Mini 692: Boost Mafia (Game Over!)


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Post Post #30 (isolation #0) » Wed Oct 22, 2008 1:16 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I think we should definitely discuss boosting as well vote, no reason whatsoever to both make the days a whole lot longer and make the discussions unconnected. I think people's opinion on who to boost can help a lot with scumhunting, especially after we'll have a confirmed scum.
Vote iLord
for trying to prevent this.

Also,
boost Electra
. Could be a scumgambit, but I think this is testable enough to make it worth our while. We're basically as unsure about her as we are about anyone at this point, and considering her claim boosting her will gain as more info.
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Post Post #31 (isolation #1) » Wed Oct 22, 2008 2:37 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Also, I oppose massclaiming. Anyone who thinks they can break the game this easily are underestimating the mod. It'll likely just expose any power roles and not help us much.
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Post Post #37 (isolation #2) » Wed Oct 22, 2008 10:59 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

sthar8 wrote: Skillit, she just didn't differentiate between the two scum groups, and I can't frankly see a reason why we'd need to for any practical purpose. Whether a godfather starts off as one and gains an additional benefit from a boost or starts as a goon who becomes a godfather isn't really going to affect who we decide to boost. Electra just defined her sets a little differently than you did.
QFT.
sthar8 wrote:RR and eldarad-
After day1, when we have a little more background info about everybody, I'd be fine with boosting as we go. But for today, I'd like to develop a sense of who is scummy and who isn't before we boost anyone. (that's not to say we need a lynch first, though)
I don't see what makes boosting votes any different than lynching votes for the purpose of developing discussion and a sense of who isn't looking out for the town's best interests. By not starting with this now we're giving scum the freedom to commit themselves to less, and will have less information to go back to in the future. We're also shutting down a whole new side of discussion.
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Post Post #38 (isolation #3) » Wed Oct 22, 2008 11:07 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Missed iLord's post for some reason.
iLord wrote:Testable?

Information is extremely hard to discern alignment from, if Electra tells the truth.
What's more testable than information? It'll be very easy to find out if what she supplies us with is true or false as the game progresses. Definitely easier to test than the unknown effects of boosting anyone else,
iLord wrote:We will - just later, after we have evidence for which to base our boast targets on. The discussions are very connected. Unless someone has a possible day power, there's no reason to boast before we have information.
They're connected, but there's no reason whatsoever they can't exist in parallel. In fact, they'll feed off each other. The reasons for boost voting before we have information are the exact same reasons for normal d1 voting.
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Post Post #40 (isolation #4) » Wed Oct 22, 2008 12:03 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

We test this how? By lynching the target she gets? You want the scum to get our boost AND our lynch?
I'm not sure the info is as accurate as an investigation result, but if she does claim to have caught scum with this, lynching him is clearly the right move. If he turns town we'll just lynch her the next day.
iLord wrote:I suppose there's no reason we can't start boostvoting people, but we should save the actually boosting until after the lynch target is decided. That way, we have the most information for accurate boost targets.

What I'm saying is that sure, we can start discussing boost targets, but not to boost anyone until we decided who to lynch. There, we can choose the best targets.
I say we decide what first as things go along. I agree that 'speedboosting' people isn't a good idea.
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Post Post #60 (isolation #5) » Fri Oct 24, 2008 3:18 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

iLord wrote:Vanilla getting powers is just like goon getting powers, if it weren't for the sample vanilla PM.

This is a very good point, so I'll boost Electra later, unless she notes that being boosted now would be beneficial.
I could be misreading something, but these two sentences seem to contradict each other. Isn't the conclusion from your first sentence that scum can just as easily be "extra boostable" as well?
stgar wrote:Incog: Wow...I hadn't even really noticed that I was doing that. And I HATE when people do that. I'm sorry

I'll pay more attention.
I don't really buy you weren't noticing the stuff you wrote, this sorta panicky response looks like scum kicking himself for being suspected.

Unvote, vote sthar.
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Post Post #77 (isolation #6) » Sat Oct 25, 2008 11:30 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

sthar8 wrote:
Raging Raggit wrote: I don't really buy you weren't noticing the stuff you wrote, this sorta panicky response looks like scum kicking himself for being suspected.
I was defending
my opinion
and I didn't stop to consider that the questions were directed at someone other than me, or that their primary objective might not be to understand the position I was taking. Would you prefer that I lied and came up with some bullshit reason to be answering other people's questions? The simple fact is that I wasn't paying enough attention to determine that I shouldn't have answered those questions at that time.

How does my response imply that I didn't know what I was writing? I know (and knew) exactly what I was saying, the only problem was that my timing should have been better.

I don't see how my response was panicky, or scummy. You're welcome to show me how admitting a mistake and promising to do better is indicative of alignment.
Going out of your way to answer questions directed at others isn't a sign of not paying attention. I figure by turning it into a mistake and apologizing you where hoping to make it not appear as a scumtell anymore.
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Post Post #90 (isolation #7) » Sun Oct 26, 2008 1:42 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

iLord wrote:
RR wrote:Going out of your way to answer questions directed at others isn't a sign of not paying attention. I figure by turning it into a mistake and apologizing you where hoping to make it not appear as a scumtell anymore.
You didn't explain how you found that panicky - it didn't sound like a "OHMYGODI'MCAUGHT" post.
Maybe the right word is more guiltridden than panicky, it sounds to me like "damn, made a mistake. Guess I'll apologize it away". The way he appears to really kick himself for appearing suspicious stinks of guilt to me.

I'll review the Skilit case when I'll have more time.
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Post Post #116 (isolation #8) » Wed Oct 29, 2008 10:05 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Skilit wrote:RR voiced passive agreement with the campaign on me by doing a real fast 'qft' of Sthar8's post here, but hasn't since even discussed the issue (unless you count this) even after he voted for Sthar8 - this seemed odd to me, like he was trying to avoid supporting too hard a wagon he knew was off base and was instead focusing somewhere else.
I'm not gonna lie, I have very limited time for MS lately and haven't read into your case enough to decide exactly what I think of it, especially since I find your posts extremely difficult to read. Hopefully I'll find the time to give it a more thourough look shortly.

The QFT bit was saying that I don't think your case on Electra has any merit either, which doesn't necassarily make you scummy.
TDC wrote:Do you think it's more damning that he answered in place of others, or how he excused it?
If it's the latter (and that seems to be the case), how would a response have looked like that's less suspicious?
Yup, it's how he excuesed it. Answering instead of others isn't much of a tell, just not very good play basically, which makes it more suspect to me that he took it so hard. I'm actually surprised Incognito seems to think the other way around.

A less suspicious response would be "yeah, I guess in hindsight that wasn't the best play..." or "I did that in order to (whatever)". I think going all apologetic at the slightest pressure is a sign of guilt.

I think Incognito is pretty town thus far, not convinced by the case on him.
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Post Post #121 (isolation #9) » Wed Oct 29, 2008 11:28 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incognito wrote:I thought the fact that he admitted to doing something wrong was mildly pro-town. I feel like scum might have tried to concoct some response to try and explain away his or her actions.
Town has less inclination bothh kick themselves for not looking pro town enough and make an active effort to not draw suspicion.
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Post Post #124 (isolation #10) » Wed Oct 29, 2008 1:54 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

sthar wrote:An apology (in the sense that I offered one) is an acknowledgement of regret for violating a moral code, in this case the code that states that townies should do protown things.
So you see how by turning this into an issue of a townie who accidentially "violated a moral code" you show both how important you consider this misstep to be and how very commited to your debt as a pro town player you are for taking this so seriously and promising not to do it again. I still think it's overkill and indicative of an active effort to look pro town, which is indicative of scum.

Not an obvscum tell or anything, but it's the best I have at this point. Will read more into this game when I have the time.
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Post Post #161 (isolation #11) » Sat Nov 01, 2008 1:38 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

This game is getting really really wordy, which I generally love but considering how busy I am atm is making following getting a grip on it extremely hard. I need to start reading people in isolation, since I don't have a good read on most of the people playing. Apologies, will try to post something more extensive in the next few days.

Crazy - already answered your question in previous posts to the best of my ability. I'm aware of the similarity to my play in 94, while my case was contrived there I do read overeager apologies as scummy. My main sin that was intentional there and isn't here is getting tunnelvisioned on it, which I'm forced to do because sthar's the only person I have a somewhat substantial scumread on. Hopefully that'll change when I'll get to catch up more.
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Post Post #182 (isolation #12) » Sun Nov 02, 2008 5:49 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I'm read up, which took way too long. Some random queries:

SL - why is incog taking offence a sign of him being town? Are scum less emotionally invested in the game?

Incog - any suspicions other than SL? In particular, what's your read on Crazy?

iLord - why are you guiding SL on how to make a case? Is this some sort of passive support of his attack?
What in my posts made you think I voted sthar for answering questions directed at others rather than the manner in which he responded to this accustation? I restated my reasoning because I was asked to/argued with. Why is this scummy and what would you expect a pro town player to do?

Crazy - any reason for completely ignoring sthar's case on you in your big recap post? Who do you think is scum?

sthar - What's your current opinion on massclaiming?

Skilit - Do you think you've said anything substantial thus far? Who do you think is scum?


Opinions on stuff when I get my answers.
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Post Post #187 (isolation #13) » Sun Nov 02, 2008 10:47 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Crazy wrote:I might have missed it.
That's odd. Well now that you see it, what do you make of it?
iLord wrote:It's not passive - I wholeheartedly support the Icognito attack. The problem is that I don't agree with a lot of SL's points, and it seems as if the rest of the town does not agree either.
If you wholeheartedly support it, why not attack Incogito yourself rather than sit in the sidelines and goad SL on? I mean, according to you he's obviously not doing it right...
iLord wrote:If you're talking about his reaction, then I ask you: Why would a scum player react differently than a town player to an action that is not indictive of alignment.
Incogito called it a scumtell and voted him based on it, sthar's exaggarated response is imo an implication of guilt. I've said this before more than once, dunno why you voted for me without even trying to figure out what I was actually saying.

Incogito makes a fair point.
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Post Post #219 (isolation #14) » Wed Nov 05, 2008 11:48 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

iLord wrote:Guilt? Are you attacking him for guilt? What's wrong with feeling guilty if you do something antitown?
Yup, scum make an active effort to appear pro town while town are more concerned with looking for scum, so obviously scum have a much stronger sense of guilt when they are called on an anti-town play. For them, it means their town-act failed, while town are more inclined to think it's the other guy's fault for not reading them correctly.
However, both in hindsight and considering his latest comment, I think sthar's massclaim speculation is a pretty strong sign that he's town.
Unvote
.

More later, I'm too busy with the many tests coming up to even read everything through atm.
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Post Post #227 (isolation #15) » Fri Nov 07, 2008 9:52 am

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iLord wrote:Why have two cases against Incognito at the same time with the same points, albeit one with a little less than the other?

It would be like SL saying Incognito is scummy for A, B, C, D, and E, and then me making my own case saying that Incognito is scummy for A and E.
It would also be you refining his case and getting actively involved in the attack of the player you claim to think is scum, rather than sitting in the sidelines and coaching SL while letting her take all the heat.
iLord wrote:Guilt? Are you attacking him for guilt? What's wrong with feeling guilty if you do something antitown?
In addition to what I already answered, turning it into a moral issue which sthar as a good townie felt he was compelled to apologize for takes the matter of him being scum out of the equation.
iLord wrote:"a"? Which one?
The differences between your reactions to Incog/SL and sthar/myself being somethat disturbing.

I'll ask again since you didn't quite answer this one - much of your reason for suspecting me seems to be that I "pushed" my point against sthar repeatedly. However, I did that because I was repeatedly questioned about it by other players. What is the pro town course of action in this case that would'nt have made me look scummy to you?
sthar wrote:Was sathr8’s apology affected any by what he had said earlier about hating when people answer for others? Would an apology like the one he presented be perceived differently if he was more ambivalent to this more code?
That was mentioned in the same post as the apology, that "moral code" could've been created by stharscum to turn the whole thing into a big deal that he as a humble townie sees fit to apologize for. If he'd have mentioned earlier being ambivalent to this, It'd make the possibility he's town and did see it as a big deal less likely and thus make it a much stronger tell.
Incog wrote:@Raging Rabbit: Was there any reason why you asked me about my read of Crazy in particular?
Yes.
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Post Post #229 (isolation #16) » Sat Nov 08, 2008 1:43 am

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iLord wrote:That's weak logic - if one of them had a stronger sense of guilt, it would be town because they would feel guilty for harming to town - their faction.
I whole heartedly disagree.
iLord wrote:
Good job backing up finally, after someone attacked you for it. My suspicions of you do not falter.
You're saying I wasn't attacked for it before? That's interesting, see below.
iLord wrote:"letting her take all the heat"? Are you saying that I have not been vocal about my opinions and suspicions regarding Incognito? Are you saying only the player that formally pushes a quote-by-quote "case" against a player is under the spotlight?
You definitely let her play the main role in the attack, while your own role was to coach her and calm her down. you addresed your posts to SL and avoided direct conflict.
iLord wrote:I don't really get what your saying here. So you think guilt was a nulltell?
What's not to get about
in addition
?
iLord wrote:
Admit that your point was weak once you realized it
.
But I didn't think my point was weak, which is why I argued back.

You're completely contradicting yourself, above in bold you attacked me for submitting to pressure and taking my case back as soon as I was pressed on it, and here all the sudden I'm to blame for being pressed on it and
not
taking my case back. I think your main concern is to make me look bad, and you're content to use two opposite views to help yourself achieve that goal. That's not the way a town player acts.
Vote iLord.
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Post Post #237 (isolation #17) » Sat Nov 08, 2008 11:26 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

TDC wrote:RR: I'm confused.. do you still think your point on sthar is strong?
I still think it's a mild towntell, it's balanced out by sthar's massclaim speculation being a towntell in hindsight.
TDC wrote:How much of your iLord vote is based on the apparent contradiction, and how much on him not being the main propagator of the Incognito case? (I'm asking because I don't really see where you're going with the latter, iLord's position on the Incognito-springlullaby exchange has been quite clear)
Eldarad put this well in his last post, I think coaching SL from the sidelines instead of directly attacking Incog himself, and in particurlar addressing his posts to SL rather than Incog, is non-confrontational in a very scummy way.

I'm voting iLord for a combination of being against discussing boosts (minor), coaching SL, misrepping my case completely and condraticting himself in further attempts to make me look scummy.
iLord wrote:I'm still confused. In addition to what you said before, you think that it's a null tell?
In addition to what I said before, by apologizing and turning the attack to a moral issue, sthar takes the scuminess of his actions out of the equation and displays himself as a repenting townie. Therefore the apology is also a non-direct defense, which serve stharscum's interests.
iLord wrote:This is not only untrue, it's being used as a defense mechanism, something that votes should not be used for. This is completely scum blowing up under pressure, throwing a vote at your attacker.
I like how you bring up me "blowing up under pressure" and all that jazz here to avoid explaining what makes it untrue, since you evidently haven't figured out a way to try and explain your contradiction away yet.

In the same post, first you say I'm to blame for taking back my case as soon as I was attacked, then all the sudden I actually
was
attacked earlier and am to blame for
not
taking my case back. Explain how that's untrue.
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Post Post #244 (isolation #18) » Sun Nov 09, 2008 3:53 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

iLord wrote:I think Occam's razor serves us best here - maybe Sthar8 says he's sorry, because he genuinely feels sorry, rather than this dissembling you state that he's doing.
That logic can be applied to each and every scumtell possible. "Maybe he said X because he
genuinely
thinks X?" Yes, it's obviously possible, but X is also a comfortable tactic for scum imo and therefore worthy of suspicion.
iLord wrote:There is no contradiction - you are scummy for pushing the point against sthar8 in the first place. Not taking back the attack after the other players pointed out it's weakness when I believe you realized it was scummy confirmed that it was not a town mistake.

Now, as soon as I back up my stance on your attack with a vote, you back out of the spotlight...
So I realized I was seen as scummy but didn't take it back, which according to you is scummy, but then all the sudden you OMG
vote
me and I become panicked scum and unvote?

If I was already aware I was under negative attention and chose to stick with my opinion, why would one vote make me go all panicked? This is just really contrived.
iLord wrote:stating that you just found that your vote was not in fact a scumtell.
Another misrep, I never said that I no longer consider it a scum tell. I said that integrating another factor into the picture makes sthar look a lot less likely to be scum now.
iLord wrote:I do admit it's not really "blowing up." It's more like how I would've expected you to act as pressured scum - attempting to set-up contradictions in my speech to defend against my attack, all the while backing off the point my original case was based upon.
What's the "orignial point" I'm trying to avoid, pray tell? All I see is two seperate points that completely contradict each other and a contrived explanation trying to link them.
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Post Post #245 (isolation #19) » Sun Nov 09, 2008 4:07 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog wrote:Raging Rabbit, would you please go into your reasoning?
Why is that so importatnt to you?
Jahudo wrote:I can agree that many more people focused on your vote than on sthar answering another person’s question, but since you placed and held a vote on sthar it is only natural that you would have to back up your suspicion.

Why in particular did you think sthar’s massclaim speculation makes him town enough to unvote him? Is trying to look pro-town vs acting pro-town relevant to how sthar discussed the massclaim theory?
Yes, but it's only natural for me to have to repeat my logic when questioned about it and isn't a repeated pushing/forcing of my case like people tried to display it as. The massclaim speculation isn't a good move for scum because it draws attention to them and their roles, and makes any convincing fakeclaims they may have ready not as good since the town sees how insistent they were on claiming it. Also the way he chose to phrase his offer it feels very pro town in hindsight.

[quote="]Just for clarification, the “sthar” quote was by me addressed to RR and not from sthar’s apology post. I also don’t understand why you think he should have made his ambivalence to this faux pas earlier on? He said he hated when people did that the moment he realized he did it. I don’t see how this is relevant speculation to what happened. [/quote]

This speculation isn't relevant at all actually, it's answering a question you asked.
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Post Post #246 (isolation #20) » Sun Nov 09, 2008 4:09 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Bah, quote tags went awry. Last quote is also Jahudo.[/quote]
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Post Post #251 (isolation #21) » Mon Nov 10, 2008 3:30 am

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iLord wrote:He said "In hindsight along with his latest comment" or something like that. "hindsight" is a key excuse for scum to back off.
Yup, obviously only scum look at things in hindsight... But wait, if I were to take back my point after being first questioned like a townie would've done according to you, wouldn't that be "hindsight" as well? Good thing you're not contradicting yourself.
iLord wrote:First of all, it can't be applied to all scumtells - scumtells are by definition actions that are indictive of scum.
Give me one tell that the "but maybe he's simply town and blah blah blah..." explanation can't be applied to.
iLord wrote:You're not looking at my points.

The two backing offs are different - backing off after your point is attacked and shown to be weak is good pro-town action. Not backing off after you realize that your point is weak, and then backing off after someone attacks you with a vote is scummy. It's what scum do when they are attacked for attacking another player for a weak reason.

The basis behind my attack is that the backing offs are different - you can't look at them alone, but you have to look at them in context.
1. Being questioned and suspected about a case tends to lead to being voted for it. The two backing offs aren't inherently different, if I was inconfident scum with a made up case it makes a whole lot more sense for me to back up as soon as questioned (like you claim a good townie should do) rather than stick with it and wait for further attacks. After I chose to stick with it, one single vote is by no means a cause for enough panic to make me run away from my case as you suggest. The scum thought proccess you're trying draw here makes no sense whatsoever.
2. If you'll check the facts, I didn't unvote as soon as you voted me nor because I stopped believing I had a point. I unvoted after sthar answered a question about his massclaim speculation that made me look back on his former (unrelated to my case) suggestion for it and perceive it as a towntell.
iLord wrote:I don't remember you saying this.

What other factors would this be?
That's because you're more concerned with making everything I say look bad than with actually reading it. (Your initial attack suggested I was voting sthar only for answering for others, which I never even said and yet you blamed me for pushing it multiple times).

