ofmerica:
My point is not that Mafia will be confused about whether we're in A or C.
Cop knows we're in A or C because those are A1 and C1 are the only setups that cop can appear. Mafia knows for sure whether we're in A or C, but they don't know whether it's 1, 2, or 3. A3 and C3 are both masons. Cop can claim mason, and Mafia doesn't know otherwise. If they're in A, it's A1, but Mafia thinks it's A3. If they're in C, it's C1, but Mafia thinks it's C3. Either way, it's a plausible lie to everyone except the doctor, if there is one, who knows for sure he's not in A3 or C3.
If they somehow can read your mind and know you're fake claiming as TOWN, it's still bad because now you open up a whole new way for scum to get away with fake claiming random power roles when about to be lynched. So for this setup, imo, NEVER fake claim as town. And always counter claim someone who has a direct contradiction to your power role.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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If you bluff mafia into believing that you are mason instead of cop, there is no power role better for them to kill anyway (masons are a pair). So you're not delaying you getting night killed. Mafia would think there is a pair of masons. And they know one, might as well kill him, as there is no other threat of any other power role.In post 40, TistDaniel wrote:ofmerica:
There's no other power role as worthy of killing as mason? I thought mason would be rather weak, since you have one confirmed town you can talk to, which feels like a pretty weak power to me, and once one of you gets killed, the other has no power at all. Perhaps I don't understand how to play mason?
As for my fakeclaim thoughts, I know what I'm saying is against current site meta. I'm just not sure that current site meta is correct, at least with regards to NewD3 games.
You're right, my fakeclaim thoughts do make it easier for mafia to fakeclaim, but not really *that* much easier. If you read my original post on it, I am saying that if a person doesn't explain their fakeclaim within one full game day, they're scum and should be lynched. So it's a short-term strategy at best for scum.
Also, it's not all that easy for scum to fakeclaim. While town can fakeclaim certain roles and scum won't know (such as, in my example, cop claiming to be mason) the reverse isn't true.
Look at the NewD3 setup table. If Mafia knows we're in A, and fakeclaims any role at all there's a 100% chance that at least one person knows they're lying, and a 66% chance that two people know. If Mafia knows we're in C, and they fakeclaim any role, there's a 100% chance somebody knows. The only time it's at all feasible for Mafia to fakeclaim is if we're in B. And they're still not guaranteed to be safe. They're definitely unsafe the instant another power role flips or claims.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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What do you think about post 62?In post 65, Dunnstral wrote:
I'm not going out of my way to be unreadableIn post 60, NorwegianboyEE wrote:VOTE: Dunnstral
You gonna be more readable this game buddy?
Oh and for context. Dunnstral is one of those players that don’t react very strongly to any sort of pressure, which makes them hard to sort. So i expect that my vote there won’t do much. But it is an good starting point while there’s not much else to go on.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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If it's a slip which I think it is. Then scum team is progo and norwegian. I didn't want to jump to conclusions but the moment I saw it, it clearly looks like scum talking to eahother and 1 of them accidentally posted in the main thread. Highly unfortunate tbh.
Norwegian's defence is making it seem more and like the case.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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ofmercia Goon
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ofmercia Goon
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Are you saying what I pointed out doesn't make sense? I don't think I can be any clearer though, even repeating it to be clearer. Did you read it what I posted?In post 99, KittyTacky wrote:I'll hold out on voting for now but Frogsterking and ofmercia are both sus to me and ofmercia's push, in particular, seems a bit like a scum jumping onto a possible early wagon.
Read Progo's post again. How does "I pretend to respond to Daniel's strategy soon" make any sense, especially since Progo doesn't seem like a caveman? I think missing a "will" is pretty unlikely. And what would pretending to respond to someone even entail? It's clear to me that it's a typo.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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Mafia need to use deception. Pretending is a form of deception. They can be open about that sort of thing with eachother.In post 110, KittyTacky wrote:
It doesn't make sense because I really, really don't see anyone saying that, phrasedIn post 103, ofmercia wrote:
Are you saying what I pointed out doesn't make sense? I don't think I can be any clearer though, even repeating it to be clearer. Did you read it what I posted?In post 99, KittyTacky wrote:I'll hold out on voting for now but Frogsterking and ofmercia are both sus to me and ofmercia's push, in particular, seems a bit like a scum jumping onto a possible early wagon.
