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Post Post #700 (ISO) » Mon Jul 05, 2021 5:12 pm

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 682, Chuck Shurley wrote:At first glance (I read 13-ish pages in about 5 minutes) I did read him as town because it seemed like he was game solving. I read deeper, realized I didn't like the direction his posts were coming from, and changed my read. If he does something to change that, you'll all hear about it, but right now I'm not sure what the point of asking me to town read my scum vote is.
this is a bad reaction. because i wanted you to think of a world where clark is town. if clark is town and you were wrong and let say (hypothetical) we lim clark and they flip town, don;t you think we will lim you?

when you proposed earlier that there has been cases of you tvt in your own experience thru later day phases, why are you not able to see it this way this game? do you know for sure clark will flip scum? why is clark scummier than roden or val? or even me?
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Post Post #701 (ISO) » Mon Jul 05, 2021 5:13 pm

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 700, GrandpaMo wrote:
In post 682, Chuck Shurley wrote:At first glance (I read 13-ish pages in about 5 minutes) I did read him as town because it seemed like he was game solving. I read deeper, realized I didn't like the direction his posts were coming from, and changed my read. If he does something to change that, you'll all hear about it, but right now I'm not sure what the point of asking me to town read my scum vote is.
this is a bad reaction. because i wanted you to think of a world where clark is town. if clark is town and you were wrong and let say (hypothetical) we lim clark and they flip town, don;t you think we will lim you?

when you proposed earlier that there has been cases of you tvt in your own experience thru later day phases, why are you not able to see it this way this game? do you know for sure clark will flip scum? why is clark scummier than roden or val? or even me?
im just trying to understand where this scumread came from and why out of all of a suden especially when clark voted you and it seemed you got offended and decided to scumread them. is it confbias?
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Post Post #702 (ISO) » Mon Jul 05, 2021 6:01 pm

Post by Roden »

In post 698, GrandpaMo wrote:
In post 696, Roden wrote:he was hopping around wagons a bit but he stuck to the one that flipped red.
there is a better reason to townread t3 here lol
Eh, if you're talking about the fake Tracker claim to protect Psyche, I don't really think much of it. It's risk free for scum since they obviously can't be night killed. All scum would do that if the meta really gave people town cred for doing that.
In post 697, GrandpaMo wrote: i just only disagree that val should be in the votepool. i think u roden is more iffy then val.
Wait, really? Do you think I bussed Blurry/James?
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Post Post #703 (ISO) » Mon Jul 05, 2021 6:10 pm

Post by Nancy Drew 39 »

In post 690, GrandpaMo wrote:
In post 686, Nancy Drew 39 wrote:
In post 683, Roden wrote:
In post 534, Val89 wrote:
In post 530, Psyche wrote:To keep setup ambiguous from scum for at least one night longer, someone should go ahead and hammer.
Bullshit. Absolute bullshit.

Unless James is fake claiming, scum are the only one with the exception of the other PR who KNOW the setup, since doctor only appears once in each of column A and B. If they have a rolecop or roleblocker solves the setup completely for them.

No way Psyche didn't know that. Get this obvscum outta here, we can sort Nancy for sure tomorrow.

VOTE: Pysche
I'm rereading what happened at the end of Day 1 and this still sticks out as odd to me. Val, can you tell us your thought process here? You voted James shortly afterward when it looked like you picked up on Psyche's counter claim, but this vote and reasoning feels off.
Well, if scum bussed, it can only be Val because a bus wouldn’t make sense early wagon but Val was hardpushing me, so I guess that’s possible.

