A uPick of Ice & Fire - Day 12 - #REKT?


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Post Post #5150 (ISO) » Tue Dec 03, 2013 6:35 pm

Post by Messiah Complex »

In post 4691, Benmage wrote:I've been letting a little crazy in lately that has me believing the scum team might gain something from
Hammering
... SpyreX being the original lamb, and Alfred ninja-ing one with that GnR speedlynch.
In post 5139, Benmage wrote:^pedit hats...

And whats the hammer concern... damn ooba u bad at dis.
Did you forget your own theory on why scum might be going after hammers?
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Post Post #5151 (ISO) » Tue Dec 03, 2013 6:45 pm

Post by kanyeknowsbest »

In post 3873, ooba wrote:
In post 3859, kanyeknowsbest wrote:Quadz Must Die
Lynch Dance with me today - I promise we can get Quadz tomorrow.

Quadz can be let off for another day since
- Titus has a way to verify ability (or) Quadz can verify Titus
- He's claimed cop - who's claimed RB on N3 and that it's remarkably coincidental that SD tracked him that night (and there was what happened today). I actually like Quadz for two reasons after the claim
-- He's not being harping on the "we both can be town" like SD is as much; I would expect scum who's lynch has been aborted to push that line a bit more
-- He could have just claimed cop without putting himself in a weak 1vs1 with Quadz
So let's do it this way.
heres a hint for you guys: if i was scum quadz would not have died d4. i had plenty of opportunity to throw my hands up in the air and say "gosh fine well lynch safety today and let titsu do his thing and confirm him" and still be able to show later that i was pushing quadz to die that day well after i needed to. remember when i was harping about optimal scumplay? thats because i fucking like optimal scumplay, and optimal scumplay was for quadz to not die d4 when he didnt need to.
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Post Post #5152 (ISO) » Tue Dec 03, 2013 6:48 pm

Post by kanyeknowsbest »

idk does anyone have a reason they think im scum besides "he lynched quadz, one of the only 2 scum weve lynched this game"?
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Post Post #5153 (ISO) » Tue Dec 03, 2013 6:54 pm

Post by ooba »

In post 5151, kanyeknowsbest wrote:
In post 3873, ooba wrote:
In post 3859, kanyeknowsbest wrote:Quadz Must Die
Lynch Dance with me today - I promise we can get Quadz tomorrow.

Quadz can be let off for another day since
- Titus has a way to verify ability (or) Quadz can verify Titus
- He's claimed cop - who's claimed RB on N3 and that it's remarkably coincidental that SD tracked him that night (and there was what happened today). I actually like Quadz for two reasons after the claim
-- He's not being harping on the "we both can be town" like SD is as much; I would expect scum who's lynch has been aborted to push that line a bit more
-- He could have just claimed cop without putting himself in a weak 1vs1 with Quadz
So let's do it this way.
heres a hint for you guys: if i was scum quadz would not have died d4. i had plenty of opportunity to throw my hands up in the air and say "gosh fine well lynch safety today and let titsu do his thing and confirm him" and still be able to show later that i was pushing quadz to die that day well after i needed to. remember when i was harping about optimal scumplay? thats because i fucking like optimal scumplay, and optimal scumplay was for quadz to not die d4 when he didnt need to.
No optimal scumplay is making sure you maximize your long term chances of winning. Pushing and actually getting the quadz lynch gets you a *lot* more towncred than the other scenario.
idk does anyone have a reason they think im scum besides "he lynched quadz, one of the only 2 scum weve lynched this game"?
PoE. And there's nothing to show you're town either.
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Post Post #5154 (ISO) » Tue Dec 03, 2013 7:19 pm

Post by ooba »

If you really want to talk about optimal strategy, let's talk about Zednek\Titus - who you've been pushing from Day 5 onwards.

SpyreX opens up D3 with a case on Zed - Zed votes SpyreX. They carry this for the entire day; then, at the very deadline - when no other lynch apart from SpyreX is viable, Zed decides to unvote at L-1 and throw away all the bussing credibility they've built up. Please.
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Post Post #5155 (ISO) » Tue Dec 03, 2013 8:08 pm

Post by Messiah Complex »

In post 5153, ooba wrote:No optimal scumplay is making sure you maximize your long term chances of winning. Pushing and actually getting the quadz lynch gets you a *lot* more towncred than the other scenario.
Why was Kanye's towncred (which was not lacking before the Quadz lynch) more important than Quadz' life?

- Des
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Post Post #5156 (ISO) » Tue Dec 03, 2013 8:12 pm

Post by Messiah Complex »

In post 5052, Nautilius wrote:Desperado, what do you think of the "no, that's probably just why AGar was killed" counterargument to the slam dunk case?
It's a possibility, but Alfred-scum isn't dependent on the scum having to hammer in order to kill. It's just sweetener.

