\o/In post 11164, Save The Dragons wrote:Taly has returned. Day won't start until i get off work.
Welcome back! <3
\o/In post 11164, Save The Dragons wrote:Taly has returned. Day won't start until i get off work.
And Enchant was arguably the most anti-town vt ever.In post 11178, Roden wrote:Math and Luke died
I think BB is town. Taly is still bleeding obvtown. My theory is that Bella was probably on Math n1 because of Dunn vig soft and she made the Bell kill because her role was probably no longer useful to scum. I no longer think strongman exists or Drap would be dead. It is interesting that scum was more afraid of Luke than trying to presumably go after whomever might be town doc protecting him.In post 11183, ProfessorDrapion wrote:In post 9359, Bell wrote:There some reason you didn't find Mala's announcement weird or anything? They claimed they could talk to dead people and only really retracted it a lot later.In post 9349, Best Bird wrote:Potentially one of them. I only have one more shot.In post 9348, Lukewarm wrote:Will you be able to talk to Dunn and Frog on day 3?Could lead to Mala or Best Bird.In post 9361, Bell wrote:Ah Luke asked. Would rather you had used it both times first. Before saying anything it would have made you easier to read but oh well.
Best Bird theoretically could have killed last night because of the “don’t track same person twice rule” it’s not directly a rule more so as it’s not common and I don’t normally do it.
Mala I think looks worse though.
I don’t think RCE is scum here. I either currently tr or tl all but 5 slots rn. I’ve pretty much cleared almost everyone off Enchant wagon.In post 11187, ProfessorDrapion wrote:Why are you town?In post 11185, RCEnigma wrote:Yeah except we aren’t limming mala or best bird today. Especially bird since he’s our potential link with Luke.
Why can’t we vote you today?
I strongly mindmeld with most of this. Agree with everyone you have off the table and agree with most of the other trs.In post 11190, Taly wrote:{Drap/Roden/butterchurn)are off the lim table
and I townreadRad/CSF/Pooky/Nancy/T-Bone
also I remember people doubtingC&G'sposting restriction validity and I thought that was a lot of fluff for no reason. Why?
Mason claims are town because I strongly read Dwlee as town and they’re a package deal. Also like Roden’s posting.In post 11195, Best Bird wrote:Wasn’t going to mention Rad, but I don’t like that post at all.
I have a pretty decent bop on Dwlee. I caught scum!Dwlee right out of the gate in Pokemon, so I’m trusting my read on the masons.In post 11204, Rad wrote:Roden's posting is terrible compared to his town 2095 newbie game. Dwlee was just absent. I do like butterchurn's posting though so I'm conflicted.In post 11200, butterflies wrote:Mason claims are town because I strongly read Dwlee as town and they’re a package deal. Also like Roden’s posting.In post 11195, Best Bird wrote:Wasn’t going to mention Rad, but I don’t like that post at all.
edit - yeah I just realized we have 2 butters now... uhhh... guess i'll spell them out for now
It’s only a half replacement. Titus couldn’t keep up with the game due to rl issues, so I just switched hydras with Flea.In post 11219, ProfessorDrapion wrote:If Butterfly’s replaced Puppets they are town.
@Drap, Everyone offwagon except for MT is either mason or hard tr. Onwagon. other mason, medium, T-Bone, CSF, RCE who are probably confident townleans as opposed to clears.
You mean Butterchurn who replaced into Dwlee slot but I was tr Dwlee even before the mason claim.In post 11227, ProfessorDrapion wrote:Actually wait I think it was the player who replaced into Dwlee that looked good cause wasn’t it Dwlee that replaced out?In post 11225, ProfessorDrapion wrote:That’s actually a fair point.In post 11200, butterflies wrote:Mason claims are town because I strongly read Dwlee as town and they’re a package deal. Also like Roden’s posting.In post 11195, Best Bird wrote:Wasn’t going to mention Rad, but I don’t like that post at all.
I’d agree Dwlee upon replace in looked real good.