So, it has to be between those 3. I think you, T3 and Mo are all town.
gosh u radiate so much town energy rn
I have an extremely difficult time doing that when I getting run up, especially when certain people were completely ignoring my ISO and cherry picking and twisting things to make me look bad, so I just felt extremely defeated and almost no WIM. :/
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Post Post #704 (ISO) » Mon Jul 05, 2021 6:16 pm

Post by Nancy Drew 39 »

In post 696, Roden wrote:
In post 687, GrandpaMo wrote:
In post 684, Roden wrote:I'm just not sure why Val would claim Doc though? Psyche already counter claimed James at that point, so why would Val claim a protective role without any pressure or reason to do so? Even in an alternate universe where Val is the real Doc, why claim?

because wouldn't val just die during the night? if im claiming already and if im getting a intuitive thought that val is telling me to shutup because they were the doc, then im obviously going to keep my claim so i can sacrifice just for the sake of doc being alive. instead of pysche dying, val would have died if they claimed.

i also claimed to bait like i said then follow up wit val's actions but now it was to bait.

wait.

there is a possibility that the setup could still be tracker + jailkeep no?

it's just mafia hit jailkeep today nd mafia can hit tracker tonight

we know there isnt a doc, because mafia would have just killed me at night before killing psyche.
Yeah, we could have a Tracker (or a Friendly Neighbor), but I wouldn't pry anymore into that. Even if no one slips they're the 2nd PR, if enough people slip that they
aren't
, scum can use PoE to find the last one. It's best not to bring it up unless necessary.

I think I understand your thought process better now though. It's a little chaotic, but I get it.
In post 686, Nancy Drew 39 wrote:
In post 683, Roden wrote:
In post 534, Val89 wrote:
In post 530, Psyche wrote:To keep setup ambiguous from scum for at least one night longer, someone should go ahead and hammer.
Bullshit. Absolute bullshit.

Unless James is fake claiming, scum are the only one with the exception of the other PR who KNOW the setup, since doctor only appears once in each of column A and B. If they have a rolecop or roleblocker solves the setup completely for them.

No way Psyche didn't know that. Get this obvscum outta here, we can sort Nancy for sure tomorrow.

VOTE: Pysche
I'm rereading what happened at the end of Day 1 and this still sticks out as odd to me. Val, can you tell us your thought process here? You voted James shortly afterward when it looked like you picked up on Psyche's counter claim, but this vote and reasoning feels off.
Well, if scum bussed, it can only be Val because a bus wouldn’t make sense early wagon but Val was hardpushing me, so I guess that’s possible.

So, it has to be between those 3. I think you, T3 and Mo are all town.
Slight hesitance on Mo still but I mostly agree, yeah. Like I said, you're basically town locked for me, and T3 looks better than he did Day 1, since he was hopping around wagons a bit but he stuck to the one that flipped red. One of the four of us are most likely to get sniped each night, but I really don't think we can lose this game. With a scum pool of three and three days left to vote out scum, as well as a potential Tracker, this should be an easy game.
Blurry was totally in favour of Mo getting limmed, so I think he’s spewed town from that.

None of you 3 make sense as his buddy but yeah, even if we get it wrong twice, scum can’t make enough NKs to get parity so scum should probably concede because I’m not voting anyone outside of Chuck/Clark/Val.
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Post Post #705 (ISO) » Mon Jul 05, 2021 6:23 pm

Post by Nancy Drew 39 »

In post 697, GrandpaMo wrote:
In post 696, Roden wrote:Yeah, we could have a Tracker (or a Friendly Neighbor), but I wouldn't pry anymore into that. Even if no one slips they're the 2nd PR, if enough people slip that they aren't, scum can use PoE to find the last one. It's best not to bring it up unless necessary.

I think I understand your thought process better now though. It's a little chaotic, but I get it.
i agree. lets nothave this pr discussion anymore.

i still do believe there is scum in chuck and clark

and i still dont know why val was so paranoiac bout me having those scumreads lol

then nancy comes in and agrees wit me

i just only disagree that val should be in the votepool. i think u roden is more iffy then val.

but i just think yall r both town if that were the case
Val tried to kill me and Roden made it clear he wanted James limmed > me and James was fighting hard to survive. He was clearly not giving up.

