Newbie 2016: Snapdragons (Game Over)


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Post Post #1075 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:57 pm

Post by Looker »

In post 1008, JamSV wrote:
Spoiler:
In post 999, TheThirteenthJT wrote:Screw it. Let's test something out. I really feel Jamsv is pursuing a non issue instead of scumhunting. But maybe it's just me not understanding the percentage dispute and why it matters at all. It was just a different way to do a readlist in my eyes.

VOTE: Jamsv

You might aswell have no read list if percentages are a read list.
I can only let you distract me so much. I explained, but I'll do it again.
  • Porkens flipped town; this increases the likelihood of scum on his wagon
  • The fact that no one's voted you increases your chances of being scum to me. Also, your struggle for wagon placement.
In post 1008, JamSV wrote:Once again, all he has to do is explain any of his %s, rather than just saying they're made up based off of votes, I already debunked than nonsense.
This is the part that isn't true and why you're scummy. Your investigation is insincere. You progressed from "I don't understand" to "This is nonsense" - how? It makes perfect sense, but you just don't care.
In post 1008, JamSV wrote:The more he denies the more and more certain I am he is scum, we may aswell still have Homura because of how little impact he really is having.
Stubbornness isn't a scumhunting tool. The "impact" debate is irrelevant and subjective.
In post 1021, JamSV wrote:Explain the bloomin' percentage read list already Looker. To all non UK residents please read bloomin with a u sound instead of an oo sound for authenticity ty.
I did.


I feel you're making a mistake about Jam
VOTE: Raya36
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Post Post #1076 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 3:28 pm

Post by ClarkBar »

Posting from mobile so excuse the brevity and lack of connective quotes.

What certain players aren’t saying is really telling. I lay out a case and a vote for Raya and she doesn’t mention it, just pushes a super weak point against BM. Does a town player do this? Where are those Isos?

Jam has good points against Looker. His scum read from D1 didn’t pan out (I feel ya) and so he’s picking up the next best thread from D1. He’s asking sensible questions and voting his suspicion. Town. Looker is being hostile as a result. Not town. I explain why I agree with Jam, but no comment on that now that I’ve claimed cop and there are no counterclaims.

BM is scum, and having town reads on Raya and Looker (from meta? Irresponsible and shady) confirm for me that BM’s scum partner is one of those two. He put Jam (and obviously one other) into that mix for pocketing purposes.
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Post Post #1077 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 3:33 pm

Post by ClarkBar »

Lol, why the vote for Raya now?
something
about this game changed. Again, no comment on my case/vote about Raya, but now a vote?
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Post Post #1078 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 3:36 pm

Post by ClarkBar »

I actually think it’s Looker. And, for all the hate I have for LL regarding D1 play, his ART (yes I’m trying to make that a thing) might actually be correct.
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Post Post #1079 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 3:38 pm

Post by ClarkBar »

Regardless, BM is scum. Prove me wrong.
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Post Post #1080 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 3:42 pm

Post by ClarkBar »

I really can’t wait to read the scum-thread. :lol:
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Post Post #1081 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 3:49 pm

Post by ClarkBar »

In post 1075, Looker wrote:I can only let you distract me so much.
Ditraxt you from what? :lol:
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Post Post #1082 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 4:25 pm

Post by 72offsuit »

Unvote.
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Post Post #1083 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 4:29 pm

Post by 72offsuit »

Without having done ISOs my feel about the game pre-claim:
ClarkBar/Raya36
Battle Mage
TheThirteenthJT

Looker

JamSV


Post-claim:
Raya36
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JamSV

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Post Post #1084 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 4:38 pm

Post by ClarkBar »

C'mon board the BM train, 72. There is no price of admission and the seats are cushy. Choo-choo!
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Post Post #1085 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 5:16 pm

Post by ClarkBar »

Town, look at and tell me how that has any bearing on anything at all at this point.

And BM, if you say something along the lines of "that's Looker for you" one more time I'm gonna hurl.
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Post Post #1086 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:33 pm

Post by 72offsuit »

In post 1084, ClarkBar wrote:C'mon board the BM train, 72. There is no price of admission and the seats are cushy. Choo-choo!
VOTE: BM

choo choo!
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Post Post #1087 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:34 pm

Post by 72offsuit »

SEVEN DEUCE OFFSUIT'S UVC:

Looker (1): JamSV
Battle Mage (2): ClarkBar, 72offsuit
Raya (2): TheThirteenthJT, Looker
Not Voting (2): Battle Mage, Raya36

Deadline is in 3 days, 12 hours, 57 minutes, at which point we will default to no elimination.

