Posted: Mon Jul 09, 2018 11:00 am
I wish mathdino didn't go away before taking a hardstand this game.
https://forum.mafiascum-staging.net/
This doesnt read fence sitty at all?In post 375, Bernie Sanders wrote:Ok so I have a weird hang up this game
TW is voting momrangal
momrangal is voting invisibility
invisibility voted gemini/TW
strong odds on at least a scum is in this grouping but guess wrong and probably instead detracts from town who is pushing scum (though tbf there's not much pressure from any of these which maybe again loops back to the read to begin with)
math voting nauci because nauci should be more obvtown as town
nauci I'm floating though even as gamma vote read lazy pressure on gamma isn't really the worst thing in the world
essentially people are more pro-town than usual e.g. nobody iirc is pushing my better townreads (at least then you can more comfortably spec scum motivation) at least based on where I'm sitting and ehhhh
possibly this may imply 1 sided distancing (as opposed to 2way which I think is more common) or a misread elsewhere though not necessarily
ultimately it's possible this is completely nothing or a red herring though
I have him as scum. I reached out to you, Key and shos. Why would i talk to him about why im scum reading him, im not going to convince him im correctly reading him.In post 1897, skitter30 wrote:mom i'm kinda confused why i'm the person you're reaching out to talk about bernie right now tbh. like if you have trouble with bernie idk why you aren't talking to him about it
I remember discussion and someone voting him to L-2. Even it was just L-3, he was being wagoned when he stated that he could be active later on in the week, aiming to possibly lynch him before he had the chance to get less busy.In post 1897, skitter30 wrote:this bit is kinda inaccurate to me since the wagon only got up to L-3 at that point
That wasn't really the focus of her post.In post 1884, Bernie Sanders wrote:Momrangals first focus here on a townread somewhat betraying(?) her rather than on who is scum or analyzing anything given gamma flipped is no bueno.
i mean, i guess a little because he doesn't come to a firm conclusion? but it's a post from like weeks ago and like 1500 posts ago and in general i have a pretty good sense of where he's holding and i don't in general get the vibe that he's like leaving himself room to change his mind.In post 1901, Momrangal wrote:This doesnt read fence sitty at all?
ok, more specifically what i'm confused by is that i've been telegraphing that i was probably going to vote for you when you came back so i don't really get why you think:In post 1902, Momrangal wrote:I need to know where you stand regarding him though so i know how hard i need to work to convince you to vote with me to get my desired lynch.
Also yeah, said post was the case and key (possibly inadvertently) made it more likely its the case.
Also what i am saying is this.
Yesterday, bernie hammered gamma and i thought i saw the reason for it being something about me being flash lynched while V/LA yesterday.
Today, knowing im V/LA he makes a push for it before i even come back from said V/LA
Yeah here.In post 1739, Bernie Sanders wrote:though towards the end, it was partially a matter that he was claimed VT and I was slightly worried of an certain outside risk of deadline flash wagon momrangal VLA even if I scumread her more).
i apparently get really really annoyed and frustrated when i'm right and people don't listen to me; feel free to ask tw for referenceIn post 1910, Irrelephant11 wrote:As it turns out Skitter has actually tried to “told you so” a lot more about Gamma’s lynch than Nauci. So switch Skitter and Nauci in my earlier vca reads
are you like voting me cuz i switched my read on her?In post 1910, Irrelephant11 wrote:VOTE: skitter30, you said EOD1 you lost your townread on nauci, then later said you townread Nauci because “there’s gotta be town somewhere”. What happened in between those reads?
In post 1355, skitter30 wrote:actually i reconsider my take on the lack of opposition to the gamma thing; nauci, if gamma ever flips scum that's a gross post and you're my first bet for a partner
specifically i'm considered that the first time you brought up this take is *after* i made a thing about it, and that you've been pushing the gamma and/or his wagon for a while now despite not joining it
like how do you just now decide 'at a glance i find the lack of a counter wagon' possibly disturbing; you literally just had a thing about people's voting patterns, and nm has been on the wagon for like three irl days now.
In post 1362, skitter30 wrote:either way, i just lost the townread; i'm down to like ~3 now
I didn't feel this way at all based on Bernie's posting a few posts before yours. He's being vague about his TheWorst read because he didn't seem to want to out his alt at that point but none of it comes across as disingenuous and I didn't feel like he was being vague because he wanted to conceal a lack of good reasons for his reads.In post 412, Irrelephant11 wrote:Bernie is getting harder to read so even though I want to keep him in my townreads it’s hard.
I'm not seeing how you got that from 39. It looks like he was clarifying whether Shoshin's scumread on Math was RVS or not.In post 413, Momrangal wrote:All of his early posts reek of eagerness to look like he's doing something productive and meaningful while doing absolutely jackall.
He's sitting there looking pretty, playing it safe, and it looks like hes engaging with people but the questions are empty.
