Mini 2284: The Thing Anonymous [Day 2]
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- Fuchs~
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This feels actually doing this will break this ruleIn post 39, Blair~ wrote:Today I am human. My keycode today is itwapofmhaocotbtdwqdasdotnidttaasssttlhoimaaosac.
it stands for :
Inside the Waystone a pair of men huddled at one corner of the bar. They drank with quiet determination, avoiding serious discussions of troubling news. In doing this they added a small, sullen silence to the larger, hollow one. It made an alloy of sorts, a counterpoint.
A line from one of my favorite books on my bookshelf. I know those things cannot read - they know only how to destroy.
My keycode tomorrow will be: hsialsrbbeftcaglutrcbostfotsatdadayasacsfttgrtrtmfttsptbiwtlaitwdalutfctootfhtwb
if I cannot explain what it stands for, you will know I am no longer with you and you should incinerate me immediately with no mercy for I am now one of them.But I also think that trying to do something like this makes Blair town.
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Oh, peta already chimed in lolIn post 51, petapan wrote:A reminder to all players:
Codes are explicitly forbidden in the rules, don't go attempting to use them. This will be the only time I warn people, further instances will get you booted from the game.- Fuchs~
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So far I have exactly 2 reads. Blair town and Clark lean scum.In post 104, Garry~ wrote:
Who else is in your scum pile/what is the anything else that you disliked?In post 87, Fuchs~ wrote:I did not like Clark's 53 and 58
More so then anything else that has happened in this game, but not really ready to move any wagon to E-1.
So, he is in my scum pile but not actually going to vote there atm.
Before I made that post, my vote was parked on my RVS vote because I did not have a serious place to put it. But now I did have a serious place to put it, but I did not want to put it there
Also, wanted to point out that his response to getting votes was worse then anything that anyone had actually voted him for prior to that imo.- Fuchs~
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Did not really like this post
You think clark is town, but you are okay with a wagon there because "info is info" does not feel like a genuine thought.In post 111, Palmer~ wrote:I don't currently think Clark is a Thing. I can understand the feeling of annoyance that people took his post the wrong way. Though I don't have anything against a wagon there, as I don't think any of my ideas are going to be >rand right now, and info is info.
Nauls gives me town vibes. Gut tells me that a Thing, if they were planning an entrance to the thread with content, wouldn't have chosen a single post from page 2 to form all their content on.
Garry also feels slightly towny. Explanation purposefully omitted for now.
@Copper, give me your strongest Human and Thing read?
Saying that someone is town because on page 5, the most interesting thing they saw while reading was on Page 2 also does not feel like a real take either.
So after reading it, I opened your iso. So far you have claimed to have had alignment thoughts on Lars, MacReady, Copper, Windows, Clark, Nauls and Garry. Largely light comments, but all voiced, which made it look more like you are just going through the motions of calling things town or scum, vs have real thoughts on these players.- Fuchs~
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My assumption is that Blair came up with their idea of the code between the time of sign ups and the time that role pms went out, and therefore checking the rules or not is NAI.In post 138, Windows~ wrote:I'm also not convinced a town Blair posts his code so confidently especially with giving the answer to the first code. That to me feels more likely scum trying to appear to be town. Where's the "shit if town go with this and scum crack the code then this move will lose the game for town" sense of caution? Also I kinda feel someone genuinely trying it as town would more likely have checked the rules to confirm if it's okay or not.
The way I see it, is that during that time frame, they started thinking about what to do about the swap mechanic, -> Came up with the idea for their code -> thought it would be an effective way to hamper it -> got role pm
I feel like if they had that idea, and thought it was a good way to mess up the scum team, they just... would not have done it if they rolled scum. Until someone just broke their code, it actually seemed like a pretty full proof way to deal with the issue, and scum!Blair would not want to hand their full proof plan on how to deal with the issue to the town.
Especially in an Anon game where there would be no preconceived notion on whether Blair is the type of person who would have worked on some kind of answer to that problem.- Fuchs~
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Its too many thoughts on too many people, with none of them fleshed out. Just light thought into light thought.In post 123, Palmer~ wrote:
I don't understand this point. If I hadn't voiced those opinions, then you wouldn't know I had them, no?In post 116, Fuchs~ wrote:So after reading it, I opened your iso. So far you have claimed to have had alignment thoughts on Lars, MacReady, Copper, Windows, Clark, Nauls and Garry. Largely light comments, but all voiced, which made it look more like you are just going through the motions of calling things town or scum, vs have real thoughts on these players.
I feel like when people are genuinely sorting a player list there is a level of distraction or focus as they are thinking about things. Like, focusing more on the people they have stronger thoughts on, or focusing more on someone they want to get stronger thoughts on.
Instead what I am seeing with you is a scattershot, which looks more like it is for the sake of looking like you are sorting then genuine sorting.
