Open 769: Venrob's PYP X/Y (Town Wins)

[Wooper]

i believe i've made the joke about blindly sheeping you for a 43.75% chance at hitting scum d1 at rand

(working off a ~25% chance he's scum and will 100% of the time bus; ~75% of the time he's town and working off a read accuracy of ~25%)

[TheWizard]

nomnomnom (7):

AaronFrost, skitter30, Flubbernugget, Kerset, Luca Blight, Sujimichi, Wooper

AaronFrost (3):

Something_Smart, Xayah, Sirfetchd

Xayah (1):

nomnomnom

Not Voting (1):

Adorable

nomnomnom is today's putative lynch. If Governor and/or Vengeful exist, they should submit their actions now.

Twilight ends in:

(expired on 2019-11-14 16:22:00)

[TheWizard]

nomnomnom has been lynched. They were:

Spoiler:

Vanilla Townie

Night ends in:

(expired on 2019-11-16 20:33:00)

[TheWizard]

Xayah died last night. They were:

Spoiler:

Vanilla Townie

Day 3 begins!

Deadline:

(expired on 2019-11-27 00:51:00)

[Something_Smart]

VOTE: Aaron

[Kerset]

you know what
VOTE: xayah

She'll be here tomorrow and the gamestate is better for this flip. There's been too much contest to a noms lynch, I'm not comfortable letting it fly until close to deadline.

Sorry if you were hungrily awaiting Xayah's catch up before d2 ended but I don't see any meaningful reason to let this phase carry on just for it

Wooper you showed concern about contest around nom but you are the one who jumped off wagon in order to vote alongside her. What did you try to accomplish?
VOTE: wooper

[Luca Blight]

My initial feeling is to lynch Frost today, but I need to read up again.

[skitter30]

I think it's time for this

VOTE: flub

[Luca Blight]

I must say I’ve been curious for a while now about Flub’s role pick. Obviously he didn’t choose Sane Cop, and Fetchd has made it pretty obvious he must be the other nice-looking PR, so I’m left wondering what Flubs would have chosen as first pick if he were Town. As scum, choosing Roleblocker as first pick might not be too far-fetched.

[skitter30]

I feel like we've been letting him skate by for a while on being first in the draft order

[AaronFrost]

Damn my reads are shit, which I guess shouldn't be all that surprising. Probably gonna reread at some point.

Would definitely be down to lynch Flubb.

[Adorable]

This is where I am at with my reads.

Town/Luca - Wanted to lynch Billy on day 1 so badly and I don't think scum would want to lynch their scum buddy on day 1 so badly.

Town/Kerset - Kerset, Billy, and Aaron were the main wagon on day 1 and if Kerset was scum buddies with Billy she would have voted Aaron making his wagon larger instead of voting Billy.

Town/Sirfetch - On post #1279 he said Billy's wagon feels very convenient making it seem like the preferred mislynch and that post looked like a towny who did not know Billy was going to flip scum, he has been scum reading Xayah wanting to lynch her and I think if he was scum he would have kept Xayah alive and use her as a mislynch.

Town/Wooper - I have been null on him during my catchup and I saw his post #1999 which looked very towny and I don't think scum would say this. If Wooper really is scum then he sure fooled me with that post.

Null/Aaron - On day 1 he was a bit against the Billy wagon and then later said Billy hasn't been acting like his town self and votes Billy. nom was also against the Billy wagon and she flipped town and maybe the same thing is also happening to town Aaron. Aaron has also been scum reading Xayah and wouldn't it make more sense scum Aaron would have kept Xayah alive and use her as a mislynch?

Null/Suji - Billy and Suji have been voting each other on day 1 and this is the player I'm still figuring out if they are town who scum read Billy on day 1 or if they are a scum buddy who voted Billy.

Scum/Skitter - This game setup has been confusing me and after my catchup I read a completed game similar to this game called Open 732: Pick your Power X/Y so that I can get a better idea on how it works and Skitter was scum in this game. Skitter bussed her scum buddies on the first 2 days making her the top town read and she solo won this game as scum. Skitter has been commenting on players posts saying they are awful and she is not elaborating which I am not liking, some of her interactions I did not like with nom and they looked rude. Skitter's scum playstyle is scary and it will probably take a while for me to change my read on her.

Scum/Something Smart - On day 1 he said he didn't have any reads and later on he does a naked vote on Billy and he was also the first person on the Billy wagon at some point which looked convenient and later on he unvotes Billy.

Scum/Flubbernugget - His naked vote on Kerset looked like an attempt to quietly prevent Billy from getting lynched by adding another vote on Kerset, on day 2 I think it was he got prodded and said he forgot about this game and how could you forget about this game? This is what scum normally say. If a townie forgot about this game they wouldn't even be logging on mafiascum and would have gotten replaced.

[Kerset]

We know that Scum/Skitter bus their partners but what about Town/Skitter? Wouldn't she do this as well?
Are your reads only based on billy flip?

[Wooper]

Hey guess what folks
Skitter you can answer this in as much detail as you want

[Wooper]

you know what
VOTE: xayah

She'll be here tomorrow and the gamestate is better for this flip. There's been too much contest to a noms lynch, I'm not comfortable letting it fly until close to deadline.

Sorry if you were hungrily awaiting Xayah's catch up before d2 ended but I don't see any meaningful reason to let this phase carry on just for it

Wooper you showed concern about contest around nom but you are the one who jumped off wagon in order to vote alongside her. What did you try to accomplish?
VOTE: wooper

@Kerset no votes on me for like 24 hours please.

[skitter30]

Tfw you have a good scumgame

@adorable are you scumreading me for anything other than paranoia or ...?

[Wooper]

Hey skitter hey skitter

also adorable has too many scumreads don't worry too much

[AaronFrost]

Hi wooper.

[AaronFrost]

Do you still think we should mass claim?

[Wooper]

Hey Aaron. Do YOU know why I'm excited : (

[AaronFrost]

No? I am supposed to?

[Kerset]

Something is off with this kill. Over Skitter, Luca, Flub or even me i can find target, which is superior in any given category then Xayah. I don't think that she would hold any crucial information so it wasn't reason to kill her either. So far i can think of 3 options.
1. Her killers are biased. They are people. who think that D1 counterwagon was very relevant.
2. They somehow calculated that she should be UB->sane cop.
3. The actual fractional kill was prevented. It was vigilante, who killed her.

[Sirfetchd]

I have a soft guilty related to the above. Want everyone to check in though.

[Kerset]

I have a soft guilty related to the above. Want everyone to check in though.

to me?

[Sirfetchd]

No, doesn't involve you just your theories.