How does the SK flip? Just as "serial killer", or with the chosen immunity? I prefer the former.
Does the Godfather have some kind of immunity? Also, if he dies, I guess just any scum can kill?
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 4:44 am
by Hoopla
The Godfather is immune to the Cop investigation. We don't really ever use Godfather in the sense of having to perform the kill.
Giving the SK a choice of 1-shot BP or Investigation immunity is probably a more balanced choice. I don't know how it should flip - it's probably largely inconsequential in this setup.
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 5:18 am
by Hoopla
Another thought: I think Weak MD should be given another VT to take it to 14 players like Near Vanilla did. Two PR's (especially one's that can die by themselves) is too low for 13p - the town needs security against a town role dying costing them a mislynch.
I really like this setup (or rather, the idea behind it), however, it is broken and very town-favored. Also, setups like this one have a tendency to stifle scumhunting in favor of logic puzzling.
As a replacement, I propose the following 9 player setup:
2 Mafia Goons
1-3 Sane Cops
1-3 Insane Cops
1-3 Paranoid Cops
1-3 Naive Cops
Day start. Generate setup by generating a seven-letter string of S, I, P, and N (every letter with an equal probability) and insert roles as by the letters. Throw out and generate a new string if the setup would be illegal.
Not necessary to have both Quack and Quack Multiball. If you want to keep it, same as for Quack Mafia.
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 6:34 am
by Cogito Ergo Sum
Re: Mayo Clinic: I still think adding a docblocker works fine to counteract mass claim strategies and doesn't change the set-up noticeably.
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 6:45 am
by izakthegoomba
So you mean,
1 Mafia Doctor
1 Mafia DocBlocker
1 Mafia Goon
1 Compulsive Bulletproof Serial Killer
2 Compulsive Vigilantes
6 Doctors
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 9:10 am
by BBmolla
I was gonna argue, but actually, yeah that fixes it for the most part. At least until he dies.
My only concern with changing one role is that it fixes the breaking strategy unless they get lynched/killed d1.
Maybe add a Macho Doctor as well. Or even make one of the Vigs Macho.
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 9:37 am
by Cogito Ergo Sum
That's the set-up I had in mind, yes.
↑BBmolla wrote:My only concern with changing one role is that it fixes the breaking strategy unless they get lynched/killed d1.
While true in general, I do think it's sufficient here. The breaking strategy just isn't that robust and this way the mafia really do have two outs - the Mafia Doctor and the Docblocker.
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 10:34 am
by izakthegoomba
As far as I can tell my suggestion makes it work, but I'd be a bit sad if I was the single Mafia Goon.
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 10:46 am
by Mr. Flay
I hate Assassin in the Palace, but it's very popular to just be binned by one thread.
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 11:14 am
by Magua
I believe the binning is because Assassin in the Palace's optimal strategy is "Bandwagon the very first vote in a Day, absolutely no talking"
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 11:19 am
by izakthegoomba
Yeah, AitP has to go. So long as the town is sensible, you may as well roll dice to see who wins.
Posted: Wed Oct 19, 2011 1:36 am
by izakthegoomba
Also, on Picking Simplicity:
As we're talking about Godfathers in the Inv-Immune sense, I think having two ways to give the Cop a false result (Godfather and potentially Inv-Immune SK) is too many for a setup which prides itself on being simple. Four Goons is probably enough to deal with the other factions; if not, give them a Rolecop or RB or something.
Posted: Wed Oct 19, 2011 11:35 am
by callforjudgement
Turns out that the week or so of effort I put into breaking Picking Simplicity relied on the SK being bulletproof as well as inv-immune, and it isn't. It was a pity, too; it was quite a nice breaking strategy. (It might still be salveageable, but it seems much less likely to persuade the SK to go along with it than in the bulletproof version.) The strategy itself, incidentally, involved an outed cop with a hidden doctor and SK, with the SK's kills being directed by the town, the cop acting like a Kingmaker-style King that only nominated players who he didn't have results on for the lynch or SK kill, and people claiming before being lynched/SK killed, with VTs occasionally fakeclaiming Doctor with a small probability. The idea is that the cop tries to keep as many confirmed players alive as possible and confirm more, revealing all after the Doctor dies, at which point connection analysis should help catch all the remaining groupscum, and planning to eliminate all the groupscum before the SK gives the SK an advantage compared to town's typical strategy (hunting the SK first), which should be enough to persuade them to go along with it. With the SK not bulletproof, though, the SK's win chances under the strategy become much lower, to the extent that it would be hard to persuade them to play ball unless they were found early.
I wouldn't call inv-immune SK a "false result" for the Cop, incidentally. Innocent is the result that the cop probably wants on the SK in that sort of game, at least in the earlier stages, and he probably won't be alive later.