The other factor is his massclaim specualtion.
iLord wrote:The original point was the folly of your suspicions, to which you have already conceded.
1. I never did.
2. So your case revolves around not liking my original point, with no relation to what happened afterwards?
Incog wrote:It's important because that type of question is usually the type of question a person asks when he or she is trying to draw connections between players. I'm generally leery of those types of questions in the cases where I can find no underlying basis for them, so I figured I'd ask you for your reasoning.
I don't want you to see my underlying basis of thought in this case, it would compromise my future read on you.
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Post Post #264 (isolation #22) » Tue Nov 11, 2008 11:57 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

No way I'm gonna argue 11 seperate points, especially since most of them are just you saying "you're wrong" in many words. I'll address my main issue and then some minor ones.
iLord wrote:Continuing to push for it is sort of a gambit - if you can convince other players, then you can actually bring a good deal of suspicion on a player, especially if said player explodes or otherwise flails under pressure. One single vote is enough to say that “I think your point is indicative of scum”, something that no other player that questioned you said or indicated. You realized that I actually caught on to you, hence your attempt to back out of the spotlight. The scum process I am drawing makes perfect sense.
iLord wrote:Votes sthar8 for his explanation that he didn’t notice what he was doing. Weak, reading like he’s trying to jump on an easy wagon. Reading scummy. Especially since scum would have no reason to answer for other people, unless RR thinks the people sthar08 answered for are scum. Raging Rabbit continues to construe answering other’s questions as a scum tell. Reading pretty scummy. Still pushes… And Still pushes. Probably top suspect right now. Still pushing. And still pushes. Definite don’t like this push. Reading very scummy.
This is your original reason for voting me, the only two real point provided is not liking a misinterpertation of my case and "pushing" it many times (which was a result of people asking many times). Here is everything else you said about me until my unvote:
@RR: Explain why answering for other people is indictive of scum alignment.
If you're talking about his reaction, then I ask you: Why would a scum player react differently than a town player to an action that is not indictive of alignment.
Guilt? Are you attacking him for guilt? What's wrong with feeling guilty if you do something antitown?
All of this was already answered before you even asked- my #9 post when viewed seperately:
Raging Rabbit wrote:
Incognito wrote:I thought the fact that he admitted to doing something wrong was mildly pro-town. I feel like scum might have tried to concoct some response to try and explain away his or her actions.
Town has less inclination bothh kick themselves for not looking pro town enough and make an active effort to not draw suspicion.
Nothing in these posts in new or convincing, and no one took you too seriously - nothing here implies you "catching on" to me in any way, the only meaningful thing you did was vote me and one vote simply doesn't make enough of a difference to completely change your read on my backing off. All this questioning about the guilt thing is also interesting because of my #7 post, in response to iLord:
Raging Rabbit wrote:
iLord wrote:
RR wrote:Going out of your way to answer questions directed at others isn't a sign of not paying attention. I figure by turning it into a mistake and apologizing you where hoping to make it not appear as a scumtell anymore.
You didn't explain how you found that panicky - it didn't sound like a "OHMYGODI'MCAUGHT" post.
Maybe the right word is more guiltridden than panicky, it sounds to me like "damn, made a mistake. Guess I'll apologize it away". The way he appears to really kick himself for appearing suspicious stinks of guilt to me.
You completly missinterperted my case despite already asking and getting an answer about the exact same point, which yet again proves you weren't and aren't concerned with actually reading my posts but with making them look bad.
iLord wrote:4. No, you didn't unvote as soon as I voted you. After I made it clear that I was confident that you were scum, you attempted to mitigate the brunt of my attack by backing off.
So now not unvoting right after your vote is ok, but after you asked a few more already answered questions I suddendly panicked from the "brunt of your attack" and jumped ship? This is beyond an extreme stretch, your case is completely contrived.
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Post Post #266 (isolation #23) » Tue Nov 11, 2008 12:24 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

5. I must admit that I am still unclear on your standing about the sthar8 point.

What bearing do you currently feel it has on sthar8's alignment?
If it still isn't clear, I maintain that sthar's apology post reads scummy. I unvoted him because I believe his massclaim sepcualtion reads town.
12. What do you feel about Eldarad and Incognito’s suspicions of me?
Eldarad's seems more solid, but mostly I'm just happy to see you gathering votes.

1. Scum are not the only ones that look at things in hindsight – townies do it all the time. But scum are the ones that most commonly use hindsight as an excuse to back off a point. Townies do not say: “I was wrong before and I should’ve changed before.” Townies say: “I am wrong now and I should change now.” Your filling the scum mold that I’ve predicted for you perfectly.
I never even said I was wrong, no idea what you're trying to say here.
iLord wrote:...you have yet to explain how guilt makes sense as a scum tell over a town tell, instead resorting to attacking my theory rather than the actual point, of which you ignored.

8. If you can, elaborate on how his massclaim speculation is indicative of town.

10. What have I done that you feel is indicative of scum?
Already answered.
iLord wrote:6. Nice job attacking my case without bearing in the first sentence there. Easy scum move to try and weaken my case by attacking my motive. Please note that motive has very little matter in the making of a case, except for the other players to look more carefully at the points – lack of apparent pro-town motive does not weaken the points at all, as long as the points ring true.
Motive has a bearing on you being scummy, cases presented by scum are somewhat less convincing...

9. You asked for my original point, and I answered.
Actually you were the one who blamed me for trying to divert attention from your original point. Do you think the "I don't like your case" point is in any way convincing and worthy diverting from? Why ask me a million different questions instead of concentrating on your original point if you don't want it distracted from?
11. What do you feel a townie should've done in your position once they realized that the point they were pushing is weak?
That's like the most loaded question ever. How would you ask that if you weren't scum, huh?!
On another side, I believe that the backing offs are fundamentally different – it matters not if you believe they are not. As long as I believe that they are different, there is no contradiction.
Completely and utterly false. If this was true there'd be no such thing as a contradiction.
14. If not explained above, why do you feel that contradictions are indicative of scum?
Because they're a sign of dishonesty and faked play.
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Post Post #274 (isolation #24) » Wed Nov 12, 2008 3:06 am

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iLord wrote:I can’t seem to recall or find where you explained your reasoning behind the MC speculation. Could you repeat it?
I wrote:The massclaim speculation isn't a good move for scum because it draws attention to them and their roles, and makes any convincing fakeclaims they may have ready not as good since the town sees how insistent they were on claiming it. Also the way he chose to phrase his offer it feels very pro town in hindsight.
iLord wrote:I’m not diverting attention from my point – Contrary to what you believe, I’m actually trying to find out something from the questions I ask. More points against you would convince more people that you’re actually scum.
iLord wrote:I do admit it's not really "blowing up." It's more like how I would've expected you to act as pressured scum - attempting to set-up contradictions in my speech to defend against my attack, all the while backing off the point my original case was based upon.
If you really thought I was trying to back away from your original point, you'd be pushing that more and the stuff I brought up to "distract from it" less. However, your original point isn't convincing at all and your case is dependant on moving discussion to other matters, which proves your above quote contrived as well.
You know what I mean – what would a townie have done if they realized that they were wrong?
This question is still loaded, as well as irrelevant. There's more than one possible reaction for "a townie", the best one being to say so and unvote.
Explain. According to the definition of a contradiction, I’d have to have to be stating conflicting ideas. My ideas are not conflicting. It matters not if you say that you can jump into my mind and say that I’m actually thinking that they are – by my definition and classification of the backing offs, they are different.
Contradiction in this game is a subjective term. I have strong doubts about your alignment, so taking everything you say at face value would be a severe mistake. Saying that everyone should the accept the "it's not a contradiction because I say so" statement is completely false.
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Post Post #281 (isolation #25) » Wed Nov 12, 2008 9:40 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I do think you sorta nodged her the wrong way, though her reaction is no doubt exaggarated. My read on her is pretty protown, though.
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Post Post #285 (isolation #26) » Wed Nov 12, 2008 12:38 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

OK, so I guess a better question is this:
Regardless of whether you agree with iLord's opinion, due you believe he sincerely holds that opinion (even if he is wrong)?
If he's town yes, if he's scum most probably no. I believe his points contradicting each other combined with his contrived explanation for it makes him more likely to be dishonest (and therefore scum) than anyone else at this point.

Welcome, Guardian.
Guardian wrote:iLord and sth are linked. I find both town-like, but if either showed up scum I would drastically reevaluate the other.
I can see how a link implies one is likely guilty if the other one is, but not why you perceive it to imply one is pro town if the other one is unless you're thinking of some sort of mason conncetion, which I find unlikely. It looks to me and apparantly to sthar as well more like iLord is buddying up to him, if anything. I'd like you to explain your thinking here more thoroughly.
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Post Post #296 (isolation #27) » Thu Nov 13, 2008 2:28 am

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iLord wrote:I was attacking you for backing off the above point - I'm pushing mutliple other lines of attack because apparently my case against you isn't convincing anyone, mostly because I'm losing this argument fairly badly.
Well, attacking me for backing off a point while backing off said point yourself to sound more convincing doesn't sit well with me.

What do you mean by "losing the argument"? Did your read on me change in any way or are you just "losing" because of lack of popular support?
And what would scum do once they realized that they were pushing a weak point?
I wish things were this simple. There isn't one scum course of action, it depends on a multidute of factors that are very hard to define and evaluate. The main difference is that from a scum viewpoint, it doesn't matter whether you believe your point is strong or not , but rather if that point succeeds in making you good and townies look bad.
Normally, of course, you can't just take my word for it. However, the crux of your contradiction point is based on my definition of each of the backing-offs. Therefore, you have to judge not whether or not you agree with my definitons, but whether or not I genuinely feel that way, which is not what you have been.
Ah, so you don't believe me.

Then what more could I say? I've shown how it is not based on my definiton. You don't really believe I hold those definitions. It's for the rest of the town to judge.
Turning this into a matter of not believing you is a nice twist, but every contradiction in this game can be explained by "from my point of view, the two don't contradict" which creates the same "trust" dillema. The only way I have to determine whether I believe you is according to how convincing your explanation for why your points don't contradict each other is, and since that explanation (two - now possibly three - very similar backing offs being "inherently different" and giving you completely opposite reads in a way that just happens to correlate with your case for me being scum) is imo completely unconvincing, your case appears contrived to me and I "don't believe you". Therefore this totally
is
a matter of how convincing your definitions are, since that is the only way I have really to determine if I believe you hold them.
@RR: Could you please explain how the massclaim stuff made Sthar8 look more town? You state that you mentioned it, but I can’t seem to find it.
Raging Rabbit wrote:
iLord wrote:I can’t seem to recall or find where you explained your reasoning behind the MC speculation. Could you repeat it?
I wrote:The massclaim speculation isn't a good move for scum because it draws attention to them and their roles, and makes any convincing fakeclaims they may have ready not as good since the town sees how insistent they were on claiming it. Also the way he chose to phrase his offer it feels very pro town in hindsight.


Guardian - why do you find iLord independantly pro town?
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Post Post #315 (isolation #28) » Fri Nov 14, 2008 6:47 am

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sthar wrote:What changed?
Nothing. Just because I can look back at an action, find it scummy and think of other things that in the same situation I wouldn't think scummy, does not mean I can tell ahead the "scum" course of action in a given situation. There's no objective "scum course of action", scum play differs in a million different ways depending on the player and all the small details of a situation. I can think of some reactions that I'd perceive as scummy, but "what would scum do?" is a question to which there simply isn't a clear answer.
iLord wrote:I'm not backing off said point. I'm saying that somewhere along the line that line of questioning was dropped - I'm still working on the guilt topic, which is what the main point has delved into.
But if I was trying to make you drop that line (how?), and you "caught on to that", why allow it to get dropped and not pursue it?
iLord wrote:Let's rephrase - what would most scum do or what would you predict scum would do once they were called on a point they knew was weak. The scum does not know the effectiveness of his point, only that its weak basis is being attacked.
See above. If you want reactions I'd perceive as scummy, some obvious ones are to jump drop the case point blank without explanation and start attacking someone else, or to continue pursuing the same subject but with completely changed reasoning you. Again though, this is not something I "predict scum would do". I can't predict what scum would do.
iLord wrote: If you could point out where you specifically find my definitons fail, then by all means point them out and I'll do my best to explain them.
Again, the part that doesn't make sense to me the most is:
Backing off after being questioned = town
Backing off after being "seriously" voted for = scum
Backing off after a vote that hasn't yet been proven serious = also town, or at least way town-er than the former case

I severely doubt your to have such an extreme distinction between very similar actions, that just happens to correlate with your case on me. I think you came up with those distinctions as a defense for my original attack on your contradiction.

I'd like you to commnet more on what makes such minor differences comepletely change your "read".


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for consistnat use of solid logic and giving me quite a strong pro-town vibe, more on Guardian-Incog later.
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Post Post #330 (isolation #29) » Sat Nov 15, 2008 8:40 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I can't remember where it was dropped - or even who dropped it. Now that I've realized it, I've resumed pursuing it.
Again, that doesn't follow with your earlier accusation that I'm intentionally trying to drop it.
I'm trying to get your specific opinion on how scum would react to such a situation. You don't have to be scum to answer that question - to make it that you can answer how would you react if you were scum.
1. Your question was "what would scum do", not "what would you do if you were scum".
2. What I would do depends on who my buddies are, what tactic I have in mind and what mood I happen to be in at the time. Since I'm town here, I really couldn't tell you.
Okay, now we're getting somewhere.

Backing off once a point is proven to be weak, once you realized that you've done something wrong, or once you realize that your point is weak, is town (you've agreed on this point). Signals are this are acknoledging your point is weak, and pointing out how you are wrong and how you realized.

Backing off after being attacked (the player thinks your scum) is a scummy action and looks completely different from backing off of a weak point. Some ways that it is different is like when you pointed out another point as a reason to back off, and when you mentioned that you are looking in hindsight.

I don't understand the where the last of your listed backing off comes into play.
iLord wrote:4. No, you didn't unvote as soon as I voted you. After I made it clear that I was confident that you were scum, you attempted to mitigate the brunt of my attack by backing off.
Right here.

Before I argue this further - now that you realize I never really backed off the point but unvoted based on an unrelated one, do you still find my unvote suspicious?
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Post Post #333 (isolation #30) » Sat Nov 15, 2008 11:24 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Guardian wrote:I would like everyone to let the group know what they think about

Incognito's dismissive-ness of arguments against him in general

My recent points against Incognito

Incognito in general
Incog definitely has been dismissive of SL, and took a patronaizing tone in the process - which is her stated reason for replacing out. While an overreaction on her part, I do think his approach was rather unpleasant for her, and somewhat scummy to boot. A related matter which concerns me more is the process of him going from finding her pro town for making a case against him to finding her scummy for it, and finally voting her. I noticed this before but it seems much worse after rereading him, I'll go into details:
Incog wrote:Glad to see you getting more involved now, springlullaby. I almost forgot you were even in this game. Addressing your points.
Some of your points seem like a bit of a stretch to me, which is a bit bothersome. I'll try and take it as a slight pro-town sign that you've called me of all people out on certain things when I've pretty much had absolutely nothing directed at me and have been finding myself trying to create my own content to get involved in. But yeah, there ya go.
He's been called out on this before, complimenting her like that for attacking him is quite absurd. He makes a real effort to appear so unselfish and pro town that attacking him is cause for a heads up, and then sounds like some sort of disappointed patron when he notes some of SL's points being "a bit bothersome", which off course is what a case against someone is supposed to be for him, but is willing to bite his lip and still take it as a "slightly pro-town sign".
And who are you, the Neils Bohr of Mafia or something? Have you been running statistical analysis to come forward with these numbers, or are you just pulling them out of your ass to help add even more weighted bombast to an already weak case? Have you considered that it's usually a good idea to reserve judgment on people because it's, oh, I don't know, a bad thing when you find yourself running up on someone who ends up being innocent? Is it abnormal for someone to not know who exactly is scum on page fucking 4 of the thread and who is instead choosing to use this early time to try and figure people out?
Here he does a 180 degree switch of tone and is acting all annoyed suddenly, like SL deserves punishment for not abandoning the case even after he made the effort to consider it a pro town sign before.
And I'm trying to take it as a positive sign because I know that my immediate impression from your attack on me is that it's slightly scummy for stretching the truth the way you have. Instead of immediately jumping to conclusions about your alignment, I'll continue trying to engage in conversation with you to see if you genuinely believe the points you're raising against me or if they're merely contrived and created to paint me in a bad light. Usually when someone makes a case against me, I can sometimes see where the person is coming from and why the person might think something I mentioned gave them a bad vibe. But with you, I really can't see that, and I'm becoming more and more curious about what your alignment really could be.
Here he goes back to being somewhat of a nice guy, and is willing to give her another chance and continue discussion to find out whether she "genuinely believes" the points she makes. His reason for not believing them is finding them weak, and I don't see how he could possibly suddenly decide she's genuine unless she takes back the points.
I really do find myself most troubled with springlullaby's attack against me and am having a hard time believing it could be coming from town. I've been attacked before in past games, and I feel like I can usually understand what the person who's attacking me for has a problem with and can usually tell when an attack against me is a bit misguided. I've reread the thread a number of times and did a focused read on myself to see if I can genuinely find myself agreeing with the points springlullaby raised against me, and I just can't.
I'd totally expect him to vote her by now since it's obvious he claims to find the attack completely unreasonable, but Incog makes a strong effort to show everyone he's willing to give SL a strong benefit of doubt and will only vote her when all else fails.
What he's saying about usually understanding where attacks against him come from sounds really odd. Incog, do you often find yourself really agreeing with points made against you? Assuming you're town, how can an attack against you be anything but either scumdriven or misguided? I have a hard time believing you're always so soft on people attacking you.
I've tried to think about reasons for why a hypothetical pro-town player might say something like this when she couldn't have possibly been tabulating this kind of data on her own and really the only conclusion I could come up with is if said pro-town player was suffering from a bout of tunnel vision. But tunnel vision on page 4 of the thread? I just can't convince myself that this was the reason for her to bring these numbers up and use them against me.
This is followed by finally voting SL, after all else has failed and logic leads him to the conclusion that the chance for SL to be
this
wrong and town is slim.

All of the things quoted here have little to nothing to do with actual rebutting of her points, this whole process just seems meant to make his vote look as justified and not OMGUSy as possible and cast Incog and a pro town light as a well thought out and considerate player, while making SL and her case look ridiculous. I just don't think all this behavior that keeps changing from fatherly to patronizing is at all natural, and especially dislike how he keeps mentioning other "good" attacks against him to make hers look all the more unreasonable.
I also disagree with both you and sthar8's mentioning that springlullaby's attack comes across as pro-town for pressuring me the way she has. The only time I've had a full-on attack against me this early in a game for just about the same level of ridiculous reasons as this one was in Pick Your Poison 3 and that was from Sarcastro who was scum. I think what matters is the context. Do you think springlullaby's points were valid? Did you think they were strong enough for her to actually be pushing for my lynch? I don't think this is just simple pressure coming from her like you're making it out to be.
The Sarcasto example is far from proving anything, you can't deduce SL's scum based on one other case which you find subjectively similar. Also the "do you think they (her points) were strong enough for her to actually be pushing for my lynch?" question is odd, I dislike how suddenly pushing for your lynch (voting for you, basically) is a such a big deal, while originally you considered it a towntell because it's good for people to question you. You go from one opinion to it's complete opposite just to fit the rethoric you're currently using.
About that: Yeah, I do think it's mildly pro-town to maybe shift some attention onto someone who did not have the spotlight put on him or her. Those feelings changed when I saw the points that she was actually trying to use to push for my lynch and how incorrect they were. That's what I was trying to get at.
Didn't you see these points before? Could you give some examples of games where you found points raised against you "correct" and continually considered attacking you a towntell?


There's also the correlating matter of Incog sometimes going out of his way, without relation to SL, to show us how much of a good townie he is. I think true townies would find this less necassary. Examples:
I posted that link because I think one of the points of your "case" against me focused on how I didn't immediately reveal my own thoughts with respect to the answers I received to my own questions and how you supposedly perceived this as scummy because I wasn't revealing my own insight with respect to my position on the other players' alignments. I was using that link to show you that when I'm ready to make my thoughts clear on why I think a particular person is scum, I'll do it in typical Incog-fashion by posting a well-elaborated, thoughtful case against said person. I haven't garnered enough information from this game yet to do so though obviously.
Also, I've probably been the most active player in this game and have been generating my own content through scum-hunting even while I've had to persistently defend myself. I think you're very much incorrect when you say I "only come alive when under fire", and I suspect the other players in the game can look through my posts fairly easily and see how false this is.
In fact I haven't seen Incog do much scumhunting except for above trail on SL and making a case on iLord after I asked him to name a second subject. For the "most active player in the game", I don't think of that as much.

