electoral college mafia (now its done watch it go)

[T3]

My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

[Almost50]

Why are you making the assumptions you have above?

1- Because I can
2- Because otherwise I'd have nothing to use but "gut" and "feelings" and you know how I hate those for scumhunting tools

[MathBlade]

My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

Random post here.
I disagree I don’t think that’s the case.
I think if this were true someone would have been claiming mail each day.
Has someone claimed receiving mail? I don’t remember this in my skim but maybe I missed it.

[MathBlade]

Why are you making the assumptions you have above?

1- Because I can
2- Because otherwise I'd have nothing to use but "gut" and "feelings" and you know how I hate those for scumhunting tools

I think there’s much better assumptions that can be made starting from knowledge rather than assumptions though.

Eg Yesterday was Mozamis V VFP.

This means either Mozamis is scum or there is scum in the town block because nothing else really happened.

How does your VCA change if Mozamis is scum?
If Mozamis is town?

[Almost50]

This is the grouping for group two.

You mean DAY TWO. Now, check that again. OBVIOULSY the 4 not in G1 are treestumps. G1 completely controls the elimination and these 4 do not influence the wagon in the least. It makes no sense to have more than 1 scum treestumped (tips off the scales towards town unnaturally, because the scum team is still alive in full, i.e. would be unfair). It makes no sense to have all 4 scums in the group of 13 either because that would be giving Scum more weight that they actually have (they should be 4 in 17, so why treestump 4 townies and nake them 4 on 13?)

So, logically (which this game isn't) the correct choice is 3 in 13 and 1 treestump in 4 (the exact NORMAL distribution)

[Almost50]

My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

That'd be sexist. Some should be fe"mail" "women"

[MathBlade]

This is the grouping for group two.

You mean DAY TWO. Now, check that again. OBVIOULSY the 4 not in G1 are treestumps. G1 completely controls the elimination and these 4 do not influence the wagon in the least. It makes no sense to have more than 1 scum treestumped (tips off the scales towards town unnaturally, because the scum team is still alive in full, i.e. would be unfair). It makes no sense to have all 4 scums in the group of 13 either because that would be giving Scum more weight that they actually have (they should be 4 in 17, so why treestump 4 townies and nake them 4 on 13?)

So, logically (which this game isn't) the correct choice is 3 in 13 and 1 treestump in 4 (the exact NORMAL distribution)

In that I see your argument but disagree with it.

In politics there’s something known as Gerrymandering.
It’s the idea that all of a certain group are combined together for the purposes of limiting its power.
Until we see a scum flip somewhere that supports your theory I don’t think that’s a valid assumption to make.
Especially since we just lost a jailkeeper that grouping could have been made to rebalance and give town a good shot and scum outside.

Until we get in schadd’s head and figure out why I think sticking to play and facts is better.

[Almost50]

How does your VCA change if Mozamis is scum?
If Mozamis is town?

I already established why I though he was Town.

IF he is scum though, I haven't done the work yet.

Also, you don't really want to rely on MY VCA. I do strange stuff and have no solid rules for it. It's unauthentic at best.

[MathBlade]

How does your VCA change if Mozamis is scum?
If Mozamis is town?

I already established why I though he was Town.

IF he is scum though, I haven't done the work yet.

Also, you don't really want to rely on MY VCA. I do strange stuff and have no solid rules for it. It's unauthentic at best.

I am not using it to rely on it.
I am using it to sort you and in a weird way mozamis.

[Almost50]

Until we see a scum flip somewhere that supports your theory I don’t think that’s a valid assumption to make.

You won't get "a scum flip somewhere that supports your theory" unless you do eliminate in my pool though.

[T3]

My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

Random post here.
I disagree I don’t think that’s the case.
I think if this were true someone would have been claiming mail each day.
Has someone claimed receiving mail? I don’t remember this in my skim but maybe I missed it.

Anya claimed mailman, mastina got a message not from either of them, Mom was also a mailman

[Almost50]

Like, you literally just committed to voting one of my 4 suspects to test my theory. Either that or you have to get a scum flip outside of my 4 suspects to disprove my theory.

[MathBlade]

Until we see a scum flip somewhere that supports your theory I don’t think that’s a valid assumption to make.

You won't get "a scum flip somewhere that supports your theory" unless you do eliminate in my pool though.

Correct. It’s more your theory is one that’s really unfalsifiable and I hate those.
We could elim everyone off group to see if you’re right but I don’t think that’s smart strategically.
Having a foundation that’s an unfalsifiable assumption is bad.

[Almost50]

I am using it to sort you

You don't need to. You're either Town and should take it on faith that I am, or you're scum and

know

that I'm Town. My theory assumes you're Town (actually it doesn't. It

leads to the conclusion

that you are, based on other assumptions). Do you disagree??

[T3]

I'm going to reread to see if I can get more reads.

[MathBlade]

My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

Random post here.
I disagree I don’t think that’s the case.
I think if this were true someone would have been claiming mail each day.
Has someone claimed receiving mail? I don’t remember this in my skim but maybe I missed it.

Anya claimed mailman, mastina got a message not from either of them, Mom was also a mailman

Hmmm I will have to look at Anya’s ISO for that. Did Anya claim it under duress?
Mom was a mailman but only to who she jailed if I follow the flip correctly. (Btw hi mom I miss you!)
I don’t think everyone is a mailman though.
That would be weird and hard to keep track of.