Of those 7 names you have commented on,- Fuchs~
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In post 117, Norris~ wrote:
OKAY fuchs is townIn post 116, Fuchs~ wrote:Did not really like this post
You think clark is town, but you are okay with a wagon there because "info is info" does not feel like a genuine thought.In post 111, Palmer~ wrote:I don't currently think Clark is a Thing. I can understand the feeling of annoyance that people took his post the wrong way. Though I don't have anything against a wagon there, as I don't think any of my ideas are going to be >rand right now, and info is info.
Nauls gives me town vibes. Gut tells me that a Thing, if they were planning an entrance to the thread with content, wouldn't have chosen a single post from page 2 to form all their content on.
Garry also feels slightly towny. Explanation purposefully omitted for now.
@Copper, give me your strongest Human and Thing read?
Saying that someone is town because on page 5, the most interesting thing they saw while reading was on Page 2 also does not feel like a real take either.
So after reading it, I opened your iso. So far you have claimed to have had alignment thoughts on Lars, MacReady, Copper, Windows, Clark, Nauls and Garry. Largely light comments, but all voiced, which made it look more like you are just going through the motions of calling things town or scum, vs have real thoughts on these players.
Norris, why does you deciding that I am town mean that I get to decide your vote?In post 118, Norris~ wrote:fuchs tell me where to vote and ill do it.
And also, why did you then tell me to tell you where to vote, instead of following my vote / reasoning in the very post you quoted?- Fuchs~
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I think he is saying that you would not have given the answer to the first code, because it would help scum figure out your second code -- and that town!you would have thought about that.
But it misses the fact that if you did not do an example, then any made up sentence could be passed off as the answer. But since I have your first code and answer, I could spot check a fake answer. I did not do that for Lars today, because of your response. But doing it now, it actually does not pass the smell test when looked at closely- Fuchs~
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I don't think I understand what you are saying here?In post 166, Nauls~ wrote:Odds of Fuchs/Norris scum and that one part of 116 made about my intro was some sort of chainsaw defense? Or maybe the "where to vote thing" is too genuine to come from that team. Both of them looks iffy to me regardless.
You think that my comment about Palmer was a chainsaw defense of Norris?
I am not calling you scum here, I am vaguely leaning town on you. I was calling Palmer's reasoning non-genuine looking, like he was looking for a way to make an alignment based statement about you vs seeing something that he actually thought was alignment indicative, and that then influencing his read. I feel like I have reworded my point a few times, but am struggling to get people to actually understand my point about Palmer's post (including Palmer lol)
Just to add, this self referential nature of viewing the game does leans me more to you being town.- Fuchs~
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I town read Lars's posts about Norris here for the exact reasons that you scum read them lmao.In post 201, Palmer~ wrote:I'm gonna go out on a limb and say that Lars' treatment of Norris isworsethan Copper's is, assuming Norris is town. Copper's vote is naked and unexplained, sure. But reading through Lars' posts on the bottom of page 7 and top of page 8, they give off this aura of Lars trying really hard to appear superior to Norris. It doesn't read like he's actually interrogating Norris, it reads like he's trying to show to the rest of us how unreasonable and scummy Norris is.
I also think Norris is a type of player that is easier to read if he's allowed to do his own thing, rather than if he gets jumped on early. Which is an additional point that gives me the chills about Lars here.
Lars is putting in work on it, cross checking the tone of his recent posts vs how he presented prior, and putting himself in the forefront of the push by being the strongest, loudest, most detailed pusher. This is not where scum want to be on a town!Norris wagon.
It is early Day 1, and Norris is doing a decent job of making himself look bad. No need for scum to go this hard right there, so this looks more to me like town!Lars genuinely believing in his case.- Fuchs~
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In post 281, Windows~ wrote:
Copper went from "mostly a gutread" to "this kind of behaviour is really scummy" in literally 2 minutes, you don't see a contradiction there?
Cooper tries to justify this but I don't buy it:
You finished the backread in the 2 minutes between those posts?In post 255, Copper~ wrote: I had not quite finished my backread when responding to Bennings, Norris started getting really trolly on page 8 which I didn't read during the "sheeping" comment, the "trolling" comment came after I read everything.
And the "we're not even on page 10" sounds like you were caught up:
"I forgot to mention the scumminess of the posting style" is an explanation I could have bought but "I was still rereading" I don't think fits with that timeline.In post 206, Copper~ wrote:
I think windows is town for this post
Opportunistic how? It's mostly a gutread but we're not even on page 10.- Fuchs~
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ebwopIn post 383, Fuchs~ wrote:
I think windows is town for this postIn post 281, Windows~ wrote:
Copper went from "mostly a gutread" to "this kind of behaviour is really scummy" in literally 2 minutes, you don't see a contradiction there?
Cooper tries to justify this but I don't buy it:
You finished the backread in the 2 minutes between those posts?In post 255, Copper~ wrote: I had not quite finished my backread when responding to Bennings, Norris started getting really trolly on page 8 which I didn't read during the "sheeping" comment, the "trolling" comment came after I read everything.