Idk I forgot all I remember I seeing someone replace into the other mason slot and really liked one of the posts they madeZ
+1In post 11238, MalcolmTucker wrote:A bit like with the suspicion of Pooky and Luke yesterday that never went anywhere, feels like Rad is trying to shade widely townread players on the off-chance it'll work without ever really committing to it at all. I think it's fine to use meta but I think it's understandable that not everyone plays every game in the same way. I did scumread Roden early on but seeing little reason to doubt the mason claim at this stage.In post 11193, Rad wrote:So I know people hate meta, but I read Newbie 2095 during the break and both Roden and Mala as town in that game played completely different than whatever they're doing here. Both were thoughtful and full of analysis, and both leader types, even on Mala's alt. Like I read Roden as hard town almost immediately and it never dropped.
Is it ridiculous to doubt the mason claims here? I get it could be town complacence being "confirmed" but holy shit, it's like a different person. If we have some way to confirm one way or the other, that would be great, though I'm guessing we do not at this point without a flip, and no need to flip a mason claim at this stage I think?
I'd ask both of them to step up their game if town. I dunno if Mala's trying to push a new goof around town meta or something, but there's so much lost compared to how both of them played in 2095.
Lukey I have a short hiatus from site and I come back to discover FREAKING POSHUL staring at me? smh.
OtH is town regardless of what Mala is.In post 11296, Mislim Bait wrote:If one of rad/malcolm flip scum then the other is always town
same goes for oth/mala they're claims sort of conflict with each other
Meta reads I’m mindmelding with Pooky on and Bell was another.In post 11329, JohnnyFarrar wrote:This is coincidentally why I thought pooky scumread meIn post 11303, Off The Hook wrote:I'm also now wary of johnny and he knows why. I think he could be scum here : DD
I Keep going back and forth on it, cuz I trust Nancy's meta reads, but I also think csf could be scum here
In post 10618, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Why in the world do you think thatIn post 10605, Dancing Puppets wrote:I’m going to say it’s unlikely they no killed.
In post 10620, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Because there's 4000 people in this game
In post 10623, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Oh woop
In post 10624, JohnnyFarrar wrote:I read exactly the opposite lol
Hey Johhny, I’ve been wondering about this. If you misread my post then how was I also being Captain Obvious?In post 10625, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Tho in my defense you were being a lil captain obvious there
Link/quote?In post 11345, JohnnyFarrar wrote:I don't remember if that makes them town or scum but I remember a wooden conversation
I was going to ask if this was your PoE or the people knocked off from it until I saw CSF was on the list. So please tell me why all of these completely random players are still in your PoE?In post 11376, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Spoiler: living players
I haven't been paying attention in a minute but let's knock some people off this PoE right now
Spoiler:
Feel free to ask why, but most removals should be self evident
I applaud your confidence.
I think you’re asking the wrong questions: Why Luke? Why Bell?In post 11393, Roden wrote:I just don't get why a claimed Cop lives over one of their checks when the scum roleblocker appears to be dead
I don't think they have any reason to believe Pooky only has two shots and wouldn't lie about secretly having more
Why don’t you want to tr Taly, me and Rad? I like you too Johnny but I still would like to understand this better.In post 11402, JohnnyFarrar wrote:BlueBloodedToffee
butterflies
Malakittens
Taly
Off the Hook
Rad
RCEnigma
Mislim Bait
Cytosine and Guanine
Cat Scratch Fever
Best Bird
I trust Luke's read on Malcom so I'm taking him off for now.
