Mini 2247: Mountain Dew Mafia (Game Over)


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Post Post #2487 (isolation #0) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 1:10 pm

Post by Jada »

I am likely going to sheep LLD unless something comes up when I read.
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Post Post #2488 (isolation #1) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 2:32 pm

Post by Jada »

I'm at the bottom of page 20.

High town

Jada
Towelie

Town

Milk & Mocha
Gamma Emerald
Critter
SSBM

Null

Dunnstral
Mushanga
Wisdom

Scummy

StrangeMatter
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Post Post #2489 (isolation #2) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 2:38 pm

Post by Jada »

In post 529, Gamma Emerald wrote:Subject: Large Normal 233 | Mafia PT
ssbm_Kyouko wrote:Going to have to look up babysitter. Hello everyone :)
looked at a random scum PT from kyouko, this reinforces my read that she wouldn't vote an outed IC as scum (again, idc for wifom logic)
I'm pausing here because this is alarming.

Why are you searching random threads to defend kyouko when they are under virtually no pressure? Also, what makes you think a random PT search would have shown anything useful? This doesn't even relate to the point you're making?
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Post Post #2490 (isolation #3) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 3:11 pm

Post by Jada »

I'm halfway through.

Move MM and Gamma up to High Town.
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Post Post #2493 (isolation #4) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 3:53 pm

Post by Jada »

It's a bit of PoE and a bit of not seeing anything townish.
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Post Post #2496 (isolation #5) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 4:55 pm

Post by Jada »

In post 2495, StrangeMatter wrote:I think there's been a bit of a miscommunication here. Can you explain it better or point to what you think is scummy, and then explain it?
Your association with flipped scum is not good. In , VFT has a very distancy reads list. You don't show much scumhunting in your ISO. I have a pretty solid townblock I would like to test right now, unless my readthrough changes things.
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Post Post #2498 (isolation #6) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 5:10 pm

Post by Jada »

In post 2497, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Jada, when you catch up, I have a hypothetical scenario that I think is the only way I'm gonna get to know your play fast enough to go into Day 3 feeling like I can play at a useful level. (Catchup posting is garbage for learning how people play, IMO.)

Let's say you get a magical dayvig shot at the time you catch up to this post. The catch is, you have to shoot in your townreads. Null or lower is off limits. Somehow you cannot lie to escape the conundrum -- it's magic, after all.

Who do you take down? Who's your deep wolf in this scenario?



Again, this is more to give me a feel for you, the player on the far side, than it is to get an actual read on your alignment. There's no right answer, there's no gotcha, I don't have enough brain power to set up one of those right now.
Right now, I would say Critter. That's not because of him being scum but him being so far off base that he'd be a threat to have around at end game. I wouldn't hero shot here with such a strong townblock.
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Post Post #2500 (isolation #7) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 5:18 pm

Post by Jada »

Go on. Who is scum in my townblock?
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Post Post #2503 (isolation #8) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 5:25 pm

Post by Jada »

I don't get if you aren't saying there's scum in my townreads.
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Post Post #2504 (isolation #9) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 5:25 pm

Post by Jada »

In post 2502, StrangeMatter wrote:Are you expecting me to know what your townblock is?
Yes. I just posted my reads less than two pages ago.
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Post Post #2507 (isolation #10) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 5:51 pm

Post by Jada »

What did you mean?
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Post Post #2509 (isolation #11) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 5:59 pm

Post by Jada »

Why do you think I haven't questioned it?
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Post Post #2513 (isolation #12) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 8:14 pm

Post by Jada »

Move Mush into my townreads. Liked her interaction with Critter.

If I had a compulsive day vig in my TRs, I'd shoot SSBM for to information or bears for policy. Why do you ask?
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Post Post #2514 (isolation #13) » Sun Nov 07, 2021 8:15 pm

Post by Jada »

VOTE: Dunnstral
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Post Post #2528 (isolation #14) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 7:16 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2522, Towelie wrote:I propose massclaim

Also SSBM I told you so
Why would we massclaim here when we're this far ahead?
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Post Post #2529 (isolation #15) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 7:18 am

Post by Jada »

I'm not opposed to it if my townblock agrees, but I wouldn't here.

Maybe a PR VT massclaim.
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Post Post #2532 (isolation #16) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 7:24 am

Post by Jada »

VT
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Post Post #2533 (isolation #17) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 7:25 am

Post by Jada »

What do you think of my reads?
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Post Post #2535 (isolation #18) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 7:26 am

Post by Jada »

If Gamma wants it.
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Post Post #2536 (isolation #19) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 7:27 am

Post by Jada »

I don't fully trust you.
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Post Post #2541 (isolation #20) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 7:44 am

Post by Jada »

High town

Jada - Me
Towelie - Conflict with flipped scum, spewed in VFT readwall
M and M - Claim comes from town
Gamma - Ditto

Town

Critter - Flipped wrong town
SSBM - Conflict with others is very tonally town

Null

Dunnstral - Flipped lurky scum
Mushanga - Overly hostile, might be shopping
Wisdom - BoP, possibly egging math

Scummy

StrangeMatter - Low ISO, distance in VFT wall, awkward voting patterns
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Post Post #2545 (isolation #21) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 7:49 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2542, Towelie wrote:
In post 2541, Jada wrote:M and M - Claim comes from town
which claim? that jester thing?

