Open 421-Pamplona II: Electric Bullgaloo! Game over


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Post Post #1250 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 3:49 pm

Post by Bitmap »

Greywing wrote:So, just did some setup analysis for those of us who aren't entirely sure of what's going on :P.

These letters definitely were drawn during setup:
I (Inte.)
H (JD.)
R (McStab.)
PPP (Johnny, and two of Near/Gunny/Bit...most likely the first two.)

That leaves one letter which is either another P (if none of our PRs are lying) or a T (if one of the docs are lying.) That leaves us with one of two scum setups:

1 T = Mafia Goon, Mafia 1-Shot Bus Driver, Mafia JOAT, Serial Killer
0 Ts = Mafia Goon, Mafia 1-Shot Bus Driver, Mafia JOAT

The JOAT has a Roleblock, Ninja Kill and a Strongman Kill. Assuming again that Bit's telling the truth and that he protected McStab, the Strongman Kill is probably used up. McStab was most likely scum's #1 priority, and I can't see them using the Roleblock on Bit as it ran the risk of another Doc thwarting the kill. So, they still have Roleblock, Ninja Kill, and the Bus Driver on the table.


tl;dr: If there is an SK, Bitmap is lying and should be lynched. If there is not an SK, Bitmap is probably telling the truth and should be left alone is what Greywing is trying to say. There is still a possibility that both the mafia and theoretical SK targeted McStab causing the Strongman Kill not be used.
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Post Post #1251 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 3:59 pm

Post by Greywing »

Bitmap wrote:There is still a possibility that both the mafia and theoretical SK targeted McStab causing the Strongman Kill not be used.


You're right. I forgot that Doctors only protect against
one
kill attempt :? .
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Post Post #1252 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:05 pm

Post by Bitmap »

@Grey: Who should we lynch out of the VT pool in your opinion?
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Post Post #1253 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:08 pm

Post by Greywing »

Rach first. At least one of BK and Uber is scum as well, though I haven't made up my mind completely. I'm leaning slightly more towards BKscum.
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Post Post #1254 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:10 pm

Post by Bitmap »

@Grey: Do you think both RBD and Uber are town or do you believe that 1 of them is scum?
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Post Post #1255 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:19 pm

Post by Greywing »

RBD's Town. I don't know with Uber.

I'm slightly retracting my last comment. I don't think BK and Uber are scum together. The debate between them doesn't feel like bussing to me. If the scum team is you, Rach, and BK/Uber like I suspect, then the other is most likely the SK. If you're telling the truth about your role, then it's still Rach, BK/Uber and then I'm stumped.
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Post Post #1256 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:22 pm

Post by Bitmap »

@Grey: What makes RBD more townish than Uber?
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Post Post #1257 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:27 pm

Post by drmyshotgun »

Greywing wrote:RBD's Town. I don't know with Uber.

Oh really?
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Post Post #1258 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:29 pm

Post by Greywing »

I don't see scum going for the massclaim. While we've lost PR's, we've also gained a ton of information on the setup. Also, while I personally felt Inte was Town, he was acting oddly enough that I can understand why RBD found him scummy. Her reasoning for leading his lynch (wanting to prevent him leading a mislynch, as she had a scumread on him) was Town motivated.

Oh, and I don't trust Uber at all.

@Gunny: Really.
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Post Post #1259 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:31 pm

Post by Bitmap »

If we did hypothetically lynch Uber and he turned up town, would your scum read change?
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Post Post #1260 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:33 pm

Post by Greywing »

It would make it really easy: You, Rach, BK would be scum.
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Post Post #1261 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:34 pm

Post by Bitmap »

Greywing wrote:It would make it really easy: You, Rach, BK would be scum.


Even with no SK? Hmmm....
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Post Post #1262 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:34 pm

Post by drmyshotgun »

VOTE: GreyWing
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Post Post #1263 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:34 pm

Post by Bitmap »

If there is no SK, why would I be in that list?

VOTE: Greywing
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Post Post #1264 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:36 pm

Post by Near »

Bitmap wrote:
tl;dr: If there is an SK, Bitmap is lying and should be lynched. If there is not an SK, Bitmap is probably telling the truth and should be left alone is what Greywing is trying to say. There is still a possibility that both the mafia and theoretical SK targeted McStab causing the Strongman Kill not be used.


Do you think this is likely? I think I mentioned this before, but the likelihood of this happening is so theoretical that we can ignore this. I mean, do you assume scums to almost waste their kill by targeting the person who is most likely to be protected by claimed 3 doctors? Are you like scum who knows that one or more doctors are scums??
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Guys!! If RBD isn't scum, I'll video-record me eating my shoe and post it here!

Like, for REAL

Actually, I will hammer my cock.
That should be more fun.
I'll HAMMER my COCK and POST IT HERE.

RBD IS SCUM.
Lynch him and uncover the truth about RachMarie.

I'LL HAMMER MY COCK, MY BALLS, MY EVERYTHING.
RBD SCUM. ALL IN!!!!!!
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Post Post #1265 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:37 pm

Post by JohnnyFarrar »

Slow the hell down guys. Let others talk before just up and lynching him.
Phone posting. Low effort, big fun.
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Post Post #1266 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:37 pm

Post by Near »

Bitmap wrote:If there is no SK, why would I be in that list?

