Like I don't see why scum wouldn't risk killing me or going for S_S if they thought it was a gambit. Okapoka is a kill that makes more sense if scum thought I was lying or had a reasonable chance of lying, and also was not everyone's top suspect. Bob was pretty heavily scumread at the time and I would have expected scum Bob to have made a shot on trying to kill either me or S_S under those assumptions because unless anyone went after Okapoka for his opinions, killing the doc was the strictly better play. If you're in the lynchpool already, you're already pretty screwed if you get blocked again, and Okapoka would be safer, whereas if you're outside the lynchpool and you get blocked again it's far more dangerous. And bob was pretty deep inside the lynchpool.
In post 4468, bob3141 wrote: In post 4464, NaCl wrote:
Yeah, which is why I said my 2 choices for who dies apart from me. The level of confidence on Bob isn't that much greater but it is greater. And I've changed my mind on Titus but I don't see the Okapoka kill coming from Bob, I don't see it coming from DDL, and if I'm wrong on Hectic I'm not really sure who it is. But Titus had been scumreading me all game and if she was scum she probably would have hammered me already.
In post 4451, Hectic wrote:If NaCl is scum and knows SS is the doc night 2, killing him kinda incriminate him. So maybe he goes for the IC Oka kill instead which gets blocked. And then targets him again for the guaranteed kill in night 3.
Besides the fact that I'm not scum, I don't think S_S would have protected Oka over DDL in that situation. And S_S didn't no protect, as if that was the case he would have just revealed as the real doc and we'd have lynched DDL immediately on D3.
In post 4453, Hectic wrote:Wait, but why did you claim doc yesterday in the first place, NaCl?
I claimed it D3 in order to bait the kill or get protected again, whatever S_S decided.
In post 4454, Eddie Cane wrote:as of now
i think the 3 kills are bob / hectic / nacl
if anybody has a strong preference to swap that pool, speak up. swapping yourself out is not an option.
I don't really think bob should be in there, but I'm still not sure who should go instead. I don't see bob scum for the reason that the Okapoka kill doesn't make sense, it's more likely to come from safe scum over cornered scum. I guess it's most likely DDL out of who remains but I feel much better about Hectic.
Also, I hope no one is buying this whole theory that I (or for that matter, any scum) targeted Okapoka N2. Because I don't think S_S is bad enough to do that protect in that situation over DDL, and I can see it happening that the following day after my townflip Hectic uses this to push on DDL.
nacl why do you think smart would not of protected oka
Okay, so on N2 S_S should have either no-protected or protected DDL. He didn't no-protect because when I claimed I protected DDL he didn't contradict me. And he specifically arranged things so that DDL would be assumed to be doc, so I don't see why he would protect Okapoka instead. Supposing scum had attacked Okapoka, this would give DDL less information and I don't really see why scum would pick Okapoka over DDL in that situation.
In post 4470, bob3141 wrote:nacl at teh time of pops lynch what was your view on her and why were you not interested in being on her lynch
I was trying to look more on her interaction between her and Eddie in the PT but neither of them answered my question and then I wasn't around at the time the lynch actually happened.