And the "we're not even on page 10" sounds like you were caught up:
"I forgot to mention the scumminess of the posting style" is an explanation I could have bought but "I was still rereading" I don't think fits with that timeline.In post 206, Copper~ wrote:
I think windows is town for this post
Opportunistic how? It's mostly a gutread but we're not even on page 10.
Put my comment in the middle of the quote lol- Fuchs~
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Oh look, it meIn post 335, Norris~ wrote:Wheres Fuchs at though?- Fuchs~
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This feels like really bad reasoning, but Norris putting his entire point inside a spoiler inside a quote makes me want to call him town again. At least back up to nullIn post 349, Norris~ wrote:
u can try opening fhe quote in the post ur looking at and opening the spoiler and read the italics i added on.. please?In post 347, Bennings~ wrote:
so what separates childs from the rest?In post 317, Norris~ wrote:I don't like everyone pushing me, but I don't complain about every single one of them.- Fuchs~
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In post 317, Norris~ wrote:
I don't like everyone pushing me, but I don't complain about every single one of them.In post 316, MacReady~ wrote:You don't seem to like Childs pushing you so I wouldn't expect you to
But.. whateverIn post 311, MacReady~ wrote:Spoiler:
Pages 11 and 12 actually
I feel like his approach to your slot, particularly from these posts are unlikely to come from scum - he feels truly annoyed at the situation, is not pushing a policy lim, and is trying to understand Norris's behavior in an AI context. The cumulative effect feels townie to me, doesn't feel like a policy lim from scum- Fuchs~
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Wow, managed to put my comment in the wrong place twice. Oh how I have goofed this nightIn post 388, Fuchs~ wrote:
And actually reading this, I kinda like the content of the post.In post 317, Norris~ wrote:
I don't like everyone pushing me, but I don't complain about every single one of them.In post 316, MacReady~ wrote:You don't seem to like Childs pushing you so I wouldn't expect you to
But.. whateverIn post 311, MacReady~ wrote:Spoiler:
Pages 11 and 12 actually
I feel like his approach to your slot, particularly from these posts are unlikely to come from scum - he feels truly annoyed at the situation, is not pushing a policy lim, and is trying to understand Norris's behavior in an AI context. The cumulative effect feels townie to me, doesn't feel like a policy lim from scum- Fuchs~
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In post 356, Palmer~ wrote:If you read my posts, you will notice that I don't scumread any of the three wagons! And I DO scumread multiple people voting for those wagons!
In addition to that, I do not care about baseless VCA!
Not liking the wagons in part because you scum read multiple people voting on those wagons feels pretty contradictory to coming back and arguing that maybe scum does not feel the need to push any of the wagons since they are all town.In post 362, Palmer~ wrote:Or maybe these are three town wagons and the things don't give two shits about pushing town wagons when there's no threat for them. But I dunno.- Fuchs~
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I think that Blair, Lars, Nails, Copper, Windows, Norris and MacReady are all town of varying degrees of strength
I have had conflicting thoughts on Childs, so he is in: I don't know where these balance out, so I'll call it Null Tier.
I have had 0 retained thoughts on Garry or Bennings, so they are in null:scum.
Palmer and Clark in the scum pile- Fuchs~
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I probably could have zoomed in more to show what I actually was focused on
Looking at the time stamps to see if the timing makes sense, just is not something that scum him would do here.In post 281, Windows~ wrote:You finished the backread in the 2 minutes between those posts?
Like, lets assume that he is scum and you are town. When he sees your response, that you posted one thing mid catch up, then followed up with it upon reading the more recent posts, then he immediately knows that you are telling the truth about that. There is no built in trigger here for him to scroll back to previous pages to investigate the timing of your posts, because he knows you are telling the truth and that you did in fact have the time to do what you claimed. He would not expect to find a contradiction, since he knows its true based on knowledge of your alignment.
Sure if he is scum, he might keep calling you scum here, and not just accept your answer. But going back to check the time stamps to see if you had enough time to read more is not the angle he is going to start with, when he knows that by default you are telling the truth and did have time enough time to read more.
No. This is a town reaction to your explanation for something that he found suspicious.
He had a suspicion -> you stated your explanation -> he scrolled back to see if your explanation made sense -> he did not think that it made sense, so he pointed it out for everyone to see.
To be clear, I disagree with his conclusion, but I think that it was a townie brain that led him there.- Fuchs~
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And like, as the person that he is suspecting, I get that the natural reaction to what feels like a bad push on you is this, there is just the question of why would he even need to be grasping at straws as scum to push you here.In post 332, Copper~ wrote:Windows stonks go down because really that was just grasping at straws.
At the time there was no wagon higher then 4 votes, and there were 3 total wagons with 3-4 votes.