- Des
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Post Post #5157 (ISO) » Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:12 pm

Post by kanyeknowsbest »

In post 5153, ooba wrote:
In post 5151, kanyeknowsbest wrote:
In post 3873, ooba wrote:
In post 3859, kanyeknowsbest wrote:Quadz Must Die
Lynch Dance with me today - I promise we can get Quadz tomorrow.

Quadz can be let off for another day since
- Titus has a way to verify ability (or) Quadz can verify Titus
- He's claimed cop - who's claimed RB on N3 and that it's remarkably coincidental that SD tracked him that night (and there was what happened today). I actually like Quadz for two reasons after the claim
-- He's not being harping on the "we both can be town" like SD is as much; I would expect scum who's lynch has been aborted to push that line a bit more
-- He could have just claimed cop without putting himself in a weak 1vs1 with Quadz
So let's do it this way.
heres a hint for you guys: if i was scum quadz would not have died d4. i had plenty of opportunity to throw my hands up in the air and say "gosh fine well lynch safety today and let titsu do his thing and confirm him" and still be able to show later that i was pushing quadz to die that day well after i needed to. remember when i was harping about optimal scumplay? thats because i fucking like optimal scumplay, and optimal scumplay was for quadz to not die d4 when he didnt need to.
No optimal scumplay is making sure you maximize your long term chances of winning. Pushing and actually getting the quadz lynch gets you a *lot* more towncred than the other scenario.
believe you are severely underestimating the utility of a free lynch and delaying the lynch of a buddy by 1 or more days.
idk does anyone have a reason they think im scum besides "he lynched quadz, one of the only 2 scum weve lynched this game"?
PoE. And there's nothing to show you're town either.
are you kidding me ive been obv town as fuck this game
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Post Post #5158 (ISO) » Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:13 pm

Post by kanyeknowsbest »

like what happened between you declaring me town as fuck (which iirc happened before quadz even flipped) and now that im no longer obviously town ?
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Post Post #5159 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 12:35 am

Post by ooba »

In post 5155, Messiah Complex wrote:
In post 5153, ooba wrote:No optimal scumplay is making sure you maximize your long term chances of winning. Pushing and actually getting the quadz lynch gets you a *lot* more towncred than the other scenario.
Why was Kanye's towncred (which was not lacking before the Quadz lynch) more important than Quadz' life?

- Des
It's not sacrificing Quadz's life - his lynch was already forfeit - it was a question of D4 or D5. You make that D5 and you gain immense town cred - not to mention a significant 'get out of lynch with that logic' card.
In post 5158, kanyeknowsbest wrote:like what happened between you declaring me town as fuck (which iirc happened before quadz even flipped) and now that im no longer obviously town ?
I reevaluate with flips, new info and obviously how people vote.

When the day started, I thought it might be {elle, TA, Garruk with Tierce as a paranoid possibility} scumteam. elle's playing like town - so is Garruk. Right now I'd say it has to be some combination of {you, Benmage, Ceph}. All three of you have shown some combination of fear that the PoE thing is working out for town
- You keep pushing Titus who is town
- Ben kept pushing Alfred at the start of the day since he knows Alfred is a harder mislynch than TA - the hammer sentiment will subside in time. As soon as I change lynches to you, he thinks TA is town but we should still him because he's a thorn?
- Ceph I'm not so sure but he keeps mentioning the dont-clear-people by roles a lot (which is good advice to keep in mind but not worth mentioning so many times)
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Post Post #5160 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:01 am

Post by Eddard Stark »

Day 7, Vc 13

Alfred Borden (1) -
Shadoweh
elleheathen (1) -
Nautilius
Titus (1) -
kanyeknowsbest
The Alchemist (5) -
Cephrir, SafetyDance, Titus, Messiah Complex, Benmage
Benmage (1) -
Alfred Borden
kanyeknowsbest (4) -
Tierce, Garruk Relentless, elleheathen, ooba

Not voting (2)
:The Alchemist, Tammy

With 15 alive it takes 8 votes to lynch
  • Deadline Date: 8th of December 20:15 EST
  • Deadline Countdown: (expired on 2013-12-08 19:30:00)
  • Titus is V/la (or will be!)
War has arrived!

PM me for Dead QT access!
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Post Post #5161 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:19 am

Post by ooba »

Nacho, please be awesome and do the same thing you did with SpyreX. Vote kanye with me.

I didn't have the conviction on Day 5 and Day 6 because I guess - at the back of my mind - I had doubts about Alchemist. But the kanye lynch feels right - please trust me on this.
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Post Post #5162 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:21 am

Post by Benmage »

In post 5150, Messiah Complex wrote:
In post 4691, Benmage wrote:I've been letting a little crazy in lately that has me believing the scum team might gain something from
Hammering
... SpyreX being the original lamb, and Alfred ninja-ing one with that GnR speedlynch.
In post 5139, Benmage wrote:^pedit hats...

And whats the hammer concern... damn ooba u bad at dis.
Did you forget your own theory on why scum might be going after hammers?
My own "crazy" theory. Okay kid.