I keep wanting to townread Taly, Nancy and Rad but I think it's just cuz I like em
Also Pooky's done his damage. He claimed 2 shot and both shots are spent. Luke was a bigger threat because he had a bigger voice
About CSF? I recently played a game with scum!them and most of their posts seemed very non-comtal, hedgey and surfacey.In post 11409, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Nancy you can't make fun of my bad posts AND ignore my questions
Yes but there’s no reason for you not to ask Pooky that question since he had the same read. Why don’t you want to know his opinion?In post 11414, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Cuz I'm asking you. Originally you said their scum play is wooden, and that's how they felt for the last two pages to meIn post 11412, butterflies wrote:About CSF? I recently played a game with scum!them and most of their posts seemed very non-comtal, hedgey and surfacey.In post 11409, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Nancy you can't make fun of my bad posts AND ignore my questions
Why aren’t you asking Pooky this question?
So do you currently have her as a null or a townlean then?In post 11416, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:i mean she has kind of fallen off a bit
Which post(s)? Can you link/quote them? This is the third time I’ve asked you this.In post 11419, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Like I been on itIn post 11344, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Nancy this feels wooden right here
This post? I do agree it doesn’t really make logical sense. If Bella was tr scum!CSF than it clearly would rule out a pocket obviously.In post 11343, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:Why does that rule out that she was buddying me?In post 11342, MalcolmTucker wrote:It's possible butthey did throw in a null-read there at one point.I don't think it's beyond Bella to have townread a potential teammate.
I’m still going back and forth on that. Rn, I’m just trying to get to the bottom of this Johnny/CSF thing. I’m trusting Pooky’s reads and want to check some stuff out.
Math spewed Bella wolf and Taly town. How did I miss this?In post 8091, MathBlade wrote:This is stupidIn post 8088, ProfessorDrapion wrote:I think Bella is wolf that didn't see it thus I was hoping no one would mention about her posts so she could respond to the one I gave to them so I can get a better read on them.In post 7983, Bell wrote:It was better, but no. They just picked up a bit in posting.In post 7979, T-Bone wrote:Did anything happen in the PT to reaffirm the read?
If you believe in town slips (I don't), they forgot Roden claimed mason.
It'd be funny if Bella and Taly are both town that forgot or didn't see Roden claim.
Taly is def town, either forgot about them being the mason or forgot about masons entirely.
There’s 5 scum
Surely scum would keep a log of who claims what
CSF isn’t a player I have extremely confident meta reads on, like I do with OtH, Taly, Dwlee, Pooky and even RCE. I’m trying to re-ISO both Math and Bella.In post 11430, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Ebwop I guess that whole page and onto the next one is more accurateIn post 11428, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Starting at this post and for basically that whole page. I don't know your definition of "wooden" but this ish is 100% tone deaf with a side of eneffectual pushingIn post 11330, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:I still think Johnny is scum >_<
I concede BBT is probably town, i forgot BBT and Bella had a that weird conversation about game pace
Bella can’t pocket you if you’re her buddy.In post 11432, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:What doesn't make sense?In post 11426, butterflies wrote:This post? I do agree it doesn’t really make logical sense. If Bella was tr scum!CSF than it clearly would rule out a pocket obviously.In post 11343, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:Why does that rule out that she was buddying me?In post 11342, MalcolmTucker wrote:It's possible butthey did throw in a null-read there at one point.I don't think it's beyond Bella to have townread a potential teammate.
Flea really hasn’t read anything but both me and Titus were hard tr that slot from the getgo.In post 11436, Taly wrote:i have experience withgammaandmarciand im weary of that slot
so how are you meta-readingOTHas town,nancy?
That’s fair. I actually find most pockets tend to come from scum who initially pushes you than reverses it, as opposed to players tr you right out of the gate. That’s definitely been my experience anyway and it works really well too because it looks very similar to town re-evaluating their read on you.In post 11437, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:Malcolm was saying that Bella was not pocketing me because she wasn't townreading me early Day 1.In post 11435, butterflies wrote:Bella can’t pocket you if you’re her buddy.
My point was simply that because Bella did not townread me in the beginning of Day 1 does not mean she was not pocketing me for the rest of the game.
