Newbie 1881 - Game Over
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- OkaPoka
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That's true, but also kinda basic. Why are you saying this/what are you addressing?In post 450, OkaPoka wrote:imo town wants to engage to develop reads on people while scum doesn't care about developing reads they just want to let others engage and argue while avoiding attention.- OkaPoka
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on my forum L-2 is always when people claim, and we dont have this "intent to Lynch" stuff.In post 449, Quick wrote:
Usually it's L-1 with an intent to hammer that necessitates a claim, not L-2. Where did you get that idea from anyway?In post 443, Eragon wrote:sorry guys, I was sleeping, woke up early, and went to a golf tournament and am finally home.
I will be catching up but I saw someone say something about voting...
I will say this here and now, I am NOT a believer in pressure votes.
When I vote somebody it is because I have a strong belief they will flip scum.
yesterday, I felt like Oka and flicker were both scummy enough to warrant a vote, but me voting would've put them at L-2(iirc)
and I dont think L-2 is a good spot rn because it normally warrants a claim, and claiming this early into the game is bleh, and the game devolves into Neanderthals fighting over which claim people believe
You are saying that you only vote with intent to lynch. How does changing your reads factor into that? AFAICT, playing without pressure votes is sub-optimal because like I just said, your reads are likely to change so if you are just voting to lynch then that takes away any kind of soft stance you might have on someone.
What is your read on Ice?
if I vote someone, and my reads change, then I will change my vote.
I dont mean that I only place one vote a day, but when I place a vote, its because im a firm believer that the person im voting is scum.
About ice, im not liking his "IC PL" stuff or his scum read on you not reading the thread, so as with his read on Oka,
Noob!town or scum- Eragon
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I agree thats its not a town tell, but I dont see not being proactive is a hard-scumtell either.In post 450, OkaPoka wrote:imo town wants to engage to develop reads on people while scum doesn't care about developing reads they just want to let others engage and argue while avoiding attention.
town isnt always proactive, just as scum isnt always not proactive.
I just dont find activity a good way to read someone- IcemanCh
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In post 441, OkaPoka wrote:
why aren't you voting thoIn post 440, IcemanCh wrote:
In isolation to this game the best I could do so far is neutral. So far my scale is below.In post 436, OkaPoka wrote:is anyone else scumreading trinity? I feel a bit lonely. i know ice has made an indication.
Town - nancy Formerfish
Lean Town - Ergon
Nuetral - Trinity Flicker Stanley
Lean Scum - Oka
Scum - Quick
I did.... didn't I?- IcemanCh
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Sort of.In post 422, IcemanCh wrote:So if I look at just this game and ignore meta then.... I have to be honest in that I would struggle to place Trinity as town. I would put a scum lean on her either though. In isolation to this game she reads mostly neutral to me.
For FF looking at just this game I would say he's a town lean. Actively engaging, pushing people until he's satisfied, and giving clear reasoning behind his reads. This to me is town.
Adding in meta for both trinity and FF just gives them a bump into more towniness.
Is meta really that wrong to look at?
Meta is basically a playstyle read, right? So when you're saying "X is town because meta", what you're really saying is that you recognize their playstyle. Maybe in past games, they had a certain playstyle as town, and a certain playstyle as scum, and there were very noticeable differences between the two. The thing is, playstyle is not a static thing that doesn't ever change. It changes from game to game, sometimes drastically and unpredictably. It depends on the playerlist and size of the game, the game mechanics, their role, the person's mood and life circumstances, what they learned in their last game, so many things that aren't related to alignment even a little bit.
So in order to say that you think someone is town because of meta, you need to have an extremely nuanced understanding of that person's playstyle, you have to really know them as a player, and somewhat as a person, too. The only way you can develop that kind of understanding is by playing with them a bunch, getting to know them really well, and figuring out where all the little pieces go in their special little puzzle of a brain. Unless you have that level of a relationship with them, it's really unwise to ever presume that you can get a read on their alignment just from their playstyle.
The way you should use meta is to find someone's baseline, and use that as a kind of springboard from which to read them. What level are they playing on? If they're inexperienced, or have a bad wolf game, then you're going to read into their play differently, and it's generally going to be easier to get a strong alignment read on them. If they're experienced, or have a good wolf game, the things you look for to figure out their alignment change, and you have go simultaneously deeper and broader.
Let me give you some examples.
There's a player on mafiascum called Creature. There's a really huge difference between the way he plays mafia and the way he plays town, and pretty much the only way to reliably read him is by understanding his meta, because his town game by itself can be really hard to get an alignment read from. When he's mafia, he's basically frozen all game and he posts less and less as the game progresses. When he's town, he tends to be pretty active and his activity can really get up there in the later stages of the game. So essentially the way you read him is by tracking his activity. Well, that's the lazy way to read him, anyway. And it's only reliable because he has hundreds of games and his meta hasn't changed for years.