VOTE: Greywing


Because Greywing doens't get this.

Neither does Uber.
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Guys!! If RBD isn't scum, I'll video-record me eating my shoe and post it here!

Like, for REAL

Actually, I will hammer my cock.
That should be more fun.
I'll HAMMER my COCK and POST IT HERE.

RBD IS SCUM.
Lynch him and uncover the truth about RachMarie.

I'LL HAMMER MY COCK, MY BALLS, MY EVERYTHING.
RBD SCUM. ALL IN!!!!!!
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Post Post #1267 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:40 pm

Post by Bitmap »

Near wrote:
Bitmap wrote:
tl;dr: If there is an SK, Bitmap is lying and should be lynched. If there is not an SK, Bitmap is probably telling the truth and should be left alone is what Greywing is trying to say. There is still a possibility that both the mafia and theoretical SK targeted McStab causing the Strongman Kill not be used.


Do you think this is likely? I think I mentioned this before, but the likelihood of this happening is so theoretical that we can ignore this. I mean, do you assume scums to almost waste their kill by targeting the person who is most likely to be protected by claimed 3 doctors? Are you like scum who knows that one or more doctors are scums??


Consider it this way, Near. I'm a null read at this point to town but scum knows I am town. Why would they need to kill me? All they need to do is frame me and I would just get lynched and they would get an extra day to kill.
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Post Post #1268 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:42 pm

Post by Greywing »

Bitmap wrote:If there is no SK, why would I be in that list?

VOTE: Greywing


Yeah, you're right. So regardless, one of my Town reads is wrong.
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Post Post #1269 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:43 pm

Post by Near »

I am not proposing to lynch you today. I just find it amusing that you think scum targeted MS without using their stronghold kill or busdrive.

I still need someone to answer my bus-drive question. Anyone? Mod?
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Guys!! If RBD isn't scum, I'll video-record me eating my shoe and post it here!

Like, for REAL

Actually, I will hammer my cock.
That should be more fun.
I'll HAMMER my COCK and POST IT HERE.

RBD IS SCUM.
Lynch him and uncover the truth about RachMarie.

I'LL HAMMER MY COCK, MY BALLS, MY EVERYTHING.
RBD SCUM. ALL IN!!!!!!
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Post Post #1270 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:43 pm

Post by Near »

I express my support for Rach lynch. Thanks
Show
Guys!! If RBD isn't scum, I'll video-record me eating my shoe and post it here!

Like, for REAL

Actually, I will hammer my cock.
That should be more fun.
I'll HAMMER my COCK and POST IT HERE.

RBD IS SCUM.
Lynch him and uncover the truth about RachMarie.

I'LL HAMMER MY COCK, MY BALLS, MY EVERYTHING.
RBD SCUM. ALL IN!!!!!!
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Post Post #1271 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:44 pm

Post by Bitmap »

Near wrote:I am not proposing to lynch you today. I just find it amusing that you think scum targeted MS without using their stronghold kill or busdrive.


I think it was RBD who mentioned it but she said how there was a possibility that both SK and mafia could of targeted MS.
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Post Post #1272 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:47 pm

Post by Near »

Bitmap wrote:
Near wrote:I am not proposing to lynch you today. I just find it amusing that you think scum targeted MS without using their stronghold kill or busdrive.


I think it was RBD who mentioned it but she said how there was a possibility that both SK and mafia could of targeted MS.


I am not saying there is 0 probability. I also mentioned the possibility of it, way earlier but it's just not probable unless you think scums are retarded. Do you agree this can be effectively ignored?

You also know that it's possible that you are SK or scum, thus no one actually protected MS.
Show
Guys!! If RBD isn't scum, I'll video-record me eating my shoe and post it here!

Like, for REAL

Actually, I will hammer my cock.
That should be more fun.
I'll HAMMER my COCK and POST IT HERE.

RBD IS SCUM.
Lynch him and uncover the truth about RachMarie.

I'LL HAMMER MY COCK, MY BALLS, MY EVERYTHING.
RBD SCUM. ALL IN!!!!!!
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Post Post #1273 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:48 pm

Post by Greywing »

Near wrote:I express my support for Rach lynch. Thanks


Then let's do it.

VOTE: RachMarie
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Mafia
: 3-1
Independent
: 0-0
Overall
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Times Lynched
: 4
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Post Post #1274 (ISO) » Wed Aug 01, 2012 4:48 pm

Post by Bitmap »

Near wrote:
Bitmap wrote:
Near wrote:I am not proposing to lynch you today. I just find it amusing that you think scum targeted MS without using their stronghold kill or busdrive.


I think it was RBD who mentioned it but she said how there was a possibility that both SK and mafia could of targeted MS.


I am not saying there is 0 probability. I also mentioned the possibility of it, way earlier but it's just not probable unless you think scums are retarded. Do you agree this can be effectively ignored?

You also know that it's possible that you are SK or scum, thus no one actually protected MS.


Alright, but I'm town.
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