Read Progo's post again. How does "I pretend to respond to Daniel's strategy soon" make any sense, especially since Progo doesn't seem like a caveman? I think missing a "will" is pretty unlikely. And what would pretending to respond to someone even entail? It's clear to me that it's a typo.thatway, in mafia chat. Again, how do you pretend to respond to someone?- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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ofmercia Goon
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ofmercia Goon
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ofmercia Goon
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ofmercia Goon
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Lol still, there's a difference in making assumptions and guesses to flat out knowing not only it was an error but the exact nature and cause of the error.In post 138, fwogcarf wrote:
not everything is a scumslip lolIn post 115, ofmercia wrote:How can you just assume it was a language error? That seems a bit tmi.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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@tits - "Then they went on to say that it's a bad idea to claim mason (37, 42). I'm not going to say this is alignment-indicative though, because I think mafia would want cop to claim cop rather than mason. I can read what ofmerica said as either town-beneficial or scum-beneficial."
Why would mafia want cop to claim cop instead of mason? A fake claim has a high chance of counter claim which can throw the game on the spot for town (mafia would LOVE for a town PR to fake claim).
If the cop claims mason the cop gains nothing really, because as explained before scum now think there are a pair of masons and they know one of them, easy knight kill. This is actually low key baiting town PR's to allow fake claims which can only benefit scum.
I stand by any power role notices any fake claim or contradiction to their role. Please counter claim it.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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meta - most effective tactics available.
By "town never fake claiming" we eliminate an avenue for scum to escape a lynch by fake claiming and getting immunity. For this to work town NEEDS to counter claim when a contradiction is noticed or the entire tactics is useless. These two conditions go hand in hand.
Since town knows town wouldn't fake claim, it's an easy way to catch a mafia member.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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I waited for progo's response. Me asking him directly would not be me waiting for clarity. I asked someone else just to get some extra input on what I thought was a slip, my question to Dunnstral was as basic as it gets. Your claim that I was setting up shade by asking that isn't true. If I wanted to opportunistically join or start any wagons I would use what was already being setup, not an entirely new angle attacking two players, which if I was scum would be turning 2 townies against me.In post 155, TistDaniel wrote:But this is the thing you want to talk about? Not the Progo case?
I feel your case is wrong not necessarily from scum though, just overactive town trying extremely hard to find scum.- ofmercia
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What tist seems to think is that claiming mason as a cop will somehow allow mafia team to not night kill this power role.In post 157, fwogcarf wrote:I think cops and mason are equally damaging threats to mafia. Masons claiming together would mean two confirmed town, and I highly doubt scum would pull a move like that.
Cop can't confirm themself as easily, but they can nail a scum. I would not expect Cop to live to the next day if that ended up happening unless it's exactly Town Cop and Town Doctor.
Masons are harder to kill than Cops because there's more of them.
Why would mafia not kill the mason????? They won't be like "oh it's just a mason need to find the cop" there is no cop or doctor etc. There are only a pair of masons and they know the mason. IT WILL NOT PROTECT YOU FROM NIGHT KILL. Sorry caps but I feel I'm on repeat here.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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But it's ineffective to rely on a town player (the other power role) and actually the entire town to get incorrect information in the hopes of there is some bigger play happening that will somehow catch scum. Instead of a reliable, consistent and effective basic strat that does not allow for scum to take advantage of. It just opens up way too many scenarios for scum to abuse.In post 159, TistDaniel wrote:ofmerica, I think meta is more complex than just "the most effective tactics available". Meta is the most effective tactics *based on what is currently in common usage*. It's wrong to fake-clam as town power in current site meta, because current site meta says that town should immediately counterclaim.