Like it’s possible scum is just in Chuck/Clark anyway but Val did try to get me killed and Roden was commited to killing James > me. And Val was last on James wagon and I think Roden was first. I very much doubt that scum hardbussed when James was fighting so hard to survive and kill me. That makes Val far more sus than Roden imo.
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Post Post #706 (ISO) » Mon Jul 05, 2021 7:40 pm

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 705, Nancy Drew 39 wrote:
In post 697, GrandpaMo wrote:
In post 696, Roden wrote:Yeah, we could have a Tracker (or a Friendly Neighbor), but I wouldn't pry anymore into that. Even if no one slips they're the 2nd PR, if enough people slip that they aren't, scum can use PoE to find the last one. It's best not to bring it up unless necessary.

I think I understand your thought process better now though. It's a little chaotic, but I get it.
i agree. lets nothave this pr discussion anymore.

i still do believe there is scum in chuck and clark

and i still dont know why val was so paranoiac bout me having those scumreads lol

then nancy comes in and agrees wit me

i just only disagree that val should be in the votepool. i think u roden is more iffy then val.

but i just think yall r both town if that were the case
Val tried to kill me and Roden made it clear he wanted James limmed > me and James was fighting hard to survive. He was clearly not giving up.

Like it’s possible scum is just in Chuck/Clark anyway but Val did try to get me killed and Roden was commited to killing James > me. And Val was last on James wagon and I think Roden was first. I very much doubt that scum hardbussed when James was fighting so hard to survive and kill me. That makes Val far more sus than Roden imo.

ok i see what ur saying -- roden could have easily just jumped the wagon against u .

i mean yea there is a probability but you should also take account was it optimal for roden to pivot, was it to late?
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Post Post #707 (ISO) » Mon Jul 05, 2021 7:43 pm

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 703, Nancy Drew 39 wrote:
In post 690, GrandpaMo wrote:
In post 686, Nancy Drew 39 wrote:
In post 683, Roden wrote:
In post 534, Val89 wrote:
In post 530, Psyche wrote:To keep setup ambiguous from scum for at least one night longer, someone should go ahead and hammer.
Bullshit. Absolute bullshit.

Unless James is fake claiming, scum are the only one with the exception of the other PR who KNOW the setup, since doctor only appears once in each of column A and B. If they have a rolecop or roleblocker solves the setup completely for them.

No way Psyche didn't know that. Get this obvscum outta here, we can sort Nancy for sure tomorrow.

VOTE: Pysche
I'm rereading what happened at the end of Day 1 and this still sticks out as odd to me. Val, can you tell us your thought process here? You voted James shortly afterward when it looked like you picked up on Psyche's counter claim, but this vote and reasoning feels off.
Well, if scum bussed, it can only be Val because a bus wouldn’t make sense early wagon but Val was hardpushing me, so I guess that’s possible.

So, it has to be between those 3. I think you, T3 and Mo are all town.
gosh u radiate so much town energy rn
I have an extremely difficult time doing that when I getting run up, especially when certain people were completely ignoring my ISO and cherry picking and twisting things to make me look bad, so I just felt extremely defeated and almost no WIM. :/
lol i totally understand -- especially me someone who is known for not making sense at times (still working on it), i tend to really relapse judgment and hopefully i try to make ppl understand but its hard when the same person decides to make me look bad, and even worse its tvt
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Post Post #708 (ISO) » Mon Jul 05, 2021 11:59 pm

Post by Val89 »

In post 683, Roden wrote:I'm rereading what happened at the end of Day 1 and this still sticks out as odd to me. Val, can you tell us your thought process here? You voted James shortly afterward when it looked like you picked up on Psyche's counter claim, but this vote and reasoning feels off.
I thought the logic was explained in the post itself, but to be clear: I had reason, for all of about 2 minutes, to take James' Doc claim at face value. Pysche knew it was false because there is no Doc/JK setup, but he said "I think I'm pretty sure JTN is scum. To keep setup ambiguous from scum for at least one night longer, someone should go ahead and hammer."