About Guardian's points, I agree with some of them, mostly Incog's use of Guardain's OMGUSy meta as a defense being unreasonable and Incog going back to vote SL only after Guardian replaced her being odd. Combined with the above points, this definitely turns Incog into a top suspect along with iLord, and I need to reevaluate which one I find scummier.
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Post Post #334 (isolation #31) » Sat Nov 15, 2008 11:33 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

iLord wrote:I said that you were trying to shift attention away from it. And how successfully you have done that!
How exactly have I done that?
RR, how do you scumhunt? Do you not figure out what scumplayer would do in a certain situation and see if player matchs his scum mold? I'm asking for what scumtells would you be looking for if a player is called out for a weak point.
Well, I certainly don't usually take the time to look at things before they're responded to and make a list of how I would take each respone. The number of possible responses in a given scenario is usually huge, and such a tactic therefore becomes futile. I mostly scumhunt by looking back at things already said rather than specualting on what's gonna be.

Also, I already gave you some far fetched examples of stuff I would find scummy in such a situation. Interpertaion of other more common actions demends specific circumstance.
What made you reconsider your view on sthar8 and look back at his massclaim speculation?
Someone said something about sthar's massclaim speculation, I don't quite recall the exact post but I thought I'd do a recap on it and see if I'm missing something.

Do you think I went back looking for reasons to unvote him because I was scared by your attack of me?
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Post Post #339 (isolation #32) » Sun Nov 16, 2008 8:02 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incogito wrote:Not being full of myself here, but it's not very often that I'm full-fledged attacked by anyone when I'm town so when it does happen, it takes me awhile to determine the person's true motivations whether it be misguided or a scum-driven attack.
So you see attacks against you in a pro town light, but full fledged ones are a scumtell?
What gets me here is how you claimed to consider her attack a towntell, but after she didn't have the grace to accept your explanation and drop it you basically started a gradual (I'd say it looks too gradual) process of slowly pushing her back more and more. It just seems like you were trying to downplay her case and after that the OMGUSy-ness of your attack as much as possible, and tried way harder than I would think necassary to establish your vote as reasonable and called for.

Incog wrote:Yes, I can give an example of a game where I found the points raised against me as correct. Here's a post that I made in that PYP3 game where I specifically mentioned that Ether's and Gorrad's attacks against me gave me a town vibe mainly because my play in that game was very atypical from my regular town play and them catching onto that made me think they were town. They continued their attacks against me, and I still thought they were town because of it.
But you yourself admit your play there was atypical, and therefore your read of the attack was atypical well. Aren't you playing regularly here? If you are, could you give another more typical example of you treating attacks as towntell, preferably one where you end up changing your mind when the case isn't dropped, like you did here?
Incog wrote:Also an addendum since I knew your facts were off, and I just went back and checked them: You make it seem like I began pursuing iLord only after you asked me to name a second suspect. I had begun pursuing iLord well before you asked me that and well before you and him entered your back and forths.
True, but you mostly just question his reads on you and never mention finding him scummy.


iLord wrote:I'm not quite sure - If I did, then we wouldn't be as distracted.
So again, attacking me for intentionally distracting from it when you don't actively do much to push it back and can't tell exactly what I did to distract seems very unconvincing and not particularly honest.
iLord wrote:How do you tell if something was scummy?
Basically, I look back on it under all known circusmstaces and try to figure out how likely it is to come from town and if scum have any motive to say it. If it isn't and they do, it's scummy.
iLord wrote:That's what I was trying to figure out.
Well, what's your conclusion?
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Post Post #341 (isolation #33) » Sun Nov 16, 2008 8:32 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

iLord wrote:I'll admit it doesn't seem that convincing, but I've pushed it back, and the people in the town that answered have said that it is a null tell. Could you explain why their reasoning is incorrect?
Don't like the appeal to majority here. Also, I don't get what you're asking. What do you mean by "it"? I would assume the "distracting" issue, but who said it was a null tell and where?[/quote]
iLord wrote:How do you figure out the difference between "how likely it is to come from town" and "if scum have any motive" since all scum have the motive to look town?
This is where the difference between anti town and scummy comes in to play, some bad townie actions make no sense from a scum point of view as well and therefore are not a scumtell.
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Post Post #355 (isolation #34) » Mon Nov 17, 2008 6:25 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I'll have no access 'till Thursday, see you guys then.
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Post Post #401 (isolation #35) » Fri Nov 21, 2008 4:55 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Just posting to say I'm back, will respond to Incog and iLord and comment on recent events when I'll have the time.
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Post Post #414 (isolation #36) » Sat Nov 22, 2008 1:20 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

iLord wrote:No, I mean the issue of whether or not guilt was a scumtell, which was my original point that I claimed you distracted from.

I've stated my reasoning for why it's not a scumtell. You've stated yours. Some of the town that answered my query has stated its. It's not just appeal to majority - if you feel that their reasoning is incorrect, you must state why.
I've already explained my reasoning for finding that a scumtell more than once, others are free to disagree. There's no point in arguing this further, it's a difference in points of view.

What I'm saying is that you dropped that point because it wasn't convincing anyone - even those who completely disagree guilt can be a scumtell don't think it's very scummy for me to think otherwise - and then attacked me for distracting from it by means you can't even point to.
iLord wrote:What does this have to do with how you tell if a situation is coming from a town or a scum that's trying to look as town?
There are actions that both hurt the town and make sense from a scum point a view. These actions are scumtells. Also, I find actions purely meant to make the writer look pro town (like Incog's) scummy. Then there's the issue of gut, which off course cannot really be defined.

What are you hoping to gain by arguing this?




Incog wrote:1) First, I was attacked by her for asking 'soft' questions. After I explained to her the significance of those questions that I was asking thereby disproving that they weren't soft at all, she still attacked me for asking questions to people I thought were scum, period, saying that I shouldn't ask people who I thought could be scum questions because I should expect scum to lie to me. Do you seriously not see a problem with this argument?
Yes, this argument is worthless and scummy when looked at in isolation.
2) She attacked me for not taking an immediate stance on Electra's page 1 claim. I explained that I didn't want to take an immediate stance as I preferred to look at her claim as a null-tell and chose to wait for Electra to get more involved in the game to then decide what to think about her claim and whether I thought she was town or not. There's nothing wrong with reserving opinions about someone until more information is obtained. Good town play allows for withholding information all the time.
She has a point here. Not comitting yourself to an opinion on such a dramatic early move is a good scum tactic, since the town may have a different set of assumptions about the game or simply a different line of thought that may make you look bad if you take the less popular side. Also, it is always to scum's benefit to reserve judgment for as long as possible. That's not to say it's a completely unreasonable townie course of action, but it's more helpful for scum
Incog wrote:3) A big portion of her attack was based on a logical fallacy. Basically a "too townie" argument. Do you really think it's pro-town to attack someone based on something that's known to be a logical fallacy?
It wasn't a "too townie" attack. Too townie is attacking someone for being too helpful and in the right to be town, while SL attacked you for trying to hard to
look
like you're helpful and in the right, which is my main reason for suspecting you as well. That's not the same thing at all.
Incog (bolding's mine) wrote:4) She attacked me for voting sthar8 saying that it seemed more like an annoyance vote more than anything else. I
voted for sthar8 because I do think that answering questions for other people can be a scum-tell
as it makes it look like the person who's doing the answering is actually participating when in fact he or she is not. Also, I wanted to nip that kind of stuff in the bud early on since I think that when people answer questions or respond to things directed at others, their response basically nullifies any kind of information that could have been received from the response of the person who the question was directed to. Again, I felt like I backed up my vote well, explained my intention well, and she still decided to attack me for it even after my response.
Incog (bolding's mine) wrote:I have a slight meta on sthar8 as I just finished moderating a game in which he was scum in. I thought he played fairly well in that game, and I do have respect for his scum play, so I wanted to place a bit of pressure on him to try and get a better read of him. I thought he kinda skated by a bit in that game particularly on Day 1 as nobody seemed to really place much pressure on him until later on in the game during Day 2.
Therefore, I figured that by placing a pressure vote on him early even for more minute reasons I would be able to draw more information out of him and not allow him to skate on by
. Plus his answering of posts directed at other people has the potential to lessen the information we can draw from their responses since they could just copy or formulate their response around his own response thereby making any response they do put forward a null tell. I wanted to nip that type of "answering posts directed at other people" thing in the bud immediately.
Explain this apparant contradiciton.
Incog wrote:If you think I've been guilty of not scum-hunting outside of iLord and springlullaby, I'm curious to learn what you think about springlullaby's singular, tunnel-visioned attack on me. Do you think that's pro-town?
I don't think it's very good pro town play, but SL's attack felt totally honest and likely comes from a town POV. I don't think scum would get annoyed with a fake conflict to the point of replacing out. Upon a partial reread of your argument, I feel even more strongly about this.
Unboost TDC, boost Guardian
.

You, however, have been much more calm about the whole thing and I believe did more to
look
like the bigger person than to actually stop the circle discussion and look for scum in other places.
Incog wrote:Yes, I feel like my play here is more regular. And no, I don't have an example like the one you're looking for. Like I said, it's not very often that I find myself being attacked when I'm town.
I don't believe you. If you really took attacks against you this positively, to the degree of not voting her for such a long time despite continually claiming to find her attack scummy, you'd have stronger examples of doing it in the past in your typical games. I think the whole self conflict of finding what she's saying scummy vs. giving her the benefit of the doubt was planned ahead to make you look pro town and give your vote more weight.

Unvote, vote Incogito, IGMEOY iLord
.

Incog, how does my attack on you effect your read on my alignment?
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Post Post #415 (isolation #37) » Sat Nov 22, 2008 2:25 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Completely read up now, a bunch of comments:

The attack on Guardian is completely unconvincing, in addition to SL looking totally town Guardian is acting pro town as well IMO. 384 was definitely not retracting his case on Incog.

Both boosts on me feel a bit off. Jahudo's change of mind about myself and Incog isn't completely convincing, and Mana_Ku's just unexpalined. Mana, the only opinion you really expressed in your comments on me was not liking my boost on electra. Why in particurlar can you "see me as pro town" more than you can see other people?

Incog (and whoever it was that agreed with him) - you attacked Guardian for "dirty" reads. Aren't Mana_Ku's reads even dirtier? Why ignore them?
Mana_Ku, on me being against speedboosting wrote:What about your boost on Electra?
I voted for electra's boost, I didn't "hammer" her.
electra wrote:@ Raving Rabbit - can you just give me a quick summary of your views in the game?
Top suspects are Incog and iLord. Leaning a bit scummy on Jahudo, Crazy/Huntress and Skilit/Mana_Ku. Leaning town on Guardian, electra, eldarad and TDC.

And what's with the "raving"?
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Post Post #425 (isolation #38) » Sat Nov 22, 2008 11:23 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog wrote:No. "Too townie" is attacking someone for looking like they're being too helpful and in the right to someone else, which is the exact same thing she was attacking me for.
Too townie is based on
looking
"too" helpful, SL's (and my) attack was based on
trying
to look helpful. Here is a classic example of the difference:
Incog wrote:Eh? All of my questions have been very relevant to the game, and I certainly wouldn't classify them as "'soft' questions" either. Just because I don't immediately reveal my insights from the answers I get doesn't mean that I haven't formulated any opinions on them. When I'm ready to make a case against someone who I think is scum, I'll do so but certainly not this early in the game. Trust me, when I have a scum read on someone I'll make my opinion on the person blatantly obvious. Right now, this is purely the information-gathering stage for me. I've seen certain things from people that make me lean slightly town on them or slightly scum but not enough to come to a definitive answer with respect to their alignments.
This post doesn't look pro town to me, it looks like you
trying
very hard to appear pro town.
SL wrote:Either way, if you're suspecting me for the same reasons, I have an exercise for you: I'd like for you to comb through the thread during early game before springlullaby began attacking me for these reasons and provide specific examples where you felt like I was "trying too hard" to look like I was being helpful. Then I'd like for you to do the same in other areas of the thread as well. gogogo!
I suspect you for similar reasons, but based on your back and forth with SL rather than your early game, in which I don't remember seeing much wrong.
Incog wrote:It's not a contradiction? I had multiple reasons for voting sthar8 in my mind at the time, and the one you bolded in the first paragraph was one of them also. I pretty much forgot to list that one. Obviously if I voted him for doing it, I must have thought it was at least somewhat scummy to begin with.
To me the first quote totally look like you're saying it isn't an actual scumtell, just anti town and good cause for a pressure vote.
Her town play certainly looks more composed to me than her scum play so I'm not going to ignore this as "oh she was annoyed so she's likely town" when she has acted annoyed as scum before. Have you looked through her past games to be able to make this assumption, RR?
It's the manner of her annoyance that makes her look town, scum aren't anywhere near as emotionally involved in the cases they present but don't really mean. I fully believe her emotions were sincere, and if she didn't act pissed off in other games that just goes to show your little jabs did a lot to send her over the edge. I need to read that other game you mentioned of her getting pissed off as scum, but I recall the circumstances were different there and it's unlikely to change my opinion.
Incog wrote: I don't think this is true, and I've already explained why but hey, I can't stop you from your "Incog is scum" fixation that only sees my actions in a scummy light. Again, I'd like you to read through the thread and try and notice that my focus was not primarily on springlullaby and that I was looking for scum in other places, otherwise I can probably conclude that you're likely suffering from a bout of tunnel vision.
I don't like how everyone who isn't convinced by your defences is automatically diagnosed to be inflicted with a bad case of tunnel vision.
Incog wrote:How could I possibly plan things ahead like this and control a person across the internet to have him or her continuously attack me for more and more weak points to be able to plan my own future votes against them also? Wouldn't this only work if you thought springlullaby and I were scum together attempting some sort of gambit we agreed upon during pre-game?
Please. You don't have to be a genious manipulator or a mind reader to figure out that in response to your "it's nice to see you finally say something, and good job putting the spotlight on me for a bit, but you're dead wrong" posts she can either drop her case - which is good for you and allows you to maintain your pro town read and establish a sort of connection with her - or pursue it - in which case you appear to struggle, but finally vote her when all hope of convincing her to be a good little townie and see reason fails.
I thought you were pro-town before this attack, and I currently think you're probably misguided town. Your vote is probably the only one I can stand at the moment while Guardian's and Jahudo's votes make me cringe.
What makes my vote better?
Incog wrote:How? In summary here were her thoughts:

eldarad - pro-town.
Electra - neutral.
fuzzylightning/RandomGem - scummy.
iLord - initially pro-town, lately scummy.
Incog - pro-town.
Jahudo - scummy.
Raging Rabbit - pro-town.
springlullaby/Guardian - pro-town.
sthar8 - neutral to pro-town.
TDC - neutral.

I'm seeing four to five pro-town listings and explanations for each one, two to three neutrals, and three scummy listings. Guardian had exactly one pro-town and the other person he thought was pro-town upon replacing in was suddenly iffy.
These are more or less the reads if you make a summary, but since he had negative things to say about everyone but you, including his boosts, this post sets him up to attack anyone he wants to in the future should the need arise.


Mana_Ku - what makes your good feeling on Incog not as strong as your good feeling on myself/Guardian?
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Post Post #427 (isolation #39) » Sat Nov 22, 2008 11:28 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog wrote:I'll make it easier for you. Here are some posts she made in that game that look glaringly similar:
I didn't question her ability to get pissed off as scum, I said I wanted to examine the manner and circumstance of it and I can do that on my own, thanks.
Incog wrote:Everyone? I didn't say the same about Jahudo's vote/attack.

I think you're likely town. I know I'm town. Therefore, since you think I'm scum, and you're only seeing everything I say in a negative light, you must be suffering from tunnel vision. How can I defend myself against someone who says "your posts just look like you're trying too hard to appear pro-town"? Did it occur to you that maybe they appear that way because I actually am town and that it's not an act?
So basically, you're saying that anyone that attacks you is either scum or a tunnelvisioned townie. That's a very comfortable way to make it look like no attack against you can ever have any sort of value.

Yes, it's possible that you're "simply" a townie. Under normal circumastance, it's possible for everyone in this game to be a townie; and since the majority always
are
townies, that can always be presented as the simpler explanation. However, posts like the one I quoted and your whole process of slowly voting for SL prove to me that you're making a consious effort to look pro town, which is something few townies and all scum do. Therefore, the probability for you to be scum rises dramatically.

Do you seriously expect me to tell you how you are supposed to defend yourself? Do you think that all attacks that the person attacked can't defend from are bad attacks?
Incog wrote:Difference in vibe. I thought your catch about my "contradicting" sthar8 vote was pretty good and pro-town-seeming as I might have not clearly explained myself when I first placed it. I also like the fact that you're still asking me questions while voting for me rather than just leaving your vote there and not making an effort to figure me out. Jahudo's reason for voting me seems off, and I feel like he hasn't made a conscious effort to figure me out, and Guardian just seems more "all guns blazing".
Fair 'nuff.
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Post Post #439 (isolation #40) » Mon Nov 24, 2008 5:30 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Agreed.

Will be willing to switch from Guardian to eldarad or TDC if necassary.
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Post Post #442 (isolation #41) » Mon Nov 24, 2008 6:47 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog wrote:The point that I'm getting at with those quotes is I think (and I obviously may be wrong on this) that springlullaby has a tendency to push weak points against people as scum. When her points aren't gaining support against a person from the town, she then resorts to personal insults in her attack instead of trying to form a more coherent case against a person. This is the way I perceived her attack on me in this game and the way I perceived her attack in that game too.
You didn't show that she pushed weak points or any kind or points at all, just that she's capable of getting pissed off as scum as well, which is besides the point.
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Post Post #467 (isolation #42) » Wed Nov 26, 2008 6:42 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

iLord wrote:More information on how you say you scumhunt – and how you have scumhunted.
Which category of scumtells do my actions fall under?
I don't really have it that clear cut in my head, attacking a pro town fits the "hurts the town and makes sense from a scum point of view" definition, but obviously doesn't mean much by itself - what makes me suspect you is that the contradictions and contrived sounding statements in your case make it look like you don't actually believe it and are just looking to have a convincing sounding case - so dishonesty is the key word here, I guess.
iLord wrote:The point was dropped unintentionally, but now I’m going to drop it because it really is not convincing anyone, which is what a case must do to be successful.
To be "successful" yes, but a case isn't only meant to convince others - it's main purpose for pro town players is to gauge the suspect's reaction and figure out if you still think he's scum based on his defense. This statement along with your unvote of me following my unvote of you and your big post that contains mostly objective summary, which like Incog said looks pretty arbitrary; you could dramtically change the order of your scum-town list with relatively little editing - make me think you dropped my suspicion for the sole reason of lack of support and tried to smooth it out in the most pro town looking way you figured possible.
iLord wrote:"He didn't vote when he could - he voted only after you came in because of SL replacing out is" basically what you're saying here.

First of all, I think that this was probably not a joke. The reason behind that is that Incognito did explain why - he believed that his meta forced him to replace out.
No idea what you're saying here.
Incog wrote: This is an issue I have with a number of people in this game, actually, and it includes people who I've even indicated that I think might be town. Apparently if you sit around and twiddle your fucking thumbs in this game and pick up your prods regularly you get checked off as obvtown and get boosted but when you make an effort and raise valid points continuously and actually do research on people, you get crap-wagoned.
Your point here seems to be "I post a lot, therefore I'm town", which is totally fallacious.
Incog on SL wrote:My meta read of her suggests that her PPD rate, her pushing of weak or untrue points, and her anger/super aggressive tone matches her scum meta quite well when compared to her town meta.
What town meta do you have of her? How did you form it?

Electra - what do you think of Incog and iLord?

Eldarad - now that the summary thing has extorted any usefulness it might've had, what do you think of Incog/Guardian?