If current site meta was that town should counterclaim late the following day, would it still be wrong? This still results in fake claims being eliminated, but it gives them the chance to use a power first. Perhaps it's not as good idea to claim mason as I had originally thought, but there's still a 50% chance that a cop who claims cop before scanning will never get to scan.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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Masons confirm 2 towns, much better for town instead of trusting a shaky day1 alignment feel. Eliming someone else in as the night kill would be bad for mafia. Since they are narrowing their own pool which is already very narrowed with 2 confirmed towns still alive later in the game.In post 167, TistDaniel wrote:I'll admit, I could be wrong. Part of where I was coming from originally was that I assumed that mafia would have more reasons behind the nightkill than just the power role. Let's say AutoDefenestrator claimed mason right now. He's saying he has no power to scan or block the nightkill. But we also know that it's his first game on the site, and several players are leaning on him for lurking too much. It seemed to me that mafia would be more likely to kill me, because I'm the most town-read player, I'm talking a lot, and maybe I got lucky with some of my reads. Meanwhile, a wagon might still form on AutoDefenestrator even if they do absolutely nothing about it.
Like I've said, I haven't played any games here before. Maybe mafia always kills power over someone troublesome in other ways. I've been assuming I'm probably going to be tonight's nightkill though.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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I also thought it was a slip, and that scum got really unfortunate. Was really hoping it wasn't the case lol.In post 170, NorwegianboyEE wrote:VOTE: Frogsterking
Looking back on it, i think their "oh you slipped" stuff on ProgoWoshua was pretty opportunistic so i want to vote here. They unvote later of course, but that is after negative thread response so i don't give it very much credit.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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Is this the survey strat?In post 183, Frogsterking wrote:
Okay, do you remember how to read a players iso?In post 182, fwogcarf wrote:
I like their reactions to the "slip" along with their engagement with ofmercia. I think their solving style is townie and I really like how they went through with their ofmercia vote. I also think that their prodding of frogo is townie because it's someone trying to get discussion started up.In post 181, Frogsterking wrote:
Yes we can do it.In post 180, fwogcarf wrote:
What did you like about Norwee?
Can you find a player's iso in this game who seems to have the most consistent train of thought from post to post, and player who seems to have the least consistent train of thought from post to post?- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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He's not the average newbie.In post 217, KittyTacky wrote:I think Tist's word count is attributable to him simply being a newbie and trying to be helpful. It would be an HMMMMM if an experienced player did it though.- ofmercia
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I think he's lurking as town waiting for something.In post 221, fwogcarf wrote:VOTE: Dunnstral activity read
also seems like volume tells will not work in this game
thank god honestly- ofmercia
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He's saying tist would be suspicious for that only if he were experienced. I disagree. I think it's within his range even if new.In post 229, NorwegianboyEE wrote:
Meaning what?In post 224, ofmercia wrote:
He's not the average newbie.In post 217, KittyTacky wrote:I think Tist's word count is attributable to him simply being a newbie and trying to be helpful. It would be an HMMMMM if an experienced player did it though.- ofmercia
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Do you have a read list? I'd be willing to sheep if it makes sense. Don't have a better scum read than tist.In post 241, NorwegianboyEE wrote:So slots that are currently voting Daniel, please explain if you have other scumreads or if you see any other viable eliminations other than ListDaniel today, because unless y'all sidestep me, it's not gonna be our day 1 elim.
Although I disagree on some players should have day 1 immunity regardless of alignment. But I can see what you mean by it.- ofmercia
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I asked him a few things. I don't feel he's hiding anything. But also feels as if he doesn't know what to do.In post 246, fwogcarf wrote:
how does that make sense?In post 225, ofmercia wrote:
I think he's lurking as town waiting for something.In post 221, fwogcarf wrote:VOTE: Dunnstral activity read
also seems like volume tells will not work in this game
thank god honestly- ofmercia
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A new scum player would be even more likely to hide scum behavior. Open wolfing is not something normally seen from inexperienced players.In post 253, KittyTacky wrote:
Ofmercia is new. Honestly their posts ping me more as a newbie scum than a scummy newbie, if that makes sense.In post 247, TistDaniel wrote: I think I've seen the most scummy behavior from ofmercia, but I think true scum would make more of an effort to hide scummy behavior. Not quite ready to townread them yet, but they are at least one of the more active players.