With 3 different medium sized wagons, and 0 near-critical wagons, it is hard to imagine that scum!Windows was in a position where he was so desperate to get you miseliminated that he felt the need to be "grasping at straws." Just makes a lot more sense to me that it is a townie who is genuinely thinks that you are scum.- Fuchs~
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Saying that I randomly showed up to do this, and attributing it to windows getting votes ignores the context. Like I was out of thread long enough to get a prod message from the mod, and so the time I was not "randomly showing up," I was catching back up after being away for a while.In post 404, Nauls~ wrote:Also the fact the moment where the current wagons get questioned and momentum towards a Windows wagon actually starts to form, 2 players randomly show up to reawaken the Clark wagon, which they’ve been quiet on for a while. Veeeery iffy on that.
And like... yes?In post 404, Nauls~ wrote:Fuchs in particular looks bad.
Windows only mentioned Fuchs once ever and it wasn’t even when talking about their alignment. Fuchs has been quiet on Windows’ alignment and suddenly decided they liked a single post from Windows, then following that up with the vote on Clark saying they think all other wagons are on town.
May I remind you that Fuchs very briefly calling a single one of Windows’ post townie is his entire stance there.
I did not have a read on Windows, then I read a post that made me think he was likely to be town, and then explained why when asked.
But you said that like it was an accusation lol- Fuchs~
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Going from this stance on Clark :
To *big text* *all caps* "sweet jesus save this man" based on me voting him is WILDIn post 341, Nauls~ wrote:MacReady, Palmer
Garry, Blair
Copper, Childs, Lars,
Clark, Bennings
Norris, Fuchs, Windows
{snip}
On the flip side, the Clark wagon composition is good enough to make Clark look worse.
(snip}
Kind of like Clark’s 58 and 60, tbh. The annoyance seems to come more from a town POV than a scum one. 239 looks decent I’d say? Don’t like 295 though, it feels fabricated. Also the way the Clark wagon has gradually died down feels off, like scum purposely stopped paying attention to it. Maybe it has something to do with a shift out of the early game wagons, but I feel like Copper’s still being seriously discussed in spite of that. Maybe it’s cause Clark got replaced, but I also don’t see much from Clark 2.0 that looks very town indicative.- Fuchs~
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This was not my point at all.In post 407, Nauls~ wrote:In post 401, Fuchs~ wrote:
And like, as the person that he is suspecting, I get that the natural reaction to what feels like a bad push on you is this, there is just the question of why would he even need to be grasping at straws as scum to push you here.In post 332, Copper~ wrote:Windows stonks go down because really that was just grasping at straws.
At the time there was no wagon higher then 4 votes, and there were 3 total wagons with 3-4 votes.
With 3 different medium sized wagons, and 0 near-critical wagons, it is hard to imagine that scum!Windows was in a position where he was so desperate to get you miseliminated that he felt the need to be "grasping at straws." Just makes a lot more sense to me that it is a townie who is genuinely thinks that you are scum.If scum sees what they think is a contradiction or a potential gotcha on a townie, they won’t think “ehhh actually there’s no urgency so I just won’t call this out”,they’ll still call it out. The current gamestate is pretty meaningless, scum will almost always call out something that will push their agenda.
Also I’m pretty sure Fuchs just straight up knows that Copper is a townie here
My point is that when I see someone making arguments that come across as "grasping at straws," such as this timing argument, then it is likely either: a townie who is kinda tunneled and seeing evidence everywhere they look OR scum in a desperate position.
There is no reasons to think that if he were scum he would be in a desperate position, therefore, him being town confirmation baising his own read when looking back over it makes more sense to me.- Fuchs~
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The long and short of those posts was : when I look at the way he was going about his sorting, it looked like fake sorting vs genuine sorting thoughts.
Like I saw what looked like sorting for the purpose of looking like you are sorting.
It seems like you disagreed with every single line I had to say in those posts though, so idk man, feels kind of pointless to jump back into re-explaining my thoughts there- Fuchs~
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That is not all you did in that post.In post 417, Nauls~ wrote:
“Clark is suspicious” and “We shouldn’t put people on E-1 because this setup is particularly conducive to scum sniping a hammer” aren’t contradictory ideasIn post 413, Fuchs~ wrote:Going from this stance on Clark :
To *big text* *all caps* "sweet jesus save this man" based on me voting him is WILDIn post 341, Nauls~ wrote:MacReady, Palmer
Garry, Blair
Copper, Childs, Lars,
Clark, Bennings
Norris, Fuchs, Windows
{snip}
On the flip side, the Clark wagon composition is good enough to make Clark look worse.
(snip}
Kind of like Clark’s 58 and 60, tbh. The annoyance seems to come more from a town POV than a scum one. 239 looks decent I’d say? Don’t like 295 though, it feels fabricated. Also the way the Clark wagon has gradually died down feels off, like scum purposely stopped paying attention to it. Maybe it has something to do with a shift out of the early game wagons, but I feel like Copper’s still being seriously discussed in spite of that. Maybe it’s cause Clark got replaced, but I also don’t see much from Clark 2.0 that looks very town indicative.
-You made made a bolded large text statement about not voting him to E-1
-You called the timing of votes on his suspicious
-You voted his counter wagon
-You attacked the reason I called his counter wagon town.