And the thing is, having people like this in the game, who just only really play as one alignment, is really really terrible and contributes to toxic game meta, because at that point it's more a farce than a real mafia game of reading into mindset and motivation. Imagine a 13p game with 13 players who have that kind of meta. Run 10 games with those same 13 players and every time the lowposters are mafia and the active posters are town. That's not a real puzzle.
Another example, from a game on mafia universe where I was in a hydra. I was pushing on Dp101 for most of day 1, and Dp101 was mafia, but he was being defended by friends, who thought he was town. I dropped this case on him at EoD1:
Spoiler:
Boquise, Alette, Cuthalion and Lissa, who were all very familiar with Dp101, and who were town, were arguing that Dp101 was town by meta. Cuthalion made these two posts about him:
Spoiler:
At which point I became really frustrated and made this post:
Spoiler:
Which Cuthalion responded to by properly towncasing Dp, and after reading this case I relented, backed off and respected the meta townread on Dp:
(I've snipped the Dp101 quotes because they were huge readwalls.)
Spoiler:
The real issue with all of this wasn't that Cuthalion and co. had a bad read. There's nothing wrong or problematic at all with getting someone's alignment wrong in a game. What was problematic about this was that because it was a meta read, he was arguing from a position of authority. I couldn't really call his read into question, because he "knew Dp better than me" and my point of view was automatically less valid as a result. I couldn't argue against his reasoning, because I didn't have the same level of experience with Dp, I didn't have those past games that I could talk about to argue against his read. I could only talk about my reasoning about things he had done in that one game. It's equally sucky from Cuthalion's perspective, because he was stuck in a wrong read and there was no way for him to get a sanity check, to get someone to challenge him on his perspective.
Dp101 was replaced that game, btw, and I strongly scumread the replacement as well. I dumped a huge case on why the sub was mafia before I died. The slot endgamed town, with both Boquise and Alette (who knew and meta townread Dp101) alive and townreading the slot.
I think that's pretty much the crux of the problem with metareads.
a) You're making the game about things that it shouldn't be about.
b) Reading into playstyle is very rarely reliable.
c) You're alienating yourself and anyone who doesn't share your meta knowledge, and alienation is the surest way to lose games as town.
d) You're lowering the standard of what passes for town play in the game, which makes it easier for mafia to win.
Use a meta read to supplement an alignment read you have based on other reasoning? Sure. Avoid playstyle false positives by learning that a player does certain surface-level scummy stuff as town? Great. But it should never be a significant part of why you are reading someone the way you are and you should always be able to communicate with other people on equal terms about the read and what their behavior means for their alignment.
Here's one last example to top off an already too-long post. In my last game here, I got two correct townreads on townies that had kind of scummy playstyles by reading into their mindset, which is essentially the start of what would constitute a meta read, since good meta reads are just a heightened understanding of someone's mindset. My read on both wouldn't have been possible if I hadn't managed to figure out what level they were playing on. The two main points where that came together were Vulcan's "chicken-headedness" and TheRampage's bullrush-style play that came across as scummy on a surface level.
Spoiler:
Coincidentally, northsidegal, who was mafia in that game, based 2-3 of her reads that game on meta. It made no sense for her to base her reads on meta in the way she was, it was an excuse for her to avoid producing real reasoning, and because no one else in the game was using meta in that way, she ended up being correctly scumread for it. If the townies in the game had been throwing around meta reads, she would have fit in just fine. This is what I mean by point "d" above.
Hopefully this wasn't too long, lmao.
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oh okIn post 458, TrinityNZ wrote:Eragon, I meant Iceman was being hard on Quick.- OkaPoka
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Explain saying stuff without saying much and what that means about his alignment for you? Why don't you like the PL thing?In post 433, Quick wrote:OK, I did a one over on Ice. he seems to be saying stuff without really saying much. Lot of talk about the IC. Didn't like that he would PL the IC if they were alive D3. That's probably the most notable thing I saw.
hi meet my mafiascum gravestone, the flowers were probably left by camn or schadd or Prism, blow them kisses for me would you?- nancy
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Hum.In post 443, Eragon wrote:sorry guys, I was sleeping, woke up early, and went to a golf tournament and am finally home.
I will be catching up but I saw someone say something about voting...
I will say this here and now, I am NOT a believer in pressure votes.