Mana_Ku, RandomGem and Huntress - we need this town way more active, and you've had enough time to catch up by now. Post, boost and vote asap, please.
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Post Post #469 (isolation #43) » Wed Nov 26, 2008 7:24 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog wrote:Uh, no. That's not my point at all. Try harder.
Once you strip away all the empty refences to your points as "valid" and your wagon as "crap", what you're left with in a nutshell is that we should go attack the people who aren't saying as much as you are.
Incog wrote:I've commented on this before. I formed it by reading her town games. Duh.
As far as I recall, you read one town game where she didn't get pissed off and one scum game where she did.
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Post Post #473 (isolation #44) » Wed Nov 26, 2008 9:06 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog wrote:First off, I said nothing about attacking people who aren't saying as much as I am. So again, try harder. I specifically mentioned that I think that these certain players who aren't really doing much are players who I think might even be town. Why would I want people to attack other people who I think might be town? I'd like these people who are being non-contributive to finally contribute.
You did sort of attack them being "obvtown", but I'll revise - you said you're more town than them because you post more.
Incog wrote:Second, I didn't only focus on whether or not she got pissed off as town and whether or not that was only a characteristic of her scum play, and I didn't only focus on one game each. TDC linked to a bunch of other games where she was town that I also looked into. There were other characteristics of her play aside from her demeanor that I looked into also that I commented on previously.
I'll try and read some into these games when I'll have the time, but her frustration reads totally genuine and I have a hard time believing she's that brilliant an actress. And I don't think the parts you quoted in-thread, at least, are very convincing at all.

iLord wrote:Exactly! I have pressured you, and I have deemed that your reactions are not indicative of scum. Believe it or not, my reads have reasons behind them. If you want to point out a specific reasons behind my reads, I’ll answer your inquiries.
Obviously you would say that, but that "I'll drop the point because it isn't successful" statement along with the timing and manner of your unvote make me think otherwise.
iLord wrote:Sorry if I was unclear – what I was trying to say is that I don’t think it’s a joke, and that Incognito voted because of SL replacing out, and that he stated his reason for doing so.
Guardian's point, I believe, was that Incog posted after SL asked for replacement without voting her, and then he voted Guardain with nothing changing besides his replacing in.
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Post Post #480 (isolation #45) » Wed Nov 26, 2008 8:46 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Huntress wrote:I've been posting in case you hadn't noticed! I mentioned earlier who I would vote for at the moment if I really had to, but if you're desperate for me to vote I can always vote for you . I'm not going to boost anyone just yet.
You didn't say a whole lot, and aren't now either. I think everyone should commit themselves to an opinion today. Crazy didn't say a whole lot either for that matter, so your lack of input is all the more distressing. Biding your time before voting is close proximity of deadline when there isn't time to question anything you say seems like a very comfortable scum-tactic.
iLord wrote:You misunderstand - the point I dropped was the guilt one, but I'm dropping my attack agaisnt you because you haven't been reading scum.
Wasn't the guilt one your original, most important point, from which I was trying to distract?
iLord wrote:Ah, right. How is that indicative of scum? Is Guardian saying that Incognito is afraid of him? It seems merely like a delayed vote, especially since there weren't any signs of a easy wagon of Guardian for proposed scumIncognito.
Since Guardian is unable to answer right now, I'll explain to the best of my understanding - he claimed that Incog figured Guardian would continue SL's attack of him based on gut/Guardian's meta, and voted him as a "preemptive OMGUS". In other words the vote was only because of the replacement, which is scummy because it obviously has no bearing on alignment.


eldarad's Guardian-Incog link is very very unlikely imo. Don't get a lot of the points he raises there, for that matter.
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Post Post #484 (isolation #46) » Thu Nov 27, 2008 11:20 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

iLord wrote:Yes.
So you see why I think your unvote was mostly due to lack of popularity.


Strongly support the deadline extension.
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Post Post #490 (isolation #47) » Sat Nov 29, 2008 6:14 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

RG, that summary post says very little. Why didn't you anyone?
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Post Post #496 (isolation #48) » Sun Nov 30, 2008 12:25 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I assume you meant RG.
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Post Post #527 (isolation #49) » Wed Dec 03, 2008 3:03 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad's attack on iLord is definitely crap logic, but that alone isn't indicative of much, town is perfectly capable of bad logic as well. Guardian has a point about his early attack on Skillit being not-that-convincing, but so are more or less all early game attacks. I skimmed his other posts and am having trouble making up my mind on him one way or the other, my earlier town lean doesn't stand but he doesn't seem very scummy either. I don't think he should be the lynch today.

Jahudo has indeed steered clear of trouble, in a manner that gives me a "careful scum" vibe, and his boost on me isn't well reasoned - activity and "focus" alone mean little - and can easily be buddying up.
FOS: Jahudo
for now, I still think incog is the better lynch.

sthar isn't my first boost choice, but he does seem pro town and we could certainly do worse. Since everyone's essentially decided on him, I see no reason to keep this pending.
Unboost, boost sthar
.
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Post Post #561 (isolation #50) » Sat Dec 06, 2008 11:03 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I'm back from a trip and uber tried, will respond to that quote bracket and other recent events tommorow-ish.

For now I'm just wonderin' why isn't GC voting me.
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Post Post #564 (isolation #51) » Sun Dec 07, 2008 2:59 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

GC wrote:Here he is putting forth bad logic. What's more testable than information? Here are two things right off the top of my head: role blockers and night kills. Also, mafia can give information that's more or less useless to the town until maybe endgame (e.g. "x number of people did a night action last night"), or information that's misleading but true to a certain extent (and blame it on bastard modding), etc. Bad reasoning to support an otherwise good choice (boosting Electra). Struck me as funny.
Roleblocking does little to clear you since you can easily be mafia RB, and kills can be manipulated as well. Info is testable regardless of this. Anyway, I don't see how this theory disagreement makes me scummy.
GC wrote:Then he makes this nonsensical argument. Let's assume the hypothetical situation he's suggesting occurs: Electra is scum, the town does boost her and - regardless of whatever benefit she receives - she decides to feed the town a "result." Why would she, sans end-game scenario, ever tell the town an innocent as guilty when she would just be putting herself up on the chopping block come the following day? Or, if it is an end-game scenario, then his safety net (that she'll be lynched the following day because she's obvscum) is a moot point. Showcasing this as an example why Electra should have been boosted just didn't sit well with me.
You have a point, but why isn't lynching him the right move? If she claims a guilty investigation result on scum she's either bussing or town.


This starts a really crap-fest half-hearted attempt to slander sthar that snowballs into quite the sizable discussion. First, it struck me on a semi-personal level because I almost always comment freely upon other people's conversations. It's part and parcel of being town: you voice your opinions regarding everything that's on the table and when you see something you don't like I don't believe you should be required to hold your tongue. Granted, there may be points where keeping your own counsel may be beneficiary, but by and large simply hoping someone else brings up your points is a bad town policy. However, I'm more than willing to realize this is a personal preference and was going to let this Rabbit point really just go, but...
It's bad town play if you prevent yourslef info by responding to questions directed at others instead of judging their response. Anyways...
Suddenly he makes responding to questions that weren't directly posed to him a scumtell. I suppose it can be a scumtell if Player X is obviously defending Player Y and not that Player X just has opinions/criticisms/etc of the questions being posed to Player Y. But Rabbit didn't qualify his statement that way; instead, he made what essential boils down to "speaking out of turn" into a scumtell. This stinks of trying to not-so-subtly put a lid on criticism from players who are not directly involved in an exchange. And then...
The phrasing is far from perfect here, but I never meant "speaking out of turn" was in itself a real scumtell. I saw sthar getting nervous on what
he
figured was a scumtell, and overreacting to show everyone how much of a townie he is.
He decides to shift his argument. There's a definitive difference than panicky and guilt-ridden (the former could be qualified as defensive, poorly written, incomplete/hasty thoughts while the latter could be identified as... well... filled with guilt and other similar sentiments). Rabbit puts up something resembling an example of why he thinks this way, but it's not made entirely clear as to how his initial accusation was confusion instead of, say, a plotted attack.
Not much of a difference, since in this case panic is a result of guilt. The line of thinking I felt sthar had was "damn, shouldn't have done that - got caught in a scumtell trying too hard to appear useful - I'll apologize real quick and maybe people will forget about it". I felt the manner of the apology was overkill, and that "I wasn't paying attention" isn't a likely explanation.
Further shifting of argument. First it was what he did that was scummish, now it's not what he did but his response to what he did that is scummish.
Nope, see above.

I fail to see how his first example of a less suspicious but not conciliatory response is, well... not conciliatory or apologetic. He seems to be blurring the lines of his (now entirely arbitrary?) standard of what constitutes this morphing scumtell.
It's less of an overkill.
This quotation is two parts of two different posts addressing the same thing and so I'm putting them together. The first part of this quote is a legitimate theory of mafia/town mindset, but I don't see to what end the latter part of the quote ("In addition to what I already answered...") was even voiced. It looks like it completely disintegrates his previous shifted/modified argument against sthar, that his apology made him look scummy (but it takes the scumminess out of the equation). This just confused me and I couldn't help that it felt like back-peddling (especially after having just unvoted sthar). Rabbit makes some sort of derisive comment to iLord later on, who also seems genuinely confused about this seeming contradiction in philosophy being voiced from the same individual
Again, it's
sthar
who felt he comitted a scumtell; my opinion is irrelevant. I felt that by apologizing he hoped to sidetrack the matter of it being indicative of scum (which he figured others would think) and present himself as a townie who made a mistake.


Now, I realize this point isn't the strongest. It was a gut matter of his apology giving me a contrived feeling, which is good enough for an early game vote. I tried to explain the logical source of that feeling, but what it really boils down to is the difference between what he wrote and the "oh, in hindsight that wasn't the best play..." example, which others apparantly don't see. The manner he chose to phrase it stroke a bad chord for me, and without seeing the overkill there the whole point collapses and gets confusing, which I guess is why I was questioned for it so very much. However, this was never a huge deal for me, the only reason I appeared to "pushing it" is because I was repeatedly asked questions, and sthar's massclaim speculation alone is much stronger a towntell than this ever was a scumtell. I get that it's hard to understand my logic here, but I dislike SC raising this matter from the dead as if it's the main thing I did all game. It's just an early game gut vote that got blown way out of proportion.
Defensive and attacking someone for requesting something that's beneficial for the town
I wanted to see if Incog will go with popular opinion (at the time) and attack Crazy as a second target, since I felt he was generally going too hard for pro town points. I didn't want to say so at the time because it would've put Incog on his toes and made him stop doing that, which would render me incapable of further judging how hard he's trying to appear pro town and how scummy that is.
SC wrote: I generally don't like accusations of "that just looks like you're trying to be pro-town" just because they can be so slippery. I usually take them with a grain of salt (and eye the accuser with a bit of suspicion) when they don't explain 1. why said action wouldn't be performed by a town person and 2. how said action makes that player appear town if they aren't. I didn't see Rabbit support his accusations in this way.
I figured it was self evident. The post I refered to as a general example of a lot of Incog's play is:
Incog wrote:Eh? All of my questions have been very relevant to the game, and I certainly wouldn't classify them as "'soft' questions" either. Just because I don't immediately reveal my insights from the answers I get doesn't mean that I haven't formulated any opinions on them. When I'm ready to make a case against someone who I think is scum, I'll do so but certainly not this early in the game. Trust me, when I have a scum read on someone I'll make my opinion on the person blatantly obvious. Right now, this is purely the information-gathering stage for me. I've seen certain things from people that make me lean slightly town on them or slightly scum but not enough to come to a definitive answer with respect to their alignments.
Explaining how much of a good town player he is (and especially the link to his case from antoher game) has little to do with his actual alignment here, and just seems meant to paint him in a good color.

If you accept my view that scum actively try to appear town while town aren't as concerned with that since they know they
are
town, I don't see what there is not to understand here. It's a classic example.
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Post Post #566 (isolation #52) » Sun Dec 07, 2008 4:02 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

iLord is totally winning his argument with eldarad, only I don't think eldarad's attack on iLord's boosting and list being crap is indicative of that much. A bad point in itself doesn't tell me too much, townies make them quite often as well. Still, iLord's recent posting feels less scummy and he's generating lots of discussion, so I think he's worth keeping around for now.

sthar makes some excellent points about Huntress, and her attack on eldarad feels comfortable for scum and is based on a few minor points in extenstion to iLord's one. I need to reread Crazy, but she's starting to look bad to me.

RG really needs to start posting.
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Post Post #568 (isolation #53) » Sun Dec 07, 2008 4:46 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

It's still odd for you to post all those thoughts as notes for yourself rather than a basis of susicion, and that summary post doens't look very good to me either. I can see why both Incog and eldarad dislike it, despite your version being plausible as well. I fail to see why eldarad pushed the boost order attack in the first place, but apparantly something in the structure of your town-scum colored list confused people. To me that doesn't mean all that much.
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Post Post #569 (isolation #54) » Sun Dec 07, 2008 4:47 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

And what's AOPS, by the way?
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Post Post #586 (isolation #55) » Mon Dec 08, 2008 10:50 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

GC wrote: What? I didn't state or otherwise imply that lynching the guilty "result" wouldn't be the right move (if I did, please show me where as that was not my intention). You seemed to have missed the point: your whole "safety net" idea is a poor safety net (as I described per example) if Electra was scum.
It's not the best safety net, no. Forcing scum to supply us with info still isn't too bad, though.
GC wrote: I was asked by another player to post reasons why I found you leaning scum after a read through of the thread. I think it's quite odd how here you are criticizing me for having taken the time to read through the thread, formed my own opinion about past events which occurred when I was not present and then explained and backed up those opinions when questioned by another player.
You're misinterperting me, what I dislike is how this one early game vote that was over discussed anyways looks like your main point against me.
GC wrote: I don't accept such a rigid view of the respective mentalities. As such, I think your points against Incog amount to a null tell, as any good townie would want to show that they are town so that suspicion can be focused in a more appropriate place elsewhere. Incog's posts could come from either scum or town.
I rarely see townies this concerned with showing how each and every action they make is done for logical, pro town motives - see my post summarizing his course of liking SL for attacking him and then slowly changing his mind and voting him for a stronger example. Anyways, how does this game-theory disagreement make me scummy?
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Post Post #625 (isolation #56) » Fri Dec 12, 2008 2:42 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incognito wrote:
Raging Rabbit wrote:I rarely see townies this concerned with showing how each and every action they make is done for logical, pro town motives - see my post summarizing his course of liking SL for attacking him and then slowly changing his mind and voting him for a stronger example. Anyways, how does this game-theory disagreement make me scummy?
I don't remember ever really liking springlullaby for attacking me. Reposting for convenience:
Incognito wrote:Some of your points seem like a bit of a stretch to me, which is a bit bothersome. I'll try and take it as a slight pro-town sign that you've called me of all people out on certain things when I've pretty much had absolutely nothing directed at me and have been finding myself trying to create my own content to get involved in. But yeah, there ya go.
I said I was bothered by her attack because I felt like her points were a bit of a stretch. I also said I'm gonna
try
and take it as a
slight
pro-town that she called me out.

In summary: Clearly I felt like she was misrepresenting some of my early actions, and instead of immediately jumping to conclusions that her intent was absolutely, positively malicious and therefore scummy, I decided to see how she would react to my response and then my response after that... etc. Her reactions to my response(s) furthered my belief that her attack might have malicious intent and so I came to the conclusion that was scummy for this. That shouldn't be so hard to understand.
The only thing she could've possibly done that would've convinced you she didn't have a "malicious intent" was apologize and unvote you. The "I'll try taking it as a slight pro town sign" sentence is totally contrived, and seems intended to give her an easy out of doing the "right thing" and not pushing your points about the nice guy everyone believes is pro town any further, and no harm will be done since he's been kind enough to consider it a pro town sign. The way you then slowly take yourslef of starting to suspect her for basically not doing the above and continuing to push her case is scummier still.

Gotta go now, more later in the weekend when I'll have some time.
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Post Post #635 (isolation #57) » Sat Dec 13, 2008 9:17 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Jahudo wrote:RR but looking back at it the questions don't look unreasonable.
What are you talking about?

I'm gonna be really busy this weak, so there probably won't be any time for me to reread people before deadline, regretfully. Incog is my preferred lynch, followed by Jahudo for being, as Incog put it, spectacor-y which is a comfortable stance for scum and consistenly giving me an odd vibe. Huntress I'm currently reading as neutral-slightly scummy, but I don't have a strong grasp on the things she said and need to reread both her and Crazy if I'll manage to find the time, but based on my current flimsy read I'll be willing to go along with her lynch if it comes to that. iLord and eldarad I don't want lynched today.
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Post Post #652 (isolation #58) » Mon Dec 15, 2008 6:53 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

So it essentialy boils down to a choice between Jahudo and Huntress. I'm leaning more towards Jahudo right now, but would rather do a more thorough recap on the cases against both before I vote, but the many tests I have this weak mean I'll have trouble finding time. And don't hammer Huntress yet, I think she's like at -1.
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Post Post #661 (isolation #59) » Tue Dec 16, 2008 5:01 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I skimmed both targets.

The main issue with Jahudo is him being too soft and preffering to stick to the sidelines, especially in the early game where little of what he said had any implication that caused him to in any way stick out, and all in all there's a general feeling he's out to avoid the spotlight. His more recent posting gives me more of a town vibe, though a lot of his case on Incog does seem to be kinda leeching of aspects of my own case against Incog, and it's weird how he sorta drops suspicion and then attacks Incog again for less convincing reasons. Still, he defends himself pretty well. What still disturbes me is that he still doesn't seem to be putting too much effort into scumhunting.

Crazy played quite differently from his townie-self, though that can be explained as a result of his lack of time. The big summary post reads quite scummy, but other posts of his give a mild town vibe. Huntress makes a very weak case on Electra, which is also redundant since she was already boosted. The attack on eldarad isn't at all convincing either imo. Despite my disagreeing with most of her points, I believe the way she's willing to stick her neck out to support them - especially staying on eldarad and not voting Jahudo - is a moderately strong towntell. Unwilingness to claim is noted. All in all I have my doubts about her, but am far from settled enough to want her lynched.

I'm not that keen on a Jahudo lynch either, but he's preferable to Huntress and could also provide me valuable info in my suspicion of Incog, since I don't think they can be scum together.

Unvote, vote Jahudo
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Post Post #704 (isolation #60) » Sat Dec 20, 2008 11:39 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Hmm. I wonder if the two kills mean we boosted scum. I think both electra and sthar should claim the benefits the boost had on them, especially electra who claimed to get some form of extra knowledge.

Also, with Jahudo turning scum I suspect Incog a whole lot less, Jahudo's attack on him seems like working towards the lynch of a townie rather than bussing. I'll try to read Jahudo again and rethink this, among other things.

Boost TDC
, which is the only one I'm really comfortable with at the moment.
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Post Post #706 (isolation #61) » Sat Dec 20, 2008 12:36 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Why shouldn't she? She could be dead tommorow, and we need this info to gauge whether we want to boost her again or not. It's not like the scum don't already know she has extra knowledge, if she's telling the truth.
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Post Post #714 (isolation #62) » Sun Dec 21, 2008 6:13 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I believe the best move is to stay quiet for a bit until electra comes back with her info, which I think she should claim asap. Sthar should claim the effects the boost had on him, as well.
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Post Post #717 (isolation #63) » Sun Dec 21, 2008 11:19 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

That's reasonable, I guess.
*waits for sthar*
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Post Post #718 (isolation #64) » Sun Dec 21, 2008 11:22 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I disagree. I think Sthar should claim only if explaining the effects of the boost would be beneficial for the town as of right now.
I'd still like to force a claim, in order for us to be able to better reeavaluate sthar. The extra nightkill gives me shivers.
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Post Post #720 (isolation #65) » Sun Dec 21, 2008 11:35 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

GC wrote:Electra posted while I was doing mine. Reading her post threw me off so I went ahead and reread Electra's claim post. I thought she claimed she received information about how many people of the town performed night actions, but apparently it wasn't in that original post of hers. Did my memory just elaborate her initial claim or did this specificity ever occur?
If she did, I certainly don't recall it.
GC wrote:If we're afraid he might be a scumbag with an extra kill, we don't have to reboost him. That said, I don't know if outing potential valuable information that he might not want to divulge yet just because there was a second kill (of which there are more than a single explanation, of course) is necessarily the most prudent of steps to take.
This may be just speculation, but I've a strong feeling that this setup is town vs. scum with no extra killing roles. Makes more sense this way, considering the boost mechanic. Vig and SK are both possibilities, but my gut says double scumkill.
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Post Post #726 (isolation #66) » Mon Dec 22, 2008 12:30 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

sthar's claim is surprising, I figured his early massclaim speculation meant he had extra info about the game due to having some sort of PR. Also, sthar, you're saying you're basically vanilla that gets double vote if boosted, right?
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Post Post #730 (isolation #67) » Tue Dec 23, 2008 3:55 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

sthar wrote:I don't know how to be more explicit.
If you're a one shot double voter anyways (which isn't much of a power role, btw), what effect did the boost have on you?
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Post Post #734 (isolation #68) » Tue Dec 23, 2008 12:33 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

:|

Wow, that's a really annoying response. Earlier you said:
I'm a double voter. I have a second, secret vote that I PM to elmo in order to use.
Which implies you're a double voter regardless of being boosted. So if you're saying you only got a double vote because you were boosted, how are you a power role? If you were a double voter regardless of the boost, what effect did the boost have?
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Post Post #736 (isolation #69) » Tue Dec 23, 2008 1:22 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I wrote: Also, sthar, you're saying you're basically vanilla that gets double vote if boosted, right?
You could've just answered "yeah", y'know.