Being the silly newbie that I am, the "I think I'm pretty sure" and the reference to "keeping the setup ambiguous" threw me off. As I explained, I knew that scum already knew the setup from James' Doc claim, without having to know the second PR. I instinctively took it to mean that was Pysche lying to us, trying to induce a newbie into hammering a potential town PR by saying "eh, I think this could be scum, hammer for this bullshit reason that sounds plausible but can't be" and trading his life for the town Doc.

I made the vote, and then realised there was no world in which even scum!Pysche gets away with that. He wasn't merely thinking James 'might' be scum, he KNEW he was scum, and I had blown it and said stuff I shouldn't. If I had my time again, I would not have made that vote, I would have paused and thought for longer, but at the time, I panicked thinking scum was making a move on our Doc, and I want to get that thought onto the thread sharpish.

The moment I realised James was 100% scum, I checked to make sure my vote was indeed the hammer, given all the double voting stuff, then dropped it. The rest of the play afterwards was directed at trying to mitigate the damage I felt I had done with that stupid vote, and make sure no other town came in and put their foot in it; mixed with a bit of WIFOM - I assume that was the intent behind the two fake claims also - and I thought that it would be better clear up the confusion today rather than have any discussion pre-nightkill. I now feel that, given it didn't work and Pysche was the nightkill anyway, that we are better served moving that discussion to tomorrow. Roden's logic in is sound in that regard.

I want to remind everyone that we all know we are in row 2 because of the JK flip, and regardless of which column we are in, there is nothing to stop the remaining mafia from killing whomever they like tonight. There is no point rolecoping or roleblocking anyone, because they might as well just kill them and the results they have or the benefit of being conftown dies with them, so for all intents and purposes, the remaining mafia might as well be another goon. Town gets diddly-squat from resolving which column we are in, and only run the risk of outting the remain PR if there is one, and make no mistake - outting them here is a 100% death sentence if we don't flip the right one today.
In post 696, Roden wrote:Yeah, we could have a Tracker (or a Friendly Neighbor), but I wouldn't pry anymore into that. Even if no one slips they're the 2nd PR, if enough people slip that they aren't, scum can use PoE to find the last one. It's best not to bring it up unless necessary.
This. 100% this.

If the lim pool for today is Clark, Chuck, and for whatever reason me, fine; so be it. Pick which ever you think out of that list is most scummy and drop your vote and hope we flip the right one today, but please stop incidentially PR hunting and doing scum's work for them.

VOTE: Chuck Shurley
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Post Post #709 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 12:08 am

Post by Val89 »

That looks like that's Chuck at E-1. Next vote will hammer.
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Post Post #710 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 3:31 am

Post by T3 »

VOTE: chuck
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Post Post #711 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 7:22 am

Post by Chuck Shurley »

I'm sorry I haven't been able to be more active; I have a specific window when I can play Mafia, and unfortunately it's proven to be not enough. Anyway, since I am at E-1, I'm VT so my role isn't going to save me, and I can't check back in until either late tonight or tomorrow morning real time:

Reads-

Unless Nancy is *incredibly* good at scum theater, she's town.
My eyes tend to glaze over Grandpa's posts, but he seems town driven, if a little confused in how he goes about it.
Y'all seem to be reading T3 and Roden as basically lock town for reasons I am not grasping, but since I was town reading them for my own reasons, I'll keep it where it's at.
I still think Clark is scum, but Val is rapidly moving up the list.

