Was planning on using my last ability on SM tomorrow and removing a vote from either Gaiden / TSO - depending on a re-read.
NikPick V ¦ Game End
Forum rules
I leave it to the others to opinionate+vote. i dont have one
I apologize if certain words are misspelled. My sister got too liberal with liquid drinks near the laptop.
~Current number of pre-ins for Fire vs Ice Mafia: 0/6~
You never know what you've got until it's gone.
You can call me Fei, Feirei, or Kari.
You can call me Fei, Feirei, or Kari.
if we end up voting who and he flips town, you're next, so you better hope you're 100% sure he's scum.
I apologize if certain words are misspelled. My sister got too liberal with liquid drinks near the laptop.
~Current number of pre-ins for Fire vs Ice Mafia: 0/6~
You never know what you've got until it's gone.
You can call me Fei, Feirei, or Kari.
You can call me Fei, Feirei, or Kari.
- Regfan
- Regfan
-
Regfan
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5548
- Joined: June 30, 2009
- Location: Sydney, Australia
Klazam, I'll summarise it for you now that I'm at a computer;
SM is confirmed town. If Who is town then Gaiden / TSO are as well.
That means if Who is town mafia has to be 2 of [You/Me/MME]
If you're town (P sure you are and it's universally agreed upon too) that means if Who is town the scum have to be MME + Me.
If MME + Me are scum one of us has to be blue-scum, it's rather obvious neither of us are blue-scum therefore Who has to be scum.
SM is confirmed town. If Who is town then Gaiden / TSO are as well.
That means if Who is town mafia has to be 2 of [You/Me/MME]
If you're town (P sure you are and it's universally agreed upon too) that means if Who is town the scum have to be MME + Me.
If MME + Me are scum one of us has to be blue-scum, it's rather obvious neither of us are blue-scum therefore Who has to be scum.
Nah.
vote: regfan
"i have the sickest grossest feeling that even if it's my lynch today, my townflip still won't lead to a tso lynch, and then he'll find some bullshit way to reason either shooting or lynching gm tomorrow because if there's anyone who can strongarm a mislynch despite his reads or cases being proved wrong time and again it's tso"
-MarquisThis whole set-up is way too fucking convenient. I agree it's entirely possible Who is scum. I don't think MME needed to clear us.
"i have the sickest grossest feeling that even if it's my lynch today, my townflip still won't lead to a tso lynch, and then he'll find some bullshit way to reason either shooting or lynching gm tomorrow because if there's anyone who can strongarm a mislynch despite his reads or cases being proved wrong time and again it's tso"
-MarquisBut, I mean, we've got time. It would be great if Who would post more.
Why are people calling Who conftown again?
Why are people calling Who conftown again?
"i have the sickest grossest feeling that even if it's my lynch today, my townflip still won't lead to a tso lynch, and then he'll find some bullshit way to reason either shooting or lynching gm tomorrow because if there's anyone who can strongarm a mislynch despite his reads or cases being proved wrong time and again it's tso"
-MarquisAlso, yeah, Klazam could also be blue scum, because red had a JK + either Cop/RB/Doublevoter, and Shared Ascetic is somewhat shit.
"i have the sickest grossest feeling that even if it's my lynch today, my townflip still won't lead to a tso lynch, and then he'll find some bullshit way to reason either shooting or lynching gm tomorrow because if there's anyone who can strongarm a mislynch despite his reads or cases being proved wrong time and again it's tso"
-MarquisYour whole role is too convenient and it's just not town in its purpose.
But I'm not sure we'll lynch you anyway today so meh.
But I'm not sure we'll lynch you anyway today so meh.
"i have the sickest grossest feeling that even if it's my lynch today, my townflip still won't lead to a tso lynch, and then he'll find some bullshit way to reason either shooting or lynching gm tomorrow because if there's anyone who can strongarm a mislynch despite his reads or cases being proved wrong time and again it's tso"
-Marquis- Regfan
- Regfan
-
Regfan
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5548
- Joined: June 30, 2009
- Location: Sydney, Australia
Again what do mean by my role is 'convenient'? And my role has a few uses a) Garnering me more sway in terms of lynches ie. Town controls more votes in play, b) Ability to ensure that a town-read / town player gets sole control over a lynch as well as increasing the speed of the lynch to assist against the timer issue and c) Helping potentially get out of bad end-game situations where scum might have already won via removing their votes and handing it to a conftown player.
- My Milked Eek
- My Milked Eek
-
My Milked Eek
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4277
- Joined: December 27, 2007
- Location: Belgium
- Contact:
- My Milked Eek
- My Milked Eek
-
My Milked Eek
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4277
- Joined: December 27, 2007
- Location: Belgium
- Contact:
- My Milked Eek
- My Milked Eek
-
My Milked Eek
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4277
- Joined: December 27, 2007
- Location: Belgium
- Contact:
Having slept on it, let's look at it objectively:
1)A) He flips town, which means tso & gaiden are conftown:
This means we lynch klazam to end up with regfan-mme-(one of gaiden-tso-sm).
1)B) He flips red scum, regfan-mme become practically conftown
Giving us two days to find scum in klaz-gaiden-tso.
1)C) He flips blue scum, klaz becomes practically conftown
Giving us two days to find scum in 4 people. Giving us the worst LyLo situation where 3 from regfan-mme-gaiden-tso make it to 3pLyLo.
Personally, I think he's going to flip blue scum, purely for the fact that I don't think klaz is blue.
I'm pretty sure he's not going to flip red, which is sad because it's a better lylo situation.
