this is exactly what i'm talking about when i talk about you having reads and then justifying them afterwards. aa9 did exactly the same thing you pushed me for to a much larger extent but you don't scumread them because of your predefined stances.In post 1331, Shoshin wrote:I'm null on Angel - that reads list was made before I saw Angel's hardtown read on Creature and I hadn't had time to digest it yet. I can tell you that I'm much more sure about Random flipping scum than Angel.In post 1329, Nancy Drew 39 wrote:You seriously think that Angel is still town after that gross Nico push and their completely inexplicable sudden hardtown read on Creature? If Creature flips scum (like I think he probably will), then Angel had better start lolcatting IMO. XD
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vonflare (21:40)
you suck randomidget- Reality Check
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that's never going to work unless it causes a no lynchIn post 1372, Nancy Drew 39 wrote:
They don’t need the lynch to actually go through,In post 1351, Reality Check wrote:well yeah it's good for scum if it goes through
the problem is it's DOA
it's never going through
so there's no point in scum pushing itall they really need is enough votes to prevent a Creature lynch from happening. What part of we need 8 to lynch are you not getting?- Reality Check
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sure I'll try at leastIn post 1305, Scioness Sajj wrote:
something like that would help me in general. so if you have time please do.In post 1301, Reality Check wrote:I'd case Shoshin, but it's the kind of case I can't really articulate beyond "look and think about it in these terms"- Reality Check
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Spoiler:
I skipped a bunch of posts and didn't go through the whole ISO, but this should be enough to at least show what I'm trying to say regarding Shoshin-scum
1. Read trajectories make no sense
2. Her playstyle reads as significantly leaning towards stream of conscious; players with this style that roll scum have a tendency to want to make sure their thoughts can be seen as consistent, which is why there's a lot of weird justifications for her votes and thoughts that are just added on, like it's an afterthought
3. She is trying to look like she has solid stances, yet she also tries to give herself as much room as possible to change them if she needs to.
Now if you cross-reference it with my reads...
It makes a lot of sense for her to be scum with AA9
It makes sense for her to be scum with Creature
I could see her also being scum with TGPKAP
Somewhat possible scum with random (mainly true if a lot of the general reads in this game are correct, that would need to be verified first)
Not quite as likely scum with Renais/GIF
Shoshin + ArcAngel9 + (Creature/randommidget/GIF/TGPKAP)
it makes a lot of sense where I'm standing- Reality Check
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Nancy Drew 39 is obvtown even without investigative
NicoRobin is obvtown even without investigative
Scioness Sajj is very close to obvtown
the worst is closeish, there's just a couple things that are worrying about how they're playing
Taly needs to post stuff, but probably town
joral needs to be replaced, but probably town
WhemeStar is probably town (he did something that was really town very early on in the game, only not higher right now before he hasn't done a whole lot since then)
TGPKAP is the most likely town of the four
I think I'll be able to have GIF sorted sooner rather than later, so that should be a huge help
so
Shoshin > ArcAngel9 > Creature > randommidget
That's my current read of the scumteam from most confident to least confident.- Reality Check
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standard notice that this isn't cross-referenced with my hydra partner, etc.
mastina was happy I came around on Shoshin though, so
(she told me she'd get around to this game when she can, she's just busy with other things and real life right now)- Reality Check
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Although looking back, Shoshin and ArcAngel9 were in her scumlist, so!
I don't imagine it will take a whole lot of cross-referencing other than hashing out Sajj/worst and maybe ironing out blind spots- Reality Check
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last thing I promise
The way you read stream of consciousness posting is by looking at how they're thinking and comparing it to what they're thinking
if you REALLY analyze Shoshin's posting under that umbrella, it's pretty clearly not consistent
or just take my word for it, I can read this type of thing fairly accurately and recently proved it- Shoshin
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@Reality
I have no intention of rebutting anything - that's not useful - but I do have some questions for you.
What's unnatural about an RVS vote on the worst, a quasi-RVS vote on joral to help get a wagon going when I saw my vote doing nothing on the worst, and then a subsequent vote based on reactions to the joral wagon? You say the progression doesn't make sense - which part of this progression are you struggling to understand? The shift from voting the worst to joral? Or the shift from voting joral to you? What's my scum agenda with these early shifts?
