Toy Story Mafia (Day 9)

Juls · Post Post #2200 (ISO) » Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:07 pm

Not if they end up being town. It looks like we have 2-3 scum in the bag but we may lose via modkills.

jmurph3 · Post Post #2201 (ISO) » Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:11 pm

At the moment only Ray looks at risk of being modkilled. 1 possible townie is worth the price of getting this game moving again and lynching us some scum.

bobsnox · Post Post #2202 (ISO) » Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:49 pm

Just lynch me already so you can nail the scum on my wagon.

Juls · Post Post #2203 (ISO) » Mon Sep 12, 2011 4:18 pm

Blonde Doctor - ???

bobsnox - Buzz Lightyear, Bulletproof, oh wait, JOAT

diddin - ???

farside22 - Alien, 3-way Vig
Flavour Analysis - Woody, JOAT
RandomActs - Cop with guilty on kunkstar
jmurph3 - Bullseye, Neighborizes Jessie or Woody
Juls - Vanilla Townie with Vengeful power
kunkstar7 - Ken, VT
NanookTheWolf - Alien, 3-way vig
PeregrineV - Big Baby Townie
petroleumjelly - Slinky Dog, VT

Ray Montano - ???

Rainbowdash - Alien, 3-way vig

SpyreX ???

SpyreX · Post Post #2204 (ISO) » Mon Sep 12, 2011 5:12 pm

Methinks someone just said that one of Blonde and Ray be scum at minimum.

RandomActs · Post Post #2205 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 2:38 am

@ Rainbow - THIRD time for this question: Are you committed to a Kunkstar vig tonight?

PeregrineV · Post Post #2206 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 6:05 am

Vote: Kunkster

I'm not going to leave this to the vig team that may or may not have scum on it.

And if the mod kills the spot instead of replacing, then so much the better.

NanookTheWolf · Post Post #2207 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 6:09 am

↑ PeregrineV wrote:
Vote: Kunkster

I'm not going to leave this to the vig team that may or may not have scum on it.

And if the mod kills the spot instead of replacing, then so much the better.

Do you believe Bobs to be less of scum? I think the vig team should be given a chance. We haven't been directed by anyone really, and I like the fact that it's out in the open as to who we should target. I don't have to worry about communicating in the QT with two other players who obviously have their own opinions as to who is scum. I would vote either one of my neighbors for not following suit on today's plan without hesitation. Believe me.

Rainbowdash · Post Post #2208 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 8:53 am

RandomActs wrote:@ Rainbow - THIRD time for this question: Are you committed to a Kunkstar vig tonight?

No cause im really going to vig anypony but whichever of bob/kunk we don't lynch today.

Modkill of Ray time. BD only has another 48 hours or so before he dies.

*yawn*

bobsnox · Post Post #2209 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 8:54 am

VOTE: bobsnox

RandomActs · Post Post #2210 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 8:58 am

Rainbowdash wrote:
RandomActs wrote:@ Rainbow - THIRD time for this question: Are you committed to a Kunkstar vig tonight?

No cause im really going to vig anypony but whichever of bob/kunk we don't lynch today.

Assuming we lynch bob today, I'm taking that as a "yes." Correct me if I'm wrong.

Rainbowdash · Post Post #2211 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 9:03 am

↑ RandomActs wrote:
Rainbowdash wrote:
RandomActs wrote:@ Rainbow - THIRD time for this question: Are you committed to a Kunkstar vig tonight?

No cause im really going to vig anypony but whichever of bob/kunk we don't lynch today.

Assuming we lynch bob today, I'm taking that as a "yes." Correct me if I'm wrong.

RandomActs · Post Post #2212 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 9:11 am

What's the matter, little pony? Horn envy?

NanookTheWolf · Post Post #2213 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 10:02 am

↑ bobsnox wrote:VOTE: bobsnox

Now that's a post of town right there,

Scott Brosius · Post Post #2214 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 10:13 am

Vote Count 4-4

bobsnox

(5)- NanookTheWolf, petroleumjelly, jmurph3, farside22, bobsnox,

Blonde Doctor

(0)-

diddin

(0)-

farside22

(0)-

Flavour Analysis

(0)-

jmurph3

(0)-

Juls

(0)-

kunkstar7

(1)- PeregrineV,

NanookTheWolf

(0)-

PeregrineV

(0)-

petroleumjelly

(0)-

Rainbowdash

(0)-

RandomActs

(0)-

Ray Montano

(0)-

SpyreX

(0)-

Not Voting

(9)- Blonde Doctor, diddin, Flavour Analysis, Juls, kunkstar7, Ray Montano, SpyreX, Rainbowdash, RandomActs,

With 15 alive, it's 8 to a lynch.