Not that I'm doing anything scummy though, tist is just wrong. And I do scum read him so I can see his early vote on me sticking no matter what. He is sort of building the case for a while already, changing facts to suit the case instead of changing the case to suit the facts.
But I won't vote him, since for a chance to hit mafia we will almost certainly need 5 town votes and multiple have shown an interest to give him day 1 immunity due to his activity regardless of alignment. So I'd rather not tunnel that direction.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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Which was tist's original point which you opposed.In post 256, KittyTacky wrote:When I was new I accidentally scummed it up as atownie, I don't think newbscum slipping up is implausible.- ofmercia
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Have you played with frog before?In post 257, NorwegianboyEE wrote:Frogs inactivity is bothering, and more than Dunnstral because i at least expected Frog to be more eqger to solve if he’s town.- ofmercia
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Maybe, hopefully he'll post the survey thing soon.
What do you think about tits activity? Are you getting a solvy vibe?
To me the post count (which we already have available, and updated every post) and the word count and word per post stuff feels like filler. Can't find a reason for town to be trying to use fillers. Then there's also the part about it being ok for town to fake claim which would invite so much chaos and chances for scum to play a much easier game. I can't really see those as pro town.
But at a stage even I was town reading it just on pure volume. In detail I can't find the towniness. There is a LOT of content though so my take is just some highlights that stood out to me.
What stood out to you as town? (Or scum) is it all just nai?- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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What are the scum hunting tactics people talk about? Which reminds me. Frog needs to post that SSS tactic he said he was going to post 2 days ago.In post 271, TistDaniel wrote:I'm with fwog on this: I don't like how quiet Auto is. I don't think I need to rehash what I've said about lurking, because I feel like I've said it quite a lot recently.
I don't like how quiet Auto is, but I can also understand town having the views Auto has. I'm skeptical of how useful a lot of the scumhunting tactics people talk about actually are, especially on Day 1, so I can understand being reluctant of taking part in the process, particularly with how long day length is here. (I've read some games on other forums, and day length is 48 hours or so, so activity expectations are very different.)
I could believe Auto stepping forward and being more useful on Day 2. That said, I don't have so much faith in that outcome that I'd try to dissuade a wagon on him, or use a power on him tonight.- ofmercia
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ofmercia Goon
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Actually proving me right. So keep going.In post 285, KittyTacky wrote:
lmao. It's not quite RNG because scum tend to be scummy. Like you for example.In post 275, ofmercia wrote:Oh, I haven't read any of it, because it's pretty obvious the game is mostly rng especially day 1. So there's probably no reliable guide to catching scum. Especially with all the varying behaviors each game from both alignments.- ofmercia
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Yeah I said mostly not totally rng. I have been making votes on what I think is scummy.In post 282, fwogcarf wrote:
not necessarilyIn post 275, ofmercia wrote:Oh, I haven't read any of it, because it's pretty obvious the game is mostly rng especially day 1. So there's probably no reliable guide to catching scum. Especially with all the varying behaviors each game from both alignments.
you can definitely find someone to have been indicating your interpretation of scummy behavior and calling them out for it. If you think that they're scum, then go for it.- ofmercia
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What? We were discussing something totally different. This is a big stretch lol. The two aren't even related at all. This has to be scum.In post 288, KittyTacky wrote:
This is still scum. Not much ofmercia said or did makes much sense as town. Jumped on someone for what is blatantly a language mistake, when people started piling up votes, attempts to deflect with "the game is RNG".In post 286, ofmercia wrote:
Actually proving me right. So keep going.In post 285, KittyTacky wrote:
lmao. It's not quite RNG because scum tend to be scummy. Like you for example.In post 275, ofmercia wrote:Oh, I haven't read any of it, because it's pretty obvious the game is mostly rng especially day 1. So there's probably no reliable guide to catching scum. Especially with all the varying behaviors each game from both alignments.