You said the "shift" in 181, 184, and 188 is unnatural "after the above." What's the "shift"? And what's unnatural about it? I was questioning the worst about you, the person I ended up voting "above" - why would it be unnatural to question the worst about his reads on you after voting you?
What was scummy about 194? Some elaboration on your thought process would be nice.
What do you mean when you say 360 is "weak" and why is that scummy? I'm going to present you with two scenarios:
(1) I suggest that the worst is town as part of some scum agenda to townread the worst, but then I decide that I can further scum objectives even more by scumreading the worst, so I deliberately fabricate a scumread on him and come up with reasons for that scumread after-the-fact, and luckily for me it turns out that precisely at the moment I'm fabricating my scumread I'm also in the middle of asking the worst a question that he's refusing to answer, so I use that immediate circumstance to justify my scumread.
(2) I suggest that the worst is town because I liked his reaction to Wheme's push on joral, so I start asking the worst questions about my scumreads because I want some input from a guy I'm townreading, but instead of answering a simple question the worst says he's not going to tell me why Sajj is town, so I start thinking that maybe the worst is throwing out reads without actually having any underlying thought process and maybe I was too quick to townread him for his reaction to Wheme, so I keep pushing for an answer to my question throughout D1 and D2 and the worst continues to needlessly creating a rift between us instead of quelling my paranoia and answering the question, so I start thinking that the worst didn't have any reason to townread Sajj so early and maybe now he's struggling to come up with a reason after-the-fact.
Why is scenario (1) more likely than scenario (2)? What's the scum agenda in (1)? Why is my reaction to the worst in (2) unlikely? As a matter of trajectory, do you think I decided to scumread the worst before I asked him that question about Sajj? Or are you saying that I asked the worst the question about Sajj, the worst refused to answer my question, and in response to the worst's refusal I decided that I could further some scum agenda by faking a scumread on the worst?
There's no "justifications" for votes, only explanations. I understand that you might find my explanations "weird" and that my trajectories don't make sense to you. If you're town, you obviously don't think about mafia in the same way as me. You think lynching for information is preferable to lynching scum; I don't. But why is my way of playing indicative of scum rather than simply different?In post 1378, Reality Check wrote:1. Read trajectories make no sense
2. Her playstyle reads as significantly leaning towards stream of conscious; players with this style that roll scum have a tendency to want to make sure their thoughts can be seen as consistent, which is why there's a lot of weird justifications for her votes and thoughts that are just added on, like it's an afterthought
Why do you think I'm putting all this effort into making my thoughts consistent if they're "pretty clearly not consistent"? What exactly do you find inconsistent? What posts? How?In post 1382, Reality Check wrote:The way you read stream of consciousness posting is by looking at how they're thinking and comparing it to what they're thinking
if you REALLY analyze Shoshin's posting under that umbrella, it's pretty clearly not consistent
Why is this the narrative you're telling? Why can't I be a townie who has some solid thoughts about certain players (e.g. Random, Nancy, Nico), but also doesn't have the same confidence on others, has lots of paranoia about certain players (the worst, lurkers, etc.), and is constantly reevaluating? Why do you think your narrative more likely?In post 1378, Reality Check wrote:3. She is trying to look like she has solid stances, yet she also tries to give herself as much room as possible to change them if she needs to.- Shoshin
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I didn't scumread you for not responding to my case. Nor did I ignore your response to my case. Nor did I ignore Reality's case.In post 1385, Randomnamechange wrote:shoshin 101
scumread someone for not responding to your case
ignore their response to your case
ignore someone else's case on you- Randomnamechange
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It matters because scum tend to throw townreads out without thinking about whether it's merited - usually when they know a player is town or when they're trying to manipulate townies into reading their partner as town - and then when they're questioned about it they struggle to explain the read because it never had any basis in the actual game.In post 1391, Scioness Sajj wrote:why is someone town reading me such a big deal
i don't think anybody in this game justified their reads on me
Nancy had reasons to townread you when questioned, so yeah, comparing Nancy to the worst, Nancy's town, the worst is blah.- Shoshin
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Um, no.In post 1390, Randomnamechange wrote:my lack of response to your push against me prior to the case was a major part of your scumread- Randomnamechange
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finally bus your caught buddy several hundred posts too lateIn post 1385, Randomnamechange wrote:shoshin 101
scumread someone for not responding to your case
ignore their response to your case
ignore someone else's case on you - the worst
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