I don't think her post was particularly good. Admittedly, it's better than her previous posts but "came back with a bang" feels like an exaggeration for a pretty banal post. I also want to note that I see a lot of hanging back and letting other people push each other from you. For example, complimenting Momrangal for the Invisibility push and then asking Shoshin for her Invisibility meta-read. Do you think it's pro-town to get other people to argue with each other? Would you say this is how you normally play (I'm going to check but I'd like your opinion as well)? Also, Shoshin already elaborated on her Invisibility townread. I want to know why you aren't taking a stance here with your own opinions.In post 414, Keyser Söze wrote:@Shoshin - now’s the time to share that irrefutable meta evidence for town-invisibility. momrangel actually came back with a bang.
This is a fair point actually. He's basically been encouraging other people to respond to each other's arguments but not much in the way of inserting his own opinions in there very strongly. I'll come back to this when I figure out whether this is normal for him. It's like everytime someone makes a point at someone else, he turns around and asks the other person how they respond, almost as if he's moderating a debate.In post 421, Irrelephant11 wrote:This feels like a weird turn from “momrangel came back with a bang” (the post implies a town Mom and a push on Shoshin) to now, where you’re kinda asking town Shoshin to scumread Mom?In post 419, Keyser Söze wrote:What do you think of mom’s choice to fixate only on invisibility so far?
Can you elaborate on "performative?"In post 423, Irrelephant11 wrote:His 31, 88, 89, 210, and 414 feel overly performative.
I like the transparency here. This confirms what I was thinking about Keyser but I don't think scum would be blatant about the fact that they are in fact sitting back.In post 432, Keyser Söze wrote:I wanted to sit back and watch Shoshin and Momrangel to play out the inner conflict in my head I have over Invisibility.
I'm not following what you're trying to say here. Is replacing out as scum a blacklist-worthy offence? People replace out when they don't have time to play. Alignment should never be a factor.In post 470, Momrangal wrote: DUCCKKKKYYYYYY!!!!if scum, never playing with Gemini again
Your second list was Keser/Stungun/Skitter. Were you townreading or scumreading Stungun?In post 473, Irrelephant11 wrote:shoshin/math and shoshin/stun really didn't look like early s/s and stun and dino both seemed independently towny
and then I was sorta light-scumreading all three of the second list and there was nothing to indicate they had different alignments
I really don't like this post because it feels like you want to present yourself as a townie that's being buddied by Shoshin. If you're townreading her but have mild paranoia, you could probably just say that. If you're actually scumreading her, you'd be pushing her. But there's this weird read where you're basically calling her scum that's buddying you but who you won't push until LYLO. It looks more like that's the image you want to present to the game as opposed to it being a genuine read. So, that mid to late game if Shoshin is alive/comes under suspicion, you can come back to this and say "oh, yeah I got buddying vibes from Shoshin" and use that as a reason to push her then.In post 494, Irrelephant11 wrote:Like what if you're buddying me and really good at it
Oh well. It's honestly fine for now if it's true
Consider me buddied, we're buddies now. Buddied up from now till lylo see you then <3
Can you give me a short overview of the differences you found in Momrangal's town and scum games.In post 562, Shoshin wrote:what I found is that her play here is consitent with her play in town games and actually slightly different from her play in scum games.
Why reveal this before you have a chance to see what he's like under pressure? Even if he's not pressured immediately, there's a chance he would be at some point. Edit: Just read 675 where you call it a placebo effect. Why can't he act serious if he's scum and gets pressured if he knows that's what you're expecting?In post 666, Nauci wrote:My rule of thumb that I absolutely don't vouch for is that, when heavily pressured, scum!tw becomes exponentially more dodgy/bullshitter, and slightly more serious as town. (based on one game w/ him and skimming a couple of others)
Would you mind linking me to places where you've said this as scum.In post 671, Nauci wrote:578, 583 I post this kind of crap when I'm unmotivated scum so it's hard not to read it this way
This pinged. This is a game of perceptions and to do well as town, you need to read people correctly and be read correctly. "I give zero fucks about how I'm perceived" feels like bravado/putting up a front. The most content you've written about anyone in your readslist is yourself (tied with Irrelephant) which is also odd for someone who doesn't care about how they are perceived.In post 674, Nauci wrote:I generally gives 0 fucks about how I'm perceived in the game. If I am challenged on a specific thing or if someone has misinterpreted something I said, I'll address that. Otherwise, I just endeavor to town harder.
What's the point of saying this?In post 674, Nauci wrote:I'm extremely capable of separating someone's read of me with my evaluation of the circumstances of how they read me as if it was any other player and their content.
It's well within your control to not argue with people for 9 pages if you don't think it's alignment-indicative so I don't see the point of this either. Obviously if do think it's alignment-indicative, then it's a good lead and not just being pedantic.In post 674, Nauci wrote:I will get exhaustibly pedantic to correct a misconception so try not to make any or I will be here arguing w/ you on it for 9 pages.