Like most breaking strategies involving claims, giving the Mafia a Roleblocker tends to be a simple way to break the strategy without changing the game too much in the case where people don't claim. I suppose the minimal change would be a Roleblocker who only blocked Cops, but that's not a trivially simple role…
Posted: Wed Oct 19, 2011 11:49 am
by izakthegoomba
A much better way in general is to replace the Doc that would be following the Cop with a Jailkeeper. And an SK is an anti-town role, so an innocent result on one IS a false result, regardless of what the Cop might want.
Does anyone have a problem with this?
Posted: Wed Oct 19, 2011 11:54 am
by callforjudgement
JK is more useful as an investigative than a protective role IMO, so it might make quite a difference to the playstyle. Not sure what it does to the balance, though.
Posted: Wed Oct 19, 2011 12:26 pm
by izakthegoomba
JK is unlikely to be much use investigating. There's five scum, and even when the JK hits one, there's a good chance that one wasn't killing that night. It's not worth the risk of accidentally stopping a cross-kill.
A Jailkeeper is a bit weaker than a Doctor. It's main function is to prevent Follow the Cop; sure, the Cop can claim and ask to be followed but if the JK does so, the Cop is just a BP Townie.
So I think it's pretty balanced. Maybe I'll do an EV if I get time.
callforjudgement, are you an alt? Or did you play elsewhere or something?
Posted: Wed Oct 19, 2011 12:40 pm
by Cogito Ergo Sum
Jailkeeper is probably better off protecting in that set-up, yeah, at least at first.
town's typical strategy (hunting the SK first)
That's not town's typical strategy.
Posted: Wed Oct 19, 2011 11:54 pm
by callforjudgement
↑izakthegoomba wrote:callforjudgement, are you an alt? Or did you play elsewhere or something?
I'm not an alt. I've played quite a bit of Mafia elsewhere, though.
EDIT: Re CES, I believe that hunting the SK first is considered the best town strategy in Picking Simplicity, based on the games of it that I've read. A hidden SK that isn't helping the town is incredibly dangerous; and the SK's optimal strategy is to align fully with the town once forced to claim (and to claim SK, rather than fake-claim).
Posted: Thu Oct 20, 2011 12:57 am
by izakthegoomba
But if SK and Town team up and beat the Mafia, what happens next? Happily ever after?
Posted: Thu Oct 20, 2011 1:00 am
by Cogito Ergo Sum
Hidden SKs aren't sufficiently anti-town that one would change their scumhunting strategy - the correct strategy is simply to look for scum. And most SKs will just claim Townie and try to get away with it - claiming SK means you have a negligible chance of winning and that's really only if you've picked bulletproof. The SK would also never fully align with the town - he needs one scum to remain alive right up until the end.
P-edit: no, the town wins and the SK loses.
Posted: Thu Oct 20, 2011 1:04 am
by izakthegoomba
So, no SK in their right mind would team up with the town.
Posted: Thu Oct 20, 2011 3:29 am
by callforjudgement
An SK who claims VT at L-1 is probably going to get lynched. Almost certainly, in fact. That's never good strategy as an SK.
An SK who claims SK, the town generally makes the following deal: "If you act exactly as we tell you every night, then if the game goes to a 1:1:1 endgame, we'll allow you to win over the Mafia." (With a bulletproof SK, a town win in 1:1:1 is impossible, but town gets to choose who wins.) "If you don't act exactly as we tell you, then if the game goes to a 1:1:1 endgame, we'll let the Mafia win." As town can't win in either scenario (again, if the SK is bulletproof; with a non-bulletproof SK they can use Prisoner's Gambit, no-lynching in the hope that scum will be prisoner's-dillemmaed into a crosskill), they have no reason not to agree to throw the game to a specific faction in advance in order to gain an advantage if the 1:1:1 endgame doesn't happen, and a known SK can only win via a 1:1:1, 2:1:1, or similar unwinnable-for-town endgame. 1:1:1 is also at least drawable with a non-bulletproof SK without Town's help (optimal scum strategy there is to lynch the townie then crosskill each other for the draw; the townie will be obvious as their only chance to win will be to try to force a no-lynch).
If the SK isn't bulletproof, it's possible that they'll consider taking the risk of claiming VT (at L-1 with a threatened hammer) and hoping they aren't lynched immediately, above taking the risk of allowing themselves to be directed by town and hoping for a 1:1:1 anyway; the first option potentially leads to a win, the second at best a draw. That's what I meant by saying that the SK would be unlikely to help town if not bulletproof. However, the reason a player is forced to claim is that they'll be hammered if they don't claim a power role (a player's best strategy if they
won't
be is to not claim at all), so the SK claiming VT seems a bit unlikely there, and in fact I think it's playing against their win condition. They should claim SK, and follow the town's direction until lylo (to avoid being lynched to avoid the erratic SK behaviour), and simply hope that the town's direction of them is bad enough to get to 1:1:1…