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fireisredsir Mafia Scum
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ive played the actual game before and this happens OFTEN so i assume it is intended behavior for that to be a possibility here tooIn post 693, Greeting wrote:I was saying that this player error is also possible if someone misreads the instructions or just isn't clever enough to understand them. Can be tough as there is only one correct solution.- fireisredsir
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- first few pages had so much mech discussion zzzzz im gonna ignore that until later maybe
- greeting prob town for getting excited about a way to break the game that is obv wrong
- vp sounds normalish, idk bout the votes on him
- menalque feels like 164 was posted out of feeling obligated to do so. but town can feel that too. it still gives me the hmmmms
- 256 could be scummy from lion. but i kinda feel good vibes from prae's vp vote right after, for some reason
- andante is scummy as of 288
- dwlee is towny for noticing as of 293
- i read pooky's posts alternating between the voice of NBA analyst and anime girl and it's really throwing me off. need to find a new default pooky voice
- it's weird that catboi TRs andante strongly in 321 but idk if he's town with better reads than me or scum with tmi. either way andante might actually be town
- some people are really efforting it up and i bet they're not all town
- lukewarm being confused by frog in 397 kinda feels fake, but who isn't confused by frog sometimes
- ayyy catboi's secret read is lukewarm, i like this development. locktown
- 487 gutread tweet is scummy
- as of 546ish, strangematter feels... floaty? like she's not really engaged w/ the game just kinda existing and not poking out too much. potentially sus
- as of 561 frog is kinda making me want to yeet him so I don't really blame dwlee that much. but i think frog is more likely town
- 595 hmm bad vibes here from menalque
- gonna be honest i have never once looked through andante's big list to see what she updated whenever she ebwops it bc it is not clear at all what changed. sorry andy
- ok one mech thing i don't think anyone has talked about is that don't we get very fuzzy alignment info from successful defuses based on how many nightkills the maf use? but they might not use them right away so it's extra fuzzy. maybe nobody talked about this bc they are hoping maf isn't thinking about this. but they def are so w/e- fireisredsir
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see 703. it's for context for my catboi note right after. my notes were made beforehand so they're not AI anywayIn post 710, VP Baltar wrote:
Was loving Fire's analysis and then I read this.In post 702, fireisredsir wrote:- lukewarm being confused by frog in 397 kinda feels fake, but who isn't confused by frog sometimes
Why did you comment on this?- fireisredsir
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the way that it felt like it was gauging what the read was based on before publicly commenting to whether they would jump in on it or not seemed more scummy than solvy to meIn post 712, VP Baltar wrote:
This is the only other spot where I was like 'huh?' on your analysis.In post 702, fireisredsir wrote:- 595 hmm bad vibes here from menalque
Why does that post give you bad vibes?- fireisredsir
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yesterday. i was hoping to replace in if a slot became available so i was playing alongIn post 721, VP Baltar wrote:
When did you start taking notes on the game?In post 713, fireisredsir wrote:my notes were made beforehand so they're not AI anyway- fireisredsir
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351 felt very not serious to meIn post 743, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:I gave 351 some major side eye- fireisredsir
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huh? where did they say that? i said 351 looked jokey but i don't think the scumread overall was a joke and i don't see anything they said that would imply thatIn post 761, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:Sorry dwlee!
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oh. yea i kinda didn't believe them when they said that and assumed they did have some sort of gutread at least. like i think 288 is legit scummy and i doubt dwlee voted based on nothing, there must have been some reason to choose andante. but you're right that switching to the gamestate read as the main reason for scumreading is.... interesting, at least. i would lower my townread of them if they're serious about thatIn post 766, Cat Scratch Fever wrote: first part of 552
I misremembered - It wasn't a joke but it also wasn't a real read yet- fireisredsir
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see post 255. so if following ceph's plan we'd push the collective top townreads into the top 4 slots probs, and then the 4 after that can be a mixIn post 762, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:Errr possibly a dumb question but how do we select who goes into what group?- fireisredsir
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it isn't no reason. i think 256 is scummy. mostly a gut thing but it gave me vibes of him feeling like he needed to come up with a read that was supported by something at that time. doesn't feel organic. and since then he's disappeared a bit which prob isn't AI but also doesn't make me think he's any more townyIn post 801, Andante wrote:People "We're voting GL for no reason"
GL just isn't here...