These 4 things combined into one post are not the same as just making a statement about the setup and quick hammers.- Fuchs~
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I, in general, find the majority of posts people make to be nai, because it turns out that scum are doing their best to make it so that their posts do not look scummy, and townies are not necessarily doing their best to make their posts not look scummy, meaning that, in general, it is hard to look at a post and declare it more or less likely to come from town or scum.In post 419, Nauls~ wrote:
I say it like it’s an accusation because I would expect your read on someone who’s posted substantial amounts of content to be based off of more than a single post of theirs. I don’t really see how you can form a read on Windows off of that singular post when there’s plenty more.In post 412, Fuchs~ wrote:And like... yes?
I did not have a read on Windows, then I read a post that made me think he was likely to be town, and then explained why when asked.
But you said that like it was an accusation lol
Especially on day 1, before we have any flips, and therefore cannot look at a players interactions with a flipped slot, and just tone and intent are all that we are going off of.
That post from Windows was the first one that gave me strong thoughts about the alignment that would result in a player writing that post in particular.- Fuchs~
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But of course, you found the idea that I would only have 2 reads on page 5 also suspicious (which flows from what I just said btw), and it is hard to tell if you are just calling every single thing that I do suspicious or if you and I just view the game incredibly differently.In post 163, Nauls~ wrote:
Eh... I don't really like this post. Having "only 2 reads" is a very restrictive way to view the game for a townie, who would be organically forming thoughts on the other players. Especially don't like this when both of these reads have been explicitly stated by Fuchs earlier and seem to have not changed whatsoever since.In post 110, Fuchs~ wrote:
So far I have exactly 2 reads. Blair town and Clark lean scum.In post 104, Garry~ wrote:
Who else is in your scum pile/what is the anything else that you disliked?In post 87, Fuchs~ wrote:I did not like Clark's 53 and 58
More so then anything else that has happened in this game, but not really ready to move any wagon to E-1.
So, he is in my scum pile but not actually going to vote there atm.
Before I made that post, my vote was parked on my RVS vote because I did not have a serious place to put it. But now I did have a serious place to put it, but I did not want to put it there
Also, wanted to point out that his response to getting votes was worse then anything that anyone had actually voted him for prior to that imo.
Because me not having enough reads on page 5 was suspicious, me developing a scum read on Palmer was suspicious, me developing a town read on Windows was suspicious, me voting Clark was suspicious.- Fuchs~
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First the bolded: If your basis for claiming that something makes someone a town read, is that they must do something that scum can't do, then you will never form a town read ever. Scum can do anything. This is a game of "more likely's"In post 438, Palmer~ wrote:
Once again, saying what I was thinking when reading that.In post 407, Nauls~ wrote:If scum sees what they think is a contradiction or a potential gotcha on a townie, they won’t think “ehhh actually there’s no urgency so I just won’t call this out”, they’ll still call it out. The current gamestate is pretty meaningless, scum will almost always call out something that will push their agenda.
In post 414, Fuchs~ wrote:My point is that when I see someone making arguments that come across as "grasping at straws," such as this timing argument, then it is likely either: a townie who is kinda tunneled and seeing evidence everywhere they look OR scum in a desperate position.Why can it not be scum pretending to be a tunneled townie?This is assuming that scum never forcefully does anything unless they have to, and I think that's very wrong.
Now the Italics: That is not anywhere close to my point.
Scum can, and do, make pushes on townies. Even when they are not in a bad spot, and that is simply not my point.
You are taking something that I am saying about a very specific situation [that he madethis push, inthis way,in this game state] And trying to reframe it as if I am claiming a universal truth that scum would not makeany push, inany way, in this game state.- Fuchs~
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And in my experience, the person making this kind of argument, [saying that you need to explain why scum could not do the thing that makes you think someone is more likely town] is scum most interested in shooting down the formation of town reads on potential miselim options.In post 440, Fuchs~ wrote:First the bolded: If your basis for claiming that something makes someone a town read, is that they must do something that scum can't do, then you will never form a town read ever. Scum can do anything. This is a game of "more likely's"
I like really want Palmer to be today's elim
VOTE: Palmer- Fuchs~
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Like it not being framed that windows IS SCUM, doing that, just that he COULD BE scum doing that, shows more interest in shooting down the town read then actually sorting windows.In post 441, Fuchs~ wrote:And in my experience, the person making this kind of argument, [saying that you need to explain why scum could not do the thing that makes you think someone is more likely town] is scum most interested in shooting down the formation of town reads on potential miselim options.- Fuchs~
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In post 445, Norris~ wrote:aye maybe palmer is actually scum- Fuchs~
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In post 449, Copper~ wrote:Yeah I agree with this, it's just... a weird defense. Scum can fake such things.In post 451, Copper~ wrote:Why can't scum fake a tunnel?This feels intentional
I don't know how many ways I can say that this looks like a genuine tunnel vs the angle that scum would consider taking in this situation.
