In post 2471, Skullduggery wrote:Is SK-Mastin shooting Cephrir unlikely simply because you think you were a bigger priority or do you have other reasons for suspecting that SK-Mastin would not have shot Cephrir?
I doubt SK mastin would lie about reads in the thread. If mastin thought Cephrir was scum, then I strongly doubt she'd SK him last night since that makes the game heavily townsided with only one more mafia left (probably) for town to find before moving on.
I also doubt mastin shoots Cephrir for reasons even mastin pointed out (self wifom ahoy): the Ceph kill looks like something mastin would make.
I think SK mastin would want to remove a threat. BRO and I are good at reading mastin and have been suspecting mastin. We've even hinted at having a PR. Our death wouldn't really be extremely traceable (imo) and mastin-SK would -probably- be looking to pick off a perceived town threat last night. Kind of speculation heavy on my end, but I think it all adds up to not-mastin.
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So I think there being mafia in the 5p neighborhood seems very likely for reasons laid out before. I'm fairly certain its not Sangres (town for Dan flavor reasons) or Mollie (town because its mollie). Gooner seems likely to not be mafia based on his one analysis post out the gates today which involved the Ceph flip. Not impossible, just unlikely IMO. That leaves Aegor or Skull for a mafia pick in all probability.
The serial killer Im a little sketch on, could see it being a few different people. SkullDuggery is (mostly) confirmed not the SK. I doubt mastin is (reasons above). I think Dan/Sangres are clear for flavor.
I think Skull flipping mafia might make zMuffin slightly likelier to be SK.
P-edit: Daww I miss you too.