Deadline is Sept. 28th at 1pm EST.

Someone PMed me a few days ago asking to replace inHim. Now I could replace Ray, but I was pretty staunch about modkills earlier. Up to you guys. A modkill because of flaking does not end the day and the flip will occur with a lynch scene.

[/b]

[/quote]

PeregrineV · Post Post #2215 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 11:13 am

24 players, 6-8 mafia, 1 flip. Leaves 5-7 left. Out of 14 players, that's 36-50%

Actually taking out kunkster, 4-6 left, out of 13 players, that's 31-46% chance of randomly getting scum.

But until then it's 4:11, 5:10, or 6:9

diddin · Post Post #2216 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 11:20 am

There's no fucking way there are 8 Mafia in this setup.

PeregrineV · Post Post #2217 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 11:25 am

↑ diddin wrote:There's no fucking way there are 8 Mafia in this setup.

Going with what I'd played in before.

http://mafiascum.net/forum/viewtopic.ph ... 7#p3085757

How many are there?

Juls · Post Post #2218 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 11:26 am

@mod:

I would rather have replacements. Winning or losing based on modkills cheapens the game.

diddin · Post Post #2219 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 11:29 am

↑ PeregrineV wrote:
↑ diddin wrote:There's no fucking way there are 8 Mafia in this setup.

Going with what I'd played in before.

http://mafiascum.net/forum/viewtopic.ph ... 7#p3085757

How many are there?

That's multiscum, meaning more killing and more opportunity for crosskills=more scum.

jmurph3 · Post Post #2220 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 11:42 am

@Mod: I say if the person who asked to replace InHim can come in and post with 24 hours after you letting him/her know that they're in the game, then fine. If they can't, then please just modkill the slot. At this point, drawing the game out with replacements will only cause more people to flake.

RandomActs · Post Post #2221 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 11:57 am

The percentages don't quite apply because we have a number of players we perceive as solidly town or leaning town. By my count, 7 I don't consider Ray among that number. Even if there are as few as 5 scum left that leaves 3 neutrals/townies who have not distinguished themselves. Take away the 2 scum we've identified, and the odds come down to 3 to 3, or 50% chance. Of course if there are more than 5 scum left, the odds of hitting a scum go up.

I could be wrong and have scum hiding among my town reads. Nothing is for certain, but I thik the odds favor the town if we let the mod-kill go on.

Rainbowdash · Post Post #2222 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 11:59 am

↑ RandomActs wrote:What's the matter, little pony? Horn envy?

My little pony, you seem to think your ability to do parlor tricks somehow is better then flight, how naive.

I would like to see both Ray and BD modkilled here, but if we have a replacement we should take it. Both those slots are on very short lists though and have been since N2 for us vigs.

@jmurph/PJ

- unvote bob. I need to vote him for vigs to qualify still, and don't want to set up kunk for the hammer before we finish massclaim.

jmurph3 · Post Post #2223 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 12:08 pm

@Rainbowdash: As you wish. UNVOTE:

Blonde Doctor · Post Post #2224 (ISO) » Tue Sep 13, 2011 12:16 pm

First of all, wholey bugger, I'm so sorry. The blackouts last week fried my computer and I wasn't quite around over the weekend anyway, so it wasn't on my list of priorities to find a way to log in. I'm really sorry about that though, since obviously I should've...

SORRY MOD.

Second of all, I'm Bonnie, town (from Toy Story 3.

Third of all,

↑ diddin wrote:
↑ PeregrineV wrote:
↑ diddin wrote:There's no fucking way there are 8 Mafia in this setup.

Going with what I'd played in before.

http://mafiascum.net/forum/viewtopic.ph ... 7#p3085757

How many are there?

That's multiscum, meaning more killing and more opportunity for crosskills=more scum.

With three kills a night and only one accounted for town, how could you possibly assume that there's only one mafia group with limited mafia...