[Almost50]

Correct. It’s more your theory is one that’s really unfalsifiable and I hate those.
We could elim everyone off group to see if you’re right but I don’t think that’s smart strategically.
Having a foundation that’s an unfalsifiable assumption is bad.

On contrary, it only takes ONE bad result to prove it wrong. You should support my elimination pool until we get a green flip in it. If one flips green THEN I'm proven wrong.

In other words; you do get a scum flip or prove me wrong TODAY. It's not THAT bad if you look at the other options.

[MathBlade]

I am using it to sort you

You don't need to. You're either Town and should take it on faith that I am, or you're scum and

know

that I'm Town. My theory assumes you're Town (actually it doesn't. It

leads to the conclusion

that you are, based on other assumptions). Do you disagree??

Incorrect methods can get correct results.

I obviously do not disagree with the conclusion that I am town I just wanna make sure I am not starting with flawed assumptions.

[MathBlade]

Correct. It’s more your theory is one that’s really unfalsifiable and I hate those.
We could elim everyone off group to see if you’re right but I don’t think that’s smart strategically.
Having a foundation that’s an unfalsifiable assumption is bad.

On contrary, it only takes ONE bad result to prove it wrong. You should support my elimination pool until we get a green flip in it. If one flips green THEN I'm proven wrong.

In other words; you do get a scum flip or prove me wrong TODAY. It's not THAT bad if you look at the other options.

Uhm I don’t see how?

We would need 2+ scum in treestumps or none to invalidate your claim of 1 scum in three stumps.
Can you try again in a different way?

[MathBlade]

For the record her dying message to me (at least I am assuming it was from her) said that you were town. <3

Oh how interesting.
VOTE: Mastina
She targeted me last night

Well, last night, I was targeted by a mailman. They said they were a town odd-night combined mailman alien, that I was both roleblocked and rolestopped. (They apologized for blocking my actions, which is unfortunate, because I did use an action last night--ironically enough, *I* targeted *you*.) They then said they didn't have much more to say, other than townreading you, thinking I am town, and wanting thoughts on Auro; they gave me a code word to confirm it was from them. They also specified a way beyond the code word to reveal to me.

But I assumed it was from Momrangal doing a gambit, that she lied about being odd-night alien with her really being a jailkeeper and that the message originated from her.

I suppose my assumption could've been wrong, but I very much did receive a message with the above as the contents of it and it at least somewhat checks out since I know for a fact that my action on you failed.

Did a search for mailman to try to find Anya’s claim.

I still don’t find it and if someone could be a doll and help me out that would be awesome.

Mastina v Tsu seems to be a thing

It’s likely with the mason claim Mom visited Mastina and blocked her
Did we find out why Tsu thought Mom visited them?

[MathBlade]

Correct. It’s more your theory is one that’s really unfalsifiable and I hate those.
We could elim everyone off group to see if you’re right but I don’t think that’s smart strategically.
Having a foundation that’s an unfalsifiable assumption is bad.

On contrary, it only takes ONE bad result to prove it wrong. You should support my elimination pool until we get a green flip in it. If one flips green THEN I'm proven wrong.

In other words; you do get a scum flip or prove me wrong TODAY. It's not THAT bad if you look at the other options.

Uhm I don’t see how?

We would need 2+ scum in treestumps or none to invalidate your claim of 1 scum in the tree stumps.
Can you try again in a different way?

Ebwop autocorrect you suck

[MathBlade]

Also mason + active power is rare.

I had that with Mom but I am not so sure it happens twice with this setup.

Mastina can you please explain?

[Flea The Magician]

My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

Given the

Evils of mail in ballots

... The nuts were you thinking? o.o

OK you're getting looked at, I think I needed a look at Gypyx as well.

[Flea The Magician]

My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

Random post here.
I disagree I don’t think that’s the case.
I think if this were true someone would have been claiming mail each day.
Has someone claimed receiving mail? I don’t remember this in my skim but maybe I missed it.

Noraa recieved mail, I can remember that much because it was MomMail<3

[Flea The Magician]

I'm going to reread to see if I can get more reads.

... we're D3...

For the record her dying message to me (at least I am assuming it was from her) said that you were town. <3

Oh how interesting.
VOTE: Mastina
She targeted me last night

Well, last night, I was targeted by a mailman. They said they were a town odd-night combined mailman alien, that I was both roleblocked and rolestopped. (They apologized for blocking my actions, which is unfortunate, because I did use an action last night--ironically enough, *I* targeted *you*.) They then said they didn't have much more to say, other than townreading you, thinking I am town, and wanting thoughts on Auro; they gave me a code word to confirm it was from them. They also specified a way beyond the code word to reveal to me.

But I assumed it was from Momrangal doing a gambit, that she lied about being odd-night alien with her really being a jailkeeper and that the message originated from her.

I suppose my assumption could've been wrong, but I very much did receive a message with the above as the contents of it and it at least somewhat checks out since I know for a fact that my action on you failed.

Did a search for mailman to try to find Anya’s claim.

I still don’t find it and if someone could be a doll and help me out that would be awesome.

Mastina v Tsu seems to be a thing

It’s likely with the mason claim Mom visited Mastina and blocked her
Did we find out why Tsu thought Mom visited them?

Raw conviction and "Darling Tsunami", nora was/is scumreading me and mom, makes sense mom would message her.