real exciting wagon people!! at least go pick someone who is here and get that reaction.. voting GL accomplishes nothing... yall went back to mech talk while I was gone... like ughhh I really don't understand yall. making 0 sense- fireisredsir
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you seem pretty unengaged so far, so i have little to no read on you. don't think you've really done anything AIIn post 803, Titus wrote:Curious fire, what are your thoughts on me- fireisredsir
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no, ive never replaced in before so ive never really had to catch up before eitherIn post 809, Menalque wrote:@fire, we’ve played before right? Your catch up style is really familiar- fireisredsir
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idk! it's not strong, i just kinda got "oh I'm supposed to post more of my thoughts now" vibes. like i didn't really feel like they were thoughts that most town would naturally feel inclined to share at that time, yk? not that they felt fake on their own, but i sensed some pressure of some outside force that made you want to post them. and that pressure could come from a red pm. but that can sometimes be just more of a personality thing tooIn post 818, Menalque wrote:Can you please explain why you thought 164 felt like I was obligated to make it?
And at the same time what gave you bad vibes re: 595?
i talked about 595 in 716- fireisredsir
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yea, that doesn't seem out of character for him to me so i don't really see it as a reason to scumreadIn post 857, GuiltyLion wrote:
I do try to give reasons for my votes yeahIn post 811, fireisredsir wrote:it gave me vibes of him feeling like he needed to come up with a read that was supported by something at that time
do you disagree with the actual point I was making about Baltar? the only thing I saw you say about him was he seems "normalish"
i like your catchup posts better tho and agree on morning tweet
VOTE: Morning Tweet- fireisredsir
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this isn't really worth debating but im going to anyway: if i cared about that then i could have tried to pass it off as notes i made in the moment rather than what I had before. however my opinions did not change when i entered the game so there was no reason to revise my thoughts or make new onesIn post 940, Bell wrote:2. Choosing to post a readslist you made before you knew your alignment when the default perspective of this particular player is obviously town before they receive a role pm I think is more plausibly coming from the perspective of someone who has a perfectly good set of town opinions and that replacing them with their now scum-o-vision is both additional effort they might not wanna waste by making another list and, if they're not confident is likely to pass muster better than writing a list now that they're town.- fireisredsir
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well, i did, but no i was saying that idk if your narrative really fits bc given the motivations you are ascribing to scum me, the course of action that i took is not one that really makes sense as a result of those motivationsIn post 958, Bell wrote:So you're saying you replaced into a town slot, basically- fireisredsir
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ive been reading some morning tweet games and learned not much bc she replaces into games a lot and so i don't have many day 1s to compare to. i think i can buy that she can be a little less assertive early as maf. but i can also buy that she genuinely feels like she is stronger later in the game and isn't very enthused about the start of a large
so based on meta this looks well in her scumrange but not outside her townrange either. which means we can look at play instead, yay! and the play looks kinda scummy imo- fireisredsir
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im not feeling a lot of strong ones. im finding it kinda hard to play the game in the way that i normally would like to, prob cause i entered the game with a bunch of votes already on me and that changes a lot of dynamicsIn post 1030, Andante wrote:what are your reads currently looking like this game, I think that'd help me
but...