And everyone gets "an ability above and beyond the standard town mechanics for a game" when boosted, so no, that's not a PR (well, according to electra's info it's not everyone, but I still assume most people do and you didn't have that info before anyways).

What about the structure of your PM made you think massclaiming would be good?
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Post Post #742 (isolation #70) » Wed Dec 24, 2008 6:01 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

sthar wrote:Um, you can have a game in which every player has a PR. Most smalltown games are run this way, I believe. Every player just has some special ability that goes beyond the town mechanics. I could tell that I had one from my PM because it's pretty obvious that not everyone recieved same one as I did, even if they were all the same type.
That's technically correct I guess, but the definition I use which I believe is more common is a role that's has more power in relation to other members of the town.
sthar wrote:My role PM gave nonspecific qualities of my character, and implied that boosting me would amplify these charactersitics into a power. Scum would likely not know this, and if they did their qualities would necessarily be different from town ones. An early claim would force scum to commit to "vanilla," "vanilla with boost," or "normal PR." If they claim vanilla, and no townie has a "vanilla without boost" role, then they are caught. If we have true vanilla townies, we narrow the pool significantly, and know who our safe lynches are right away. If they claim "vanilla with boost," they are forced to lie, and making scum lie is the easiest way to catch them, especially since they have no standard example of how "vanilla with boost" works for town. I would not have discounted scum assuming that "boostees" would be explicitly informed of their powers, before electra elaborated on her claim. If they claim "normal PR," they are stuck in whatever role they chose, we gain information if they continue to live, and we might catch scum through counterclaim. I originally thought that there would be no traditional power roles in this game, obviously that assumption was wrong, and the strategy is weakened considerably. I guessed that if my speculation was correct, other players might come to the same conclusion and support the idea of massclaim, giving us a good chance of catching at least one scum on D1.
Given what we know now that would've worked horribly, but I guess it works as an explanation for your page 1 thinking.

I can't find anything really wrong with either of our bostees - though sthar's claim is certainly disappointing - but that doesn't shake the nagging feeling that one of them is scum. I need to reread this game and look at Jahudo interaction anyways, since I don't have much of an idea where I want my vote right now.


Incog - I'm always obvtown, but what made you realize that here?
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Post Post #745 (isolation #71) » Wed Dec 24, 2008 10:25 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

That actually makes a lot of sense. I'm contemplating boosting Incog to gain another likely town kill, but I'm not sure I trust him that much yet. I'll review it again during my reread.
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Post Post #748 (isolation #72) » Sun Dec 28, 2008 4:09 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Beginning a reread now, will come back with notes asap.
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Post Post #752 (isolation #73) » Mon Dec 29, 2008 7:31 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I got to page 10, skimming the whole Incog - SL thing. Notes:

sthar's claim seems shaky given his original posting. For one, sthar, I'd like to know how you "narrowed down your potential powers to two options", and why you think proving your double vote will in any way confirm you?

Considering Jahudo's response to the SL - Incog, I strongly think it was town - town.

Skillit's acting odd but the quick development of his wagon suggests he's a townie.

eldarad is looking much worse than I remembered. FZ is noncomital and not really scumhunting, and therefore scummy as well. Along with Jahudo they make a good possible scumteam.

Crazy was very dodgy, especially his big recap post, but given Huntress' claim we should at the very least give her some more time. Need to reread the end of the day to come up with a better opinion on her.

electra is probably town. TDC as well, possibly moreso.

Considering Incog's useful power and electra's info, I think the right play is to
boost: Incogito
and direct the second vig kill he's probably going to get as well as the lynch.

My vote will go to one of Iceman, eldarad, sthar, barring some drastic revealation. Will continue my read later.
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Post Post #753 (isolation #74) » Mon Dec 29, 2008 7:33 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Also, eldarad's above post is really scummy.
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Post Post #755 (isolation #75) » Mon Dec 29, 2008 9:17 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

GC wrote:Electra isn't the only one who already told us this information. We had it before the game started.
That does not in any way imply that ordinary "inhabitants of the town" gain no benefit from being boosted.
GC wrote:This was before Incog outed himself. He has already stated why he would want to display his ability - to show people (namely you) that he wasn't a boosted killer as you suggested from post one of Day Two. It seems odd that you would set up a potential scenario where sthar would be the guilty party and then when sthar suggests a way to show that your scenario isn't true you fault him for it.
Having a double vote today doesn't necassarily prove he didn't get an extra boost kill - though in light of Incog's claim we know that likely wasn't the case. Besides, the phrase "confirm" implies, to me at least, that he thought proving his claim will somehow prove he's innocent, not only that he did not get an extra NK.

As for eldarad's post - the first part seems like rationalizing a predecided conclusion that Huntress is scummy, the suggestion regarding Electra is terrible and likely playing straight into scum's hands, and the last part with the wink smiley just gives me the shivers.
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Post Post #764 (isolation #76) » Mon Dec 29, 2008 4:29 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

sthar wrote:In addition, since our boosts are public information, electra-scum could just kill the boostee after the second time. This wastes a significant amount of time for no probable gain. I'm not saying I disbelieve electra, or think her any more scummy than I did yesterday, but I don't think this information is very confirmable at all.
Or even without electra being scum, they can just kill the boost-ee the third time around if they don't want the info proven. This is also a potential good method of making sure already boosted scum are boosted again, so if eldarad turns scum I'll be looking at sthar and electra.
sthar wrote:No, but the fact that my role PM was different suggests to me that my power is above and beyond the standard town mechanics for a game, in the same way that cop, doc, and bulletproof townie are above and beyond a normal vanilla PM.
Well, double vote does the town little good in the vast majority of situations. You could argue that even the average vanilla townie is likely to gain something more useful out of a boost, though given electa's info that's doubtful.
sthar wrote:For the record, in my personal (irrelevant) opinion, proving that I am a double voter should increase the probability that I am town, as I believe that double voting is a very powerful scum ability that doesn't appear to fit well with what we know of the setup. In support of this, my second vote is anonymous, which means that the drawback of accountability is removed from any mislynch engineered using the vote. Without accountability, the ability is no longer restricted to only being useful in LYLO. As I have claimed my vote, the potential for abuse goes down significantly.
I think the opposite, in fact -- the nature of this setup implies boosts should be influencial, and a double vote is significantly more powerful in the hands of scum - especially a
secret
one, I can't see any way in which it's more helpful than a public double vote in the hands of town. Therefore, your claimed power makes more sense for scum to have. You claimed your vote because you figured it'll somehow confirm you.
sthar wrote:To do what, exactly?
Boost people that don't get NK'd, obviously.

I still don't see this, and it keeps coming up. Can you elaborate?
Will try to when I finish rereading. Latest post sends up red lights in its own right.
sthar wrote:Wait, what? Are you suggesting that it'd be plausible for me to be double-voting, extra-killing scum, in a mini? Damn, you caught me. I'm also bulletproof, investigation-proof, and I've got three roleblocks per night.
I'm suggesting you could've had that double vote option to start with, and got an extra kill due to being boosted. Given Incog's claim, this is now pretty irrelevant though.
Would it be viable to boost Incog in order to have him suicide before LYLO?

Unless someone can come up with a plan to test huntress's alignment, she is a very good lynch.
Why would Incog the SK
ever
commit suicide? Why not just use his kills to the town's benefit and lynch him if we eventually decide he's scum?

Huntress also has a good pro town power, and like Incog said is unlikely to be scum with Jahudo (I never saw such a situation either). You seem intent on killing anyone caplable of improving our night game.


Incog brings up excellent points in 762, especially the second part - how exactly does such a vote cause you pressure?
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Post Post #765 (isolation #77) » Tue Dec 30, 2008 9:44 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I'm up to page 20 in my reread, these 10 pages were dominated by endless Incog/Guardian debates and thus not all that useful, but I did pick up stuff that increased my suspicion of all three suspects I picked up before (sthar, eldarad, Iceman). I need to reread the end of day 1, then I'll place a vote.
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Post Post #766 (isolation #78) » Tue Dec 30, 2008 4:28 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Right. I'm calling the scumteam of Jahudo + Iceman + either sthar or eldarad, more likely sthar. I have lots of notes which I could try organizing into a proper case, but I'd like to hear everyoe's thoughts on that first.

Vote Iceman
.

Also, I'm a bit unsure with my boost on TDC. Could you link us to some finished scum games of yours, TDC? Your play strikes me as similar to your town performance in Cop Central, but it's possible you play exactly like that as scum as well.

Huntress is probably not mafia , given the way the end of yesterday played out. Happy with my boost on Incog, there's almost no way he can be scum with Jahudo given their play yesterday, unless both are brilliant actors.
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Post Post #771 (isolation #79) » Wed Dec 31, 2008 10:54 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote:What is FZ?
I meant FL, Fuzzylightning. Z's have a tendency to stand out to me.
The first part is directly addressing Huntress' stated opinion as to why I might have asked her who she would have boosted.
Do you think Huntress has a point here or do you think she is on the wrong track?
She is, you're right about that first part. But it still appears that you're using Huntress' power role claim as further reason to throw suspicion her way, which I dislike. Huntress being scum requires her to have claimed her role going head to head with her godfather's soft power claim, and also a scum booster makes little sense if she can just boost the same guy her team NK's. I think the claim definitely goes towards clearing her, and you trying to make it look the other way around is scummy.
eldarad wrote: The fact that the information is testable is enough for me to not want to test it, if that makes sense.
It doesn't. Trying to test the 3rd-boost-is-useless thing enables the scum to just NK the guy the third time around, creating a WIFOM trap we have no way of solving. It is therefore not practical to test it, which shouldn't make you think it is true - electra-scum could have easily figured our optimal stragegy is not to try and test it, and therefore felt safe making it up.
eldarad wrote:Incog killed our doc. Do you not think that is worth mentioning, even if we do think he is a vig?
The the way you phrased it makes me uncomfortable, though. You sound pleased.

TDC wrote:I don't really remember anything about Iceman or his predecessors. Did he enter the picture via Jahudo's posts or on his (or his predecessors') own?
Both. Not outlining my case yet, though, I want to hear him analyze the game first.
TDC wrote:You can look them up in my wiki.
I will when I'll have the time.


Incog should be an obivous boost today. I suggest we start discussing potential targets for him along with our lynch targets.
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Post Post #773 (isolation #80) » Fri Jan 02, 2009 9:31 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I'm a bit worried by this fall in activity. Iceman especially should've really posted by now.
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Post Post #776 (isolation #81) » Sat Jan 03, 2009 2:30 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote:In quote 1 you are saying that if I am scum then one of {sthar, Electra} are scum with me.
In quote 2 you are saying that either sthar or I are scum.
What changed?
I reread the game. electra I think is more likely town, you could've just been buddying up to her or intentionally leaving a loophole for later attacks. But I guess if she dies before you for whatever reason and turns out scum you're still the most likely partner.
eldarad wrote:But at the heart of it all, if Electra is scum - and is therefore trying to minimise what she has to tell us, why tell us two things?
This is an extreme case of WIFOM.


Mod
, can we get some prods on people?
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Post Post #780 (isolation #82) » Sun Jan 04, 2009 5:21 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote:
Raging Rabbit wrote:This is an extreme case of WIFOM.
So?

And given that you've just expressed the opinion that Electra is town, presumably you agree with me.
So any conclusion we try to draw from it is worthless.

I somewhat agree with your conclusion, most certainly not with your reasoning.
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Post Post #784 (isolation #83) » Mon Jan 05, 2009 5:47 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Is that all you have to say?
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Post Post #798 (isolation #84) » Fri Jan 09, 2009 2:20 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Bah, post deleted.
eldarad wrote:All of those things necessarily include an element of uncertainty. Some of them include elements of WIFOM. Yet you must have considered them all in some shape or form in order to arrive at a conclusion about Electra's probable alignment.
Yes, those are elements of WIFOM. Which is why I tried to relay on them as little as I could, and based my read (which I'm by no means sure of) mostly on gut, some of her attempts at scumhunting, and a solid town read from her first post. You relayed on a WIFOM argument about the info being testable, which makes no sense to boot. Our conclusions being similar doesn't mean I can't call foul on your reasoning. Voting me for this is possibly more far fetched than your "order of town reads" attack on iLord, and looks to me like a form of the recently discussed preemtive OMGUS.

And I think I recall electra being replaced in another game prior to the move, so it's probably a good idea to start looking for replacement.

I want Iceman to post substantial thoughts about what went on in the game. No doing so is just making him look worse and worse.
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Post Post #801 (isolation #85) » Sat Jan 10, 2009 4:25 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

icemanE wrote:
boost: RR
Why me? Aren't you the least bit concerned about my vote on you?
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Post Post #803 (isolation #86) » Sat Jan 10, 2009 5:15 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote:But all of those elements are important, and you must have considered them as part of your read on Electra. You can pretend as much as you like, but calling my analysis as invalid due to WIFOM rings hollow - you're just denying reality because you think it is the right thing to say.
I considered them, failed to draw a definitive conclusion, and opted to relay on other things. You went for a WIFOM argument that derives from a false assumption to boot (i.e the information being realisticly testable). The false assumption is what gets me most here, actually.
eldarad wrote:Given that I had never heard of pre-emptive OMGUS until this game, perhaps you would be so good as to explain, in a reasonable amount of detail, what pre-emptive OMGUS is as applied to this particular situation, and how my vote fits into it.
I expressed suspicion of you, but voted Iceman. You decided attacking me back is the way to go, and to make your attack look like it isn't OMGUS decided to do so before I actively started pushing for your lynch. You therefore came up with a contrived case on me to base your vote of.
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Post Post #808 (isolation #87) » Tue Jan 13, 2009 4:53 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

This day is really disappointing.
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Post Post #814 (isolation #88) » Tue Jan 13, 2009 7:07 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Hullo vollkan, welcome in. Lets finally get things moving.
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Post Post #822 (isolation #89) » Wed Jan 14, 2009 8:13 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

The more Iceman posts, the more I want to lynch him. Responding to the questions about his boost on me by unboosting me and going for the most popular choice without further explanation is so scummy I'd want him lynced now even if it wasn't for his link with Jahudo.

I think I'd prefer if our second boost was TDC, but vollk a viable option as well.
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Post Post #853 (isolation #90) » Wed Jan 14, 2009 7:07 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

icemanE wrote:
Why did you switch your vote over so quickly after only hearing Huntress's claim?
Because huntress was willing to claim instead of fighting it, which says something to me.

I asked RR why I shouldn't boost him because I want to know.
I never said you shouldn't boost me. I said boosting *anyone* for no stated reason and then switching to the popular target after being questioned about it is way scummy. Why did you boost me? Why did you unboost me to boost Incog? Why did you not supply us with any of the info we've asked you to?
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Post Post #855 (isolation #91) » Wed Jan 14, 2009 8:35 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog made a claim that makes a lot of sense about starting as a one shot vig, with a boost likely giving him additional "bullets". We want to test that. Plus, he's a very unlikely buddy for Jahudo.

Were allowed to boost twice, but according to electra any further boosts after that will have no effect.
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Post Post #861 (isolation #92) » Thu Jan 15, 2009 11:45 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

What makes him look pro town?
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Post Post #883 (isolation #93) » Sun Jan 18, 2009 9:30 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Xtoxm is looking like a prime lynch right now, almost as much as Iceman.
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Post Post #885 (isolation #94) » Sun Jan 18, 2009 9:44 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Why did you FOS Huntress?
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Post Post #892 (isolation #95) » Tue Jan 20, 2009 8:32 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote:Raging Rabbit, why do you think Xtoxm is looking like a prime lynch target right now?
'Cause sthar was real scummy himself, and xtoxm fucked up his already shady looking claim.
eldarad wrote:I'm also intrigued to hear how you reached a "gut" read on Electra without considering whether her claim was genuine or not.
It's an intriguing move, I know, but I actually considered the parts where she posted
without
claiming. Also her first post still strongly reads town.
iceman wrote:Just waiting on that pbpa...
You replaced way earlier than xtoxm and said close to nothing, how about doing an analysis yourself? Loving where my vote is.
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Post Post #896 (isolation #96) » Wed Jan 21, 2009 10:04 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I didn't ask for a pbpa, just, well, anything. Thoughts on the game and stuff.
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Post Post #899 (isolation #97) » Thu Jan 22, 2009 11:12 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

xtoxm wrote: Vig a PR if you really want. I still fail to see how anyone can see Sthar as scum.
Dude, your claim is a one-shot double voter. Vigging a "PR" isn't scaring anyone.

I fail to see what you expect to achieve by stating how very obvtown the guy you replaced was.
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Post Post #905 (isolation #98) » Fri Jan 23, 2009 12:13 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

xtoxm wrote:And i've already said, that's just the boost. Are you stupid?
No, but apparantly you are. Sthar already "confessed" to having no other powers except the boost.

Unvote, vote Xtoxm
. Lynch all liars, especially when said lie practically screams scum.

I support Iceman's suggestion to vig him.
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Post Post #909 (isolation #99) » Sat Jan 24, 2009 4:16 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

TDC wrote:I remember someone (RR?) claiming to have a case on iceman/his predecessors. Can we see that?
I found some serious linkage between him Jahudo, no real time to go back to my notes and explain it in detail right now. No need either, we've got obvscum xtoxm to lynch.
vollkan wrote:414: @RR: What is the "apparent contradiction" here? I can't see it.
First the vote is based on a scumread, than it's just meant to gather info.


Lets boost either vollkan or TDC, lynch xtoscum and get this day over with.
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Post Post #911 (isolation #100) » Sat Jan 24, 2009 5:06 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote:I fail to see how you can reach an opinion on Electra/Vollkan without considering whether her claim is genuine. Surely that is the crucial issue - yet you are saying that you have got a gut town read on Electra without considering her claim.
Do you think your opinion on Electra's alignment will change if you reach the conclusion that her claim is fake?
If so, how can you have any confidence at all in your 'gut read'?
How can I - or any of us - take your stated read seriously if you have ignored such a crucial point?
I'm not ignoring it, I'm just aware of the fact that it involves a ton of WIFOM and I therefore can't really utilize it to form an opinion. You, on the other hand, have a completely bogus argument for why it clears her and are apparantly not basing your opinion on any of her other actions. Claiming that my approach is the scummy one is just pure BS.

eldarad wrote:yay. That's the third general "rule" (rule is poor choice of word, but can't think of a better one) you've trotted out without explaining how it applies in this specific case.
It sounds like you're using LAL as a justification for your vote (in addition to your stated view that the claim is scummy). Is that accurate?
xtoxm basically completely contradicted his predeccesor's unconvincing claim. What more could you possibly need to base a lynch on, a signed confession?


Unboost, boost vollkan
. He's a more popular choice than TDC and we need to get this day over with.
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Post Post #912 (isolation #101) » Sat Jan 24, 2009 5:17 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

sthar wrote:My role PM gave nonspecific qualities of my character, and implied that boosting me would
amplify these charactersitics into a power.
...And many other times he essentially claimed to have no power other than the boost.

xtoxm wrote:That's just the boost, guess it's a partial claim.
xtoxm, after I said a one shot double voter when boosted isn't a power role wrote:And i've already said, that's just the boost. Are you stupid?
Clearly the claim suddently changes to having a power role that has nothing to do with boosts.

