Open 815: Forest Fire Redux [Endgame]
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and also that we have no info from NK because scum just prepares for them
A perfect scum game is:
Day 1 - 2v7
Day 2 - 2v7 (actually 5 — 1 primed, 1 stumped)
Day 3 - 2v7 (actualy 3 or MYLO — 2 primed, 2 stumped)
Day 4 - Scum win, without giving away any associative
so our best bet is to get our elim right and force an early burning so that we can get info. am I getting this right?- humaneatingmonkey
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Page 6. From the get go, I don't believe that Infinity's reads are genuine. She makes these reads but I don't believe her process. First example is her read on Prism as town, but it's barely obvious what's town about Prism at the time she made that read and I don't buy her current explanation when I asked her. Another example is in #125 - reads Ydrasse as scum because she expects deeper out of Ydrasse but it's page 6 and we've only begun to escape RVS at this point. Oh, and then she votes Hectic even though it's also not apparent that Ydrasse has stopped doing what she thought was scummy.- humaneatingmonkey
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In post 142, Prism wrote:I feel pretty good about Lukewarm being town after 139. I skimmed the marathon run of Guardians and they feel more comfortable here. In Guardians they stuck strictly to mechanics for the first half of the game and only gradually dipped into giving reads or meaningful feedback.In post 144, Prism wrote:We are talking about two different games. Lukewarm was scum in the recent Marathon run of Guardians.
see here: Prism is talking about her reads and Infinity jumps on this with an agreement — but they're talking about different games. It doesn't seem like an actual evaluation happened here, just an opportunity to piggyback a read.In post 145, Infinity 324 wrote:Oh I didn't read your post close enough
I'n hesitant to use marathon meta, but I agree with your assessment- humaneatingmonkey
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Prism is townIn post 159, Prism wrote:
I don't buy this.In post 148, Hectic wrote:Prism - Lot of analysis and some meta. Good content but nothing I explicitly townrwad and that isn't fakeable for her. Tone is notably different but she says she's trying a different approach. Probably weakest townread on here
You have clearly seen me fake the freewheeling, joking tone (in the vein of non-tilted Costello or me at my most lighthearted in Chara's Folly) in Flying Scumsman. You have seen this sort of intentionality and sharper focus repeatedly, dating back to your first experience with me on Replica, continuing through Folly, with flashes of it in Binding of Isaac.
I have repeatedly done things to sort players both actively and preemptively. I find it unlikely that these take a backseat in your mind in favor of tone.- humaneatingmonkey
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Either I'm not understanding Infinity's process at all or she doesn't have one because this does not follow. Maybe she can explain?In post 174, Infinity 324 wrote:
UNVOTE:In post 171, Hectic wrote:You don't understand the dark history Prism and I have, Infinity. We were both town in Chara's Folly and her 100 page long push still keeps me up at night
This makes that post lean town for me- humaneatingmonkey
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I agree, but I empathize with Prism that Hectic is possibly a player you want to give early attention to so you can sort them. Although I'm confused that Prism keeps mentioning she sees Infinity as scummy as well but doesn't pressure her as much as she's pressuring Hectic at this point of the game.In post 198, Fidget wrote:Prism and Hectic's battle pings me as though one of them is forcing it although that is still more or less a guess.- humaneatingmonkey
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in this example, as well as my other examples, it appears to me that you don't really have your own reads/you're faking them because it's not obvious to me that there's a process thereIn post 717, humaneatingmonkey wrote:Not sure how to read Hectic because he intimidates me as a player and I'm inclined to just assume he's scum, but his response to Prism's pressure Page 8 is towny- humaneatingmonkey
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EBWOP
in this example, as well as my other examples, it appears to me that you don't really have your own reads/you're faking them because it's not obvious to me that there's a process thereIn post 718, Infinity 324 wrote:
I don't understand how this is AI at all since I didn't agree with prism's original assessment of luke's meta, just the conclusionIn post 710, humaneatingmonkey wrote:see here: Prism is talking about her reads and Infinity jumps on this with an agreement — but they're talking about different games. It doesn't seem like an actual evaluation happened here, just an opportunity to piggyback a read.- humaneatingmonkey
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Infinity I'm doing a catch-up so I'm gonna be living in the past and rushing to put my impressions out there. i'm not gonna be focused on grilling you because the answer can be found in further pages. but you can mount your rebuttals as early as now.