I'd like to see scum hammer after the scrutiny we've now put on hammers in thread :lol: :lol: :lol: .
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Post Post #5163 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:23 am

Post by ooba »

In post 5162, Benmage wrote:
In post 5150, Messiah Complex wrote:
In post 4691, Benmage wrote:I've been letting a little crazy in lately that has me believing the scum team might gain something from
Hammering
... SpyreX being the original lamb, and Alfred ninja-ing one with that GnR speedlynch.
In post 5139, Benmage wrote:^pedit hats...

And whats the hammer concern... damn ooba u bad at dis.
Did you forget your own theory on why scum might be going after hammers?
My own "crazy" theory. Okay kid.

I'd like to see scum hammer after the scrutiny we've now put on hammers in thread :lol: :lol: :lol: .
I'll apologise - I reread parts of the game - I was wrong about you being scum. Kanye's still scum though.
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Post Post #5164 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:24 am

Post by Benmage »

In post 5159, ooba wrote:When the day started, I thought it might be {elle, TA, Garruk with Tierce as a paranoid possibility} scumteam. elle's playing like town - so is Garruk. Right now I'd say it has to be some combination of {you, Benmage, Ceph}. All three of you have shown some combination of fear that the PoE thing is working out for town
- You keep pushing Titus who is town
- Ben kept pushing Alfred at the start of the day since he knows Alfred is a harder mislynch than TA - the hammer sentiment will subside in time. As soon as I change lynches to you, he thinks TA is town but we should still him because he's a thorn?
- Ceph I'm not so sure but he keeps mentioning the dont-clear-people by roles a lot (which is good advice to keep in mind but not worth mentioning so many times)
Its a little baffling you can waffle your entire scum teams on D7.. a testament to your abilities at this game.

-I've been talking about my paranoia regarding Alch long before anything you did, and switched my vote before you did. Soooo fix your chronology.

Check this one out:

unvote vote kkb
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Post Post #5165 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:25 am

Post by Benmage »

Damnit ooba you ninja'd me!
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Post Post #5166 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:26 am

Post by Benmage »

Also nothings changed with my opinion on TA... he needs to die sooner than later.
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Post Post #5167 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:27 am

Post by ooba »

In post 5164, Benmage wrote:Its a little baffling you can waffle your entire scum teams on D7.. a testament to your abilities at this game.
I might be paranoid and waffle *a lot* during the day but till it comes to that final lynch vote\push, I've been correct at every lynch that's happened in the game so far.

^Haha at the ninja! ;)
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Post Post #5168 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:30 am

Post by Benmage »

@Garruk
In post 5142, Benmage wrote:
In post 5141, Garruk Relentless wrote:Does anyone else find Benmage's behavior the last page curious? Especially his wagon swap?
Whats curious is the vague general question verse asking the source... What do you find curious about me voting the alchemist? What else on this page is "curious".
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Post Post #5169 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:41 am

Post by Tierce »

In post 5164, Benmage wrote:
In post 5159, ooba wrote:When the day started, I thought it might be {elle, TA, Garruk with Tierce as a paranoid possibility} scumteam. elle's playing like town - so is Garruk. Right now I'd say it has to be some combination of {you, Benmage, Ceph}. All three of you have shown some combination of fear that the PoE thing is working out for town
- You keep pushing Titus who is town
- Ben kept pushing Alfred at the start of the day since he knows Alfred is a harder mislynch than TA - the hammer sentiment will subside in time. As soon as I change lynches to you, he thinks TA is town but we should still him because he's a thorn?
- Ceph I'm not so sure but he keeps mentioning the dont-clear-people by roles a lot (which is good advice to keep in mind but not worth mentioning so many times)
Its a little baffling you can waffle your entire scum teams on D7.. a testament to your abilities at this game.

-I've been talking about my paranoia regarding Alch long before anything you did, and switched my vote before you did. Soooo fix your chronology.

Check this one out:

unvote vote kkb
What changed between the popcorn and this point?
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Post Post #5170 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:44 am

Post by Benmage »

I'm full, and there's butter all over my fingers.
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Post Post #5171 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:48 am

Post by Tierce »

Not an answer. Why are you voting kanye?
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Post Post #5172 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 3:59 am

Post by Benmage »

I'm Benmage and I've already answered the question you seek.... Surely, you know this.
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Post Post #5173 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 4:20 am

Post by Cephrir »

In post 5159, ooba wrote: - Ceph I'm not so sure but he keeps mentioning the dont-clear-people by roles a lot (which is good advice to keep in mind but not worth mentioning so many times)
It's not my fault people keep doing it =(
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Post Post #5174 (ISO) » Wed Dec 04, 2013 4:41 am

Post by ooba »

In post 4995, Cephrir wrote:Kanye, how do you feel about coming out with respect to our role interaction? Because I want to talk to you about it.
Cephrir - I ISO'd you - notice that you want to lynch TA (but aren't too sure about his scum flip). What do you think of Kanye? Does this role interaction help your read of him?
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