-b
That whole nightmare. There was other things too I think. I just wrote from memory. It may be days before I reach my notes.
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Post Post #2554 (isolation #22) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 8:02 am

Post by Jada »

SM, what are your reads?

I asked you to comment on mine and you never replied.
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Post Post #2556 (isolation #23) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 8:05 am

Post by Jada »

I feel like VFT was buddying critter.
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Post Post #2557 (isolation #24) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 8:06 am

Post by Jada »

In post 138, Critter wrote:
In post 136, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:
Something_Smart wrote:Yeah, I suppose it's fine as long as you explain it eventually.

Whose response exactly are you waiting for?
That would be telling. Maybe it’s yours, right now, and I’m just playing out the game I’ve set.

Maybe it’s no one’s and I’ve actually lied in order to force this sort of engagement, and I’ll play it off like I had a plan all along when I get something worth picking at.

And maybe I’m watching the players outside of the two 1v1s to see which they gravitate to weighing in on, making hidden judgement calls on that basis, and building a map of where to hit.

Or none of the above. Again, you do not know. That’s the point.

I work best in the midst of chaos. A side effect of being a Discordian, maybe. Chaos has arrived, tis the season of Aftermath. Now the work begins, and I can’t very well do my best if I clear everything up for you, now can I?
Let it be noted I hate this. I have been working extremely hard to not hyperpost and not be in conflict immediately and you doing manipulative stuff (your words) makes me really wonder what Townie mindset there is for this. Has anyone played with her before to speak to this?
This in particular suggests Mush town.
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Post Post #2560 (isolation #25) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 8:13 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2558, Towelie wrote:I don't necessarily disagree with the read but I don't see how flipped town's opinion here has bearing on that

-b
It's not Critter's opinion
alone
. His opinion doesn't even suggest Mush town. It's how VFT promoted that post, which I think was to create an explosive conflict there. Critter is vulnerable to those.
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Post Post #2562 (isolation #26) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 8:17 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2561, Titus wrote:
In post 2559, Wisdom wrote:Its either mm or sm
The former softclaimed some PR and the latter VT
So the question is whether we think the last scum is goon
Why did your reads change?
Fuck. I should not play when half asleep.
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Post Post #2567 (isolation #27) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 8:21 am

Post by Jada »

Yeah. I wanted an alt to see something in particular, so I made Tamora's Angel. That bugs out for dead PTs so I had to retire it. I made this one for the same purpose and largely blew it.

I'm going to wait awhile before testing again.
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Post Post #2569 (isolation #28) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 8:24 am

Post by Jada »

Mental note SM vanished when asked about reads
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Post Post #2572 (isolation #29) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 8:31 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2570, StrangeMatter wrote:Ok so I’m just not allowed to type, especially on a phone. That’s some really bad faith.
When can you give reads? I am phone posting.
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Post Post #2576 (isolation #30) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 8:46 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2571, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:
In post 2569, Jada wrote:Mental note SM vanished when asked about reads
Oh, this is my chance to check against someone else’s brain!

So, when ISOing SM, do you see a pattern in their posts or is it just me? I don’t want to bias you too much in case it’s an illusion but it’s something about the flow of almost every single interaction.
I don't see giving townreads but I am bad with patterns.
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Post Post #2603 (isolation #31) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 6:39 pm

Post by Jada »

In post 1325, Cabd wrote:
Vote Count 1-13


A man made the news recently for "stealing" mountain dew, for which he faces several years as a felony, despite thinking he'd overpaid in a rush.


Milk & Mocha (4): Dunnstral, Venus Fly Trap, Lady Lamdadelta, Towelie
E. M. M. I. (3): ssbm_Kyouko, Gamma Emerald, Wisdom
ssbm_Kyouko (1): Critter
Dunnstral (1): Milk & Mocha
Gamma Emerald (1): StrangeMatter
Critter (1): MUSHSHAGANA

Not Voting (2): Something_Smart, E. M. M. I.

With 13 players alive, it takes 7 votes to eliminate a flavor.

Current Deadline: (expired on 2021-11-02 20:02:57)
MM town
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Post Post #2604 (isolation #32) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 6:42 pm

Post by Jada »

There's not really much counterwagons to work with. MM being town is a common sense conclusion. It's moonlogic possible they're scum but no.
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Post Post #2605 (isolation #33) » Wed Nov 10, 2021 6:43 pm

Post by Jada »

In post 2602, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Hm.



Baja Blast. PR. I'm going to go further and claim: Novice X-Shot Vig. How many shots is for you to find out. I have used none.