Yes they can, it is a possibility. I am saying I don't think that they would.
Like subtract out my reaction to his push.
The reaction to it was that it convinced zero people that copper was more likely to be scum, convinced zero people that windows was more likely to be town (again subtracting me) and convinced 5 players to lower their read on him (Copper, Palmer, Clark, Nauls, MacReady). Ah yes, the tell tell calculated scum move.
So the repeated people chiming in with "but why couldn't scum him fake this," that is simply not how I am looking at the situation, and I am asking my self "why would scum him to this to himself." And I don't think that he would. That is what I was trying to say when I was talking about the game state. There was nothing about the situation, forcing him to make such a bad move.
And I simply dont think that people not liking his argument makes him more likely to be scum, because scum are actively trying to make arguments that people like. Townies are making arguments that they believe in, regardless of how other people are going to like it.
And yes scum can do it, and yes they can make mistakes or miscalculations, so sure him still being scum is possible. But it became a lot less likely from my pov. And I think about this game in terms of more or less likely.
Anyways, not sure how many other ways I can try to reword my thoughts before I go insane, so probably going to stop responding to all questions about my windows read from here on out toDay.- Fuchs~
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My response to a counter argument is not the same thing as my original point.In post 457, Nauls~ wrote:You could apply this to any post that people don’t like. “But scum wouldn’t make a post people don’t like!”
“Scum!Windows wouldn’t make such a bad post” is an odd point to make.
My original point was: scum, who can make up any argument about any slot, would not be making this particular argument unless they were desperate, and there is not reason for him to be desperate -- with a side splash of, I can see the exact town mindset that would lead to a townie making this point. Therefore, less likely to come from scum and more likely to come from town.
When I was looking back to count how many people scum read the post, I saw this post from blair.
My original point is more in the ball park of this. Less condescending, but in the same ball park.In post 372, Blair~ wrote:
I thought his "reasoning" for thinking I am mafia is too stupid for a mafia player to make up.In post 370, MacReady~ wrote:Why do you think Windows is townie?- Fuchs~
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ElaborateIn post 472, Copper~ wrote:Clark is more likely town.- Fuchs~
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Looking back at your iso, the last time you said anything about clark's alignment was this back on page 4In post 79, Copper~ wrote:I don't think Clark is scum. Off-the-hip gut read.- Fuchs~
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In post 481, MacReady~ wrote:Garry, will you be catching up?
At this point Clarke is by far my favorite wagon. The first incarnation if the slot was very scummy, and the second is not trying to solve the game at allIn post 482, MacReady~ wrote:I am getting somewhat alarmed by the fact that the game is stalling a bit
VOTE: Clark
I someone already did an intent to E-1. This should get the game moving actively, and Clark is my second choice anyways.
Clark, you should claim.- Fuchs~
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They way that Clark has gone existing in thread while close to elimination feels more likely to be scum then a town PR I think.
But on the other hand, looking at the Clark wiki, jailkeeper seems very thematically appropriate while jailkeeper seeming to be an unlikely role for scum to get.
Gonna think on it- Fuchs~
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Based on the mechanics of the game, I find it doubtful we have a vigilante. And therefore, there would be no mechanical advantage for scum to have a jailkeeper instead of a roleblocker -- unless peta put it in there just for the fake out.In post 501, MacReady~ wrote:In post 498, Clark~ wrote:I'm a jailkeeper
Strongly agree with the first point, why do you think it's unlikely for scum to have this role?In post 500, Fuchs~ wrote:They way that Clark has gone existing in thread while close to elimination feels more likely to be scum then a town PR I think.
But on the other hand, looking at the Clark wiki, jailkeeper seems very thematically appropriate while jailkeeper seeming to be an unlikely role for scum to get.
Gonna think on it
But regardless, after thinking about it, I am not really interested in moving my vote for that reason.
@Clark, who are your top town reads?- Fuchs~
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Childs, how much had you read when you wrote this post?In post 516, Childs~ wrote:
Funny, mine is that you're scum if he isn't.In post 79, Copper~ wrote:I don't think Clark is scum. Off-the-hip gut read.
Spoiler: notes up to this point
It being said under the quote for post 79, while saying up to this point, feels like it should mean that it was your notes up to post 79, but I wanted to check- Fuchs~
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Disagree. I was actually getting ready to type a similar post until I saw 512. Voicing it now announces to the scum team that that is something the will need to keep up with it, while sitting on it for at least a day would open up the possibility of actually catching scum with it.In post 520, Bennings~ wrote:
it limits scum options because now they have to think about thisIn post 512, Windows~ wrote:If they were stupid enough to try they aren't going to be stupid enough to try now you've pointed it out... I don't see the town motivation for posting this now rather than say sometime in D2.
Not sure that it makes Childs scum, because that seems like a thought that they would post in the scum chat instead of the main thread if they were scum, but it was also probably anti-town to say it.
