Mafiascum.net

In post 1622, Off The Hook wrote:galron whyd u pick rosencrantz

In post 1588, Dunnstral wrote:

In post 1580, Off The Hook wrote:https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=23&t=87781 - Chromatic Ascension, Dunn was Knight Beige
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=83&t=87638 - True Love
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=52&t=83971 - Forest Fire

some (semi-)recent samples of lurkscum Dunn
there could be others from games I didn't keep tabs on but it's hard to verify how his posting rate measures to each game without doing some fancy shit I lack the time for

-GE

I'm not lurking in the first 2 games, I'm town in the last game.

In post 1620, Bowser Jr. wrote:@LLD the bottom line is that Galron is a sure thing as far as I'm concerned and I would match rather lim the sure thing now than later? From the scumteam perspective Galron is already a dead man walking and I don't believe we'll get any worthwhile reactions from them if we keep him alive.

Limming him now means he isn't given another chance to steal from anyone and stifling Town power. Limming him now means scum is forced to perform the kill with someone else giving GL a shot at tracking another team member to the nightkill. If he somehow flips Town here, we at the very least have a fullclear on Skybird. All of these things I find far more advantageous than any potential decisions or manufactured reactions scum will make about a player who's basically already caught.

~Spiffy

In post 1625, Galron wrote:

In post 1622, Off The Hook wrote:galron whyd u pick rosencrantz

I didn't. It was assigned to me. I don't even know anything about her except she was in Hamlet I think.

In post 1545, Lukewarm wrote:Don't let the formatting fool you, I seriously do know something that other people don't know that indicates Juliet=scum.

In post 1617, Dunnstral wrote:The problem LLD is that you acknowledge Galron is probably town but still want to eliminate me when I'm negative association with Galron. So you're playing for the 10% and not the 90%, and you don't seem to have a reason to be doing that or to think it's me.

I think Gamma's meta point backfired and he is arguing against himself.

In post 1624, Lukewarm wrote:

In post 1580, Off The Hook wrote:it's hard to verify how his posting rate measures to each game without doing some fancy shit I lack the time for

I did fancy shit because why not?

Spoiler:

So, I ran all three games that you linked as well as every game that I can remember playing with Dunn through the spread sheet. Calculated Dunn's percentage of all posts made day 1 compared to how many players were in the game, then did conditional formatting to color his higher post rate games green. (because you are positing that lurk dunn = scum dunn) to then see if there is any corrolation.

The conditional formatting guessed incorrectly 4 times, got it right 1 time, and then it did not give a result on his middle of the road game.

If anything, this is wrong more then it is right, and lurk Dunn = town Dunn.

In post 1631, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:

In post 1617, Dunnstral wrote:The problem LLD is that you acknowledge Galron is probably town but still want to eliminate me when I'm negative association with Galron. So you're playing for the 10% and not the 90%, and you don't seem to have a reason to be doing that or to think it's me.

I think Gamma's meta point backfired and he is arguing against himself.

Did you mean "probably scum"?

In post 1635, Bowser Jr. wrote:LLD can you explain why you've settled on OTH, Ceph, and Dunn as the names you'd lim today?

PEdit: I'd argue that the fact that the Galron vote has been so contested means we learn a lot regardless of his flip

~Spiffy

In post 1637, Dunnstral wrote:

In post 1631, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:

In post 1617, Dunnstral wrote:The problem LLD is that you acknowledge Galron is probably town but still want to eliminate me when I'm negative association with Galron. So you're playing for the 10% and not the 90%, and you don't seem to have a reason to be doing that or to think it's me.

I think Gamma's meta point backfired and he is arguing against himself.

Did you mean "probably scum"?

yes

In post 1629, Cephrir wrote:

In post 1625, Galron wrote:

In post 1622, Off The Hook wrote:galron whyd u pick rosencrantz

I didn't. It was assigned to me. I don't even know anything about her except she was in Hamlet I think.

was there a picture of your character in your role pm

In post 1625, Galron wrote:

In post 1622, Off The Hook wrote:galron whyd u pick rosencrantz

I didn't. It was assigned to me. I don't even know anything about her except she was in Hamlet I think.