As always, please correct me if I'm wrong <3
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Post Post #1088 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:35 pm

Post by 72offsuit »

In post 943, Battle Mage wrote:jesus christ. i'm alive and all my suspects are dead
and town
. :facepalm:

initial thoughts: Jam-scum wouldn't have made that weird play yesterday around the Porkens wagon. Too conspicuous and odd for no reason.
Raya's posts at end of day had conviction and didn't leave herself open to a Porkens town-flip. Felt legit.
Must be at least 1 scum on the Porkens wagon because there was no reason not to be, therefore must be TTJT and/or Looker.
need to revisit 72offsuit as i think i basically locktowned him based on pork being scum.
This is one of the most faked read-progressions on a player's slot I have seen to date.
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Post Post #1089 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:37 pm

Post by 72offsuit »

in , posts "not quite sure what to make of 72.."
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Post Post #1090 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:38 pm

Post by 72offsuit »

In post 1014, Battle Mage wrote:
In post 997, ClarkBar wrote:I think I'll just kinda do a rundown of players and update my thoughts on them. I'll try and be somewhat brief to avoid a huge wall of text. LL's absolutely insane (he was trolling, right?) play from yesterday makes the wagon against him a little tough to dissect. LL sunk that slot to a point where scum could happily and justifiably sit on that wagon/join the push. That makes things tough, but there are other things to consider in when updating reads.
I agree with this, and can't see any reason why scum wouldn't be on that wagon? unless they were of the mind they could push through another mislynch and keep that one on the backburner, but don't recall anything which looked like a serious counterwagon. It wasn't just LL, in some ways Porkens was worse, doing the same thing as LL did all over again (albeit slightly more discreetly). It was a horrible slot, although I had another one the same in a mini normal which just finished (with me and Raya) - a player who I was "96% sure" was scum from the way they played, flipped town Day 1, but luckily we still won.
In post 997, ClarkBar wrote:
Battle Mage:
Things get a little more murky here. Having both of his top scum-reads both flip town isn't without some comedy. Obviously Porkens was a wagon anyone could get on, but the Quick thing never really went over with me. BM accuses me of having my blinkers on, but I never found anything really compelling about scum!Quick. So is BM's push on Quick genuine or an attempt to test the waters for an alternate wagon? Well given the NK of Quick such an effort would have been for nothing. Also, BM NK'ing Quick after he made him an avatar would be pretty rude. Porkens votes BM near the end of D1, and some of his reasoning resonates with me. I have only one completed game, and in that scum came in as a replacement and did a bunch catch-up posts that were essentially fluff that appeared pro-town/high-effort. I think BM's takes are slightly better and he has some real takes, as horribly wrong as they turned out. Anyways, we get to D2. I appreciate that my posts and questions early on may have seemed a little cryptic, they weren't meant to be. I certainly don't think they were scummy. My could certainly have been worded better, but I'm not ducking anything. I guess I'm walking you through right now. Certainly don't think I was being dodgy. All of this is to say that BM's vote on me (a player he has consistently given at least a weak town-read to all game) seems to come out of nowhere and the reasons backing it seem thin. He says he has a theory he wants to test. I had a guess as to what that might be last night, but on second thought I might be projecting a bit there. Seems so many players have their little tests that seem to go unexplained. It may be connected to and the pressure comment. Pressure to do what? What are asking of me that more pressure will deliver? I think this slot is a null for me for now, but I have some serious apprehension.
Quick was scummy for just cruising through the game, with a lazy tunnel on me, and without really engaging properly. In hindsight it was just lazy and uninterested town, and most of my case was predicated on an LL scum-flip anyway as the most obvious buddy. I won't rehash it unless it's particularly helpful, but I wasn't pushing some weak shizz.
Resent the assertion my comments on the game before I joined were just fluff - they were designed to help me get properly immersed into the game, and to invite discussion and give people an opportunity to challenge and engage with my views on what had happened to date. I've never done it before, but think it is a good thing to do, it's pretty lame when people replace in and basically ignore everything that's happened before. In future, I'd probably do it more succinctly. On my vote on you, it's probably fair that it's come out of nowhere, although you could level that challenge at me basically whatever I do - I mean, I shot my load a bit early on Day 1, and had largely town-blocked everyone else by default. I agree I don't have strong reasons, but don't always need them! I will obviously explain my theory when the time is right.