I already did that Taly. It’s probably in an early DP post.In post 11439, Taly wrote:also this is completely irrelevant but i wasnt... thinking clearly, when i forgotIn post 11431, butterflies wrote:Bell wrote:It'd be funny if Bella and Taly are both town that forgot or didn't see Roden claim.roden'salignment inbell'sPT.
there were reasons i went VLA.
pedit
could you linknancy?
I will check if I linked anything else.In post 1978, Dancing Puppets wrote:https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... B%5D=35197
I dare anyone to tell me this isn’t town!Marci.
I don’t know how much attention you’ve been paying to this game but a lot haz happened since then. Like Math spewed Taly town during gladiate by not gaf whether or not Ceph or them got whacked and BB hadn’t claimed anything yet. Not saying this isn’t useful but I’d probably use it to see what flipped scum’s reads were att.In post 11457, Roden wrote:The graph is mainly just to see what Bell and Luke did to get themselves killed first and why Pooky may have been spared for now. It's not completely up to date, but we can factor those changes in if anyone knows Bell and Luke's final reads.
Mislim Bait, Taly, and Best Bird have the most to gain from killing Bell and Luke first, I think. Do we have any reason to remove any of them from the PoE?
I think RCE is town.In post 11471, Roden wrote:This is a massive overreaction. If something changed that made you seem townier then it'll come up as we discuss everything. If Luke or Bell's reads changed before they died, I asked for people to update it. Acting like I'm asking for a triple execution based on old reads is ridiculous, I'm just trying to start somewhere because the game state feels directionless and I think the NK choices were important.In post 11458, Best Bird wrote:Lol - you can fuckallthe way off of you are using that chart for that purpose.
Like, who else should be looked at right now? I've been trying to kill BBT for 5000 years and no one wants to commit to it. Rad is probably just town here. I don't want to vote Johnny today. I could be interested in RCE but I don't think anyone else is.
I think RCE is town.In post 11471, Roden wrote:This is a massive overreaction. If something changed that made you seem townier then it'll come up as we discuss everything. If Luke or Bell's reads changed before they died, I asked for people to update it. Acting like I'm asking for a triple execution based on old reads is ridiculous, I'm just trying to start somewhere because the game state feels directionless and I think the NK choices were important.In post 11458, Best Bird wrote:Lol - you can fuckallthe way off of you are using that chart for that purpose.
Like, who else should be looked at right now? I've been trying to kill BBT for 5000 years and no one wants to commit to it. Rad is probably just town here. I don't want to vote Johnny today. I could be interested in RCE but I don't think anyone else is.
I’m starting to think Johnny’s town here.In post 11532, JohnnyFarrar wrote:I don't entirely disagree and I agree BB is more likely scum than Mala here. But there is a usefulness in scum keeping this role hidden if they have it, if even to just save it for later and use the claim more strategically. BB just kinda came out with itIn post 11525, Off The Hook wrote:And why couldn’t the same apply for either of Mala or BB? Yes I recognize you stated those roles might be better to keep secret but I think I recall some instance of scum having a role like BB’s and using it to great effect. I think the scum utility of such a role might hinge somewhat on the reveal of it.
Well Toad sounds completely differently here than in Schadd’s game for one and his posts in geberal I like. He reminds me quite a bit here of Squid game.In post 11533, JohnnyFarrar wrote:Ooooh why. I have basically nothing for them in my headIn post 11531, butterflies wrote:I think RCE is town.
What about Bella wanting to vote them > Math?In post 11540, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:Maybe I was wrong to townread C&G? I feel like I've seen RH9 be more engaged in Dead/Spectator PTs than this game.
If hedgeyness is your criteria, then I think this spews Johnny town and it’s hard to tell with Mala but you could possibly be onto something with this.In post 11543, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:I'm mostly done with Malcolm's ISO. I don't see anything to rule him out as scum based on the flips we have.
He didn't talk to or about Corwin. He townread Math - 3014, 3943 - but I can see that coming from either town or scum.