id say greeting and frog look p towny. catboi and vp look towny also but they're scary so idk if I trust them. im also kinda hesitantly trusting lion for now despite my initial sus. for scum rn im most interested in MT, menalque, andres. im not really feeling very trusting of csf, strange, and bell and am keeping an eye there, but am not really interested in pursuing there at the moment. the rest are somewhere in between or i don't have a good feel for them yet- fireisredsir
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ive read some games with him in it and do not think this is alignment indicative lol, if anything i think he is that way as town more oftenIn post 1032, Greeting wrote:Unfortunately, I feel like this could potentially be alignment indicative. I've played with catboi a few times before and he was never like this.- fireisredsir
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ok but counterpoint his avi do be kinda cuteIn post 1037, VP Baltar wrote:I did notice this as well, but I kind of wondered how much his new avi has to do with perception of it.- fireisredsir
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from catboi i get a feeling of him not really wanting to get down in the trenches in the dayplay yet. he talked a lot about mech and what mech strategy he thought was best, but lately it kinds feels like he's just sitting and watching and solving in his own head. i kinda get the impression he would want to try to control the game more as scum. i could be wrong and that's why im not fully trusting! but i feel more towny vibes so farIn post 1039, Andante wrote:hmm ok, can I get some explanations for the catboi tr, and why you're trusting lion even though you're sus of lion? (Don't worry about "scary" people... I promise they're just like me and you, super nice!!)
lion posted some early posts that I thought were kinda scummy and then disappeared. but then when he came back i liked his posts a lot and felt he was more towny. but he's also a good player i think and so i don't think i should really townread him for making good posts (pooky said something similar), but i like the direction he's going so im ok with hesitantly trusting him for now!- fireisredsir
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catboi: call it gut if you want, but it's based on how i think he would approach the game based on who i think he is as a player. maybe that's not how you read people but to me at least those kind of reads are where my most confident reads come from. i like to think about what motivations people would have to do what they're doing as either town or maf and then decide which one i think is more likelyIn post 1048, Andante wrote:So you have a TR on catboi... for essentially doing no solving?? You do realize it's easy for maf to talk mech... mech gives off nothing alignment indicative... and if catboi is one of your strong TRs.. with this reasoning?? umm I'm not even sure what to make of this
The lion read feels weird too, like, can you point to specific posts that you feel are towny?
these reads are just... you CAME IN with stronger reads than this from when you were following along... now? it's like "ehhh yeah they town!!" which I'm not sure I buy these are legit reads.. I need you to convince me more that these are your reads, sell me on the idea catboi is town, and sell me that GL is leaning town
lion: 853 and 875, that MT post was something i gutread as scummy but didn't really have the words for why and so to see him calling it out too and also give an explanation for it that fit with what i was thinking made me like him more. besides MT, his response to me in 857 felt good and solvy to me. idk if im really townleaning him individually but i agree with him on MT and if he's right on that then i think he's town. if not then eh its less of a townlean
reads in general: i don't think my reads are any stronger or weaker now than they were before, it's just that when responding to something in the moment it's easy to snap say "this is scummy" or "this is towny", but if you're asking me to like really reflect and explain my thought process, there's a lot more going on than that bc i don't ever locktown or lockscum people, especially this early- fireisredsir
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i also don't think catboi is doing no solving and didn't say i was TRing him for that. i just don't think he's sharing all of his solving with the thread, and just commenting on something when he feels it's worth doing. maybe he does that as scum sometimes too but in this case at least i feel towny vibes. he was also more outwardly pushing people earlier, like with luke, and that felt towny to me too- fireisredsir
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really? ig i wasn't here, but i didn't see anyone comment on MT looking scummy until after i came in. ill go have a look thoIn post 1064, Andante wrote:I think I wanna revisit your lion thing later, cause agreeing with someone on a sr is kinda just meh... like, MT has basically been SRed from the start I think, so it's not exactly an original read.. so I'm not a huge fan of the read- fireisredsir
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idk what this means. i feel like im missing an inside joke or smthIn post 1062, catboi wrote:look, a ghost- fireisredsir
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yea i reread and this is accurate, you had her as scum early but you were mostly the only one, a few others had her null. then you switched her to town in 481. nobody mentioned her until 663 where luke calls her town. then i said gut scumread off one of her posts in my notes in 702. so i don't think she was ever really a popular scumread until recentlyIn post 1068, Andante wrote:I mean, I had tweet as scum early, and I think people started SRing her more when I moved her to TR- fireisredsir
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i am. i just like to explore both possibilities to think about what the alternative could be if im wrong. which i guess you could argue is kinda like hedging! so to be more specific, i don't think it's hedgey exactly, i think the way that she went about it (specifically talking about 487 here, but i think similar ideas extend to other posts as well) didn't really read as if she was trying to solve the slot for herself, it felt more perfomative, like she knew it was a major topic of conversation that she needed to comment on but didn't really want to commit to either side. the evidence that she gave ("deflated", "I like the approach", "disconnected") seems more like it's aimed at appeasing other members in the game as opposed to evidence that one would actually use to sort. lion talked about this a bit earlier as well, saying something like that scum luke wouldn't be scared at all by that kind of post, and i think that's similar to how I feel about it.In post 1081, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:I thought you were scumreading MT for hedge-y posts, but you're also saying MT lacking confidence can be ascribed to general aversion to day 1 and large games.
