Open 521: Jungle Republic (Alright. We'll call it a draw)

[Alduskkel]

...you're the one who brought it up.

[Yggdra Union]

You were caring about mafia's benefit over town's benefit.
If you were town, you should've been agreeing with my plan regardless of mafia's benefit or not.
For all we know, I could've been trying to trick mafia to outing. (It would've been awesome if that was the case though. Sadly, it's not.)

-L

[Alduskkel]

I was pointing out why your plan wouldn't work.

[Alduskkel]

Let's talk about who the wolves are. I'm thinking Aeronaut, for starters.

[Aeronaut]

Let's talk about who the wolves are. I'm thinking Aeronaut, for starters.

What makes you think that?

[Yggdra Union]

I was pointing out why your plan wouldn't work.

And the town motivation of pointing out such thing is?
-L

[Alduskkel]

I was pointing out why your plan wouldn't work.

And the town motivation of pointing out such thing is?
-L

Just putting the information out there.

Let's talk about who the wolves are. I'm thinking Aeronaut, for starters.

What makes you think that?

TK was on three town wagons (Klick (TIP), Fuzzy, and ferret). Additionally, if elle is town (as I'm guessing she is, or at least not a wolf), then that means that you're scum with Om.

[Aeronaut]

So, I'm just catching up a little here.

1 Mafia Goons
-2 Werewolves
-3 Vanilla Townies

That's what's left right, or am I wrong?

[Alduskkel]

Right.

Did you read the game during Night 3?

[Alduskkel]

24 hours into the Day, I'm the only the one who has done any sort of wolf hunting. Also half the playerlist hasn't even shown up yet.

[Lord Mhork]

elleheathen and Om of the Nom are being prodded.

BOOMSHAKALAKA is being replaced as this will be his fourth prod.

EDIT:
I'm a moron. He's still on V/LA. He has 24 hours to post in thread or I will replace him.

[Om of the Nom]

Ugh, sorry, I've been busy.

I can see the wolves as Aero/elle and Ald is the last Mafia.
This is where I stand right now.

[Alduskkel]

elleheathen and Om of the Nom are being prodded.

BOOMSHAKALAKA is being replaced as this will be his fourth prod.

EDIT:
I'm a moron. He's still on V/LA. He has 24 hours to post in thread or I will replace him.

Not only that, but apparently elle is V/LA too.

[Lord Mhork]

I'm about to kick up a bitch storm... >.>

As she failed to post in thread her V/LA, the prod strike will remain. She has 48 hours to post in thread.

[Yggdra Union]

Sister has this in the bag.

And we pretty much have the same reads (though, Scum-alignment-wise I'm off)

Anyways I'm pretty much not needed here anyways.

Can relax now

-Aegina

[BOOMSHAKALAKA]

What are the odds of having success with an NL?
2 scenarios.
Wolf kills mafia, theres 2 wolf and 3 town with me and/or Yggdra being clear.
Wolf kills a townie, would we lose if its 2 wolves, 1 mafia and 2 town?

Because 2 out of 4 odds isnt comfortable for me atm.

But tomorrow theres a chance of 2 out of 3 or 2 out of 4. Still better odds ipright?

Idk, im not comfortable. But. I think we should look at people under the radar.

[Aeronaut]

What are the odds of having success with an NL?
2 scenarios.
Wolf kills mafia, theres 2 wolf and 3 town with me and/or Yggdra being clear.
Wolf kills a townie, would we lose if its 2 wolves, 1 mafia and 2 town?

Because 2 out of 4 odds isnt comfortable for me atm.

But tomorrow theres a chance of 2 out of 3 or 2 out of 4. Still better odds ipright?

Idk, im not comfortable. But. I think we should look at people under the radar.

I feel as if Nolynch is sort of a very risky move. While yea, we could potentially have the wolf kill the scum for us, They could also kill a town just as easily.

I also think that this post sounds like a wolfie that scared of being lynched.

VOTE: Boom

[Yggdra Union]

Except for that BOOM is confirmed not wolf.
-L

[elleheathen]

@mod: Sorry Mhork! Shoulda pm'ed you the v/la - my bad! D:

Catching up.

[BOOMSHAKALAKA]

Did you REALLY read up? Because if you did, you would know that the seer already claimed Im not a wolf.

Sounds like youre looking for a shitty reason to vote me. Why am I a "scared wolf" if I wanted to no lynch?

So youre probably the wolf, for trying to blame me as the wolf with the worst case.

But Im still waiting on people to tell me if nl is a good idea.

[Yggdra Union]

NL is pointless bc one of us is gonna die and we don't get new info.
-L

[Alduskkel]

No Lynch is a terrible idea because we potentially need the extra townie. Like so:
3T-2W-1M Lynch Werewolf, Townie dies
2T-1W-1M Lynch Werewolf
2-0-1 Lynch Mafia
Town win

Compared to:
3T-2W-1M No Lynch, Townie dies
2T-2W-1M Lynch Werewolf: If a Townie dies then the Mafia win. If the Mafioso dies, then:
2T-1W-0M Lynch Werewolf
Town win

Notice how in the second scenario we are relying on the Wolves to kill a Mafioso for us. I would rather not predicate our win on having the scum do something for us.

Additionally, if we no lynch now then we are not reducing our lynch pool because it is highly likely that one of the confirmed non-Werewolves will be killed; namely, YU or Boom.

@YU and elle: Who's your preferred lynch for today?

[Yggdra Union]

Aero
-Luciana

[Alduskkel]

I believe that means we have 4 people in favor of a Aeronaut lynch (Om, myself, you, and Boom).

[elleheathen]

Hasn't changed. It's still Ald over Aero.

In Krazy's first set of final reads he has me as a definite wolf and ald/aero as his potential wolves.
In Krazy's second set of reads, he narrows that down to say that he thinks someone on his wagon was wolf and puts it between ald/me.
I agree with this.

Unless one of them is bussing right now, I think it's Ald/Om for wolves.

But you have your 4 to lynch.