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Post Post #4725 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:19 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 4658, Dwlee99 wrote:
In post 4608, VP Baltar wrote:
In post 4599, Dwlee99 wrote:I'm pretty sure VP townreads me because he is literally factionally informed I'm town but okay
This is an insane thing to say. If you want me to scum case you, I can read lots of your posts with bad intent.

I'm trying to right this game state and willing to risk my lim to do it because I think if someone doesn't correct course, we are headed to a very bad game state.

You should take a step back and think about what I would actually gain from approaching the game this way as scum (nothing), and then help me lim mistyx.
So you ask what you'd gain as scum from not trying to lim me
In post 4609, Dwlee99 wrote:Not getting limmed and not exposing scum as having at least 2 defuses seems like a pretty big win to me?
I point out if you are successful in evading a 1v1 with me that you don't get limmed and that you don't confirm that scum have 2 defusals towards their 4 defusal win con.
In post 4635, VP Baltar wrote:
In post 4633, Dwlee99 wrote:
In post 4625, VP Baltar wrote:
In post 4609, Dwlee99 wrote:Not getting limmed and not exposing scum as having at least 2 defuses seems like a pretty big win to me?
I already would have had two defusals before there was a risk, yeah? This makes no sense.
I don't follow what makes no sense about it
Scum start the game with 1 kill.

I defuse N1.
Scum have 2 kills, kill N1.
I defuse N2.
Scum have 2 kills. Kill N2.
Town ZOMG VP IS SCUM! Lim VP.
Scum kill N3, town worried rest of game about defusals, never let defusals happen.

As opposed to what are you proposing? Scum have like 3 NKs or something they are sitting on? For what reason? To keep me alive when I was always going to get limmed at some point for having two defusals?
And now I have no fucking clue how what you're saying is relevant. What does any of this have to do with you positioning to try to lim mistyx instead of me? Nothing. There's no connection. I have no idea what you're even attempting to say
I am merging the arguments that both you and csf are making a but at this point. You're both going on about hiding defusals and when to use NKs, but my point is that after two defusals REGARDLESS OF ALIGNMENT, town should never let me defuse again.

Therefore, if I was scum, I'd just want to get people dead rather than limp along and not be doing anything useful for scum for several days. If I'm scum, I have already achieved above average toward the wincon, very little to gain by hiding kills etc. I don't see how this is actually confusing for you. You're being intentionally obtuse because you want to get me pissed off and having stupid arguments in thread over semantics like this.
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Post Post #4726 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:19 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 4709, Dwlee99 wrote:
In post 4707, Enchant wrote:
In post 4705, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:I tend to play for worst case scenario

if VPB is town, we can defuse 2 more times safely so we can block the mafia bomb kill twice.

if VPB is scum, we kinda can't afford to defuse anything
AHAHHHAHHHAHAHAHhahhahHHHhBhHHBhah
IF DWLEE DIE WE STILL DISCOVER VP ALIGNMENT?
Okay but just flip scum instead? Also if I flipped scum that actually wouldn't tell you VP's alignment
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Post Post #4727 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:20 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 4726, VP Baltar wrote:
In post 4709, Dwlee99 wrote:
In post 4707, Enchant wrote:
In post 4705, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:I tend to play for worst case scenario

if VPB is town, we can defuse 2 more times safely so we can block the mafia bomb kill twice.

if VPB is scum, we kinda can't afford to defuse anything
IF DWLEE DIE WE STILL DISCOVER VP ALIGNMENT?
Okay but just flip scum instead? Also if I flipped scum that actually wouldn't tell you VP's alignment
AHAHHHAHHHAHAHAHhahhahHHHhBhHHBhah
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Post Post #4728 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:20 am

Post by Bell »

Work. Later.
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Post Post #4729 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:21 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 4712, Dwlee99 wrote:Btw Datisi said it could be possible that there is a scum role that can blow up a bomb without being in the expert pt

I do not want to believe this because that would be fucking stupid
WHAT THE FUCK AM I READING
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Post Post #4730 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:24 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 4723, Enchant wrote:
In post 4721, VP Baltar wrote:
In post 4707, Enchant wrote:
In post 4705, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:I tend to play for worst case scenario

if VPB is town, we can defuse 2 more times safely so we can block the mafia bomb kill twice.

if VPB is scum, we kinda can't afford to defuse anything
IF DWLEE DIE WE STILL DISCOVER VP ALIGNMENT?
Vote dwlee.
Wow, you realised?
This is what I get for trying to trust my own reads and ability to play this stupid game.

