Mini Normal 2146: Cute Pets Game Over, Town wins
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- notscience
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notscience Survivor
- notscience
- brassherald
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brassherald Mafia Scum
- brassherald
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4964
- Joined: December 21, 2017
- Location: New York
- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
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- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
I rolled scum again!?!?
You're welcome!In post 544, Emperor flippyNips wrote:I feel like this is the most I’ve seen of pre-2010 join dates in one game, P—Coool
Hello ladies!Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
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- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
Ok a few questions:
1. Why are people voting for me?
2. Have I claimed yet? If so, what did I claim?
3. Who else has claimed?
Also hi Farside, nice to see you again!Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
- Jester
- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
ah shit I claimed already
Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- CooLDoG
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CooLDoG Wanker
- CooLDoG
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- Posts: 4575
- Joined: September 2, 2009
- Location: A grand nominal wizard from the peripheral
- Contact:
- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
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- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
In post 15, Hoopla wrote:a meme claim, you say?
i don't know how i feel about someone treating the early game with such disrespect.
weak open. suspicious. only scum be so serious.In post 16, notscience wrote:In post 15, Hoopla wrote:a meme claim, you say?
i don't know how i feel about someone treating the early game with such disrespect.
Pretty good reads based on the first 2 pages.In post 37, Espeonage wrote:Currently I have cooldog and notsci as potential scum for going in to night prep immediately. Seems like a scum thing to focus on right now no?
Vote: Cooldog
Jeebus, that claim fell apart quickly....In post 38, Espeonage wrote:It's apparently not painfully obvious. I'm not a vig.
It's already pretty obvious I will need to read every single post to work out what the fk my current fakeclaim story is. Can you tell I'm excited?Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- CooLDoG
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CooLDoG Wanker
- CooLDoG
- Wanker
- Wanker
- Posts: 4575
- Joined: September 2, 2009
- Location: A grand nominal wizard from the peripheral
- Contact:
- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
- Jester
- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
pre-emptive OMGUS eh? I might hold fire on the rest of my read through until we can all agree I'm not being lynched today. Let's go team!
Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
- Jester
- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
You got any reasons for these votes bro?
Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- notscience
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notscience Survivor
- notscience
- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
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- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
Ok Hoopla is town (for making a mad gambit on like Page 2 to collaborate for the whole Day 1 with a poorly justified townread, which is just too absurd for scum to try and pull). Emperor Flippynips is town for using the word "kill" instead of "lynch" - this sort of thing can get people excited, don't think scum does it as often as town. Agar is townlean so far for not bothering to explain his votes until pressed, even when he had legitimate reasons.
me?In post 585, notscience wrote:Why do I know his name? Do you have a tell or something named after you?
why is nobody answering my questions? help a brother out...Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- brassherald
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brassherald Mafia Scum
- brassherald
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- Posts: 4964
- Joined: December 21, 2017
- Location: New York
Emperor flippyNips (2):PranaDevil, Gypyx,
Battle Mage(2):LicketyQuickety, Hoopla, notscience
Hoopla (2):, Hiraki
UnaBombaH (2):farside22, gobbledygook
CooLDoG (1):Battle Mage
gobbledygook (1):AGar
farside22 (1):UnaBombaH, CooLDoG
Not Voting (1):Emperor flippyNips
There are (expired on 2020-06-17 06:05:00) remaining in Day 1
With 13 alive, it takes 7 to lynch.[/area]
[/color]Last edited by brassherald on Mon Jun 08, 2020 10:50 am, edited 2 times in total.I've only made one good post, and don't you dare accuse me of doing it again.- notscience
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notscience Survivor
- notscience
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- Posts: 22322
- Joined: March 25, 2013
- Location: Cobra Kai
No one has claimed.
I’m voting you because espe expresses a read on me with reasoning that wasn’t true- my iso proved it. When questioned on it he avoided answering then just said he roped me in which shows he doesn’t care to discern my alignment which typically means he knew itShowSTRIKE HARD
STRIKE FAST
NO MERCY- notscience
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notscience Survivor
- notscience
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
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- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
Lucky I arrived when I did innit?
In post 526, brassherald wrote:
PranaDevil, Gypyx,Emperor flippyNips(2):
LicketyQuickety,Espeonage(2):Hoopla
CooLDoG, HirakiHoopla(2):
UnaBombaH (2):renaissance, gobbledygook
CooLDoG (1):Espeonage
gobbledygook (1):AGar
Gypyx(1):notscience
renaissance (1):UnaBombaH
Not Voting (1):Emperor flippyNips
Espeonage has until about 1 PM EST to post or will be replaced.
There are (expired on 2020-06-17 06:05:00) remaining in Day 1
With 13 alive, it takes 7 to lynch.[/area]
Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
- Jester
- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
I don't have tells, I'm amazing as scum. I'm...improving as town.In post 589, notscience wrote:And yes youShow2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
- Jester
- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
Excellent thanks.In post 588, notscience wrote:No one has claimed.