I'm only interested in lynching one of: Clarkbar, TTJT and 72offsuit today.

This doesn't mean I'm assuming both scum are necessarily in this block, but I don't currently want to push Raya, Looker or Jam today for reasons I will not disclose. :cop:
Somehow I have entered his lynch pool after being a townread of his all game.
Not a single post suggesting I am scum.
Case closed.
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Post Post #1091 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:46 pm

Post by 72offsuit »

Ye, looker's 1075 is pretty bad.

The vote for raya today, after showing zero interest in raya's wagon yesterday.
There has been nothing from raya of substance today that stands out as being scummy today.

I was pushing raya yesterday, and looker didn;t even comment on any of my points against raya.
Doesn't make sense why looker would not work with me yesterday if he scumreads raya.

I'd probably play zero interest game if i was on BM's scumteam tbh.
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Post Post #1092 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:54 pm

Post by 72offsuit »

BM + Looker or raya.
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Post Post #1093 (ISO) » Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:57 pm

Post by 72offsuit »

I r winnar
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Post Post #1094 (ISO) » Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:28 am

Post by 72offsuit »

Lol. At the time of my I r winnar post above, BM was logged on, as per the bottom of the "board index" page, which lists the players currently logged on.

At the time of this post, he is no longer on.

Zero posts after logging in and seeing he has votes on him.

Scum.
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Post Post #1095 (ISO) » Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:29 am

Post by Battle Mage »

I won't have time to respond to everything - I'll make the effort here although I'm not sure it will achieve much as you've gone full tunnel on me. :facepalm:
In post 1074, ClarkBar wrote:
In post 1070, Battle Mage wrote:Why you: Well there were 3 options really. Probably you and TTJT would have been my top scumreads ahead of 72o
You pretty much town-read me all D1 and then all of a sudden I'm in your top two scum candidates?
I basically town read everyone Day 1 apart from my 2 scumreads.
In post 1074, ClarkBar wrote:
In post 1070, Battle Mage wrote:TTJT is very capable of fakeclaiming as town which would have caused all manner of issues.
I'm offended at the suggestion that scum!me would not be capable of a similar fakeclaim.
I haven't seen it from you - doesn't mean you're not capable, but I do know for a fact that TTJT is.
In post 1074, ClarkBar wrote:
In post 1070, Battle Mage wrote:I figured if you were town you'd claim vanilla, and if you didn't claim vanilla you would probably be scum
So, the thought of me possibly being a PR never crossed your mind? The potential risk of outing a PR (or two) in this gambit wasn't at all a concern?
I explained earlier that I was consciously trying to avoid a situation where the PRs needed to claim, so no it didn't occur to me as being a risk at all. Of course, I was aware I could have been wrong, but I'd basically made my mind up, and even if I was wrong, the chances of you being a PR were still not that high. And yes, the thought of you being a PR never crossed my mind. I don't even know now what hints/crumbs you're referring to. It's fairly obvious that I didn't think you were a PR. And if I was scum who thought you were a PR, why would I be pushing you to claim? I'd have just killed you at night. You're essentially suggesting I was open-wolfing to the extreme - I can buy that you think I could potentially do that, but it's not very likely as it would be a high risk, needlessly conspicuous gambit which would obviously bite me on the ass when my credibility was already low because of flips. There is no scum motivation here.
In post 1074, ClarkBar wrote:
In post 1070, Battle Mage wrote:(and obviously I'd get an indication from Jam/Raya reaction to confirm that was the case). It wouldn't rely on them outting themselves, as I could push and draw the attention on myself, and they could give subtle hints, and we'd have a good townblock but I could also draw the NK and get us into a strong position with 2 conf-towns in late game.
This bit is so convoluted and reachy it verges on the embarrassing. I love you BM, but this is some real nonsense.
It's not nonsense at all. It's completely logical - the only issue here is that it relied on my assumption about the masons being right, which it wasn't. :igmeou:
In post 1074, ClarkBar wrote:
In post 1070, Battle Mage wrote:No idea what you think the motivation is for scum-BM to make that play (where the sole purpose is to townblock someone if they don't fakeclaim), although I can sympathise with you thinking it's dumb play from your perspective, and with the benefit of hindsight.
I've already explained what your scum-motives were. You're smart and experienced, and something about the way I engaged at the top of D2 pinged you that I might be a PR. That's a problem for scum: maybe I'm a cop and investigated you or your partner? And so your read of me all of a sudden changed and you built a wagon on me based on lame reasoning. You introduced the idea of a theory and breadcrumbed a PR of your own for the purpose of discrediting me in case I did in fact claim a PR.
What you didn't take into account is that I recognized this attempt early and called it out before you had the opportunity to counter-claim. And now you're reaching
hard
to spin it into some bizarre and confusing POE gambit.