In post 1638, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:OTH/Galron/???

In post 1638, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:

In post 1635, Bowser Jr. wrote:LLD can you explain why you've settled on OTH, Ceph, and Dunn as the names you'd lim today?

PEdit: I'd argue that the fact that the Galron vote has been so contested means we learn a lot regardless of his flip

~Spiffy

Honestly because

OTH/Galron/???

and

Ceph/Dunn/??? are my like, scum concepts rn.

In post 1636, Off The Hook wrote:

In post 1624, Lukewarm wrote:

In post 1580, Off The Hook wrote:it's hard to verify how his posting rate measures to each game without doing some fancy shit I lack the time for

I did fancy shit because why not?

Spoiler:

So, I ran all three games that you linked as well as every game that I can remember playing with Dunn through the spread sheet. Calculated Dunn's percentage of all posts made day 1 compared to how many players were in the game, then did conditional formatting to color his higher post rate games green. (because you are positing that lurk dunn = scum dunn) to then see if there is any corrolation.

The conditional formatting guessed incorrectly 4 times, got it right 1 time, and then it did not give a result on his middle of the road game.

If anything, this is wrong more then it is right, and lurk Dunn = town Dunn.

well then

I did notice he had middling posting rates in a lot of his scumgames though and his posting does tend to ping as distinctly scummy when he is scum, and he's at least fitting that second bill imo
but tbh I think I wanna posit another question to

Galron

, which is: what's the shakespeare quote associated with your parity cop ability?

-GE

In post 1640, Galron wrote:

In post 1629, Cephrir wrote:

In post 1625, Galron wrote:

In post 1622, Off The Hook wrote:galron whyd u pick rosencrantz

I didn't. It was assigned to me. I don't even know anything about her except she was in Hamlet I think.

was there a picture of your character in your role pm

Some red haried woman and a guy with a puffy skirt.

In post 1641, Off The Hook wrote:

In post 1625, Galron wrote:

In post 1622, Off The Hook wrote:galron whyd u pick rosencrantz

I didn't. It was assigned to me. I don't even know anything about her except she was in Hamlet I think.

well like

i was curious since i remembered u claimed "rosencranz" so i do believe u didnt pick it urself since it was slightly spelt wrong.

i dont know much about shakespeare at all, but me and gamma both googled it and rosencrantz seemed kinda bad to me..
am i understanding wrong, or why does it say rosencrantz and their partner guildenstern are spys serving a "corrupt king claudius"

In post 1640, Galron wrote:

In post 1629, Cephrir wrote:

In post 1625, Galron wrote:

In post 1622, Off The Hook wrote:galron whyd u pick rosencrantz

I didn't. It was assigned to me. I don't even know anything about her except she was in Hamlet I think.

was there a picture of your character in your role pm

Some red haried woman and a guy with a puffy skirt.

In post 1643, Dunnstral wrote:

In post 1638, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:

In post 1635, Bowser Jr. wrote:LLD can you explain why you've settled on OTH, Ceph, and Dunn as the names you'd lim today?

PEdit: I'd argue that the fact that the Galron vote has been so contested means we learn a lot regardless of his flip

~Spiffy

Honestly because

OTH/Galron/???

and

Ceph/Dunn/??? are my like, scum concepts rn.

From your point of view, if we want to follow your plan, it should make more sense to eliminate in the first grouping where Galron is scum, because you agree he is probably scum, rather than eliminate me who is likely not with Galron.

In post 1641, Off The Hook wrote:i dont know much about shakespeare at all, but me and gamma both googled it and rosencrantz seemed kinda bad to me..
am i understanding wrong, or why does it say rosencrantz and their partner guildenstern are spys serving a "corrupt king claudius"