Mafiascum.net

In post 2346, Blair wrote:2290 contains three theories, all of which include Dunnstral in their solves.

Yet you're theorizing that it's ridiculous to lynch him at the exact same time?

As for claiming yesterday, I explained exactly why I was against it, and then I immediately supported it after Dunnstral's claim (even as you continued claiming everyone was opposed to claiming).

Meanwhile, you never explained why your plan to massclaim and then no lynch was optimal, instead repeatedly referencing some Mith post from an unrelated game that you never actually pointed us to.

In post 2350, Tuxedo Mask wrote:Yeah, I thought they would, but was paranoid he'd be most likely to carry out the NK (especially if it was someone like Freddie) so I probably wasted N3 by double-checking you. This is my first time playing a PR, and Jailkeeper is a confusing one.

In post 2352, Blair wrote:I won't pretend to not be disappointed. I'm having a hard time wrapping my head around that weird series of posts if you're town, but you are, so it is what it is.

So I was right the first time. Nauci pushing Dunnstral out the gate was setting Dunnstral up for his fake claim.

This is also why I wanted Nauci to claim first. Tuxedo was softing yesterday.

Sorry, Battle Mage. Even if Tuxedo were lying, you would still be town.

In post 2171, Nauci wrote:

In post 2111, Blair wrote:

In post 2107, Tuxedo Mask wrote:Scum pair is Dunnstral and Battle Mage, they came into MYLO with an agenda they are pushing hard. Do not lynch Blair. If isn't Battle Mage it's Alortom.

If you believe scum came into MYLO with an agenda for this exact scenario... wouldn't it make sense for Nauci to be a potential partner, too?

It's like the whole thing was scripted. Dunn comes in crying about how we're about to lynch him when only Nauci was suggesting that. Almost like the plan was for her to hard bus him out the gate so he could claim "under pressure." They either win by mislynching me today or Nauci wins by virtue of their hard distancing in the next phase.

This is a ridiculous level of paranoia. I'm the only person who has been trying to get the Lilith/Dunn slot examined closely and/or lynched since the beginning of Day 2 while most people were letting it coast

I have no idea why he claimed so fucking early and I am extremely skeptical of it but like... literally YOU of all people know EXACTLY why I think the quickhammer meant he was basically confscum to me

I have no idea why he claimed so fucking early

Tuxedo Mask wrote:Was the NK just to narrow the POE on BM, or was the scum team (based on Dunn's actions) that convinced Votato's slot was a PR. Maybe we could find similar assumptions in Nauci and Blair's ISOs?

In post 2227, Tuxedo Mask wrote:

In post 2225, Dunnstral wrote:

In post 2224, Tuxedo Mask wrote:Are you claiming that you tracked Blair to Alortrom last night so they must be the roleblocker?

YES

Lets end this battle.

VOTE: Dunnstral

In post 2232, Blair wrote:It all makes sense now.

Stick a fork in this game, folks - it's done!

In post 2317, Tuxedo Mask wrote:We should probably no lynch, right?

In post 2320, Battle Mage wrote:If anybody had any doubt, Dunnstral's parting words SCREAM Blair-scum.

In post 2366, Tuxedo Mask wrote:Wait town just wins? Scum don't have a Roleblocker. So we lynch Blair or Nauci and JK the other at night and lynch them tomorrow.

In post 2367, Tuxedo Mask wrote:Just thought of something. Nauci if you're the Tracker claim VT, if you claim Tracker we're lynching you first.

In post 2369, Nauci wrote:

In post 2320, Battle Mage wrote:If anybody had any doubt, Dunnstral's parting words SCREAM Blair-scum.

O_O

I had the almost opposite reaction, that he self hammered so you wouldn't have to explain why you were sure he was scum and still needed to NL

In post 2321, Blair wrote:

In post 2317, Tuxedo Mask wrote:We should probably no lynch, right?

The answer is... it depends.

If we lynch today:

3 Townies
1 Scum

Pros:

Scum can't quickhammer and win the game as soon as one Townie votes for another Townie. Two Townies have to vote wrong (together) for Scum to quickhammer and win.

Cons:

Each Townie has three potential suspects, meaning a random vote has only a 33% chance of hitting scum.

If we No Lynch today and lynch tomorrow:

2 Townies
1 Scum

Pros:

Each Townie has only two potential suspects, meaning a random vote has a 50% chance of hitting scum.

Cons:

Scum can quickhammer and win as soon as just one Townie votes for another Townie.

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In my opinion, we should mass claim today and then decide.

Why? Because the cons of lynching today only apply if we are voting "randomly." If the mass claim gives us enough information to lynch non-randomly, then we should lynch today, while we have more townies and it is harder for scum to steal the win.

If the mass claim doesn't reveal anything to us and our lynch still feels effectively random, then we should no lynch and put it off until tomorrow, when our odds for a random scum lynch are better.

I've already claimed, so I nominate my top scumread to claim next:

Battle Mage

In post 2323, Blair wrote:(I'll support everyone claiming as soon as the previous claim has nominated them, but let the record show my preferred claim order is: Battle Mage, Nauci, Tuxedo)