Can you remind me why you scumread her again?- fireisredsir
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im not!In post 1139, VP Baltar wrote:Menalque - Don't remember Mena doing much this game. People are town binning this slot for some reason I feel like I don't understand. Definitely need to read.- fireisredsir
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im sure that guy never had any bad ideasIn post 1150, Frogsterking wrote:
Yes! I have an idea based on Francis Galton's guessing experiment.In post 1146, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:Have wallpost read lists come back into fashion? Maybe I'll post one later- fireisredsir
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ebwop hit submit accidentallyIn post 1218, fireisredsir wrote:i don't think the readlist thing is a good point btw (its v easy to find a completed town game where he has done that) but the first point was a decent one- fireisredsir
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i also have gotten that impression lolIn post 1235, Bell wrote:Pretty sure the mod could announce you IC and I would be calling you scum for it at this post based on my "goddamnit, fucking wifom" emotional response to this.
it's cool, i get it, that's the nature of replacing. if there's things about my play on its own that you wanna talk about at any point go for it, otherwise ima just keep doin my best to contribute- fireisredsir
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most of the people whose feathers i would like to ruffle have disappearedIn post 1323, catboi wrote:I think the scummiest thing about fire's play so far is that they seem to be playing it entirely safe with their their posting and not ruffle feathers at all- fireisredsir
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so you're saying that lion is doing this and therefore he is scum? can you point out the posts? i don't see the connection between what he's posted and what you're saying. or are you saying that consensus reads are useful for finding scum, and so you're scumreading him bc he's not a consensus townread? i just don't really follow what your point is here and how it leads to a lion voteIn post 1273, Greeting wrote:I wanted to wait untilGuiltyLioncomes back and question him, but he didn't show up.
VOTE: GuiltyLion
The reason for this is a very specific type of scumread, which is relying on consensus reads. Consensus reads, in my opinion, useless and counterproductive for town right now, but very useful for scum. The pool of townies should be a sum of individual townreads. Not "x is town because y is town and townreads x". Forming associations like this Day 1 is a bad strategy as they are unsupported by any hard data as to whom is voting out whom and whom is nominating for bomb expert (which is equated to being a townread in this game). We'll get the hard data once Day 1 is over. Right now this is just constantly shifting and it's not uncommon for mafia to be distancing themselves from one another.- fireisredsir
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i can unheal you if you want lol i just thought you wanted to be bomb expert and that we were trying to make your pooky team be the top 4In post 1337, Andante wrote:only 7 people aren't healing me.... 19 player game... how the heck do I have 12 votes? that's scary to me- fireisredsir
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could you link that game? i was scumreading him off something closer to awkwardness anyway, not lack of presenceIn post 1374, catboi wrote:With regard to menalque his preference is toward playing town, I got out of a scumgame recently where he was awkward as fuck, he seemed unbothered here early, good enough for a gut read. He doesn't have as much time for playing games these days so I don't think the lack of presence is particularly an alignment tell for him.- fireisredsir
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should i format them differently? ive never gotten this complaint but i am kinda new to forum format lolIn post 1401, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:I have some time so I'll take another look at Luke and fire, but something about fire's way of formatting posts make them hard to read for me ._. - fireisredsir
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