Y'all are falling for an easy mislim and it's driving me batty, but I just plain don't have time to shove the tide back so...better me than a PR, and you can get un-stuck in D3.
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Post Post #712 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 8:55 am

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 711, Chuck Shurley wrote:I'm sorry I haven't been able to be more active; I have a specific window when I can play Mafia, and unfortunately it's proven to be not enough. Anyway, since I am at E-1, I'm VT so my role isn't going to save me, and I can't check back in until either late tonight or tomorrow morning real time:

Reads-

Unless Nancy is *incredibly* good at scum theater, she's town.
My eyes tend to glaze over Grandpa's posts, but he seems town driven, if a little confused in how he goes about it.
Y'all seem to be reading T3 and Roden as basically lock town for reasons I am not grasping, but since I was town reading them for my own reasons, I'll keep it where it's at.
I still think Clark is scum, but Val is rapidly moving up the list.

Y'all are falling for an easy mislim and it's driving me batty, but I just plain don't have time to shove the tide back so...better me than a PR, and you can get un-stuck in D3.
were u scum lol u just got hammered
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Post Post #713 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:12 am

Post by Roden »

T3 fake hammered again lol.
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Post Post #714 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:13 am

Post by Val89 »

In post 711, Chuck Shurley wrote:Anyway, since I am at E-1
He knows he ain't hammered Grandpa. I don't even thinl even T3 expects that sort of thing to work anymore, merely it's something they do so often it would be commented on in it's absence, you know?

In any case, If you are town Chuck, I don't think you need to worry about about being mislimmed here, "easy" or no. Everyone else who has posted today seems to think the pool is Me, you and ClarkBar, and frankly, I think the likleyhood is 90% that it is between you and Clark. My vote is on you, and I think you should flip first, because I think there is a slightly higher chance it is you over Clark, but it's a close call.

The only reason I'm not happy with calling it PoE solved at this point and encourage we all go cards-to-the-table style is that I don't want to piss away our potential PR advantage on the small but non-zero chance we are being led up the garden path by very clever scum play; and you know we have some very able scum players in this list. If you agree with Nancy though, that scum is in Me, Clark, Chuck, she is perfectly correct. There is enough time to lim all 3 of us, and even if the 2 NKs in the meantime fall out of that pool, thats still leaves 2 versus the remaining one from that list on D4 for the town victory.

In other words - if you think scum is in {Me, Clark, Chuck}, you should hammer, because town wins if you stick to that pool, and it appears there is at least 4 who have already decided that is pool; and if you think there is a chance that scum falls outside of that pool, you should hammer if you think a Chuck flip has reasonable equity of seeing the Mod post "gg's", before our continued discussions risk giving away what chance we get of information from our potential PR if we are dealing with a deepwolf.
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Post Post #715 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:32 am

Post by Val89 »

Now that I think about it some more, if you are still around Chuck:

If you a) really are town; and b) honestly beleive the last scum is in me or Clark, you should give serious consideration to just hammering yourself here.

Unless I've grossly misunderstood the win condition for a solo scum, there has to be one scum and one town left for them to be declared the winning faction. It's D2. There are 7 left. You go today, and scum kills someone, that's 5. Then they lim me tomorrow, and then if it turns out its Clark (or vice versa) thats still 2 townies alive to lim the remaining.

Town can't lose, UNLESS the scum is out of that pool, in which case the night-kills are going to become important, and we ought to make it as difficult as possible for scum to decide whom to kill. They won't be able to kill inside that pool that is being scumread because then thats 4 people that a generally considered locktown against the remaining scumread on D3, with the potential then that at least some of the slots are mechanically confirmed by PR. In other words, even a deepwolf thats drawn zero suspision so far is probably lost in that case, as long as we end the day now and give the remaining scum some anxiety over whom to select as the nightkill tonight.
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Post Post #716 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:36 am

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 713, Roden wrote:T3 fake hammered again lol.
NOOO

U WERENT SUPPOSE TO DO THAT

i wanted chuck to concede as scum if teh ywere lol
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Post Post #717 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:36 am

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 714, Val89 wrote:
In post 711, Chuck Shurley wrote:Anyway, since I am at E-1
He knows he ain't hammered Grandpa. I don't even thinl even T3 expects that sort of thing to work anymore, merely it's something they do so often it would be commented on in it's absence, you know?