With Bella:Bella's response (linked in spoiler below):In post 4982, MalcolmTucker wrote:Sure.In post 4981, Bellaphant wrote:Hi Malcolm, we are awake together and i change my mind on your alignment literally half way through your posts sometimes. Can you throw a question or two my way?
What's your read on Johnny?
What's your read on Dunn?
What's making you uncertain about my alignment?
Apologies if you've already clarified any of that.
Spoiler:
^ This is a hedge-y read on Malcolm from Bella (and she was quite hedge-y about Math!).
Neither party followed up on this conversation after that (I checked both ISOs - neither mentioned the other until at least day 2) - though if he were SvS with Bella, I'd be a bit surprised they didn't use this opportunity to get some SvS interactions in.
He's done a lot of Rad pushing, which I'm not really feeling. But if Johnny were scum, I'd also feel a good deal better about Malcolm. Idk that trio feels like a Gordian Knot to me
Isn’t he neighbour with Malcolm?In post 11544, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:btw did Luke ever claim/soft his role?
Also if Mala has a result from last night, she should claim that.
Most games I’ve seen where people say this, the player > rand tends to be town and defensiveness is usually nai.In post 11546, Roden wrote:Bird giving massive "caught for the wrong reasons" vibes when I didn't even say they were scummy but still got defensive
Hello Sherlock. Math tried to kill me but let’s just conveniently ignore that fact.In post 11556, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:BlueBloodedToffee - Obvtown
butterflies (Nancy Drew 39 and Flea The Magician)
Malakittens - Spewed town from Corwin
Taly - Spewed town from Math
PookyTheMagicalBear - Spewed town from Math
MalcolmTucker
Off the Hook (Gamma Emerald and Marcistar)
ProfessorDrapion - Tracker
Roden - Mason
Rad - Spewed town from Corwin
RCEnigma - Spewed town from Math
butterchurn - Mason
Mislim Bait
JohnnyFarrar - Spewed town from Bella
Cytosine and Guanine (Ircher and RH9) - Likely town from Bella choosing to vote them over Math instead of me?
T-Bone - Semi-confirmed from Pooky
Cat Scratch Fever - Spewed town from Bella (?)
Best Bird
That leaves;
Butterflies
Malcolm
OtH
Mislim
Best Bird
I'm not convinced on CSF, C&G, Rad or Johnny but I think I'm happy to go with this pool right now.
In post 11016, Cytosine and Guanine wrote:Here's the post-by-post paraphrase/summary of the neighborhood starting with MathBlade's entrance. (I already summarized/paraphrased the posts leading up to MathBlade's entrance in 9386.) I am putting it in spoilers because it's pretty long. If I am being vague, it's because 1) I want to stay pretty clear of the "not quite a copy-paste but dangerously close to being one" line and 2) the question or comment was very likely insignificant and would not be very relevant at this point.
Spoiler: Neighborhood Summary Pages 2-4
I'll post the other half of the neigbhorhood chat and our thoughts on associations and anti-associations tomorrow.
~Cytosine
In post 11159, Cytosine and Guanine wrote:VOTE: Enchant
For good measure.
I'm onboard with having Rad limmed next.
I didn't get around to summarizing the rest of the neighborhood, but Guanine and I had agreed that Enchant was scum given Math had put Enchant as "??? null" in Math's read just as Math did for Bella. Rad was also a solid null for MathBlade and never really mentioned; we believe Math's null reads had most of the scum.
Dancing Puppets is probably clear based on what I posted yesterday; looking iver that interaction, it doesn't seem the thing scum Math would do to his partner.