I'm claiming because I will be shooting tonight, but I'm aware I haven't been playing with a full deck, mentally -- so I want to have some guidance. Unfortunately, I trust no one who isn't Gamma to suggest shot guidance.'

Do with that as you will.
While I highly doubt Mush is scum, this claim doesn't sit right with me. It should sort itself out though.
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Post Post #2658 (isolation #34) » Thu Nov 11, 2021 6:08 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2639, Gamma Emerald wrote:based on these I think it is just M&M here
scum probably wanted to get at least one misyeet off before they got found out, so their hopes were riding on the wisdom target idea being bought into
if M&M isn't the last scum and we go into night phase I'd probably say kyouko should get shot just because she also tried to put suspicion on someone that wasn't dunnstral via hider guilty
Disagree. If Dunn was guiltied, there's no reason to wagon one of their own.
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Post Post #2662 (isolation #35) » Thu Nov 11, 2021 7:21 am

Post by Jada »

I did the VCA for day 1. No counterwagons makes it hard.
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Post Post #2683 (isolation #36) » Fri Nov 12, 2021 7:59 am

Post by Jada »

Wisdom is likely town based on the last page.
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Post Post #2909 (isolation #37) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 10:48 am

Post by Jada »

I still think that mush is scum.
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Post Post #2910 (isolation #38) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 10:48 am

Post by Jada »

If not SM.
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Post Post #2913 (isolation #39) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:04 am

Post by Jada »

This is a mini theme, not a mini normal. Vig =/= town

I'm hunting by play.
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Post Post #2914 (isolation #40) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:06 am

Post by Jada »

Second, a shot on an unexpected target =/= vig presence.

It's moonlogic but given our lead, I'd pursue reads over mechanics
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Post Post #2916 (isolation #41) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:07 am

Post by Jada »

Scum vigs were allowed in mini normals in 2013. I was in the game that changed that rule years ago.
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Post Post #2917 (isolation #42) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:09 am

Post by Jada »

I get full well that my position is moonlogic on Mush so I prefer SM today.

I don't SR bears.
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Post Post #2919 (isolation #43) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:13 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2918, Wisdom wrote:sm is not happening today because hes confirmed vanilla
Your choice is mm or me
I'm going to be stubborn and abstain. No one needs me, so I can make a point.
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Post Post #2921 (isolation #44) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:17 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2920, Wisdom wrote:Do you think last scum is goon
Possibly. Don't care for mech talk either way.

The assumption the last scum is a PR is shit. Doubly so since vigs are negative utility.
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Post Post #2922 (isolation #45) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:19 am

Post by Jada »

Answer me this: If Mush is town, how is this a theme game?
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Post Post #2926 (isolation #46) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:20 am

Post by Jada »

I'm not going to hold up the game, but I have my position.

VOTE: SM
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Post Post #2927 (isolation #47) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:21 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2924, Wisdom wrote:
In post 2922, Jada wrote:Answer me this: If Mush is town, how is this a theme game?
?
This game should be in the normal queue and not the theme queue if everyone is #trueclaiming as town.
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Post Post #2930 (isolation #48) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:26 am

Post by Jada »

Disagree but checking the list parity cop for vanilla might actually not be whitelisted so meh.
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Post Post #2932 (isolation #49) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:27 am

Post by Jada »

I see I'm likely outvoted anyway so I won't get in the way. I just feel this is a bad idea based on bad assumptions. I could be wrong though.
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Post Post #2933 (isolation #50) » Sat Nov 13, 2021 11:28 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2931, Wisdom wrote:
In post 2923, Wisdom wrote:But they only had a 2shot roleblocker
Is that enough against all the town power
Neighbor weak
Doc weak
Parity weak
Vig weak to neg utility

Mush might not even be town
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Post Post #2941 (isolation #51) » Sun Nov 14, 2021 5:19 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2939, Towelie wrote:It was literally said IN QUEUE

And it shouldn’t be in mini normals because it does have flavor snd mini normals are bland as fuck
You expect me to read the queue when subbing in?

Look just do your thing. I'm not getting in the way but I think MM and Wisdom are both town.
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Post Post #2982 (isolation #52) » Mon Nov 15, 2021 7:01 am

Post by Jada »

I wish we'd just eliminate SM and win the game already.

None of this setup spec nonsense.
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Post Post #2994 (isolation #53) » Mon Nov 15, 2021 7:24 am

Post by Jada »

In post 2983, Wisdom wrote:This is why you trouble me titus

You know better than this
I know to follow setup spec? Why? I'd rather follow by play.

If you want me to change my mind, then look at the play, not the setup spec.

I'm open to being wrong here but I know better than to outguess the mod.
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Post Post #2996 (isolation #54) » Mon Nov 15, 2021 7:25 am

Post by Jada »

In [url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=13125950#p13125950]post 2991[/url], Milk & Mocha wrote:Dunnstral didn't have to use his roleblock on N1 on anyone.

Also there's no reason Gamma gets nightkilled if we're T/T here because who is gamma even going to catch?
It's more likely Dunn missed n1 than no block.
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