In any case, If you are town Chuck, I don't think you need to worry about about being mislimmed here, "easy" or no. Everyone else who has posted today seems to think the pool is Me, you and ClarkBar, and frankly, I think the likleyhood is 90% that it is between you and Clark. My vote is on you, and I think you should flip first, because I think there is a slightly higher chance it is you over Clark, but it's a close call.

The only reason I'm not happy with calling it PoE solved at this point and encourage we all go cards-to-the-table style is that I don't want to piss away our potential PR advantage on the small but non-zero chance we are being led up the garden path by very clever scum play; and you know we have some very able scum players in this list. If you agree with Nancy though, that scum is in Me, Clark, Chuck, she is perfectly correct. There is enough time to lim all 3 of us, and even if the 2 NKs in the meantime fall out of that pool, thats still leaves 2 versus the remaining one from that list on D4 for the town victory.

In other words - if you think scum is in {Me, Clark, Chuck}, you should hammer, because town wins if you stick to that pool, and it appears there is at least 4 who have already decided that is pool; and if you think there is a chance that scum falls outside of that pool, you should hammer if you think a Chuck flip has reasonable equity of seeing the Mod post "gg's", before our continued discussions risk giving away what chance we get of information from our potential PR if we are dealing with a deepwolf.

i was thinking how nancy could be scum here.
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Post Post #718 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:36 am

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 717, GrandpaMo wrote:He knows he ain't hammered Grandpa. I don't even thinl even T3 expects that sort of thing to work anymore, merely it's something they do so often it would be commented on in it's absence, you know?
also didnt see this lol woopsies

im dumb
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Post Post #719 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:37 am

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 718, GrandpaMo wrote:
In post 717, GrandpaMo wrote:He knows he ain't hammered Grandpa. I don't even thinl even T3 expects that sort of thing to work anymore, merely it's something they do so often it would be commented on in it's absence, you know?
also didnt see this lol woopsies

im dumb
also i had thought chuck said e-1 because they posted regardless it being hammer
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Post Post #720 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:39 am

Post by GrandpaMo »

this nk will also rlly be interesting
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Post Post #721 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:43 am

Post by Val89 »

In post 717, GrandpaMo wrote:i was thinking how nancy could be scum here.
Nah, as much as a pains me given how strong I scumread her D1, I think Nancy can be yeeted from the pool. You, T3 or Roden would be the "deepwolfs" I would be concerned about.
In post 716, GrandpaMo wrote:i wanted chuck to concede as scum if teh ywere lol
I don't see the point. What were you going to do if they go "nah, you just hammered a VT, idiots!"? Suggest we unvote them and move to someone else? James was playing we had hammered our Doc even after it was clear he WAS hammered, so a refusal to conceed even if you think you are hammered means diddly-squat.
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Post Post #722 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:51 am

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 721, Val89 wrote:I don't see the point. What were you going to do if they go "nah, you just hammered a VT, idiots!"? Suggest we unvote them and move to someone else? James was playing we had hammered our Doc even after it was clear he WAS hammered, so a refusal to conceed even if you think you are hammered means diddly-squa
i seen it happen before lolol

thats why i was so keen on doing it
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Post Post #723 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:52 am

Post by T3 »

VOTE: chuck
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Post Post #724 (ISO) » Tue Jul 06, 2021 9:53 am

Post by GrandpaMo »

In post 721, Val89 wrote:You, T3 or Roden would be the "deepwolfs"
is Val, Grandpa, Roden a fair assessment?

Can we leave T3 out there too?

I think we all agree we all three have more scum equity then T3. I am just waiting on who the NK is tonight to see something which [REDACTED]

I doubt scum!t3 fake claims there.
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