I rest my case.
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Post Post #923 (isolation #102) » Sun Jan 25, 2009 6:37 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Huntress wrote:
Eldarad wrote:vote iceman
primarily because there is a lack of content, not just from iceman, but from all of the other players who have had that role. Possibly it suggests that there is something in the role PM that incentivises them to keep quiet?

Fuzzylightning seemed to have no problems posting content, and RandomGem had one decent length post (488) which had an interesting point at the end re: the value of a boost on him.
QFT. The role itself is both generally bad for the game and somewhat contradictory with the theme in particurlar. I highly doubt a mod like Patrick would put a role that encourages lurking in a game like this. Very inconsistent with Iceman's predecessors as well, who posted few long posts instead of (relatively) many short ones. I'd say we have two caught scum here.

I enjoyed Xtoxm stating he's gonna vote me before even reading my posts (can you get any more OMGUSy than that?), then digging up that old apology thing I explained a million times while ignoring said million explanations, and at the same time not coming up with any sort of defense to the glaring lie he's been caught in.
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Post Post #926 (isolation #103) » Sun Jan 25, 2009 7:08 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog, what about Xtoxm completely mucking up sthar's claim? That's as good as scumtells come.
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Post Post #935 (isolation #104) » Sun Jan 25, 2009 7:32 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Xtoxm wrote:If you were town you'd know the PM's are worded by no means in a clear cut fashion. I PMed the mod but he wouldn't expand.
Sthar clearly claimed he was a double voter and nothing else. Also, see Incog's post. Die scum die.
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Post Post #943 (isolation #105) » Sun Jan 25, 2009 7:45 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Xtoxm wrote:On re-examination of my PM, I am told specifically the extra vote is related to enchancement of my Charisma aspect.
sthar also specifically claimed to have not been told what boosting him does, but rather that he "narrowed it down". Your claim has more holes than swiss cheese.
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Post Post #951 (isolation #106) » Sun Jan 25, 2009 9:07 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incognito wrote:
Raging Rabbit wrote:
Xtoxm wrote:On re-examination of my PM, I am told specifically the extra vote is related to enchancement of my Charisma aspect.
sthar also specifically claimed to have not been told what boosting him does, but rather that he "narrowed it down". Your claim has more holes than swiss cheese.
He's talking about his boost PM though that I'm guessing he would have received during twilight.
Yeah, that makes more sense, but I still think he's lynchworthy for the contradictory claim alone.

I'll have another look at my notes on Iceman later and try explain his link to Jahudo, but really either one is an excellent lynch imo.
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Post Post #990 (isolation #107) » Tue Jan 27, 2009 10:47 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Anyone who thinks Xtoxm's town -

1. Read my discussion with sthar between 726 and 737. Is there any way his claim is anything but "basically vanilla that gets double vote if boosted"? If the answer is no:
2. Xtoxm clearly claimed something different. Why would sthar lie is he's town?
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Post Post #991 (isolation #108) » Tue Jan 27, 2009 10:49 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Since I'm apparantly the only person voting him, I guess that question applies to everyone. I'd really like to hear responses.
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Post Post #992 (isolation #109) » Tue Jan 27, 2009 11:21 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Some points on Iceman-Jahudo, keep in my that my notes are rather scattered and I'm too short on time to go back and check the game:
Iceman 692 wrote:I'm not going to have time for a full reread before tomorrow, but I read the first few pages and the last couple of pages. My main point in any game is that there must be a lynch on day one. I have read the points against Jahudo and Huntress and would rather see Huntress lynched today than Jahudo.

vote: huntress
Basically the easiest way to vote the wagon that isn't his scumbuddies, citing no reasoning at all.
Huntress claims power role on 693, and after electra's unvote on her it becomes evident she's not gonna be lynched. Iceman then unvotes her and votes Jahudo to gain bussing credit, citing yet again a grand total of no reasoning at all.

Both FL and RG say absolutely nothing about Jahudo, and focus their attention on posting noncomittal stuff about the Incog-SL debate. Jahudo himslef opted to say stuff like "I don't have a read on fuzzy" rather than display any sort of suspicion for being a lurker. Also, all of FL's posts and RG's only one with content give off a strong "I don't actually care about searching for scum, let's voice some tangible opinions and fade back into the background" vibe. I may have some other minor points somewhere around there, but that's the bulk of it.

To top things off, Iceman's "my role doesn't allow me to talk" claim almost screams scum. Then again, xtoxm's is even scummier and Incog's unlikely to vig him, so I think xtoxm's the better lynch today. Again, though, I don't really care that much which one of them we kill first as long as they both die. I storngly feel we have two caught scum here.
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Post Post #994 (isolation #110) » Tue Jan 27, 2009 12:20 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Why don't you try to answer this yourself, actually?
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Post Post #996 (isolation #111) » Tue Jan 27, 2009 12:36 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

You must be one amazing player, figuring out I'm scum like that without even reading my posts. Shame about your reading issue, though, since you apparantly had to resort to skimming a 4 line post.

Both questions in 990 are really simple, and I'd like you to answer them please.
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Post Post #999 (isolation #112) » Tue Jan 27, 2009 12:55 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

basically vanilla that gets double vote if boosted =/= vanilla
Vanilla that gets double vote if boosted =/=
xtoxm wrote:That's just the boost, guess it's a partial claim. [/quote="xtoxm"]
And i've already said, that's just the boost. Are you stupid?
While sthar clearly claimed to have no other powers except a double vote when boosted.
xtoxm wrote:Like I said, anyone with a town PM knows the PM does not tell you what you are. I understand this is hard for you to comprehend, seeing as you are not town.
False. Incog was told he's a vig. Guardian was marked as "doc". The sample PM very clearly reads "townie".
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Post Post #1000 (isolation #113) » Tue Jan 27, 2009 12:57 pm

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Bleh, stupid tags. EBDP:
basically vanilla that gets double vote if boosted =/= vanilla
Vanilla that gets double vote if boosted =/=
xtoxm wrote:That's just the boost, guess it's a partial claim.
xtoxm wrote:And i've already said, that's just the boost. Are you stupid?
While sthar clearly claimed to have no other powers except a double vote when boosted.
xtoxm wrote:Like I said, anyone with a town PM knows the PM does not tell you what you are. I understand this is hard for you to comprehend, seeing as you are not town.
False. Incog was told he's a vig. Guardian was marked as "doc". The sample PM very clearly reads "townie".
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Post Post #1002 (isolation #114) » Tue Jan 27, 2009 1:02 pm

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Sample PM wrote:
You are an inhabitant of the town.

You win when all anti-town roles are eliminated.
Obviously that's not yours, yours is scum. I like how you didn't address the first part of my post, which is the one which proves your claim is BS.
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Post Post #1007 (isolation #115) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 1:30 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Huntress wrote:I think that makes Iceman L-1. I'm willing to hammer him before the deadline but I want to finish my comments on Eldarad first.
No comment on my questions?
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Post Post #1033 (isolation #116) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 10:01 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Xtoxm and Iceman are so totally scum, it's painfully obvious.
[url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=1411453#1411453]722[/url], sthar8 wrote:If you recall, yesterday I noted that I did not believe I was the best boost for the day.
This was because I had narrowed my potential powers down to two options
, and I didn't think either of them is particularly helpful to us in the early game, except as a way to potentially confirm me.
I agree that it's slightly odd that sthar8 only seemed to be claiming to be a double voter, but I think that judging from the above quote it seems like sthar8 might have also seen the second potential ability listed in his role PM as well and just figured that the second ability was null or non-existent or something else... it's hard to know what he was thinking at the time. I think the difference between sthar8 and Xtoxm though is Xtoxm went ahead and got further clarification from the mod while maybe sthar8 just didn't bother to probe further about it. The only thing I
don't
like about sthar8 now is how he wanted to confirm himself by using his second vote ability but never seemed too bothered to try and maybe push for a second boost for his potential second ability. Again though, this seems to go along well with the idea that maybe sthar8 for some weird reason just didn't think that second ability existed or something like that.
Sthar said he "didn't know how to be more explicit" about his claim saying he has no powers other than a double vote. When I further questioned him about it, he responded with " :( ", which is basically "I'm sad you don't get it by now". He later said the only reason he didn't respond with a "yeah" was that he "hates having to repeat himself."He was clearly
absolutely positive
his role was vanilla that gets becomes double voter when boosted. He had no doubts about it, and he had the same exact info xtoxm does.
For xtoxm's claim to be true, you have to believe sthar was explicitly told the boost effected one of two "qualities" specifically mentioned in his PM, and the thought a second boost will probably effect his second quality never even crossed his mind. Since he clearly isn't a complete and utter moron, I don't believe there's any way that was the case.
Xtoxm comes in feeling all important for being a "power role", and claims the double voter thing is
"just the boost"
. Not
yesteday's
boost, the boost. That clearly implies he has a non-boost related power.
When I point out his blunder at 905 he doesn't respond, opting instead to to take his time reading the game in order to come up with a feasible excuse (and notice his "Well I already know i'm gonna call him scum, but i'll look at his posts anyway" comment on me in 921 -
how on earth is this town play?
)
I mention his lie again in 923, he comes up with another one line response that ignores it in 924. Only than, in 929, after being asked by Incog as well and getting the the point where further lack of response would make him look really bad, he finally "explains".
Incog makes another valid point about a comment of sthar's that makes no sense whatsoever in the light of xtoxm's claim in 934. Then he apparantly forgets about it.
Then, watch how he yet again has nothing to protect his lie with in early page 41, and resorts to "whatever".
It's hard to get more obvscum than this.
Incog wrote:This isn't entirely true either. My role PM doesn't explicitly call me anything. It just describes the items that I have and my win condition. From that, I gathered that I must be a vig. I'd imagine that Guardian's role PM didn't call him a doctor either -- it probably described a few things that he had along with him (maybe a medical bag or some kind of medications or a stethoscope or some other such thing) but probably never explicitly said he's a doctor. The sample Vanilla PM also just says "inhabitant of town" from which one would probably gather that he or she is just Vanilla.
Doesn't really matter if the specific role name was mentioned or not, a pro town role that shoots people at night is clearly a vig, an "inhabitant of the town" is clearly a townie, and I'm sure it was obvious from Guardian's PM that his a doc. Huntress' and electra's roles are also easy enough to understand. That means xtoxm's argument that "the PM does not tell you what you are" is totally false. If it were true, even for xtoxm's role alone, sthar wouldn't have said he was a vanilla who doublevotes when boosted with such confidence.
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Post Post #1034 (isolation #117) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 10:08 am

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icemanE wrote:Alright, I'll claim.

My role doesn't have a name. All it tells me is that I have an invisibility potion that I can use to investigate someone. It's a one-shot ability that I have not used yet.

My win-con is the same as the one in the sample pm.

Also I misread that conversation between RR and Xtoxm - turns out RR is scum, not Xtoxm. He's right - my role pm doesn't give a name, but I'm clearly a power role.

unvote - vote: RR
I didn't say all PMs give a name - which should be obvious, I quoted the sample PM as an example and it doesn't "give a name" - I said unlike what xtoxm said, all claims we know of - including yours, btw - make it easy to deduce what role you have. Voting me based on this is just ridiculous.
Also, unconvincing claim. Iceman's scum too, I just want people to realize xtoxm's scum before we lynch in case I get killed tonight or somethin'.
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Post Post #1040 (isolation #118) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 10:35 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Iceman wrote:Just wondering, how does "guy with invisibility potion that can investigate one time" hint at a standard role? It doesn't, that's how.
It's not a "standard role", but you can clearly deduce what your role does. You're a one shot investigator, whether or not your PM explicitly says so, and anyone with half a brain can figure it out.

Iceman wrote:False. Incog was told he's a vig. Guardian was marked as "doc". The sample PM very clearly reads "townie".
I thought Incog was explicitly told he's a vig, turns out I was wrong. Make that "Incog's role clearly reads vig". Other than that minor point, no contradiction whatsoever. You and your scumbuddy are really getting desperate.
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Post Post #1041 (isolation #119) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 10:37 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

xtoxm wrote:If anyone want's to CC Ice for the investigate role, do so now please.
"If my buddie's getting lynched soon, let's at least put possbile town power roles in the open now please."
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Post Post #1043 (isolation #120) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 10:46 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Bunnies don't crawl, silly.
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Post Post #1047 (isolation #121) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 10:58 am

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xtoxm wrote:Did Hunt boost anyone last night? I think she should boost Ice tonight.
xtoxm wrote:Also, i'm starting to think I probably am just a double voter, and Leadership is just another description for that.
Then he lines up lynches with his buddy as auto-town. It's official, you can't get more obvscum than this barring a flat out confession.
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Post Post #1050 (isolation #122) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 11:13 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Xtoxm wrote:You're really trying to accuse someone with an extra vote of being scum? You think the mod put a scum role into the game that makes the game reach lylo a full day-night cycle earlier, if boosted? Seriously.
Yes. Makes perfect sense, actually. For you to do that you have to a) get boosted and b) get yourself in the final 3 and in the final 5 along with a buddy. Totally balanced. Kinda underpowered for town, actually, double vote doesn't do much to help the town. Certainly not the OMG POWER ROLE you and sthar tried to display this as.

[quote="xtoxm]I've been known to do that. And as town, too.[/quote]

You would. Later you can just claim your PM wasn't clear about your alignment, so it turns out you're town after all.
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Post Post #1051 (isolation #123) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 11:17 am

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icemanE wrote:RR - I don't understand you. You're obvious scum, and yet you press forward the idea that Xtoxm and I are buddies. If I die and flip town, are you suddenly going to consider Xtoxm cleared? How do you conclude that we're buddies? Agreeing that you're scum by no means makes us scumbuddies.
What makes you buddies is, first and foremost, both of you being obvscum. Then there's the brief contrived vote on each other that's soon exchanged for a vote on me and a united front on the other guy being clearly town. Then there's xtoxm trying to buy you another night, preferably even a boost, and if he can get a town power role to counterclaim that'd be icing on the cake.

But no, if you'll somehow flip town I'll still think xtoxm's scum.
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Post Post #1052 (isolation #124) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 11:18 am

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Raging Rabbit wrote:
Xtoxm wrote:You're really trying to accuse someone with an extra vote of being scum? You think the mod put a scum role into the game that makes the game reach lylo a full day-night cycle earlier, if boosted? Seriously.
Yes. Makes perfect sense, actually. For you to do that you have to a) get boosted and b) get yourself in the final 3
or
in the final 5 along with a buddy. Totally balanced. Kinda underpowered for town, actually, double vote doesn't do much to help the town. Certainly not the OMG POWER ROLE you and sthar tried to display this as.
xtoxm wrote:I've been known to do that. And as town, too.
You would. Later you can just claim your PM wasn't clear about your alignment, so it turns out you're town after all.
Fixed.
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Post Post #1054 (isolation #125) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 12:48 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Desperate times call for despertate measures.
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Post Post #1057 (isolation #126) » Wed Jan 28, 2009 10:38 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Answering his question means I know how he'll flip? Right...
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Post Post #1078 (isolation #127) » Thu Jan 29, 2009 7:12 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog wrote:Filter those posts. In his scum game, the guy only had like 20-something game-related posts and spent the majority of his time lurking with minimal to no scum hunting. In his town game, he had 100+ posts and made relevant game-related discussion. In this game he's already approaching the 100 post mark, and he hasn't even BEEN here the whole time.
So you think the guy's incapable of figuring this meta out and using it to his advantage? Most of his posts have been oneliners, and a lot of them are a result of people asking him question/me arguing with him. And we have something a little stronger than meta-tells here, which is how he
completely contradicted his predeccesor's claim
. Seriously, they go from sthar calling me stupid for not bothering to read his posts and see how obvious it is he has no power other than double vote when boosted, to xtoxm calling me stupid for not realizing the double vote thing is "just the boost". Doesn't anyone see how strong a scumtell this is?

GC, Ice fakeclaimed cop when pressed against the wall. A few posts before that he hinted at a post restriction, when that seemed likely to maybe stop some of the suspicion on him. There's no reason whatsoever for such a role to have not used his action yet, and the "I forgot" excuse is laughable cosidering the time of his replacing in. Don't let an obvious PR fakeclaim scare you out of lynching scum.

If this day doesn't end in either of the obvscums' death, I'm gonna be seriously pissed off.
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Post Post #1080 (isolation #128) » Thu Jan 29, 2009 10:54 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote:I am not so sure as to who Ice's scumbuddy might be, although I note the effort RR has gone to in order to try to link Iceman with Xtoxm.
Other then them being conncected, I'm mostly just saying both are scum. The other guy doesn't have to be scum for me to suspect either, it just happens I very strongly think he is and he makes sense as a scumbuddy. Doesn't xtoxm contradicting sthar's claim effect your read on him in any way?
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Post Post #1083 (isolation #129) » Thu Jan 29, 2009 12:28 pm

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Xtoxm wrote:Didn't contradict anything, stupid bunny...
We've been over this 3 pages ago, you ran out of deflections and resorted to "whatever".


Iceman - how does you "knowing you're not scum" make my focal point against xtoxm stupid?
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Post Post #1089 (isolation #130) » Thu Jan 29, 2009 1:17 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

TDC wrote:I'm not sure why people keep commiting to "there's no contradiction" and "proven scum right there" on the Xtoxm issue.

Of course there is a contradiction (or rather, two of them).

1. Clearly sthar's claim implies completeness. (He gave himself a freaking role name, after all). So anything that adds to this (especially if it turns him from "a double voter" into "a double voter and XY") is a contradiction.
This can only be explained by sthar making stupid assumptions (like "trait A was turned into my boost, so trait B is now obsolete"). This requires a certain carelessness from sthar's side.

2. Xtoxm's "sthar only claimed the boost" clearly implies that something that is not "the boost" is missing. The obvious interpretation of this is something that's not a boost at all. The less obvious interpretation is that the words "of this night" are missing. This requires a certain carelessness regarding a) reading his predecessors claim (that, again, had a role name, so was obviously "complete" for anyone who read it and b) phrasing his own post.

I don't see how anyone can say there's no contradiction there. The question is whether it's careless scum or careless town. (No scum would intentionally counter-claim himself, right?).
First of all, score one for sanity.

Look at the confidence both sthar and xtoxm displayed about their role. sthar didn't express a shred of doubt about being a potential double voter and nothing but, and xtoxm did the exact same about having additional powers other than "the boost" (which even conflicts with
his own
later claim). If they were town who got careless with reading their PM, they'd have been a whole let self assured. Also, their claims contradict each other way beyond the realms some carelessness can cover.

Just noticed that sthar's claim also conflicts with how he preffered not to be boosted d1, asking us to boost you instead but saying he won't mind if we pick him - he was the obvious target by that point, and hoped to gain some extra town points by being all unselfish about it. A town player who truely had this role would've loved to get boosted, so he could see what the boost does.
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Post Post #1090 (isolation #131) » Thu Jan 29, 2009 1:22 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Either Iceman or xtoxm is soon gonna claim boosting him will clearly give him another investigation - since the claim is a ripped off cop version of Incog's role anyways - and ask us to boost him tomorrow and give him another night to live so he could "investigate" again. Just thought I'd steal their thunder.

As for the fake hammer, that's good for his town act. Had his scumbuddy yell at him to not give this up and give the town another chance to see the truth. How touching.
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Post Post #1103 (isolation #132) » Fri Jan 30, 2009 11:53 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I don't really remember it that way, I guess I would need to go reread the thread. I remember it more as just not exposing the totality of his role.
Reread page 30.

Iceman supposedly didn't realize his "role" means he'll probably get another investigation with a boost until xtoxm kindly explained it for him. Xtoxm then totally contradicted sthar's claim yet again. Seriously, guys, they're both scum. Lets lynch 'em and have some cookies.
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Post Post #1122 (isolation #133) » Sat Jan 31, 2009 10:51 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Time's running short, I don't see a xtoxm lynch happening today.
Unvote vote Iceman.


Incong, why on earth did you switch to Huntress?
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Post Post #1126 (isolation #134) » Sat Jan 31, 2009 12:58 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

And by "self", you mean your buddy Iceman.
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Post Post #1141 (isolation #135) » Sun Feb 01, 2009 3:42 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eld is a better lynch than Huntress I guess, but c'mon guys. Lets lynch Icescum today, please. His claim doesn't make any sense in at least 3 different ways.
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Post Post #1148 (isolation #136) » Sun Feb 01, 2009 11:06 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Xtoxm wrote:Bunny: Assuming Ice isn't going to be lynch, would you vote Eld? (Ice pretty much isn't being lynched today, so he can atleast produce a result)
Yes, eld is my third suspect and better than a no lynch.