Wild random thought:
Why? To work with the logic table above. Lynching in the possible blue suspects will give us more confirmed townies than lynching in red suspects.
2)A) he flips town:
who is confirmed as blue scum
D6 is lylo between 3 from regfan-mme-gaiden-tso
2)B) he flips red scum:
ehh wat?
regfan-mme become practically conftown
who is confirmed blue scum
sure win.
2)C) he flips blue scum:
who is conftown, as are gaiden, tso
Sure win.
Subjectively: lynching klaz gives us the better overall outcome. 2 scenarios lead to a sure win and one to a lylo that could happen in who's scenarios (blue who).
This is really counterintuitive, because of my townread on klazam, but lynching him gives us a better shot at winning.
Thoughts?
Code: Select all
red blue
regfan x push on f16 -> not blue
klazam x kill on nati -> not red
mymilkedeek x push on f16 -> not blue
who x two roleblockers in one team? -> not red
gaiden x x if who is scum scrap the appropriate column
tso x x if who is scum scrap the appropriate column
sm
1) Assuming we lynch who
1)A) He flips town, which means tso & gaiden are conftown:
Code: Select all
D5
red blue
regfan x
klazam x
mymilkedeek x
conftown
conftown
This means we lynch klazam to end up with regfan-mme-(one of gaiden-tso-sm).
1)B) He flips red scum, regfan-mme become practically conftown
Code: Select all
D5
red blue
klazam x
gaiden x
tso x
conftown
conftown
Giving us two days to find scum in klaz-gaiden-tso.
1)C) He flips blue scum, klaz becomes practically conftown
Code: Select all
D5
red blue
regfan x
mymilkedeek x
gaiden x
tso x
conftown
Giving us two days to find scum in 4 people. Giving us the worst LyLo situation where 3 from regfan-mme-gaiden-tso make it to 3pLyLo.
Personally, I think he's going to flip blue scum, purely for the fact that I don't think klaz is blue.
I'm pretty sure he's not going to flip red, which is sad because it's a better lylo situation.
Wild random thought:
lynching klaz:
Why? To work with the logic table above. Lynching in the possible blue suspects will give us more confirmed townies than lynching in red suspects.
2)A) he flips town:
who is confirmed as blue scum
Code: Select all
D5
red blue
regfan x
mymilkedeek x
who x
gaiden x x
tso x x
D6 is lylo between 3 from regfan-mme-gaiden-tso
2)B) he flips red scum:
ehh wat?
regfan-mme become practically conftown
Code: Select all
red blue
who x
gaiden x x
tso x x
conftown
conftown
who is confirmed blue scum
sure win.
2)C) he flips blue scum:
who is conftown, as are gaiden, tso
Code: Select all
red blue
regfan x
mymilkedeek x
conftown
conftown
conftown
Sure win.
Subjectively: lynching klaz gives us the better overall outcome. 2 scenarios lead to a sure win and one to a lylo that could happen in who's scenarios (blue who).
This is really counterintuitive, because of my townread on klazam, but lynching him gives us a better shot at winning.
Thoughts?
Eek
!
- Regfan
- Regfan
-
Regfan
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5548
- Joined: June 30, 2009
- Location: Sydney, Australia
↑ My Milked Eek wrote:Subjectively: lynching klaz gives us the better overall outcome. 2 scenarios lead to a sure win and one to a lylo that could happen in who's scenarios (blue who). This is really counterintuitive, because of my townread on klazam, but lynching him gives us a better shot at winning.
Not for it. Don't see Klazam as scum and not interested in mslynching here + think your scenario ignores several situations that might occur if either of the scum left have an ability up their sleeves like double-kill or governor ability (Which would fit in twilight type games). Better of just lynching surefire scum; Who.
- My Milked Eek
- My Milked Eek
-
My Milked Eek
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 4277
- Joined: December 27, 2007
- Location: Belgium
- Contact:
thats what i thought was going to happen.
Will not advocate/support a klazam lynch if Who flips Blue.
Preferred lynching order if Who flips Blue is Gaiden, then Who. Regfan is near conftown because his last few posts have literally comes from a town mindset.
Being a stump is helping my confidence in mafia. This has literally been the most involved I've been in a game. I'll be sad when it ends.
Will not advocate/support a klazam lynch if Who flips Blue.
Preferred lynching order if Who flips Blue is Gaiden, then Who. Regfan is near conftown because his last few posts have literally comes from a town mindset.
Being a stump is helping my confidence in mafia. This has literally been the most involved I've been in a game. I'll be sad when it ends.
I apologize if certain words are misspelled. My sister got too liberal with liquid drinks near the laptop.
~Current number of pre-ins for Fire vs Ice Mafia: 0/6~
You never know what you've got until it's gone.
You can call me Fei, Feirei, or Kari.
You can call me Fei, Feirei, or Kari.
- Regfan
- Regfan
-
Regfan
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5548
- Joined: June 30, 2009
- Location: Sydney, Australia
I'm leaning TSO > Gaiden if Who flips blue - TSO pulling Who out of the lynch pool yesterday / not explaining it when asked has a lot of scum motivation towards it, TSO!Scum would know that Who is the other scum-team given the fake innocent on himself and I can see him wanting to use that as reasoning for not being lynched + I think at this point in the game the scum would have to somewhat work together to get themselves to the end game and his slide onto me today while again ignoring Who fits that. There's also the fact that I find his reasoning of "your role is too convenient" as reasoning for voting me to not make a smidge of sense given my role has been something that's been known for the entirety of the game making the timing for it making me scum now as opposed to before nonsensical.