While there are surface similarities, I will give full originality points to nauls for their post.similar to how nauls (i think it was nauls) commented about not voting on E-2 limits scum options, which I think was a much townier way of the whole "i don't want to put someone to E-1" train of thought than what fuchs did originally
I had not really considered the quick hammer into slot abandonment option. Mine was more just that it was only page 4.
Although thinking about the quick hammer into slot abandonment option, I don't know that that is actually something scum would want to do unless their current slot was in a really doomed position, so not sure it is actually a super big concern atm.- Fuchs~
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In post 508, Blair~ wrote:We can test a jailkeeper claim in this game because scum can't actually have a roleblocker but this risks letting Clark jump into a new body if she is a thingI am not following this at all.
Oh.
Just checked back to the OP
Hmm. We could potentially prove their alignment.
However, it would require a different power role out themselves for him to target, likely an invest since they would need to know that they got blocked. And give up that power role's ability for the night.
And if he is scum, then he just slot swaps tonight, and tries again on a different slot.- Fuchs~
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So, uh...In post 542, Clark~ wrote:Fuchs - already talked about
those are my three biggest scum reads. Windows and palmer are floating in the lower half of my reads as well but not to the extent of those three
Did you forget what read you had on me lmao
In post 464, Clark~ wrote:Decided to ISO Fuchs
I think this is more likely to come from town than scum:
A lot of Fuchs' points are very nuanced which looks to me like trying to solve by thinking deeply about motives rather than the actual actions themselves. Which is what town would want to do instead of scum looking for something bad to jump onto.In post 148, Fuchs~ wrote:Norris, why does you deciding that I am town mean that I get to decide your vote?
To reiterate Fuchs, I don't understand the "why could scum not pretend to be tunnelled" argument. You could say that about literally anything.
Nauls's arguments with Fuchs look like Nauls is actively searching for things to argue about and ways to make Fuchs look bad rather than reading something and thinking it's bad. Then when the clash didn't go anywhere he just dropped it in 433.- Fuchs~
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Novice Jailkeeper does not test the claim lmao.
Also, the reason why I thought we would not have a vigilante is that because in this set up, I think that it would actually be a negative utility role, and if childs is actually a vig (I have my doubts, and my gut reaction was that it was a play to save clark, but also gonna give it some time to think about that too), but if they actually are a vig, I think that they should probably never fire.
We wont know if it killed town or scum. This is a denial of information for partner associations. So long as scum were only killable during the day, then we would have always been informed when we successfully killed scum, but with a vig we would not.
Furthermore, moment they fire the first time we lose track of the number of scum that exist in the game. We will go from there are exactly X scum, to an unknown number. Making us no longer be able to track things like how close to ELO we are.
Next it will make it harder to hunt for assimilation. If the vig fires and dies in the same night we will no longer be looking to see if exactly "the player who died last night"'s posting mannerisms or like childs mentioned, posting times, have started popping up somewhere else because there would be a second choice of who may have body swapped during the night. [This point was originally thought about before when I was thinking about if this set up made sense to have a vigilante in at all, and I am aware that since there is an open vig claim, this can be worked around by having childs announce their intended during the day, but when I was thinking in the general sense it did not seem likely that even if there was a vig, that it would be claimed before it could fire, and therefore it would be confusion on the following day]- Fuchs~
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Novice Vigilante
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This was not typed out clearly, because my thoughts about it actually changed some while I typed it.In post 561, Fuchs~ wrote:Next it will make it harder to hunt for assimilation. If the vig fires and dies in the same night we will no longer be looking to see if exactly "the player who died last night"'s posting mannerisms or like childs mentioned, posting times, have started popping up somewhere else because there would be a second choice of who may have body swapped during the night. [This point was originally thought about before when I was thinking about if this set up made sense to have a vigilante in at all, and I am aware that since there is an open vig claim, this can be worked around by having childs announce their intended during the day, but when I was thinking in the general sense it did not seem likely that even if there was a vig, that it would be claimed before it could fire, and therefore it would be confusion on the following day]
This is largely a non-issue entirely with an outed vig claim vs an unclaimed vig where there were various issues that could arise [like them being killed or the scum target being protected, ect] All of which would compound the info issue.
But with it claimed, all of that kind of washes away. But it was part of my "why I don't think that there is a vig in this game" thoughts, but mid typing it I started thinking about the claim being out there in advance- Fuchs~
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Just put a few more words to this: mentioned before that I did not expect a vig in this set up given the no night flips rule, but I also saw the benefits of a scum/scum pair doing this in this way.In post 561, Fuchs~ wrote:(I have my doubts, and my gut reaction was that it was a play to save clark, but also gonna give it some time to think about that too)
Like, tomorrow they announce that they are going to target the same person to test if he is a jailkeeper (only way I can even think to set up a test with a vig tbh) and if that person does not die, then clark is confirmed town. And then just... don't kill that person. False clear on Clark. This would require Childs to body swap eventually though, because they can never actually result in 2 kills in a night and having claimed vig, but also with their claim, their slot being night killed would have been expected - giving them some cover for the swap.
