Having said so;
This is something I saw float around and wanted to try out. Surely, couldn't mean anything, but it's what I wanted to try out this game. The early votes are people trying to start a wagon for one reason or another, ergo, they take the spotlight. Hammer doesn't happen this early, but even if, scum hammering the D1 mislynch would bring a lot of attention. So, if any scum want to be on an early wagon possibly headed for mislynch, then why not in the middle?
I wanted to keep this, because now that I'm talking about it, arguments around this are WIFOM.
Let's take a look at some of the third/fourth votes on wagons.
First case: Leeoon, 46. Really empty vote on Bu. "Going to agree with this" is a bit eh. Scum could want to hop onto such a wagon if it's there without valid reason anyway.
Case two: Seph, 54 on Leeoon. Also an empty vote, sorta kinda following Nero I guess.
Case 3: TIAM, 102 on TGP. Lurker vote transforming into a small wagon.
Case 4: Luca on Leeoon, 183 but this one is actually "re-igniting" an older wagon.
So, let me know what you think. Could be shit reasoning in y'all's opinion, if so feel free to ignore but hey, I tried, right?
Out of these 4 I think Leeoon is the most suspicious right now for the vote and for lack of great content, followed by Luca/TIAM then Sephiroth.