When I vote somebody it is because I have a strong belief they will flip scum.
yesterday, I felt like Oka and flicker were both scummy enough to warrant a vote, but me voting would've put them at L-2(iirc)
and I dont think L-2 is a good spot rn because it normally warrants a claim, and claiming this early into the game is bleh, and the game devolves into Neanderthals fighting over which claim people believe
You really shouldn't claim before L-1 and someone has given intent to hammer.
hi meet my mafiascum gravestone, the flowers were probably left by camn or schadd or Prism, blow them kisses for me would you?- nancy
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Is an inconsistency in his progression. If he's mafia, his stance on Flicker is a little glimpse into the fact that he's lying about his reads, because he can't keep his thoughts on her straight and reads into the same content from her in different ways based on thread temperature. Is possible that he just had that inconsistency as town too, though, I think, so it's a little scummy maybe but not very? He seems pretty scatterbrained as a player so I think it's probably less indicative than it might be otherwise. I also sorta liked his response to me about it, I guess, which helps a bit.In post 444, Eragon wrote:
would Oka be considered 180'ing or Fencesitting right here?(game theory question, not for actual game)In post 336, nancy wrote:
This is also a thing.In post 123, OkaPoka wrote:im not really seeing flicker scum rn
Um.
hi meet my mafiascum gravestone, the flowers were probably left by camn or schadd or Prism, blow them kisses for me would you?- nancy
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ST-{none}
T-{Formerfish, Nancy}
LT-{Stan1ey, Quick}
N-{Trinity}
NS-{oka, flicker, iceman}
S-{none}
not much different, im liking iceman less and trinity was moved down
I put quick in LT because I dont think scum would draw too much attention to themselves for not reading the thread and it feel natural- Eragon
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we all have our preferences.In post 463, nancy wrote:
Hum.In post 443, Eragon wrote:sorry guys, I was sleeping, woke up early, and went to a golf tournament and am finally home.
I will be catching up but I saw someone say something about voting...
I will say this here and now, I am NOT a believer in pressure votes.
When I vote somebody it is because I have a strong belief they will flip scum.
yesterday, I felt like Oka and flicker were both scummy enough to warrant a vote, but me voting would've put them at L-2(iirc)
and I dont think L-2 is a good spot rn because it normally warrants a claim, and claiming this early into the game is bleh, and the game devolves into Neanderthals fighting over which claim people believe
You really shouldn't claim before L-1 and someone has given intent to hammer.
okIn post 464, nancy wrote:
Is an inconsistency in his progression. If he's mafia, his stance on Flicker is a little glimpse into the fact that he's lying about his reads, because he can't keep his thoughts on her straight and reads into the same content from her in different ways based on thread temperature. Is possible that he just had that inconsistency as town too, though, I think, so it's a little scummy maybe but not very? He seems pretty scatterbrained as a player so I think it's probably less indicative than it might be otherwise. I also sorta liked his response to me about it, I guess, which helps a bit.In post 444, Eragon wrote:
would Oka be considered 180'ing or Fencesitting right here?(game theory question, not for actual game)In post 336, nancy wrote:
This is also a thing.In post 123, OkaPoka wrote:im not really seeing flicker scum rn
Um.
im not insane, promise :3In post 465, nancy wrote:God, I feel like I really need a sanity check on my Eragon townread.- OkaPoka
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I don't mean just a readlist, I mean words about where your head is at with the game.In post 469, Eragon wrote:ST-{none}
T-{Formerfish, Nancy}
LT-{Stan1ey, Quick}
N-{Trinity}
NS-{oka, flicker, iceman}
S-{none}
not much different, im liking iceman less and trinity was moved down
I put quick in LT because I dont think scum would draw too much attention to themselves for not reading the thread and it feel natural
Like, you've posted about a bunch of stuff and I've agreed with a lot of what you've had to say but when I think about your reads and how you got to them I kind of come up empty? Also just kind of don't have a sense of what you're actually doing here to solve the game, feels a bit like you're just showing up and commenting on everything but not doing a whole lot else and it's worrying me.
hi meet my mafiascum gravestone, the flowers were probably left by camn or schadd or Prism, blow them kisses for me would you?- nancy
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Um, why?In post 471, OkaPoka wrote:though tbh im starting to doubt a lot of my solid townreads, i think nancy is my only solid townread left, everything else is shifting towards null or scum
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ok, so basically like explaining my reads?In post 472, nancy wrote:
I don't mean just a readlist, I mean words about where your head is at with the game.In post 469, Eragon wrote:ST-{none}
T-{Formerfish, Nancy}
LT-{Stan1ey, Quick}
N-{Trinity}
NS-{oka, flicker, iceman}
S-{none}
not much different, im liking iceman less and trinity was moved down
I put quick in LT because I dont think scum would draw too much attention to themselves for not reading the thread and it feel natural
Like, you've posted about a bunch of stuff and I've agreed with a lot of what you've had to say but when I think about your reads and how you got to them I kind of come up empty? Also just kind of don't have a sense of what you're actually doing here to solve the game, feels a bit like you're just showing up and commenting on everything but not doing a whole lot else and it's worrying me. - Eragon
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