Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 10:38 pm
FourTrouble wrote:I disagree that 383 didn't look informed. Syryana made the basis of her case on CES some WIFOM-filled analysis about how CES is still alive, and that is not something I see coming from a town POV because it means Syryana is assuming CES is scum as a starting point. Town don't assume anything because they are uninformed whereas scum tend to make assumptions about alignments when making their cases because they already know the alignment of everyone.
I really couldn't disagree more. Assumptions are the bread and butter of this game; you can't make any decisions without making assumptions about
something.
Look at Drunk and Disorderly up there. They've been waffling the whole game, since they keep WIFOMing themselves into paranoia about everyone thanks to a lack of assumptions about anyone. But this is really an MD discussion; I'll get to my point.I never assumed CES to be scum. After sorting through those 14 pages of fluff'n'stuff when I replaced in, I made some reads based off what I saw and my intuition. Here's what I got:
Sotty7: Townread. There was generic townieness to her posts, but what really got me was the frustration she showed when people started dismissing or shitting on her reads. I think it's super hard to formulate something like that when scum; granted I don't know Sotty well enough to meta that out of her, but it's just really hard to manufacture something like that.
Drunk and Disorderly: Weak townread. This one was pretty much a gutread. I liked how they ask people questions and analyze the answers. I degraded this to weak because of a post they made in twilight along the lines of "If I die tonight, here are my thoughts", because in games I've played in the past this almost universally turned out to be a scumtell. Could be just a paranoia hangup, which is why they got degraded to weak townread instead of scumread. I'd like to hear more of their opinions though, rather than watching them ask everyone else questions.
JasonT1981: Null. He lurked, he voted Whiskers, that's pretty much it. Didn't have enough information to make a decision, so I ignored him.
Nacho: Slight gut scumread. He seemed pretty logical and I agreed with some of his points (namely about jason), but he just had some odd statements. Like making himself a threat to CES as scum, his rigorous defense of RachMarie. Just didn't sit quite right with me.
FourTrouble: My opinion on you morphed from townread to scumread the further I got through the thread. Initial town gut call on the RachMarie ragefest, but I didn't like how vague you were when explaining your reasoning on your reads. I also didn't like how quiet you got after the Sixty fight. I ended up picking you over Nacho to be CES's scumpartner in my argument thanks to the timing of your L-1 and CES's hammer.
CES: Null. Shocking, I know, that I should have a null read on CES. My argument on him arose from mental WIFOM regarding his quickhammer and the fact that he's not dead yet. I won't rehash the argument, but after I figured CES had to either be horrendously misinformed and way off on the scum, or an evil genius playing gambits to fool the other veterans. I went with the evil genius.
So that's the thought process which spawned my argument for CES/FT scum. I'll probably post some more thoughts after we hear back from D+D and more importantly after I sleep.
FourTrouble wrote:I do think CES is town though and on the right track in terms of finding Syryana's partner. Dazed and Confused is still town. Sotty is still town too but I have my doubts creeping in.
Why do you think CES is town? And what's causing doubts about Sotty?