A FOOL. A FOOL.
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Post Post #4731 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:24 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

In post 4725, VP Baltar wrote:Therefore, if I was scum, I'd just want to get people dead rather than limp along and not be doing anything useful for scum for several days. If I'm scum, I have already achieved above average toward the wincon, very little to gain by hiding kills etc. I don't see how this is actually confusing for you. You're being intentionally obtuse because you want to get me pissed off and having stupid arguments in thread over semantics like this.
It's literally -EV for scum to use kills early and also would get you limmed easier. Why would I believe you would do something obviously umoptimal as scum? Do the math yourself and see that saving kills for later days increases scum win odds
I prefer they, thanks :)
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Post Post #4732 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:24 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

Honestly baltar if you're town then Datisi is hard trolling us and I want out
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Post Post #4733 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:25 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

Like a role that if town experts 3 town then scum can basically guarantee 3 mislims. Do you think that is balanced? No. That's fucking dumb and Datisi likes to get around setup spec but that's way too much
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Post Post #4734 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:26 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

In post 4731, Dwlee99 wrote:
In post 4725, VP Baltar wrote:Therefore, if I was scum, I'd just want to get people dead rather than limp along and not be doing anything useful for scum for several days. If I'm scum, I have already achieved above average toward the wincon, very little to gain by hiding kills etc. I don't see how this is actually confusing for you. You're being intentionally obtuse because you want to get me pissed off and having stupid arguments in thread over semantics like this.
It's literally -EV for scum to use kills early and also would get you limmed easier. Why would I believe you would do something obviously umoptimal as scum? Do the math yourself and see that saving kills for later days increases scum win odds
And you're still ignoring where I literally go through and show how what you're saying in response to me doesn't make sense cause it's completely irrelevant to what I said but you wanna call me obtuse
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Post Post #4735 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:27 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 4731, Dwlee99 wrote:
In post 4725, VP Baltar wrote:Therefore, if I was scum, I'd just want to get people dead rather than limp along and not be doing anything useful for scum for several days. If I'm scum, I have already achieved above average toward the wincon, very little to gain by hiding kills etc. I don't see how this is actually confusing for you. You're being intentionally obtuse because you want to get me pissed off and having stupid arguments in thread over semantics like this.
It's literally -EV for scum to use kills early and also would get you limmed easier. Why would I believe you would do something obviously umoptimal as scum? Do the math yourself and see that saving kills for later days increases scum win odds
You're still talking about only math, which is not my strength, so I'll trust you, but kills are way more than that. Kills shape the game for scum. He'll, after N1 we had 3 people claiming PRs! One was a doc! Which do you think hurts scum chances more, letting that live or saving kills for a hypothetical end state?

You're trying to argue semantics rather than the realities of the game in a world where you imagine I'm scum.
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Post Post #4736 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:28 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

In post 0, Datisi wrote:


Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes

modded by Datisi | backup-modded by GeorgeBailey | reviewed by Not Known 15 and Gypyx


player list:
  1. catboi

  2. PookyTheMagicalBear

  3. Frogsterking

  4. fireisredsir
    Lukewarm

  5. Andante

  6. Mistyx
    Morning Tweet

  7. VP Baltar

  8. GuiltyLion

  9. Enchant
    The Bulge

  10. Dwlee99

  11. Cephrir

  12. Greeting

  13. Andresvmb
    *
  14. Cat Scratch Fever

  15. Menalque
    *
  16. Titus
    *
  17. Malakittens
    The Praetorian

  18. StrangeMatter

  19. Bell
bold = confirmed, asterisk = prod, strike = replaced


still talking:

Spoiler:
  1. PookyTheMagicalBear
  2. Andante
  3. Mistyx
  4. VP Baltar
  5. GuiltyLion
  6. Enchant
  7. Dwlee99
  8. Cephrir
  9. Cat Scratch Fever
  10. Menalque
  11. Titus
  12. Bell


explo-dead:

Spoiler:
  1. fireisredsir,
    DATS Inc. 1-shot bulletproof bodyguard
    ,
  2. catboi,
    DATS Inc. macho 1-shot daredevil innocent child
    ,
  3. Frogsterking,
    DATS Inc. intel master
    ,
  4. Malakittens,
    GB Inc. informed infiltrator
    ,
  5. Andresvmb,
    DATS Inc. simple doctor
    ,
  6. Greeting,
    DATS Inc. trainee
    ,
  7. StrangeMatter,
    DATS Inc. vanilla employee
    ,


events & votecounts:

Spoiler:
Math isn't semantics though
I prefer they, thanks :)
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Post Post #4737 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:29 am

Post by VP Baltar »

It is not the only factor. In fact, it isn't even always the most important factor when you're talking about a game involving humans.

So yeah, you're trying to make a semantic point about optimal play in a vacuum rather than the reality of this game.
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Post Post #4738 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:30 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

1.) The doc didn't need to be killed if scum weren't going to kill anyway, and also could be blown up (happened)
2.) The one kill that did go through was on someone who scumread you, exactly what you mean by "shaping gamestate"
3.) We don't know what scum informed knowledge is, but scum could know what PRs to be afraid of etc.
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Post Post #4739 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:30 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 4732, Dwlee99 wrote:Honestly baltar if you're town then Datisi is hard trolling us and I want out
He literally just told you it is possible! How this did not occur to you is wild af
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Post Post #4740 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:31 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

Yea but that is fucking troll idc if he is now telling me it's possible when I ask him if he did that it's literally evil and unbalanced as fuck
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Post Post #4741 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:32 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 4740, Dwlee99 wrote:Yea but that is fucking troll idc if he is now telling me it's possible when I ask him if he did that it's literally evil and unbalanced as fuck
How is it unbalanced?
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Post Post #4742 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:32 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

It's essentially 3 guaranteed scum mislims that's why
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Post Post #4743 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:33 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

In review surely someone would have said "hey this role that can just blow someone up goes against scum having limited night kills and will surely lead to an all-town hood being chain mislimmed right?"
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Post Post #4744 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:34 am

Post by Enchant »

VOTE: Dwlee99
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Post Post #4745 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:35 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 4742, Dwlee99 wrote:It's essentially 3 guaranteed scum mislims that's why
Not if someone looks at the switches and actually thinks about it for 5 seconds. This is what I mean by being intentionally obtuse
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Post Post #4746 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:37 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

In post 4745, VP Baltar wrote:
In post 4742, Dwlee99 wrote:It's essentially 3 guaranteed scum mislims that's why
Not if someone looks at the switches and actually thinks about it for 5 seconds. This is what I mean by being intentionally obtuse
But then everyone goes "no way someone is scum in the group kill kill kill"
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Post Post #4747 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:37 am

Post by Dwlee99 »

There should be a comma but I'm sure you understand what I mean
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Post Post #4748 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:38 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 4738, Dwlee99 wrote:1.) The doc didn't need to be killed if scum weren't going to kill anyway, and also could be blown up (happened)
2.) The one kill that did go through was on someone who scumread you, exactly what you mean by "shaping gamestate"
3.) We don't know what scum informed knowledge is, but scum could know what PRs to be afraid of etc.
1) if you're scum who want to kill ever, you need to kill the doc. Why would I as scum put a doc as a defuser to draw suspicion on myself rather than just kill them????
2) who hasn't scum read me, but yeah pretty fucking convenient that happens the night I'm about to get sussed hard.
3) how would scum know what PRs andante and greeting are?
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Post Post #4749 (ISO) » Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:38 am

Post by Enchant »

If scum can blow up everything, why they won't do it AT FIRST NIGHT FOR 4 MISELIMS?
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