And if things start falling apart for them, they could also still swap away from either or both of these slots.
----
I am not super sure I believe that scum would even try this, because it would lock childs into a forced body swap at some point, but that was my gut reaction as a combination of not expecting a vig + thinking that clark is scum + seeing a this path.- Fuchs~
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Yeah, nauls is also not mentioned in their new post which seems odd given the thought he put into the slot for their interactions with me in 464.In post 567, Bennings~ wrote:
<_<In post 556, Fuchs~ wrote:
So, uh...In post 542, Clark~ wrote:Fuchs - already talked about
those are my three biggest scum reads. Windows and palmer are floating in the lower half of my reads as well but not to the extent of those three
Did you forget what read you had on me lmao
In post 464, Clark~ wrote:Decided to ISO Fuchs
I think this is more likely to come from town than scum:
A lot of Fuchs' points are very nuanced which looks to me like trying to solve by thinking deeply about motives rather than the actual actions themselves. Which is what town would want to do instead of scum looking for something bad to jump onto.In post 148, Fuchs~ wrote:Norris, why does you deciding that I am town mean that I get to decide your vote?
To reiterate Fuchs, I don't understand the "why could scum not pretend to be tunnelled" argument. You could say that about literally anything.
Nauls's arguments with Fuchs look like Nauls is actively searching for things to argue about and ways to make Fuchs look bad rather than reading something and thinking it's bad. Then when the clash didn't go anywhere he just dropped it in 433.
>_>
lmao
VOTE: Clark
I am just mulling over whether I think that childs is town, trying to focus on how to deal with a situation using exactly their PR, or if they are scum trying to save clark.
I actually thought of a better different way that childs could have been trying to confirm clark then having them both target the same person, and it is actually possibly pretty good. And I might even go for it if clark could not body swap away during the night.whether I think that childs is town, trying to focus on how to deal with a situation using exactly their PR- Fuchs~
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Okay, but if you meant to type Nauls instead of Fuchs there, why did I not make it to your town reads list in there, given I was your most fleshed out town read prior to that post?
In post 542, Clark~ wrote:My strongest townread is still Garry, then probably Childs.- Fuchs~
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I think that they plan was to have clark target them night 1. This guarantees childs makes it to day 2. (clark town, thats a protect, clark scum, they can't kill them)In post 574, MacReady~ wrote:
I'm not usually great at this setup spec - is there something I'm missing here, that would imply novice vig -> clarke town? I just don't followIn post 564, Bennings~ wrote:
^In post 558, MacReady~ wrote:
I'm at a loss how we're going from your role to 'completely confirming Clark's alignment' hereIn post 546, Childs~ wrote:I'm pretty sure that we can completely confirm Clark's alignment, here, if I'm right.
then on night 2, tell clark to target them again, while childs tried to vig shoot clark.
If clark is town, clark saves themselves and becomes confirmed town. If clark is scum, they cannot stop the shot and clark dies.
Like I said, this would actually work if scum!clark did not have the option of slot abandonment tonight to avoid this- Fuchs~
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Agreed, but seeing this option has pushed me back into the world of childs thinking about the claim in terms of their own PR, and coming up with the plan.In post 578, MacReady~ wrote:
I seeIn post 575, Fuchs~ wrote:then on night 2, tell clark to target them again, while childs tried to vig shoot clark.
If clark is town, clark saves themselves and becomes confirmed town. If clark is scum, they cannot stop the shot and clark dies.
That relies on:
- tying up potential PR's until day3 (and thus making this a topic of discussion until then)
- Neither of them deviating from the plan
- no bodyswapping shenanigans
Which makes me a little dubious if it's worth the effort
Scum just have ways to fuck with that plan by:
-Abandoning the Clark slot
-Taking over the Childs slot tonight, to then confirm the Clark slot tomorrow.
-Or even if Clark is town, taking over the Clark slot after it is confirmed- Fuchs~
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In a game with no scum PRS, having a jailkeeper claim and a vigilante cross target one another would be pretty effective.In post 580, Blair~ wrote:I don't understand the plan at all
If JK claim is scum, they die. If they are town, they live and are now confirmed, and they protected the vig claim for the night on top of it.
So the basis for the plan is not bad, but once you add in the assimilation mechanic in this game it opens up lots of issues.- Fuchs~
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I have fully walked away my initial paranoia on the claim coming from scum childs to save scum clark, because childs was wilding towards killing him just a page before falling over to save him lmao.
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Hey Childs, if you do live to night two, I would advise not actually shooting. I think vig picks up a lot of negative utility in this set up because of the combined nature of [ we don't get night flips] + [we started with a confirmed count of scum.]
If you ignore me, and decide that you want to shoot anyways because you have a shiny gun and want to use it, then make sure you announce your target before thread lock, so that if you are assimilated, we will still know what kill was because of you and what kill was related to the scum team. - Fuchs~
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