There's no reason to give Ice more time to fake a result he obviously doesn't have. Like eld said above, either he knew about the role and softclaimed it when it was implied that was the reason he kept quiet (which in itself doesn't make much sense, since the way he choose to softclaim really looked like he was implying a post restriction), or he didn't and therefore didn't submit a choice. He claims to have done
both
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Post Post #1150 (isolation #137) » Sun Feb 01, 2009 11:23 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I used that fake softclaim about a post restriction as an excuse for not posting. That doesn't make me scum.
Yeah, it does. Why would a townie ever softclaim a role he doesn't have?
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Post Post #1153 (isolation #138) » Sun Feb 01, 2009 11:40 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Post restrictions are part of your role. The same question applies, town has no reason to do this. Ever. Also, if you truely were a one shot cop you'd have fought far more fervently to survive 'till tomorrow instead of your resinged act intended to make you look all selfless.
Iceman wrote:I think it's probably worth lynching me at this point anyways. I'm going to be a target for the rest of the game and I would be the most probably lynch in a lylo situation, losing us the game.
This is pure BS if you keep in mind that lynching cop-you tommorow is obviously more beneficial to the town than lynching him today.

Glossing over your posts, here's another painfully apparant contradiction:
Iceman wrote:My top picks for scum are RR and elderad, primarily because they're so "sure" that Xtoxm are scum. Knowing that I'm not scum makes it easy to see how bullshit their cases are.
Iceman wrote:I do think that Xtoxm's actions look like pretty serious buddying up. That's why I wanted to make sure that RR wasn't going to dismiss his suspicions of Xtoxm when I flip town. I feel my lynch is more or less inevitable, and I do agree that we need to lynch today, so I'm fine with being the pick. I would look seriously at Xtoxm tomorrow.
Suspicion of xtoxm goes from being a strong scumtell to something you encourage, all in the space of a few posts between which nothing drastic happened.
Iceman wrote:and it looks to me like RR doesn't want me to investigate him tonight. He either A. Doesn't want to look bad tomorrow if I get a guilty on him or B. Doesn't want to look bad if I die tonight. He wants me lynched today to avoid either of those situations.
I like how you're preparing yourself to claim a guilty on me tommorow.
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Post Post #1161 (isolation #139) » Mon Feb 02, 2009 2:27 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

It does unless it comes attached to an overwhelmingly convincing reason. What's yours?
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Post Post #1168 (isolation #140) » Mon Feb 02, 2009 5:55 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog wrote:Also, I just can't see Xtoxm as scum as I've repeatedly stated and really the only two remaining people who seem to make sense to me as scum are Huntress and icemanE. Since an icemanE lynch was beginning to seem less and less likely because of his claim, I figured Huntress was the only other option for today.
So now that Ice is clearly an option, why are you still voting Huntress?
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Post Post #1174 (isolation #141) » Mon Feb 02, 2009 10:08 am

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Iceman wrote:Now that you've seen my completely reasonable proposition, and seen that RR isn't going to unvote me to go along with a plan which has absolutely no holes in it, and that incog even voted me after reading it, please keep that in mind tomorrow.
One problem - there's almost no way you're telling the truth, and I don't want you to fake a guilty tomorrow and possibly fool the town into a mislynch.

Even if you're somehow innocent, an innocent claim tomorrow followed by your lynch results in scum most probably NK'ing the confirmed, which results in little gain. I think I'd rather have the knowldege that I'm totally wrong about things now. You most likely won't get a guilty if you're town, since I assume you're gonna investigate me (clearly innocent) or possibly Incog (probably innocent).

I'd rather lynch xtoxm today, but since there's no consensus for that the second best lynch is absolutely you. So yeah, I'd say it's hammertime.
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Post Post #1200 (isolation #142) » Thu Feb 05, 2009 4:02 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Xtoxm wrote:Apart from the fact that I fail to see how anyone can call this a scum ability, if I don't hammer a townie in lylo, then i'm not scum.
Pure BS. If you're scum, using your double vote today could only force a no lynch, at which point you get one NK and we'll know you're scum tomorrow. I need to rethink things before I vote you, Iceman turning town was quite a shocker, but I'm likely to do so.

Getting a bit paranoid about Incog, his choices make sense both as vig and as scum who pulled off an awesome fakeclaim. The way things look, though, I think I'll give him the benefit of the doubt - not willing to stake the game on an Incog lynch, and if he's town boosting him is the obvious choice since it can be the difference between lylo and just lo if we mislynch today.

I'm leaning town on TDC and GC, so prior to my reread I support either a xtoxm or an eldarad lynch.

Boost Incog, boost TDC
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Post Post #1204 (isolation #143) » Thu Feb 05, 2009 8:51 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

And no, alone "me and my buddy" have 3 votes, we can't force an NL, or lynch, but Incog knows i'm town, and with his help, "me and my buddy" have 4 votes.
You'd need Incog and your buddy to vote someone, first.
You refuse to take those goggles off even when you're proven wrong?
I already said yesterday that you and Iceman were very scummy independently, first, and seemed connected, second. I was wrong about Iceman, but if the same situation came up again in another game - i.e a player I find scummy fakes a post restriction, then claims cop, and says he had forgotten about his role despite replacing in a day before nighttime - I'd lynch said player without thinking twice. Just not Iceman, perhaps, since he proved a bad enough player to do so as town. Being proved wrong about one particurlar lynch does not mean I need to throw everything I know about the game out the window. There's still the matter of your claim contradicting sthar's to an extent I can't bring myself to believe is excusable by a difference of interpertation.
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Post Post #1207 (isolation #144) » Fri Feb 06, 2009 3:18 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Xtoxm wrote:I in no way contradicted by predecessors claim, so stfu about it and atleast get some proper reasoning before you lose town this game.
We've been over this so many times by now, I doubt playing dumb's gonna work.
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Post Post #1217 (isolation #145) » Sat Feb 07, 2009 7:08 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

For Incog to be scum there has to be another explanation for the second N1 kill, and the only one I can see is that sthar was his partner and got an extra kill due to being boosted. Incog attacked sthar quite strongly early d2, though, I need to see how likely that was to be distancing/bussing. That would still require
both
non-GF scum to get an extra kill when bossted, though which is sorta overpowered.
TDC I'm almost sure is town, just a strong feeling that he's playing the exact solid and kinda quiet town game he played in Cop Central. GC trying to pass me having that read as a scumtell is very weak.

So the three others left are xtoxm (pretty sure he's scum, and won't get vigged tonight), eldarad (leaning scum) and GC (neutral).

I think I'm ready to
vote xtoxm
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Post Post #1219 (isolation #146) » Sat Feb 07, 2009 12:20 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

It doesn't matter his alignment...He has to die.
Guys, xtoxm is scum. Seriously. What would town ever say this about
anyone
this late in the game?
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Post Post #1224 (isolation #147) » Sat Feb 07, 2009 1:46 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Xtoxm wrote:Why would town ever go against their confirmed town vig?
1. Incog isn't confirmed town.
2. This argument is about as good as "the guy the scum NK'd thought I was town!"

Please enlighten me - this late in the game, how can it possibly be a good choice for town to lynch someone they don't think is scum?
Incog wrote:his Golden scumdar [he was right about both icemanE and Huntress.]).
Did it occur to you that buddying up and expressing a town read on the guy that screwed up so bad he's about to get lynched regardless might be a plausible scum tactic?
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Post Post #1228 (isolation #148) » Sun Feb 08, 2009 4:11 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote: But I don't like how you have just moved onto your next target (Xtoxm) when your first target (Iceman) flipped town. At least I had the decency to drop my Guardian-iLord-Incog scumteam theory once I was proven spectacularly wrong.
1. Xtoxm was my first target, then I moved to Iceman what it became clear he wasn't getting lynched.
2. Though I did see a link (likely buddying up, in hindsight), my case on Xtoxm is completely independent of Iceman being scum or not. I even said so yesterday.
eladard wrote:Independently of your attempted linking of Xtoxm to Iceman, I find your trait of saying "OMGUS!" "WIFOM!" "LAL!" as a way of shooting down others without expanding on it to be unhelpful to the point of being scummy.
I think Xtoxm is a rather obvious case of "LAL" - when a replacement totally contradicts his predeccesor's (already shady looking, imo) claim, you should lynch him. Do you really need to me to expand to see why that's an uber scumtell?

I don't remember where I emptily said "WIFOM", but that can also make sense when a point relies purely on speculation on scum choices/the setup - in which case "WIFOM!" is like saying "but we can't know that for sure."

"OMGUS" is never a good defence in and of itself, when faced with an actual case, and I don't remeber ever using it either. I've yet to see an actual case on me, really. Xtoxm doesn't even pretend to think I'm scum, just that I "need to die", while you listed two things I did you didn't like but haven't really explained why that makes you think I'm scum.
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Post Post #1230 (isolation #149) » Sun Feb 08, 2009 11:41 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote:Having re-read the start of Day 2 as part of my read on GC, I also saw you attempting to link sthar/Xtoxm with Electra and me, before you moved on to linking Xtoxm with Iceman.
It looks like a pattern to me, rather than two or three independent cases. I remember you saying that your case on Iceman is independent of your case on Xtoxm. The trouble is I don't really believe you...you've been working very hard to link other people - people who have turned out to be townies - to sthar/Xtoxm.
You "don't really believe me"? Well, there's nothing I can say to convince you my case on Xtoxm is independant of any other suspicion, regarless of possible linkage - other than point to the obvious, which is that the bulk of my case (his claim) has nothing to do with any other player. I could also point out that it's natural to look for possible partners when you're sure someone is scum. To top things off, I could mention that even if the above wasn't true, trying to link people with Xtoxm is only a scumtell if you think we're scum together, which you already said you don't - but I doubt any of these things will make you "believe me", since I get a feeling you started this analysis with the clear intention of finding reasons to vote me, either because you're scum or because you're too sure everyone else is town.
eldarad wrote:Your use of OMGUS is the worst of the three things I mentioned. You even had the gall to shout "pre-emptive OMGUS" - saying that I was voting you in response to things that you hadn't even said yet.
1. I like how you use the word "even" without citing any other examples.
2. I expanded on it, had other reasons to find you scummy, and generally did not by any means hide behind shouting "OMGUS!" I just mentioned how what you did seemed similar to the "preemtive OMGUS" thing Guardian (who was the doctor, btw) coined.
eldarad wrote:WIFOM is linked to your assertion that you considered Electra's alignment without assessing whether her claim - in her first post - was genuine or not "because it is WIFOM". You must have considered it - but your reluctance to admit it suggests that you're trying to say what you think the town wants to hear.
My read on Electra wasn't entirely based on WIFOM but I recognised that I had to make a judgement one way or the other on her claim. I didn't shy away from that judgement.
Do you even read my posts? For the millionth time,
yes I considered it
but I didn't have the necessary info to really come to a conclusion without using arbitrary sets of assumptions which I can't be sure of (WIFOM!). I therefore relied on other things to decide what I think of electra/Vollkan, and arrived to the conclusion they were likely town. (And what in the world would make me think this is "what the town wants to hear"?)
eldarad wrote:LAL is just the third standard phrase you used that makes me think a pattern is emerging here. I can see Xtoxm's claim is different to sthar's but I can also see that sthar's claim is/was incomplete.
Reread page 30. Sthar said his claim's complete in the a very clear way, which is by no means open to intepertation. I explained this many times already.

Essentially, you claimed to find me scummy for hiding behind mafia phrases, but all you've proved is that I've
used
said phrases. I never hid behind anything.
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Post Post #1237 (isolation #150) » Mon Feb 09, 2009 6:58 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Raging Rabbit, the last completed scum game I found of yours was Open 15. Have you recently completed any other game where you've been scum?
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?t=10062- just finished.

https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?t=9376 - a little less recent.
Incog wrote:What do people think about Green Crayons's post 649?
I think he makes some ok points, but that post is a lot more wordy than it needs to be. Possibly he put on too much effort so he could later show why it makes sense he arrived at the wrong conclusion.
Incog wrote:What do people think about eldarad's post 890?
Xtoxm contradicting sthar should be obvious to anyone who takes the time to read, and he starts the bs line of "how could you possibly ignore electra's claim??" questions. So definitely scummy.

I doubt Xtoxm and GC are partners, both because of their early interaction and Xtoxm's last post. Most likely scumpair is Xtoxm-eldarad, Xtoxm-TDC is possible I guess but I'm going to trust my townread and discount this, and Incog Xtoxm-Incog looks good until you count in Incog being close to confirmed because of his claim. If I'm wrong about Xtoxm, the scumteam is most probably eld-GC. So eld is Xtoxm's most likely partner and also most likely to be scum if I'm mistaken, which makes him about as good a lynch as Xtoxm is. Will switch my vote to him if people continue to insist thinking Xtoxm's town.
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Post Post #1254 (isolation #151) » Wed Feb 11, 2009 2:27 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incognito wrote:
Xtoxm wrote:NG 651
Scary.

I never knew about that game, but I don't think it changes my vantage point. Xtoxm, what does farside know about your gameplay?
How can that not change your vantage point? Your whole meta premise relies on Xtoxm never being in tune with the game as scum. This game shows your assumption can sometimes be false, and from Xtoxm's recent posting it's clear he knew you're capable of reading him and would therefore be onto him very quickly if he played his usual scum game. If he has the ability and the motive to be in tune as scum, why automatically assume he couldn't have done that?
eldarad wrote:For examples of RR linking sthar/Xtoxm to others, I would point to post 766 where the sthar-Iceman pair emerges (when finally modified by post 776. #764 attempts to link me to "sthar or Electra"
Most of Yesterday RR was working hard to link Iceman to Xtoxm, as I pointed out at the time.
D1 I always go for lynching the scummiest player regardless of possible linkage, as the info we have about others' alignments is too slim. D2 I had stronger suspicions and also thought ahead about who could be the third member of the Jahudo-prime suspect X scumteam. Iceman and Xtoxm happened to be both my two top suspects and strongly connected, so off course I tried to "link" them.
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Post Post #1255 (isolation #152) » Wed Feb 11, 2009 2:28 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Oh, and I'm vanilla.

Mod
, can the same player be double-boosted?
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Post Post #1257 (isolation #153) » Wed Feb 11, 2009 2:35 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Xtoxm wrote:Meta is based on feel.

You are retarded.
Not true. It's based on both feel and analysis, like most other things in mafia. I doubt the swearing helps your cause much.
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Post Post #1277 (isolation #154) » Wed Feb 11, 2009 3:05 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I would heed Patrick's first post warning and not lynch anyone just because of he's role name. The "double boost" thing definitely looks shady, though. Still, if you want to lynch someone for having a scummy claim we have a target that's been waiting around forever.

Here's an assingment for Incog, GC, eldarad and TDC - come a with a possible PM phrasing that's in any plausible for both sthar's and Xtoxm's claims.
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Post Post #1280 (isolation #155) » Thu Feb 12, 2009 5:16 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Incog wrote:Oh and eldarad's last post gave me an interesting idea. What do people think of making our next boost choice the same person we lynch?
I think that's probably a good idea if we decide to lynch a claimed vanilla, since townies apparantly get no benefit from boosts and scum do. If we lynch GC boosting him is again the safest choice, now that I think about it. I guess the only other viable option is lynch someone who isn't GC and boost GC to test his claim and possibly help confirm a townie, but that's quite a risk.
Incog wrote:Raging Rabbit, I get your case against Xtoxm. I've continued to understand your case against Xtoxm. It's been banged into my head enough.
I know, but Xtoxm's defense is basically saying "not!" and yours relies on other factors. I still fail to see how it can not apply.
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Post Post #1290 (isolation #156) » Thu Feb 12, 2009 9:07 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I'll have very limited to no access starting Sunday until the 23rd or 24th, will try to post something substantial before that.
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Post Post #1291 (isolation #157) » Sat Feb 14, 2009 10:12 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

So I don't have the time to write in detail, and am unlikely to convince anyone about Xtoxm if I haven't by this point anyways. I stil somewhatl favor an eldarad lynch over a GC lynch. Since there's no deadline, I feel safe keeping my vote on Xtoxm for the time being. See you guys in 10 days, though I may have the time to pop in on Wednseday.
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Post Post #1323 (isolation #158) » Sun Feb 22, 2009 6:19 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I'm back, will read this epic discussion when I'll have the time.
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Post Post #1328 (isolation #159) » Wed Feb 25, 2009 10:09 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

I finished reading page 52 and unfortunately don't have the time to catch up further, but I'll be extremely surprised if the last two scum aren't among Xtoxm, eld and GC, and eld is more likely than GC. That whole "the scum must be two of the Incog boosters, and hey, let's boost a vanilla today!" just reeks of scum.
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Post Post #1329 (isolation #160) » Thu Feb 26, 2009 1:22 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

Read up, I'm liking eld less and less and GC is looking better. More later.
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Post Post #1331 (isolation #161) » Thu Feb 26, 2009 12:30 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote:Do both parts individually reek of scum, or is it the combination that reeks of scum? HOW do they reek of scum?
Both are individually somewhat scummy, and the whole is greater than the sum of its parts.
eldarad wrote:How does "two of the Incog boosters are scum" differ from your stated position that the scum are amongst {people who aren't you and Incog}
What makes your opinion fine, but my opinion scummy?
Simple - I never demanded the entire town to recognize the two last scum must be among everyone but the near confirmed an myself. You're smart enough to know full well that there's no reason for anyone who isn't seeing things from your prespective to agree, and therefore your use of that argument is likely contrived.

As for pushing for a boost on vanilla, it's a completely unnecassary risk at a near LYLO situation, and since you're simultaneously trying to get everyone to think of you as confirmed, I'd say it's fairly obvious you're indirectly pushing for your own boost. And that, off course, is a huge benefit for scum-you and a very questionable one for town-you. So, it's a play much more likely to be attempted by scum.

eldarad wrote:I'd also like to hear how your opinion has changed since. What things have I done that make you think I am more scummy than before?
I just answered that.
eldarad wrote:How is GC less scummy?
His last couple of posts give off a town vibe to me, especially 1321. I'm still not sure about him, but he's mostly a suspect through process of elimination since Incog and TDC I'm pretty sure are town, so if I'm wrong about either you or Xtoxm he's the only other plausible scum.
eldarad wrote:Since you now think GC is town and you are voting for Xtoxm, I assume you approve of the plan - you know, the one that I dreamt - to boost GC and lynch Xtoxm.
No, I support boosting and lynching Xtoxm or boosting and lynching you. There's no reason to take a risk with GC, and even if I was to decide I want to boost a claimed vanilla I'd push either TDC or myself over GC.

I wonder what MS dreams look like.
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Post Post #1334 (isolation #162) » Fri Feb 27, 2009 1:45 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

For the record, until electra revealed her information I too was sure I'd gain something from being boosted. I don't think this contradicts me being vanilla at all.
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Post Post #1337 (isolation #163) » Sat Feb 28, 2009 12:55 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

eldarad wrote:
RR wrote:No, I support boosting and lynching Xtoxm or boosting and lynching you. There's no reason to take a risk with GC, and even if I was to decide I want to boost a claimed vanilla I'd push either TDC or myself over GC.
RR, Green Crayons has not claimed to be a vanilla - so my point is that if you think GC is probably town then it makes sense to boost him as he is the only remaining "power" available to the town.
I realise that you forgot/did not realise that GC has claimed. Does that information change your answer?
Hmm, that does change things. We need to decide whether possibly granting GC an extra power if he's scum is worth the track he gains if he's telling the truth. I'd say it's a good move if we lynch right and a far too risky one if we mislynch, but we can't know that in advance.
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Post Post #1344 (isolation #164) » Sun Mar 01, 2009 2:13 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

This exchange makes me doubt the eldarad-Xtoxm scumteam very much, which forces me to rethink things. I need to review the early game again, but doubt I'll find the time in the next few days. Xtoxm-GC is a possibility, I guees.
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Post Post #1357 (isolation #165) » Tue Mar 03, 2009 8:55 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

GC is feeling more and more town in his last few posts, TDC I've been getting a town read from all through the game, Incog pretty much has to be town because of all the extra NK's, and eldarad and Xtoxm I'm starting to doubt are scum together. So I'm getting really confused here. The only thing I'm positive of is that at least one of Xtoxm/ eld is scum.
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Post Post #1362 (isolation #166) » Wed Mar 04, 2009 4:50 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

This case on TDC is really not convincing. The only reason I'm starting to consider him being scum is process of elimination, and even then there's still the matter of his behavior giving me a strong town vibe and being totally consistant with Cop Central.