I’m voting you because espe expresses a read on me with reasoning that wasn’t true- my iso proved it. When questioned on it he avoided answering then just said he roped me in which shows he doesn’t care to discern my alignment which typically means he knew it
Espe isn't here anymore, let it go man. No beef!
Also I've only read as far as page 4, and I can already tell that'sexactlywhat Espe would do - think he had roped you in with some clever ruse.Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- notscience
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notscience Survivor
- notscience
- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
- Jester
- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
In post 593, notscience wrote:Do enlighten me. Because it took way too long to get a damn answer
Are you seriously, like, taking a shitty tone with me because of some beef you had with my predecessor?
I bet Farside is gonna be so excited to see me in this game...maybe?Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
- Jester
- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
In post 461, notscience wrote:His night prep comment re me never happened and when questioned he first stalled answering then said he just roped me in there which shows he doesn’t care to divine my alignment which typically means he knows it
Hold on a sec, the reason for your vote on me now is because of a gambit my predecessor ran on page 1? When you initially explained this I thought he'd done something else since. But you haven't noticed anything else more interesting or suspicious in over 20 pages since?In post 588, notscience wrote:No one has claimed.
I’m voting you because espe expresses a read on me with reasoning that wasn’t true- my iso proved it. When questioned on it he avoided answering then just said he roped me in which shows he doesn’t care to discern my alignment which typically means he knew it
Maybe I won't read the rest then, on that basis.Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- farside22
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farside22 Mafia Mum
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- Joined: October 24, 2007
- Location: Buffalo, NY
Hi bm! You know i was killed n2 and that was before that game went to shit. So i don't hate you.In post 578, Battle Mage wrote:Ok a few questions:
1. Why are people voting for me?
2. Have I claimed yet? If so, what did I claim?
3. Who else has claimed?
Also hi Farside, nice to see you again!
If your town i hoped you learned from that game.
This interaction with ns makes me feel better about him.Sarcasm is just a way of saying how stupid you think someone is but in a more polite way.- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
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- Joined: January 10, 2007
Big effort, big brain here.In post 411, Hiraki wrote:hoopla -
do you have any evidence to backup whatever this stupid "HAHA" system is? those numbers have no value unless there's something behind it. i didn't see anything after a quick search. not to mention, your model has a lot of assumptions that i don't know who would get behind, without further analysis (which is why I am skeptical of it in the first place, as neat as I think game theory in mafia is) - for example, your model goes into the fact that 39/50 games have "scum" as being under 23%. How is the 23% calculated? Could there potentially be a point where 2 scum are slightly above that threshold and one scum drags them down? Then I don't think 23% is a fair number, no? And if 23% goes up, I'm sure that 39/50 is not solid either. Which means that your underlying "towntelling" theory isn't very valid and doesn't make sense.
i did a little digging too - no one in this game has posted over 23% when taking a sum of the average and the average of all in the thread as of your data set was 30.615. that would mean that your circle conveniently misses the one person that everyone has put up weird looks for in your town block -renaissance. what is evenmoreconvenient is that the number you went with to highlight your data was 23 while renaissance has24posts.
lastly, if we get rid of the two outliers in this thread (i think this helps the dataset become more uniform but i understand the underlying problem here) - your average goes from that 30.615 above to 32.991 which gets rid of every player but Gypyx, gooble & CooLDoG
i don't think this really makes a lot of sense and i'm starting to just feel weird about the clearly soft defenses of renaissance here that don't consider anything that renaissance has postedShow2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
- Jester
- Jester
- Posts: 22231
- Joined: January 10, 2007
Haha I didn't know anyone "hated" me as such, just thought I sucked! It's just a game, and I tried my best...In post 596, farside22 wrote:
Hi bm! You know i was killed n2 and that was before that game went to shit. So i don't hate you.In post 578, Battle Mage wrote:Ok a few questions:
1. Why are people voting for me?
2. Have I claimed yet? If so, what did I claim?
3. Who else has claimed?
Also hi Farside, nice to see you again!
If your town i hoped you learned from that game.
This interaction with ns makes me feel better about him.
Don't worry, in every game since I've been very clear that my reads suck. And actually, I've been on a good run of form since then!
NS is my only scumvibe at the moment - it's a bit of a copout to just stick with your read from Page 2, when it's now Page 24, and it wasn't a very good read to begin with. Easy scumplay, unlikely for town to be that obsessive (I realise people like me are the exception!)
Farside are you town here? I'm gonna need a pinky promise I'm afraid...Show2020 Stats - 31 completed games:
Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4
winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%- Battle Mage
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Battle Mage Jester
- Battle Mage
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