Bernie pushing TheWorst when TheWorst was townreading him so hard makes Bernie less likely to be scum. I think the scenario where the TheWorst is scum and buddying Bernie and Bernie not buying it is the most probable one. I don't know why you jumped to them being scum together as the most likely conclusion. One scum hard-townreading and vouching for another and the other voting them is actually a pretty unlikely interaction.In post 687, Keyser Söze wrote:It this a bus, or is it opportunism? Funnily enough, this late push on TW followed TW's famous "Bernie Sanders remains probably my strongest townread" line Makes me want to re-look at TW's read of you too.
I can't remember exactly as I was mostly checking a few things for consistency. I'm pretty sure I read a town game where she opened very similarly to the way she opened here, sort of ignoring everything that had happened and going after a lurker. As scum, she tended to look sort of townish but hedged quite a bit more than she did as town and she'd sheep almost any opportunity for a mislynch.In post 1913, BlackVoid wrote:Can you give me a short overview of the differences you found in Momrangal's town and scum games.
I'm trying to think of how best to explain it since there's a pretty big meta component here. To put it succinctly, she's a lot more persistent about pushing reads and gamesolving when she's town. I don't have first hand experience with her scumgame but from the few games I've read, she can fake analytical-looking posts to a certain extent but there's a lack of drive to keep pushing, finding answers and solving the game. As scum, she sometimes has a tendency to get a bit lurkish/burn out from the effort. In her towngames, it doesn't feel like it's a chore for her to keep churning out more content. She can just keep going until she gets to the bottom of whatever she's pushing. Since you're into reading previous games, take a glance through some of skitter's scum games and I think you'll get what I'm talking about. They are several months old but the mindset still holds. She prefers playing town over scum and this game, she'sIn post 1914, Shoshin wrote:Hey BV, I like your catchup posts quite a bit. One very important question for you, why is Skitter town?
I disagree. I don't think Irrelephant as scum would need to lynch Nauci specifically. If he can get Nauci to back off with an emotional-type appeal, that's just as good for him.In post 796, Momrangal wrote:I highly doubt this is something scum would say to someone they are scum reading/trying to lynch.In post 753, Irrelephant11 wrote:Ugh Nauci you’re sounding towny sometimes but you keep calling for my lynch and it doesn’t feel like you actually think I’m scum you just want me lynched and I want us both to be town but we’re never gonna be able to work together if we are, are we
I'd prefer if you can elaborate actually. Gemini has three posts of game relevant content none of which take any strong stances. What did you agree with?In post 800, the worst wrote:she had like 2 posts and both of them were like "saem bro"
honestly can't give you more than that
Who did this besides you and Stungun? You literally said in 470 that if TheWorst is scum, you're never playing with Gemini again.In post 809, Momrangal wrote:Also, I feel like everyone has made a decision on duck based on his pred replacing out.
The bolded is super weird because you're the one reading into her replace out. You're also very charitable towards TheWorst which makes me not feel good because you're both in my POE pool and you're stretching pretty hard to defend him. I dislike your Bernie and Nauci pushes as well.In post 809, Momrangal wrote:It doesn't seem like no one had taken into consideration that she replaced out because of IRL reasonsand it didn't seem like anyone looked for proof in other games she might be in.
That being said, duck has 30 pages to read to catch up on and that's not an easy feat
I noticed that too but my impression was that they wanted to swing momentum onto another viable-looking wagon as an alternative to TheWorst. I didn't like how Momrangal defended both Irrelephant and TheWorst and pushed their attackers and tried to get a wagon going elsewhere.In post 823, skitter30 wrote:intersting to note that mom votes nauci and duckling moves his vote off of mom onto nauci. i'm *pretty* sure from voting patterns that mom and duckling aren't scum together even though mom's defending him; the timing of their votes don't really feel like partners to me.
If by "agenda," you mean Nauci's push on Irrelephant, how do you differentiate between scum pushing a agenda and town pushing their scumreads when they develop a read they feel confident in? I'm not sure what agenda is being served by going all-out on D1 talking about how good Irrelephant is as scum and hard-pushing a case and trying to convince a lot of people that their townread is wrong as opposed to going for an easier lynch, bringing up Irrelephant-paranoia later on. People are generally more willing to lynch good scumplayers out of paranoia if they are alive too long than on D1.In post 923, the worst wrote:she feels less attached and engaged here and I cannot shake the feeling that her posting is pushing an agenda and specific preconceived stances rather than actively forming opinions fluidly as she goes.
huhIn post 1918, BlackVoid wrote:If by "agenda," you mean Nauci's push on Irrelephant, how do you differentiate between scum pushing a agenda and town pushing their scumreads when they develop a read they feel confident in? I'm not sure what agenda is being served by going all-out on D1 talking about how good Irrelephant is as scum and hard-pushing a case and trying to convince a lot of people that their townread is wrong as opposed to going for an easier lynch, bringing up Irrelephant-paranoia later on. People are generally more willing to lynch good scumplayers out of paranoia if they are alive too long than on D1.
didIn post 1918, BlackVoid wrote:I'd prefer if you can elaborate actually. Gemini has three posts of game relevant content none of which take any strong stances. What did you agree with?
BV's very obviously town here.In post 1923, the worst wrote:holy mother of busywoek
if the cop isn't on BVslot they should be embarrassed