I'll be away 'till Saturday evening.
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Post Post #1382 (isolation #167) » Mon Mar 09, 2009 3:56 am

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I agree with Incog in the who to boost argument, it should be whoever we lynch.
GC wrote:A) The possibility of a scum being one of the remaining claimed townies (RR, TDC, Eld) is 1 in 3. Let's look at this scenario in and of itself for the moment, disregarding any other options. In other words, let's assume that we have to boost a claimed townie. In needing to determine who to boost, statistically speaking, we have a 66% chance of boosting a right person. However, when we are usually confronted with a three-man situation, we are doing something totally different: lynching. Our boosting situation is much better than the usual 33% chance of lynching the right person one has when faced with a three-player scenario. The window of opportunity (that is, the opportunity to make the right choice) for our specific need (to boost a townie instead of a scum) is much greater than the general need (to lynch a scum instead of a townie) when players find themselves in a three-player standoff. Why am I comparing the ratios of success for the different scenarios? Because mafia isn't a game solely of numbers. These three players are not equally suspicious. And just like when we're faced with a three-way standoff to vote, we will be using our intuition, logic and suspicions to determine who to boost. This actually makes our ratio of success much higher than 66%, since we don't weigh each of the three options equally. And if towns win with a 33% chance of lynching the right person, we shouldn't have too much of a trouble with a higher than 66% chance of boosting the right player.
What you aren't taking into account is the risk-gain ration. Boosting a vanilla townie most probably does nothing, judging from electra's info. Boosting scum could give them a second kill and single handedly lose us the game. A slightly more than 66% chance of (probably) nothing happening isn't worth the slightly less than 33% of something bad happening. I'd rather boost whoever we lynch (and I'm pretty sure he won't become vengful or anything, everything we've seen so far suggests boosts only effect either then night or the following day) and have 100% chance of nothing happening.

Incog, on GC being likely town - just look at GC's posts from the start of this day, 1312 in particular. It reads of genuine frustration at being suspected and genuine will to find scum. I think that's pretty hard to fake.


I'm sure either Xtoxm or eld is scum, probably both. It'd be a grave mistake to lynch neither.

I'd much rather lynch Xtoxm today, since he could be telling the truth about having two votes but still be scum (very likely imo). If that's the case, even if we lynch Xtoxm's partner, Incog will likely incorrectly vig someone since he's convinced Xtoxm's scum and also get nk'd, and Xtoxm will then be able to use his double vote to force a no lynch and win the game. Meaning if Xtoxm's scum, lynching anybody but him will very possibly lose us the game, and if he's town that makes eld obvscum (imo, at least) and Incog still has a good chance to vig correctly and earn us antoher day. So I'm keeping my vote where it is, and hopefully GC and TDC will join.
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Post Post #1387 (isolation #168) » Mon Mar 09, 2009 11:37 pm

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Incog wrote:Also, Raging Rabbit, if you're that sold on GC being town and you think one of eldarad and Xtoxm is scum, would you support an eldarad lynch today?
eld is by far my second preferance, but like I said before even lynching Xtoxm's buddy could lose us the game since you're so damn sure he's town. So I'd only support lynching anyone else when I'm absolutely convinced Xtoxm can't be lynched today.

Good catch about TDC there, though it does somewhat suit his usual brief self. I need to reread him.
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Post Post #1391 (isolation #169) » Tue Mar 10, 2009 5:42 am

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Xtoxm wrote:Incog, i'm quite certain GC is scum. There have been 2 townies (me and you) pushing him for ages, and yet, people still contradict their confirmed townie. That doesn't happen on townie wagons.
This is pure bullshit, and stop appealing to the "cofirmed" townie agreeing with you all the time.
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Post Post #1394 (isolation #170) » Wed Mar 11, 2009 4:58 am

Post by Raging Rabbit »

TDC, it's hammertime.
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Post Post #1411 (isolation #171) » Wed Mar 11, 2009 9:21 am

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Unboost, boost Xtoxm.
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Post Post #1423 (isolation #172) » Thu Mar 12, 2009 10:19 pm

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eld wrote:I think the only indication of RR-scum has been his attempts to link people - townies, as it turns out - to Xtoxm/sthar.
Option A is RR is a townie who has been, and continues to be, spectacularly wrong.
Inaccurate. The only person I linked to Xtoxm before was Iceman, and my suspicons of them were mutually exclusive in their roots, but were strengthened by their apparant connection. My suspicion of you is completely mutually exclusive from Xtoxm, and me thinking he's scum makes you look better, if anything. More importantly, the only reason I've been trying to "link" people to Xtoxm is that I'm pretty sure he's scum and have been for a long time, so naturally I'm trying to find his partner.


Xtoxm needs to be lynched - anything else will lose us the game if he's scum; and he need to be boosted - anything else is an unnecassary risk. Let's get this day over with.
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Post Post #1441 (isolation #173) » Tue Mar 17, 2009 1:06 am

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I'm still in utter shock about Xtoxm being town, and being wrong about GC to boot. Naturally I'm inclined to start the day leaning eld, but this kind of flip forces me to rethink my entire gameview. I'll reread everything and come back to you guys.
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Post Post #1446 (isolation #174) » Wed Mar 18, 2009 1:19 pm

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I don't recall anyone ever having a decent case on me. I think despite being wrong on both "obvscum" (Ice and xtoxm - the lesson here is that I really need to adjust my scum detector to better tell the difference between scum play and generally bad play), my towniness is rather apparant here. Obviously TDC doesn't see it as such, so it could just be me knowing my own meta, or him being scum, but there you go.
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Post Post #1448 (isolation #175) » Wed Mar 18, 2009 9:13 pm

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RR, you said that you're still leaning towards me as scum but you also made it clear Yesterday that you thought that the two scum left were among {GC, Xtoxm, eldarad}. Does that still hold true, or is there room for doubt now? Could you see a Jahudo-Skillit/GC-TDC scumteam?
There's totally room for doubt. I'm naturally leaning towards you being the scum, but I was wrong about basically everything since day 1 and up to this point, and I certainly don't want to lose the game by being wrong yet again. I really want to reread the entire game from a fresh prespective, though I'm having trouble squeezing that into my schedule.
eld wrote:And we might as well get it out in the open now as someone is going to have to think about it sooner or later: do you think my push to boost GC Yesterday was me trying to boost my scumbuddy or am I just a misguided townie?
Does GC's actual role (Encryptor) alter or influence your opinion?
That's definitely a point against you. It doesn't in itself make you scum, though, misguided townie is also possible. My decision between the two is again pending a reread.
What does encryptor do?
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Post Post #1456 (isolation #176) » Mon Mar 23, 2009 9:59 am

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eldarad wrote:Encryptor allows the mafia to daytalk - ie, to PM each other during the Day. (See, for example, the Encryptor role PM from PYP2)

I think this is reasonably significant as it means that boosting GC Yesterday would have been useless to the scum anyway. And knowing that boosting GC wouldn't have helped the scum puts a different light on TDC's total opposition to boosting GC - it's an easy way for TDC-scum to gain townie points with no downside as far as scum are concerned.

So could you have a go at answering the last question in #1447 now that you know what GC's role was?
Boosting even "vanilla" scum could still have negative implications, so my answer is the same as before.

I really have to reread this game before I go anywhere close to voting, but my extreme shortage means I'm unlikely to have the time to do so for at least another weak. You guys will just have to forgive me, since I highly doubt finding a replacement now would be of any use.
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Post Post #1469 (isolation #177) » Tue Mar 31, 2009 3:48 am

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Was prodded, ouch.
I'm directing a film, my highschool final. Insane amounts of work. I'll finish shooting next Tuesday, and may have a little time for MS in the next couple of days, or on the weekend. Afterwards I hope to find the time to reread properly and make up my mind. Apologies for the long LA.
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Post Post #1473 (isolation #178) » Fri Apr 03, 2009 1:16 am

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Will read this over the weekend.
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Post Post #1475 (isolation #179) » Mon Apr 06, 2009 1:17 pm

Post by Raging Rabbit »

WHERE??


No more LA for me! Off to finally sleep now, decent post coming tomorrow.
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Post Post #1476 (isolation #180) » Tue Apr 07, 2009 1:21 pm

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eldarad wrote:What negative implications would boosting a vanilla scum have had?
Could've easily helped the entire team. I assume the whole idea of the boost mechanic is that it mostly benefits the town but involves a risk factor of possibly boosting scum, and having a scum player gain no benefit from boosts goes against that concept. Despite electra's info, the players who gain no benfefit from boosts may very well be only vanilla town and not vanilla scum.

This the only question addressed to me I saw, if there's anything else I'm missing please point me to it.

I'm still barring judgement pending my full reread, which I should actually have the time to do in the next few days. For now I'd just like TDC to explain his reasons for "leaning RR" as thouroughly as possible.
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Post Post #1480 (isolation #181) » Fri Apr 10, 2009 3:02 am

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TDC wrote:How you came to the conclusion that GC is town, however, is beyond me. Considering that Incog was not going to vig you, preventing the GC lynch and convincing Incog of GC's "towniness" seems to be a good recipe for a RR-scum-win.
I think I've already pretty much explained this to the best of my ability - some of his posting yesterday felt like sincere town frustration and honest attempts at scumhunting. It's hard for me to point at exact words or phrases, since it's more of a general vibe thing, but I'll try to during my reread. Obviously he was just a good liar.
One substantial thing I could say is that I never really tried to flat out defend GC or make a case in his defense, I just mentioned my own gut feeling towards him, which was very unlikely to convince incog - therefore the benefit I as scum would gain from intentionally defending my buddy like that is pretty slim.
eldarad wrote:Except that we know what GC's role was, and therefore we know that there was no benefit to the scum from boosting GC Yesterday. So given that we know - by looking at GC's role - that Yesterday there was no benefit to the scum from boosting GC, I would like you to express an opinion on its significance rather than repeating assumptions that are out of date because they are based on us not knowing GC's role.
What happens when you boost an encryptor? Do we know for a fact it couldn't have been something substantial or even potenitally gamebreaking?
For example, with hindsight, do you think it was significant that I was attempting to get GC boosted? Do you think it was significant that TDC was opposed to getting GC boosted?
I'm not saying it's that signifiacant, it's entirely possible you were simply wrong and TDC is sneaky scum, but it's definitely a point against you.

How come Xtoxm flipping town is such an earth-shattering event that you are now unable to express an opinion as to who is the last scum?
Because my entire gameview turned out terribly wrong. Continuing my earlier mindset would definitely result in strongly leaning towards you being the scum, but I'm sorta afraid to do that since every premise I was coming from turned out false. (I still can't fucking believe both xtoxm and Iceman were town. Definitely the two scummiest townies I've ever played with.)
I therefore need to reread the game with the actual scumteam in mind in order to get a fresh prespective on things and be able to determine which one of you two's the scum.
Do you have any thoughts as to why the scum kept you - or any of us - alive?
Err, Incog was obvtown...
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Post Post #1484 (isolation #182) » Mon Apr 13, 2009 2:49 pm

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eldarad wrote:An encryptor gives the mafia a daytalking ability. Yesterday, the mafia knew that they were either going to go into lylo with one mafia left, or they were going to win. So securing daytalking for Today would not be a priority.
Encryptor could give them daytalking all the time, and some other benfit when boosted.
eldarad wrote:Fair enough. I was just wondering whether you could see any potential scenario where the mafia would want Incog alive at endgame despite being confirmed?
I don't have an answer I prefer, I just want to see what you are thinking as you haven't said a lot Today.
IIRC, Incog would've probably preferred your lynch over either of us, so it's possibly a point in your favor. It's a huge risk to leave a confrimed alive in endgame when you totally don't have to, though.
eldarad wrote:At the end of Yesterday, TDC and I basically bypassed Incog by compromising on boosting & lynching Xtoxm. What are your thoughts on that?
I did that too, I led that lynch actually, and I don't think you can blame any of us. Xtoxm was scummy as hell, and whoever of you two's the scum did well to utilize that.
TDC wrote:Looking back, your stance was not as vehement as I remembered it. You made it abundantly clear that you'd prefer eld to be vigged over GC, though.
Yes, but I believe Incog is independant minded enough to not care too much about my gut unless I explain it properly.
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Post Post #1488 (isolation #183) » Wed Apr 15, 2009 1:32 am

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eldarad wrote:And what use is daytalking "all the time" if there is only one scum left alive?!
The point I am making is that GC's scumbuddy would not lose anything by opposing a GC-boost. Either both scum would survive and therefore win the game, or one scum would die so there would only be one scum left.
No use at all, but if the boost does something else it becomes substantial again that you tried to get GC boosted. Still, unless the benefit from a boost is either protection or an extra kill, you're right about your second point.
TDC wrote:I wasn't active yesterday?
Besides, what do you expect. That I lurk through the final day like RR?
I resent that. Unless you I'm some sort of uber asshole and neglected the game I was modding in order to have a cover up here, you sorta have to believe I really was insanely busy.

I gotta say, TDC is looking much worse to me than he did yesterday. Still pending a reread which I hope to start in a few hours, though.
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Post Post #1491 (isolation #184) » Wed Apr 15, 2009 11:38 pm

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And your post count and general demeanor were about the same in Cop Central.
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Post Post #1493 (isolation #185) » Thu Apr 16, 2009 7:04 am

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I am town.
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Post Post #1497 (isolation #186) » Thu Apr 16, 2009 7:20 am

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Don't you now supposedly know eld is scum? Why even try to question him like this, then?

That last post is a huge point against TDC.

Finally starting my reread now, hope to make a decision withing 24 hours.
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Post Post #1503 (isolation #187) » Thu Apr 16, 2009 8:08 am

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If you're town, your survival=win only starting now. That wasn't so at the start of today.

Here's a question for you, TDC - why do you think eld, as scum, would choose to vote for you over me despite me looking more likely to vote for him than for you at the start of today and you strongly expressing a lean towards me?
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Post Post #1504 (isolation #188) » Thu Apr 16, 2009 8:10 am

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And since I'm too lazy to look and not sure if you posted them earlier, could you link to some past games of yours as scum?
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Post Post #1508 (isolation #189) » Thu Apr 16, 2009 8:24 am

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Uh. Yes it was. If I die today, I lose.
Yes, but you also had to figure out which one of us is the scum.
I don't think you looked more likely to vote him than me when he placed his vote.
At the beginning of the day, yes. But one hour ago?
My lean wasn't that strong either.
And then there's WIFOM.
So why not attack me from the start of today?
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Post Post #1510 (isolation #190) » Thu Apr 16, 2009 8:44 am

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Not too convincing.

I'll come up with questions as my reread progresses, for now I'd just like to say that this game's been going on for close to fucking 6 months. :shock:
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Post Post #1511 (isolation #191) » Thu Apr 16, 2009 3:23 pm

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I just finished finished reading the relevant parts of d1 (p. 29). Funny how that day alone was longer than the average mini.

Questions:
TDC -
1. I'd like you to list the best reasons you can think of for you as scum to switch from Huntress to Jahudo at the timing in which you did.
2. How would you describe the difference between your town play and your scum play?
3. Why do you think you never got NK'd? Not just last night, generally. You seemed an ideal N1 target,

eld -
1. Reread your case against iLord. In hindsight, how convincing do you think it is?
2. What led you to think Incog and Guardian were scum together?
3. What sort of "accumulated towniness" made you boost Jahudo? Can you think of anything specific that made you think he was town?
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Post Post #1512 (isolation #192) » Thu Apr 16, 2009 10:39 pm

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TDC, given your vanilla claim, how do you explain this?
TDC, 768 wrote:
While Electra's information is not really testable right now, a mass claim without any plain vanillas would hurt her credibility a lot. (I am assuming that if what she says is true, vanillas that do not know about their boost are not boostable.. though that's just speculation).
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Post Post #1513 (isolation #193) » Thu Apr 16, 2009 11:38 pm

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I'm in page 45, taking a break to calm down a little. Ice and xtoxm are definitely the two scummiest townies ever, and are annoying the shit outta me even in retrospect. Will finish my read later today.
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Post Post #1515 (isolation #194) » Fri Apr 17, 2009 1:47 am

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TDC wrote:That's an odd question. How I am supposed to answer that?
I'm actually satisfied with your response. Wanted to see if you'll come up with one of the nubmer of reasons I can think of for possibly doing that.
TDC wrote:What do you mean?
Do you expect me to post "Electra tells the truth, I'm vanilla!" or what?
I attempted to show how her claim was more believable, since a mass claim could easily disprove her, if she was wrong. Which would be a rather risky move if she was scum.
What would you propose should I have posted to convey that without telling the scum where NOT to look for power roles
I mean, why would you post that? Why would you even take a massclaim without any vanillas into account, knowing you yourself are one?
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Post Post #1517 (isolation #195) » Fri Apr 17, 2009 2:24 am

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But why theorize about what a massclaim with no vanillas would mean, if you know for a fact that wouldn't be the case?
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Post Post #1519 (isolation #196) » Fri Apr 17, 2009 3:07 am

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Did you really think that just because she "knew" there were vanillas in the setup and implied they'd get no benefit from a boost, she's more likely to be town? The existence of vanillas is extremely plausible.

And I can't bring myself to grasp why town you would phrase that post in the negative.
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Post Post #1520 (isolation #197) » Fri Apr 17, 2009 3:09 am

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eld, what do you make of all the mutual attacks/bussing that's been going on between TDC and GC? For exmaple, this post:
GC,1353 wrote:Xtox has had shitty quarrels with RR, myself and Eld. Like, very-obviously-not-the-same-scum-group conversations. And not the scum trying out a distancing strategy type either. Incog has basically said that he thinks the ground Xtox walks on becomes town just from osmosis. Not something a scum group readily does (plus there's that whole vig thing). If Xtox flips scum, his only partner would be TDC.

I don't know why you people keep forgetting about him. He's still in this game!

Lynch TDC. Vig RR/me/Eld/Xtox (preferably not Eld - or me, for that matter). We will find ourselves in either a win or another probable LYLO situation.
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Post Post #1522 (isolation #198) » Fri Apr 17, 2009 4:33 am

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No, I thought she was town anyway.
Why type that post, then?
Yes. The existance of vanillas that can't be boosted rather less so.
I thought I'd get something from a boost too, but a massclaim has nothing to do with what boosting does to vanillas.
What's the "positive"?
"Hey, we could mass claim and then boost a vanilla who doesn't know about his boosts (*cough* like me *cough*) and see whether it does anything to prove her claim!"
Maybe something more along the lines of "I tend to believe electra", the massclaim speculation makes zero sense cosidering your claim anyways. And that post also carries quite a strong negative connotation regarding electra.
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Post Post #1523 (isolation #199) » Fri Apr 17, 2009 4:40 am

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A question for both of you:

What do you make of the dichotomy GC drew between TDC's lack of opposition to boosting him D1 and eldarad's support of boosting on him D3 (as charactorized in 1358-1351)? For exmaple:
GC, 1360 wrote:Okay, first of all you have to understand the difference in those two bullet points is the town's ability to handle the risk in each situation. Otherwise, yes, I think that sums up my position.

But then you get all whompy with your logic. Here is what my position is. TDC is scummy for not pushing the boost wagon away from a townie when the town could handle the risk of an unknown boost (early on). Eld is not scummy for pushing the boost wagon to a townie when the town can't handle the risk (late game).

Here it is, in easy bullet format:


· TDC is scummy for wanting the town to not take risks when the town should take risks.
· Eld is not scummy for wanting the town to not take risks when the town should not take risks.


And of course TDC is scummy for the town to not take risks when it should because he isn't town and is scum and thus would want to be boosted.

TDC, it seems to me that GC was trying very hard to be as aggressive to you as he possibly could on D3, in a way that's above and beyond how he usually chooses to phrase himself. Do you agree? If so, why do you think that was?
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