VOTE: kittytacky- ofmercia
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Tist unvoted and progo voted AFTER. So when I made the post it was the least pressure I've been under or being pushed.
Do you know what deflecting means? My vote accusing progo and norwegian as being a scum team was way back and I already explained my thought process of that. How or why would I deflect in a completely different discussion talking about strategy and usefulness of scum guides?- ofmercia
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Last post was Saturday, not looking promising.In post 300, TistDaniel wrote:It's page 13 and Frogsterking is now officially overdue on his SSS.- ofmercia
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Is frog afk or lurking/delaying the survey? If he is afk that's a suspicious reason for a scum read.In post 337, KittyTacky wrote:Regardless of if I'm right about ofmercia or not, Frogster is also rising on my scum radar, due to massive lurking and not following through on the survey. Those are my main two scumreads, and I'm 90% sure there's a scum between those two.- ofmercia
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You not understanding doesn't mean poorly explained. Norwegian seems to understand after 2 posts. Yet after trying to explain further for 3 or 4 posts you're still lost, or acting lost.In post 349, KittyTacky wrote:
I disagree with your scumreads because you scumread me and I know I am town and fwogcarf didn't say anything that pinged my scum radar. Auto pings me more as a scummy townie limbait, yeah. As for Dunnstral, they and their replacement are aggressively null to me.In post 346, Frogsterking wrote:
Yes! Do you agree/disagree with my scum reads?In post 345, NorwegianboyEE wrote:…would you please?- ofmercia
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This was supposed to be quoted.In post 343, KittyTacky wrote:
1. Ofmercia's aggression isn't the problem by itself, aggressive towns win games. The problem is that the aggression was inane and extremely poorly explained when questioned.In post 340, Frogsterking wrote:I apologize for my lurking. I think I've kept fairly well read on this game.
I think frognworth and KittyTacky are likely to flip scum. VOTE: frognworth I'm down to wagon either.
I think Dunnstral/StrangeMatters and AutoDefennstrel are the limbait slots who are are likely to be easy pushes who flip town.
I think Progo put enough effort into their posts that it's sort of making his life difficult as scum so I think he's town. I think Norwee's vote on me and paranoia of my slot is likely to come from town and some of his posts were too helpful I think for if he were playing scum. And I also am not paranoid of Tist who I think is town.
Then I think ofmercia's play is slightly more aggressive than the other players at this table which can sometimes lead to getting his slot scum read, and in my experience, kind of like the limbait slots, he's likely to flip town.
So then I just have frognworth and KittyTacky left and I read through their isos and I see hanging back, pushing easy slots while staying on the sidelanes, posting just enough to get slightly townread. I'm somewhat confident there's at least 1 scum between KittyTacky and frognworth.
2. Where's your survey my man?- ofmercia
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I'll try to spell it out again, but I feel you will still say I'm avoiding or ignoring or not making sense or whatever because it isn't genuine.In post 352, KittyTacky wrote:
*keeps evading my actual question* I don't know why Norwe thinks it makes sense, again how on Earth do youIn post 350, ofmercia wrote:
You not understanding doesn't mean poorly explained. Norwegian seems to understand after 2 posts. Yet after trying to explain further for 3 or 4 posts you're still lost, or acting lost.In post 349, KittyTacky wrote:
I disagree with your scumreads because you scumread me and I know I am town and fwogcarf didn't say anything that pinged my scum radar. Auto pings me more as a scummy townie limbait, yeah. As for Dunnstral, they and their replacement are aggressively null to me.In post 346, Frogsterking wrote:
Yes! Do you agree/disagree with my scum reads?In post 345, NorwegianboyEE wrote:…would you please?pretend to respond?
