First, on the setup:
1) We have pretty much confirmed multiscum; given the game size, I'd expect 9 scum overall (4 Discontinued, 4 unrevealed scumgroup, 1 SK - might also have neutrals ala Survivor or Lyncher), though 8 scum is not outside the realm of possibility (requires imbalanced scumgroups, and I would expect at least one neutral if this is the case).
This is hugely important; multiscum dynamics are different than singlescum (in particular, Selective Scumhunting is the supertell and IIoA is a weak tell, since scum in multiscum have every incentive to hunt for scum who aren't part of their group).
Also note that scum is VERY close to outnumbering town when taken together. Couple that with the number of dead power roles, and full massclaim is a very good idea.
2) Kills should correspond as follows:
- Chuckshot/Beaversticked are blatantly Discontinued kills, thanks to Korlash's flip.
- Electrocuted is likely the unrevealed faction's kill, given that this method was the missing method N1 (Mufasa claimed a protect on qwints, qwints still died, and I don't see a Mafia missing its chance to kill a cop).
- Erased is probably the SK kill, given the targets (why shoot poptajo or delathi?) and the consistent kill method.
Second scum, given the kill method, may be related to electronically created art or something similar (I'm starting to wonder if Man in Hat's investigation used to fourth wall to see if the target's comic had ended or not).
2) I'm increasingly sure that Percy AND roflcopter are scum (specifically, that Percy is Discontinued and roflcopter is from the unrevealed scumgroup).
- Percy's play has reminded me of his play in Suzumiya Haruhi since I double-checked late yesterday, and I specifically thought that Percy and Korlash seemed linked.
- Roflcopter has been looking for Korlash buddies exclusively (attacks Percy strongly and notes that hascow and Fishy are ringing his "buddy sense" - but I don't see any mention of scum that *aren't* linked to Korlash, despite the fact that he was strongly arguing that there were three scum kills last night!). THAT is a very good sign that he is, in fact, a member of that second scumgroup (Selective Scumhunting).
Other more likely than usual scum:
- hasdgfas: Intuition still says he's scum, and I've found it's a bad idea to discount my intuition even if it is sometimes wrong (see: Scotmany in Medieval, Vi in Mafia 87, Isacc in Mind Screw Gaiden for players my intuiting caught and who I decided weren't scummy when reading carefully). Given that he's been relatively noncommital (asking lots of questions, not focusing anywhere) and his interactions with poptajo late D1, I suspect he's our SK.
- SerialClergyman can only be from the unrevealed Mafia if he's not town; the question is whether rofl is buddying a townie or reinforcing a buddy.
- Sironigous reads a lot like he did in Majora's Mask, though I'm not sure which scumgroup he's most likely to come from.
- SensFan is likely Discontinued; both Korlash (confirmed Discontinued) and Percy (top suspect for Discontinued) reinforced SensFan's "Lamont is throwing **** and seeing where it sticks" comment D1, and I'm seeing Chainsaw Defense from Percy for SensFan D1 (in his TSS attacks) and classic distancing behavior towards SensFan ever since I made my case on him D2 (lots of "good case", but Percy never acts on it). If Percy flips Discontinued, SensFan is almost certainly Discontinued as well. Otherwise... I'm not sure which group he's in.
Who's town:
- MoS, Head Honcho (will not explain why yet).
- Vino (claim makes sense)
Given this:
Unvote, Vote: roflcopter
(Discontinued should be the same size as the unrevealed group at largest, so I'd rather lynch elsewhere today - either unrevealed group (closest to win condition assuming even scum split) or SK (removes a scum-controlled kill from the game).