Page 8 of 17
Posted: Sat Jul 17, 2021 10:06 am
by gelsomina
In post 174, Xalxe wrote:Obviously very right, specifying "hundreds of millions" is an interesting choice, thoughts?
the 'hundreds of millions' part is probably to prevent us (read: me) from going 'well could be a scratchoff i guess' or something along those lines
is best guess for coverage 94? it seems like it would be, but maybe 96 to be safe,
Posted: Sat Jul 17, 2021 12:43 pm
by GuiltyLion
yeah, I have to think this is in the 90s range, it's hard to think of why this wouldn't be considered exciting contrasted to mundane. I'm not enough of a Wavelength Expert to know the finer points of 94 v 96, maybe my preference is 96 just to put the other team in a perhaps more difficult quandary of whether to go left or right? What do you all think?
Posted: Sat Jul 17, 2021 12:45 pm
by GuiltyLion
the width of the 4 point range is 5, right? Should we go 95+ just to cover our base in case it's 100? Do we think there's any chance of it being sub 90? My gut says no
Posted: Sat Jul 17, 2021 12:50 pm
by inutile
In post 177, GuiltyLion wrote:the width of the 4 point range is 5, right? Should we go 95+ just to cover our base in case it's 100? Do we think there's any chance of it being sub 90? My gut says no
98 is the highest it can be because the full 4 point scale has to fit as per the rules,
so guessing 96 always covers the very highest end of the scale
if i am understanding correctly
edit: ~ gelsomina
Posted: Sat Jul 17, 2021 12:54 pm
by gelsomina
so if this does not net us 4 points, if say, the intended number is 92, then the opponents always get the point as there is only left to guess,
Posted: Sat Jul 17, 2021 1:00 pm
by GuiltyLion
ah good call, I didn't pay close attention to the full 4 point scale fitting. So if we did 94 and it's 98, we'd get 3 points but better insurance coverage in case it's 92 or below. I still think 96 is probably the safer call to cover the very top end, I could imagine this being a clue for 98 and it's harder for me to think of good arguments for sub 90 (unless NSG is using like a super relative scale basing the top end in like supernova explosions or something) here. but that's just my vote
Posted: Sat Jul 17, 2021 1:20 pm
by gelsomina
it seems more likely that the intended target is 98 than 92 to me, 93 and 98 seem evenish to me though? so maybe between 95 and 96 as best guess to me
Posted: Sat Jul 17, 2021 2:11 pm
by Sirius9121
85?
Posted: Sat Jul 17, 2021 2:11 pm
by Sirius9121
its less exciting than skydiving without a parachute ig
Posted: Mon Jul 19, 2021 5:44 am
by GuiltyLion
hm, I dunno, it's hard for me to think of things that can more radically and completely change one's life than hundreds of millions of dollars outside of cataclysmic apocalypse tier events. I def don't wanna go any lower than 90 personally
Xalxe, any thoughts?
Posted: Mon Jul 19, 2021 6:07 am
by gelsomina
it is hard to imagine the intended target being lower than 90 here, thus making 92 the lowest guess that seems okay to me
probably 95, 94/96, 93, 92
would be my order of preference
(trying to maximize 4 point odds here due to point situation but please keep in mind that i am not good at this game so if anything doesn’t make sense to you just ignore it/me)
Posted: Mon Jul 19, 2021 11:57 am
by Xalxe
I have no strong feelings about 94 vs 96, y'all clearly know the intricacies of this better
I vote for whichever makes it harder for the other team to predict, I agree that it's definitely Very High.
Posted: Tue Jul 20, 2021 9:16 am
by Datisi
24 hours left bump
Posted: Tue Jul 20, 2021 9:18 am
by GuiltyLion
oh shoot I meant to post here in the morning and I forgot
I'm thinking 95 is best, please shout if any major objections otherwise I'll lock it in about 9-10 hours from now
Posted: Tue Jul 20, 2021 10:16 pm
by GuiltyLion
Posted: Wed Jul 21, 2021 12:13 am
by Datisi
oh?
card:
clue: winning hundreds of millions in the lottery
eight and a xalxe's guess of
95
scores 4 points, and shuts down ermine rainfall's opportunity for a left/right guess!
team eight and a xalxe
[10 points]
- Xalxe
- Sirius9121
- gelsomina
- northsidegal
- GuiltyLion
ermine rainfall
[8 points]
- lilith2013 (current representative)
- Menalque
- Farren
- Iconeum (psychic)
- Morning Tweet
sending a card to Iconeum. he may not post until the clue round is over.
Posted: Wed Jul 21, 2021 5:40 am
by Xalxe
HUZZAH
Posted: Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:53 am
by GuiltyLion
spot on, you love to see it!! great clue northsidegal!
Posted: Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:08 am
by gelsomina
Posted: Wed Jul 21, 2021 10:13 am
by northsidegal
yes!
really i think that i got tossed a softball there, usually whenever you get the extremes it's easier to indicate that than to indicate something else. i did deliberately try to signal slightly less than 100 though by making it hundreds of millions instead of saying, like, becoming a billionaire from the lottery (not that that really happens, but still).
Posted: Thu Jul 22, 2021 12:32 am
by Datisi
apologies for lateness, i overslept again
here's the card for
ermine rainfall
:
and the clue that your psychic, Iconeum, provided is:
Going swimming on a hot summer day with a good friend for the first time in 14 months, because corona-restrictions prevented it for so long
your team has
(expired on 2021-07-26 13:40:00) to guess where the target is. it’s now up to you to discuss and determine where
Going swimming on a hot summer day with a good friend for the first time in 14 months, because corona-restrictions prevented it for so long
is on the spectrum from 0 to 100. 0 represents “worthless” and 100 represents “priceless".
lilith2013
is your team’s current representative. remember to provide your final answer in this format:
guess: x
where x is between 0 and 100.
Posted: Thu Jul 22, 2021 1:19 am
by lilith2013
easy 95, right?
Posted: Thu Jul 22, 2021 3:53 am
by Farren
"Swimming" makes me wonder, though - not everyone knows how to swim.
Also "Good friend", not "best friend" or "SO".
Definitely high, but I don't think it's a 95. I'd think high 80s ... maybe low 90s?
Posted: Thu Jul 22, 2021 11:38 am
by Menalque
Posted: Thu Jul 22, 2021 2:47 pm
by Morning Tweet
That's a really good thing but i could probably think of more priceless if it needed to be almost 100
my guess is probably around 90