~Cytosine
Well what about Airplanes then? Wasn’t that the main reason I almost got run up in that? From what I recall, BB’s scumgame tends to be based off of him pretty much doing nothing but coasting and posting tons of gifs.In post 11570, Roden wrote:Being defensive over literally nothing and when an accusation hadn't even been made yet doesn't tend to come from town tbh. Town doesn't have a reason to feel guilty over having their name come up, nor do they have a reason to try to shut down conftowns from discussing the game. In fact the last time that happened to me, I was a D1 IC and scum acted the exact same way as Bird here when I pressured them.In post 11566, butterflies wrote:Most games I’ve seen where people say this, the player > rand tends to be town and defensiveness is usually nai.In post 11546, Roden wrote:Bird giving massive "caught for the wrong reasons" vibes when I didn't even say they were scummy but still got defensive
You also thought Bella was town and was pushing other slots than Math, so don’t understand this thought process at all.In post 11558, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:I understand I have to wait for a fair few people to die before I start pushing Butterflies so I just have to be patient with that one.
You shouldn't trust other people's reads either; especially when they're scum
Remember, they had Math at '80% town' and 'hard TR' Bella, too.
I voted Math on. d1 and I don’t see how wanting to wait for a replacement makes me scum. Maybe not if you’re scum here.In post 11575, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:I was talking in relation to trusting other people's reads, but sure.
I said Math could be scum and voted them multiple times. Sure, I didn't end up on the elim wagon but at least my read was right.
Your slot has been wrong on two confirmed scum so far. Not even just slightly wrong either, like go to bat for them wrong. So, yeah, not comparable.
If you want to go 1v1 with me, I seriously hope you’re town doing it and that’s all I’m going to say about that for now. I find your push on my slot +scum because of the obvious hypocrisy wrt your reasoning.In post 11579, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:OK, and I was staying busy scum hunting while waiting for a replacement, too. So, doesn't that negate your previous post?
Your slot said Math was 80% town and that was at start of D2 I believe.
It’s mine because I was starting to lean possible town on you and now I’m once again questioning that. You were never a clear for me but I’m not tr your push on me.In post 11581, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Why are you so worried about my read?
This post in particular reads really scummy to me.In post 11558, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:I understand I have to wait for a fair few people to die before I start pushing Butterflies so I just have to be patient with that one.
You shouldn't trust other people's reads either; especially when they're scum
Remember, they had Math at '80% town' and 'hard TR' Bella, too.
VOTE: BBTIn post 11583, butterflies wrote:This post in particular reads really scummy to me.In post 11558, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:I understand I have to wait for a fair few people to die before I start pushing Butterflies so I just have to be patient with that one.
You shouldn't trust other people's reads either; especially when they're scum
Remember, they had Math at '80% town' and 'hard TR' Bella, too.
Because you never hardpushed Math, you kept looking for other wagons and also defended Bella, so I struggle to see how your push on me is a real town thought coming from you.In post 11585, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:You don't see how I could possibly think you're scum in this game? I mean, there is no reason to elim you from my PoE and on top of that you heavily town read both flipped scum.
Like, how do you not understand where this read could come from?
PEdit - Why is it scummy?
This post is scum indicative because you’re already trying to set up my miselim in advance. If you were town here, you be wanting to re-evaluate after those other flips and say something like that but no, you’re already locked on me as scum before you even see those flips. I don’t see how town ever thinks like this.In post 11584, butterflies wrote:VOTE: BBTIn post 11583, butterflies wrote:This post in particular reads really scummy to me.In post 11558, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:I understand I have to wait for a fair few people to die before I start pushing Butterflies so I just have to be patient with that one.
You shouldn't trust other people's reads either; especially when they're scum
Remember, they had Math at '80% town' and 'hard TR' Bella, too.
+1In post 11589, Best Bird wrote:I mean - that's the point. There are similarities in that you both defended scum and didn't vote for the wagons on flipped scum yet you are scum reading butterflies for it while saying "oh I have explained it" for you.In post 11587, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:I didn't hard push Math, no. In fact, I probably haven't hard pushed anyone and I have stated why my play has been the way it has multiple times already.
The only times I looked for other wagons was when Math was being replaced. What is the point in an idle vote/push when gaining no more information?
I did defend Bella, yeah. I have explained that, too.
I love how you just ignored everything I and BB just said.In post 11596, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:DP running me up to counter the Math wagon is a great point though. Well done, me!