start with this maybe. how is it that you read it as might be scum, but not scummy?In post 210, Infinity 324 wrote:I think prism's play recently fits much more cleanly into a scum trying to look town mindset, but to call it scummy would be a stretch.- humaneatingmonkey
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Also where did this come from?In post 722, Infinity 324 wrote:You don't seem super eager to engage here, which is fine with me but isn't going to help you sort me.- humaneatingmonkey
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Oh see you've answered it. How is this similar to your current answer that the town mindset is too believable? How do you judge that a town mindset is too believable?In post 222, Infinity 324 wrote:
Basically I'm saying her play is less towny than earlier but it could easily come from town so I don't really think it's scummy per seIn post 219, T3 wrote:
I might be misunderstanding this, but you say it is scum but it's not scummy?In post 210, Infinity 324 wrote:I think prism's play recently fits much more cleanly into a scum trying to look town mindset, but to call it scummy would be a stretch.- humaneatingmonkey
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that's confusing because all I've done was quote specific postsIn post 731, Infinity 324 wrote:721 is not written in a way I can engage with, you don't go into specifics or anything- humaneatingmonkey
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oof my townread of Prism fell several stories after this post. coloring Hectic as desperate and crying feels scummyIn post 227, Prism wrote:The last line of 226 reads as desperate and I'm inclined to gladiate this, but I have a very bad tendency of keeping things going. Crying about context and not appreciating exactly how I am using the the difference -even if my conclusion is hypothetically wrong-also reads poorly.
I will take the time and consolidate my issues/stance in a single post if I still feel this way in a few hours.- humaneatingmonkey
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this is townIn post 243, Lukewarm wrote:
My question was if he thought scum!you would push a fake read so aggressively so early in the game.In post 242, Prism wrote:Simpler restatement of 240: Debating the motivation for something I'm not doing in the first place is stupid.
Both his read on you and your counter read on him appear to be meta based, and because I was not a part of any of these game being talked about, it is hard for me to personally look at them and parse how genuine or fake they are.
So, instead I am looking at how you have acted in this thread. And here, you have presented a read, and then fought for it very aggressively.
Having never played a game with you, I am comparing your actions to a baseline of how I would expect scum and town to act in the thread. And from that baseline, you pushing this hard seems more likely to be coming from a town who truly believes it, then from a scum who faked the read.
I am explicitly asking if, based on his meta with you, he thinks that you would be more likely to behave this way as scum then that baseline of scum I have in my head.
I am trying to figure out how he looked at your play so far this game, and ended up with a scum lean- humaneatingmonkey
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Hectic could be townIn post 263, Hectic wrote:[The thing that bothered me most from our interaction was that it almost felt like no matter what I was writing, or what reasons I was giving, Prism was finding a way to scumread it - whether it be I'm nervous/desperate/my read on her isn't legit etc, I felt it was forced and that's what gives me the feeling her read is fake. HOWEVER, I don't think scum!Prism would actually enter this game with thegoalof scumreading me as some amazing strat, but I do think she'd happily take the opportunity if she thought I looked scummy enough to justify it.- humaneatingmonkey
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Like if people really want to elim me because they think there are no other options it sucks but I don't think I can fight that because I understand we have no time before deadline but I wish I'm given a chance here
As of now, I'm willing to elim between Infinity 324, Fidget, Child of Fairies and maybe maybe maybe Prism. But I'm still not past page 13. Please give me time to be in this game.- humaneatingmonkey
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I think from the limited stuff that I've read that Infinity could be scumIn post 757, Prism wrote:It's ambiguous whether "for scum" means they're the ones taking/driving it or not. Do you think scum is driving the wagon on you, or do you not really know at this point?- humaneatingmonkey
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If you're town, you have 8 townreads in a 9 player game. I think it's safe to say that you need to re-evaluate your townreads ASAP.In post 764, Infinity 324 wrote:Your townflip means people are going to have to re-evaluate a lot of our townreads, which is going to be important for moving the game forward- humaneatingmonkey
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Prism puts Johnny at E-1 while he's V/LA and it's barely deadline? What value might she have to do this as town?In post 332, Prism wrote:VOTE: Johnny
This is E-1.
I feel comfortable voting here without sorting Hectic, though a part of me is regretful that Johnny is on V/LA.- humaneatingmonkey
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In post 333, Child of Fairies wrote:Wouldn't be opposed to hammering the slot once Johnny gets a defense in if said defense isn't satisfactory, but if anybody hammers before he gets to post again I'd be very suspicious of that player.
THIS. Why are people trying to lim this slot so badIn post 336, JohnnyFarrar wrote:I mean I'll solve the game as a stump if need be, not sure there's really anything to "defend" here so much as everyone's townreading eachother. I've got a funeral tomorrow so I won't have anythingsuperproductive to say until Mondayish- humaneatingmonkey
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my scumpartner would be you, because on page 15, while Johnny is in deep shit, you attempt to make a confusing counterwagon against PrismIn post 788, Infinity 324 wrote:What is your one scumpartner going to do to stop your elim - humaneatingmonkey
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