Posted: Tue Jun 18, 2013 11:35 am
I think I'll do a study on lynching people primarily "for information", too.
https://forum.mafiascum-staging.net/
In post 324, Zed17 wrote:The whole roflcopter wagon is uninspired and bad, imo.
In post 327, Zoidberg wrote:Unless you're saying rofl reads town to you?
Why point it out in the first place then? Surely you had some compelling reason to say so.In post 329, Zed17 wrote:Not particularly, no.
Is it a Scum tell to talk about other stuff aside from the main wagon? Would you argue that Metal Sonic is an easier player to lynch than Pope?In post 330, TiphaineDeath wrote:Right, I think my logic was Zed's first post fails to comment on largest forming wagon and instead tries to start up a counter wagon on a traditionally easy player to lynch under questionable logic.
Okay, so...Varsoon says he's Scum and you totally believe him because he "doesn't lie"? So you're saying that he's Scum and you actually believe something that a Scum player is saying. Can you detect the flaw in this line of thought or should I draw you a diagram?In post 331, Metal Sonic wrote:but varsoon claimed scum and he is probably not lying
Your logical leap here makes no sense to me. You're saying that roflcopter isn't Scum because Varsoon is Scum? How are roflcopter and Varsoon related?In post 333, TheIrishPope wrote:Guys
Seriously
Why would roflcopter be scum
Varsoon is scum
HE FUCKING SAID HE WAS SCUM
Why worry about giving Zoidberg more ways to fight back? If he's Scum, we should be encouraging him to say as much as possible so we'll have more content to analyze.In post 346, TiphaineDeath wrote:zoid is still scum but don't use that as a false strike against him, it just gives him more ways to fight back.
In post 349, TiphaineDeath wrote:TSO might be scum but only if we are in multiball, and if so he's not scum with TIP.
Zoidberg/TSO/X
TIP/Zed/X
So nowIn post 375, TiphaineDeath wrote:I actually agree, would not be surprised if psyche is the third on Tip/Zed/X scumteam.
In post 362, Zoidberg wrote:Or if there's a vig, TIP would be a primo target. He's the player scum keeps around because he's fucking awful and has no chance of actually finding scum.
So you're encouraging the theoretical Vig to kill a player who you believe to be Town? Wouldn't you rather have them shoot, y'know, Scum?In post 383, Zoidberg wrote:I feel like TIP is just a newbie who's uncomfortable now that he's not in Road to Rome. Mostly I'm hoping someone vigs him, because his play has been atrocious but there are better lynches to be had IMHO.
And what makes you so sure that this isn't what Pope is doing? Can you read his mind?In post 365, Psyche wrote:It's only called "lying" if it is done in an active attempt to deceive an audience.
The case on roflcopter isn't based on inactivity. The suspicion of him stems from his behavior, not his lack of behavior.In post 370, T S O wrote:He's one of the leading wagons based really on inactivity and no prod is slowing us down.
In post 334, Metal Sonic wrote:^
In post 337, Metal Sonic wrote:^
Please don't spam the thread like this. Your post count isn'tIn post 345, TiphaineDeath wrote:^
In post 393, Psyche wrote:ooh i'm really excited about this so lemme explainIn post 388, T S O wrote:Psyche, is this a program in your mind or some sort of computer? I don't really know what you're on about here.
I currently have stored on my computer the archives of about 300 threads of mini normals. These are all in the process of being processed such that every post is associated with an alliance, a Day, and all the other stuff that posts normally get associated with (username, time, etc.). I am using a program to do this at a pretty fast pace (it takes like 1-2 minutes per thread, excluding the parts where I change thread or take breaks).
Once this is finished, I'll be able to use another program to collect statistics on these threads - how correlated a certain pattern of words, post length, Day, etc. is with a given alliance or player. Using these statistics, I will have a relatively more sound epistemic basis on which to vote and advocate the lynches of players.
Once this basic system is perfected, I'll study more advanced statistics and learn how to predict whole scumteams after inputting the first, say, 20 pages of the game.
***
Since it'll be a long time until I get all of this done, right now I'm merely going to process enough threads to perform an im promptu study on how saying things like "I'm scum" correlates with alliance and use the results to inform my read on Varsoons.
This is a lot like my accusations of flailing study that I did in 2012, except my flailing study was done manually (i scrolled through many threads, recording on a notes app who said flailing and about whom) and was much less ambitious.
^In post 405, Skullduggery wrote:In post 334, Metal Sonic wrote:^In post 337, Metal Sonic wrote:^Please don't spam the thread like this. Your post count isn'tIn post 345, TiphaineDeath wrote:^thatimportant.
I do this all the time.In post 408, Psyche wrote:you're wallposting on a mafiascum.net thread
ISO my posts, I make a few points about him and nod to others who do as well.In post 409, EddieFenix wrote:After ISO'ing Zoidberg, I got nothin. Anyone want to write a step by step analysis of why they are voting Zoidberg?
It's bizarre because you're not following up on your convictions that the arguments themselves have merit. That makes me think that your purpose was more to praise TIP himself (and why would town do that? I don't have a reason)In post 311, Desperado wrote:Why would it be bizarre?
Zoidberg was asking deliberately obtuse questions that he already knew the answer to, and Tiphaine chose to discredit TIP over engaging him. You would expect townies to just let these things go?
And for all of quote mining you're apparently doing, you aren't even reading any of it. I did vote for Varsoon (in fact, I voted him before everything you're referencing here), and cogent arguments =/= persuasive arguments.
a) I'm not sure if he's town or not. I have him as pretty null.In post 405, Skullduggery wrote:So you're encouraging the theoretical Vig to kill a player who you believe to be Town? Wouldn't you rather have them shoot, y'know, Scum?
Did the day just end?In post 421, MonkeyMan576 wrote:***Incoming Message***
***Incoming Message***
***Incoming Message***