I feel like Velma at the end of a Scooby-Doo episode explaining the plot and having all the pieces fit together nicely.
As above, if I was scum and thought you were a PR, why would I want you to claim? ESPECIALLY if I thought you were a cop, because in claiming, you'd be guaranteed to be protected at night by a doctor if there is one.

And as you say, by forcing you to claim it would mean you would reveal your result. Clearly scum-BM would prefer a Cop to NOT claim, so he can kill them before they reveal results.

Additionally, if I was scum and thought you were a cop, and investigated me or my partner (and you havent really explained to me why you think I would have thought either of those things) I would sooner be claiming first with a guilty on you, rather than pushing you to claim a guilty on me and ccing you. Taking the initiative is valuable.
Although in reality, I'd do neither, because
Spoiler:
I don't play recklessly as scum, and wouldn't run a gambit which would be guaranteed to get me killed before the end.


I've been quite open about the weakness of the reasoning, so using this as an argument is hardly a revelation. I obviously wouldn't have lynched you with that reasoning, I just wanted to see if you'd fakeclaim, although that's all completely redundant now. :facepalm:

I don't even understand what "theory" I could have been inventing? And doesn't the fact I haven't done something like that to cc you, largely invalidate your whole rationale anyway? Unless you're so consumed by ego that you think you supposedly "calling me out" (again, must have missed that...) would have deterred me from continuing with such a play if that was my intention? :roll:

What you refer to as a "bizarre and confusing" POE gambit, is a staple of my game nowadays, and it can be very effective. I can't refer to ongoing games, but there is nothing to stop you reading.

I think the fundamental problem is you're annoyed that I've outted you as cop, and you aren't thinking objectively and rationally about what that means for my alignment.

Please do me the courtesy of actually giving this some thought and reading and responding to my points above.
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Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #1096 (ISO) » Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:31 am

Post by Battle Mage »

In post 1094, 72offsuit wrote:Lol. At the time of my I r winnar post above, BM was logged on, as per the bottom of the "board index" page, which lists the players currently logged on.

At the time of this post, he is no longer on.

Zero posts after logging in and seeing he has votes on him.

Scum.
seriously?? I was responding in detail to a post as above. :facepalm:

And in any case, I'm V/LA (i.e. I may have time to see something and not respond because I'm busy).

I'm done for today if this is the kinda crap I'm contending with.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #1097 (ISO) » Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:34 am

Post by 72offsuit »

Still 0 posts suggesting why I'm in your lynch pool.
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Post Post #1098 (ISO) » Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:37 am

Post by Battle Mage »

In post 1088, 72offsuit wrote:
In post 943, Battle Mage wrote:jesus christ. i'm alive and all my suspects are dead
and town
. :facepalm:

initial thoughts: Jam-scum wouldn't have made that weird play yesterday around the Porkens wagon. Too conspicuous and odd for no reason.
Raya's posts at end of day had conviction and didn't leave herself open to a Porkens town-flip. Felt legit.
Must be at least 1 scum on the Porkens wagon because there was no reason not to be, therefore must be TTJT and/or Looker.
need to revisit 72offsuit as i think i basically locktowned him based on pork being scum.
This is one of the most faked read-progressions on a player's slot I have seen to date.
which bit? it wasn't really a read progression, so much as a read overhaul. And again, I was making a point of townblocking the people I thought were masons without actually saying I thought they were masons.

actually it doesn't look like there's anything else of value to respond to anyway, so that's me up to date.

If I am potentially getting lynched today (still waiting for a good reason why), would be helpful to wait until I can post some final reads, vote and stuff. Although can understand if nobody gives a shit at this point.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #1099 (ISO) » Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:41 am

Post by Battle Mage »

In post 1097, 72offsuit wrote:Still 0 posts suggesting why I'm in your lynch pool.
6 players

Raya-Jam - masons

meant 2 vanilla, 2 scum from:

Looker, 72o, Clark, TTJT

So it's complete PoE. Obviously I was wrong, again, with the masons, so it's all completely redundant, but that was my logic. Given I've stated you were lower on my list than Clark or TTJT, I have no idea why you sound like you're trying to OMGUS me.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
Locked