Firstly scum have a private thread where they communicate.
Norwegian asks progo where he is, progo responds that he is busy and will pretend to answer in the thread.
This to me looked like scum talking and progo posting in the wrong thread. Scum will most surely pretend to answer posts as they need to hide scum agenda.
I know you're just going to say I'm avoiding again but this is as clear as I can get. If you still don't understand something this simple I cannot help you unfortunately.- ofmercia
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I agree he meant intend instead of pretend. I'm saying what I thought it was before he posted what it actually was.In post 359, StrangeMatter wrote:In post 356, ofmercia wrote: Norwegian asks progo where he is, progo responds that he is busy and will pretend to answer in the thread.
This to me looked like scum talking and progo posting in the wrong thread. Scum will most surely pretend to answer posts as they need to hide scum agenda.
I know you're just going to say I'm avoiding again but this is as clear as I can get. If you still don't understand something this simple I cannot help you unfortunately.
I'm not sure I'm following the logic behind what you're saying here @ofmercia. Exactly what about that makes it likely to you that progo posted in the wrong thread? Because every time I read it, I agree with what others have said that it reads like a grammar mistake over an actual slip.In post 68, ProgoWoshua wrote:
I meant "intend". Sorry.In post 67, Dunnstral wrote:
You mean this? I'm not sure why they said pretend, I assume they are joking.In post 62, ProgoWoshua wrote:
I'm a little busy right now. But I pretend to respond to Daniel's strategy soon.In post 61, NorwegianboyEE wrote:ProgoWoshua you gonna come in?
Don’t be shy! Come and say hi!
I’ve got tea and crackers setting up on the fly.- ofmercia
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I'm pretty sure kitty is scum.In post 363, Frogsterking wrote:I really dislike how fwog and Kitty feel like they put just enough effort in to get slightly town read, and how they're both presently posed with their outted scum reads to sheep whichever limbait town goes for EoD.- ofmercia
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Believing someone's explanation is not backing down. I feel scum would have more reasons they cannot be wrong, and thus more likely to try to force a case. This is related to that consistency point that was mentioned earlier. As in what kitty is doing with my progo vote, it feels forced, he cannot change his stance because he isn't hunting for scum he's fabricating scum.- ofmercia
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No, the explanation he gave made sense. I don't see enough activity and posts to scum or town read him. Null.In post 415, fwogcarf wrote:Ofmercia do you still scumread Progo?- ofmercia
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Nice post tisdaniel (440). I have a few questions though.
"ofmercia, as I said, has played a very defensive game. I haven't seen him focused on attacking anyone. There's obviously tension between him and Kitty, and him and Frog, so it seems unlikely that they're scum together. It also seems unlikely that ofmercia would be scum with Progo."
I understand the posting between myself and kitty can be seen as tension and defending. But what gave you the idea I have tension with frog? I don't remember any such exchange. I can only speak for myself in this but I feel you get a lot wrong in this post like my tension with frog or that I haven't made any "attacks" (others need to verify that with their own experience and what was written about them). But I like the idea behind finding who is ignoring who etc, it expresses a desire to look at the bigger picture and solve the game.- ofmercia
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I think you're right about being mostly on the defensive, I recall having to keep repeat things a lot. I also recall being called aggressive so I think maybe I have not been ALL defensive but definitely had to defend myself a lot, won't deny that.In post 448, TistDaniel wrote:ofmercia: I'm sorry, you're absolutely right about Frog. I remember I added that as an afterthought, way after I finished the section about you, and I was working on Frog. To be honest, I'm not sure why I added it. Maybe I meant to add it on Kitty, forgetting that I'd already said that about Kitty.
I think I have to hold my ground on you being defensive. Your strongest attack was on Progo, who you didn't vote, you didn't question, and you didn't even use his name or say there was something suspicious about him in your original post about him. Ever since then, if I recall correctly, your only scumreads and your only votes have been on me and Kitty, and only after we'd put pressure on you for the Progo controversy. Am I wrong? - ofmercia
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