Team Mafia 2020 Normal Game: Scum PT

[Xtoxm]

whatever happens, its been great scumming with you
this is the 3rd largest scum pt ive had, and its mostly just been the two of us

[skitter30]

Thanks, you too

Second-longest for me, last time i had more posts in the scum pt than in thread

[Xtoxm]

last time i had more posts in the scum pt than in thread

thats pretty much par for the course for me lol

[skitter30]

Yeah it used to be for me till i figured out how to real-time as scum

I just use this to rant and plot and plan and vent and gloat

[skitter30]

I would prefer trying to get math today over ari because if it goes to 5way due to a nolynch, having ari in lylo would be significantly more favorable for us than having math there

[skitter30]

And i think that in the potential lylos we're setting up, shos is a good mislynch candidate

So ideally math over ari or shos if we can manage it

6way of {teacher, me, you, flopz, shos, ari} is significantly more favorable with ari there instead of math

And if it goes to 5way, shos + math is a dangerous pair for you, and flopz is a wildcard whose behavior i cant predict easily

[Xtoxm]

having ari around for mylo/lylo would be good for us in general
not sure teacher will allow it tho
imo math > shos > ari for tomorrows lynch

[skitter30]

Ari's mislynch equity goes up significantly after today i think, and if math flips town teacher will go to ari next -> he's concinced theres scum in ari/math

[Xtoxm]

flopz seem like he throws his vote around recklessly, but you've but tunneling him all game and im worried he'd vote you over that.

[Xtoxm]

i feel like math+flopz would be particularly dangerous for you in 4-way and should be avoided

[skitter30]

Yeah exactly, that'a why we need ari there because i'm viable in a math + flopz fiveway

[skitter30]

Or 4way
Yeah so we should prioritize math tom

[skitter30]

Thats kinda why i want ico gone because it makes math more viable, not sure he's viable if ico is alive

[skitter30]

And if ico wont let math we need shos over ari i think
Ari being in lylo gives us the best chance of winning i think

[Xtoxm]

And if ico wont let math we need shos over ari i think
Ari being in lylo gives us the best chance of winning i think

agreed

[Xtoxm]

Thats kinda why i want ico gone because it makes math more viable, not sure he's viable if ico is alive

mechanics aside.
i kinda just disagree that ico is the better kill?
he hasnt really been pushing anything, his reads change a lot
im more scared of bellas reads, and im pretty sure she knows im scum

[skitter30]

Ico has more influence
Whether or not she thinks ur scum is not really relevant if she doesnt have enough presence to get you wagoned and lynched, esp. if me and teacher oppose

Ico (+math) could garner enough influence to manage it tho, i think, which is why i'm more worried

And the very fact that he's ephemeral means it's harder to play around him because i dont know what tack he's going to take

Whereas if me and teacher are setting the agenda bella's reads arent as important

[Xtoxm]

change it if you want.
i consider that a failed kill on ico due to bella being full alien would be catastrophic for us
i also consider you have a good chance of endgaming regardless if we do bella > ico or ico > bella for nks

[skitter30]

Basically a key part of my scum strategy is just being one of the most influential people at endgame andhaving a very strong handle on how people will vote, and thus making a lylo conducive to what we need

I'm not good at winning direct confrontations in lylo, i'm good at creating circumstances where i'm the decider / obviously not one of the lynch options, and winning because the townies will need to duke it out

[skitter30]

change it if you want.
i consider that a failed kill on ico due to bella being full alien would be catastrophic for us
i also consider you have a good chance of endgaming regardless if we do bella > ico or ico > bella for nks

Yeah this possibility is worse for us, i agree

Just be prepared to back me up on math/shos if thinga become sticky because your vote may well be needed

[Xtoxm]

i will do whatever for you up to and including open wolfing to fall on the sword in your place
ive already gone farther in this game than i expected, everything now is a bonus

[Xtoxm]

i should have decent buddy equity with ari if i do end up lynched, btw
not sure why no one has brought it up already tbh
im specifically didnt comment on him yesterday

[skitter30]

Thumbsup

I think the situation will be kinda fluid and we'll need to play it by ear, but we'll discuss as things develop

Also will be kinda vla'ish for the next couple of days so i might not be around till well into tomorrow irl, daystart is at 1am for me and i'm traveling tom

[Xtoxm]

its around 6am for me so probs wont be around til evening
numbers getting lower so hopefully the pace slows a bit

[Xtoxm]

if im given an opportunity to hammer anyone 2mo probs just taking it. dont want a repeat of d2