Open 781: JK9++ Game Over!


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Post Post #4350 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:05 pm

Post by PenguinPower »

Oooh - true to his word.
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Post Post #4351 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:07 pm

Post by ofrhz »

VOTE COUNT 4.3
Something_Smart [1]:
Almost50 []
Almost50 [1]:
Bingle []

Not Voting [4]:
Menalque [], MariaR, Something_Smart, PenguinPower

With
6
alive, it takes
4
to hammer.
Day 4 ends in
(expired on 2020-07-10 11:30:00)


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Post Post #4352 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:12 pm

Post by PenguinPower »

I'm so sorry ofrhz.
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Post Post #4353 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:25 pm

Post by Almost50 »

In post 4341, PenguinPower wrote:But then A50 was like "it has to be between me and JingleBingle" and now he's voting SS so idk
?? When did I say it could be you???? I've always wanted to lynch between Bingle & S_S

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Post Post #4354 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:27 pm

Post by PenguinPower »

Sorry if I wasn’t clear - you were previously saying lynch in A50 (what I was referring to when I put me in quotes) and JingleBingle, but now you’re voting SS.
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Post Post #4355 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:29 pm

Post by Menalque »

You’re aware I can’t see this image as daily news is blocked in Europe due to their cookie policy?
"we knew everything... And we knew nothing."
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Post Post #4356 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:30 pm

Post by Menalque »

@maria do you think scum!bingle would have a tantrum like this?
"we knew everything... And we knew nothing."
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Post Post #4357 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:30 pm

Post by PenguinPower »

It’s a picture from Green Eggs and Ham.
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Post Post #4358 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:32 pm

Post by Almost50 »

In post 4344, Menalque wrote:I could see the monkey being scum
Time to pay your ophthalmologist a visit I say. I would also recommend a psychiatrist visit if the ophthalmologist says your vision is OK. You're either having sight problems or are hallucinating.

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Post Post #4359 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:32 pm

Post by PenguinPower »

Image
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Post Post #4360 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:40 pm

Post by MariaR »

In post 4356, Menalque wrote:@maria do you think scum!bingle would have a tantrum like this?
No. And if for some name in gods earth he is I prob will not play with bingle again. However, as someone who knows bingle a little I don't think they're scum nor would they do this.

I'm at the point where I want to vote A50/S_S because the only one who doesn't townread peng is S_S and you to some extent
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Post Post #4361 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:42 pm

Post by Bingle »

In post 4320, Almost50 wrote:You keep repeating this like a broken record, so I'm going to ask you straight up: If YOU, Bingle, were a JK in this game; would you have been on skitter the night she got killed? In other words: Just switch your role with Blake's and keep everything else as it is.. roles, alignments, claims, lynches.. etc. Now tell me with a straight face that you would have JK'd the claimed Vig.
No, as a JK in Blake's shoes I would have JK'd proactively. Which would be targeting potential scum players, like (from Blakes perspective at the time) Firebringer or myself, who would be likely to make the nightkill. Which is literally the argument for why I'd have used the strongman in the first place. A doctor guarantees skitter will be protected, a JK means it's likely that people in the POE (which, again, included both me and FB for the night skitter was shot) won't be able to successfully make a kill.

A failed scumkill there potentially puts town into autowin (We're damned close without it). Given the presumption of a protective role existing (which is knowledge scum would have if they didn't shoot PB) there's a 50% of Doc and a 50% of a tracker.

Skitter is protected ~100% of the time if there's a doc. The killer is blocked 10% of the time if there's a JK (Even discounting the JK not targeting themselves or Skitter, for ease of math). That's a 55% chance of a game ending result via a protective role.

Given a tracker (~38%), the killer is targeted the same proportion of the time. (10%) By random chance, a tracker therefore has a 3.8% chance of being dangerous to scum (in that they would then have to fakeclaim a PR and potentially still live multiple phases) and a protection has a 55% chance of being dangerous to scum. Adjusting the likelihood of a tracker hitting to more accurately represent the gamestate ALSO adjusts the chances of the JK hitting by the same amount.

tl;dr, the only options for night actions from a sane JOAT were strongman or roleblock on N2. I did not strongman or roleblock on N2. I am therefore not scum.
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Post Post #4362 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:43 pm

Post by Menalque »

Bingle I hope you’re aware that I was shitpushing you and I’m sorry if it’s frustrated you this much but I needed to be sure and I would really like to cooperate with you to try and solve the game
"we knew everything... And we knew nothing."
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Post Post #4363 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:43 pm

Post by PenguinPower »

I kinda just wanna lynch SS. Bingle is working his magic on me and Maria isn’t helping.
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Post Post #4364 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:44 pm

Post by Menalque »

*knowingly shitpushing you, as in I didn’t believe a lot of what I was saying but I thought it would prompt you to respond in a way that I hoped would clarify your alignment because I did have *doubts* based on my respect for your scumgame
"we knew everything... And we knew nothing."
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Post Post #4365 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:45 pm

Post by MariaR »

Since Mena is gonna die I'll end the day when he wants to but I'm ready to vote
I bet Maria is scum this game
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Post Post #4366 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:46 pm

Post by MariaR »

This is like the most lazy f6 I've ever seen. I thought more things would go on but it feels like I have to put in most of the solving and it's so zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
I bet Maria is scum this game
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Post Post #4367 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:47 pm

Post by PenguinPower »

I feel like I just heard Mena say that...
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Post Post #4368 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:48 pm

Post by MariaR »

Go back to your fish Penguin unless you wanna eat fist!
I bet Maria is scum this game
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Post Post #4369 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:48 pm

Post by MariaR »

I'm mostly grumpy because I hate being clear and the fact if we get this wrong means we lynch at F4 is *stress* I think it's probably just S_S considering the fact he's rolling over. But hey who knows
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Post Post #4370 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:49 pm

Post by PenguinPower »

So punchy...as always

dont hurt me
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Post Post #4371 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:50 pm

Post by PenguinPower »

I don’t want to be in a f4 with Bingle/A50 and a clear because Bungle will make me vote you.

But it’s probably just SS.
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Post Post #4372 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:50 pm

Post by Menalque »

I was also *sort of* hoping that scum might try to support my push on bingle but no one rose to it so idk what to think there
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Post Post #4373 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:51 pm

Post by Menalque »

Is it better to lynch SS or A50 first?
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Post Post #4374 (ISO) » Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:53 pm

Post by PenguinPower »

I prefer SS because I don’t think A50 is scum.

Counterpoint, I don’t want to be in f4 with A50 and Bingle.
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