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- Homura
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Homura
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Homura Goon
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Homura Goon
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Not convinced by your analysis of 30. I can see your rationale, but considering the context of the post (early game, barely post-RVS), it's far out to say TSE was trying spin Lunar's mafioso comment into a setup slip. From 30 and 35 it's evident TSE leaned on the latter of the two scenarios he presented, and therefore the wording of "sorta townslip" implies he didn't believe it was one. Subsequently, scum!TSE can't claim he read Lunar as town in case of a mislynch.In post 201, LuckyLuciano wrote: - Leaning scum on TSE. If TSE is scum, we are playing setup A or B. #30 likely to come from scum within a PR mafia that is looking for town to hint that the Goon + Goon theory is wrong. Any town that knows the setup is not C would only know so because they are a power role.
-- Further, in my initial reading, an again in my rereading, while I agree that the usage of "mafioso" could be a town slip (LR is a new player using the lingo he is used to, if the official lingo for mafioso on MS is Mafia Goon, then the term mafioso wouldn't be at the forefront of a new scum's mind when referring to mafia), I highly dislike it being called a "sorta" townslip. Either he believes it's a townslip or not. To even call this out as a town slip is rather acute analysis, and as town I believe he would read it more strongly. As mafia, he is incentivized to avoid heavily establishing townies as innocent. The whole post feels artificially constructed such for the reasons listed above, but also so that in event of a mislynch he can come back and say he read LR as a town early on in order to try and get town cred.
WRT 31, feel like you're specifically taking issue with TSE taking Titus's vote progression as NAI when both Tapioca and Phoenix also took it as such. I found it NAI and leaned town-indicative only after Titus elaborated. What's different with TSE?- Homura
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Homura Goon
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Have you read TSE's past games, especially his scumgames? Your narrative doesn't align with something scum!TSE is capable of, and TSE townreads both QQ and Titus.In post 235, LuckyLuciano wrote:
Fluff with potential. In other words, TSE gets to be active without meaningfully contributing to the DP, and if Titus doesn't give a good defense, then TSE can go for the easy mislynch target of QQ and still not have to combat Titus later on as he's tied his scum!Titus read to scum!QQ, allowing him to stay light on his feet when QQ flips town.In post 234, Homura wrote:What do you think of the TSE-Titus exchange in posts 164-168?
Think you're reaching.- Homura
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Homura Goon
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He's been heavily complacent to questions and scumreads on his slot, like to your 164 and to Luciano in 240, whereas in 1982 he immediately regressed into AtE when pressured. Granted, this is only one of his scumgames and I haven't read any others that might have deviated from my impression of his scum meta. But I'm townreading him independently of metareads either way.In post 267, Titus wrote:@Homura, I am not so sure I agree this is outside TSE's scumgames.
Your 168 seemed to imply that you considered TSE town from your exchange. Can you elaborate on why you think TSE isn't outside of his scum meta?- Homura
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Re-read last night and digested a bit.
Think LL is hard-tunneling town. TSE is town. Cheeky is town. Titus is maybe town, but nebulous. QQ/Crush might be town, but I want to see content I can actually parse.
Earlier Phoenix townlean might be wrong. Lynchpool of {Karnage, Tapioca!slot, Phoenix}. Low confidence on most reads.- Homura
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Can you explain why Phoenix is town?In post 260, Titus wrote:I feel Phoenix is seeping on you at the moment because you both are controlling personalities here. You two are my biggest TRs.- Homura
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Homura Goon
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Don't normally meta-read either but I made an exception for this case, since TSE's liable to make posts of questionable logic as either alignment. And think the lack of drive can be said for nearly everyone in the game and TSE feels relatively engaged in comparison, which is why he's my top townread. Cheeky's a townread for similar reasons but has some off-tone posts.In post 272, Titus wrote:@Homura, Sure I can. Be forewarned that I consider meta to be the weakest of arguments and I feel TSE is town, so feel free to disagree here especially. Others rely on meta. Each person has their own play.
However, I feel TSE is lacking a certain engagement and drive that he has as town. That's why I feel he's not a top town read. I still think he's town but not as town as LL or Phoenix.
What do you make of Phoenix's 252?
P-edit: Bless you, Plot- Homura
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How is my making meta arguments scum-indicative? Especially when it was perfectly applicable in the context I presented it in?In post 276, Crush wrote:Ok I've somewhat caught up, haven't really got the chance to really analyze everything but I guess that will have to wait until D2 or later. So far I actually quite dislike a lot of slots, of which I dislike Cheeky the most. Cheeky, would you say that you are someone that's easy to convince/too agreeable? Because you have voted for a lot of players D1 and to me it feels like you're trying to catch every wave that might hit the shore. Do you really think LL's post was that good to immediately let go of your Titus vote?
The Homura slot had a lot of posts I can't really place in the early pages, a lot of fluff and I also really hate meta arguments especially in a noobie game. Tapio slot had some questionable posts and seems also easily swayed. Karnage is still kinda whatever to me. I do like the #201 but I dislike the fixedness in his reads, still I've seen some town players do this in the games I've played years ago and since I still do like the effort and analysis LL is a town lean for now. To me the Phoenix slot isn't that noteworthy right now, which make the early TR other players have given him (before like pag 10'ish, I will have to look up later who exactly these players were) strange to me. The only minor thing I dislike in this slot is the seriousness he used in approaching my slot. TSE feels meh to me, I didn't particularly like the 'mafioso' thing and I think the constant formation of teams on D1 isn't that relevant, feels like a way to add to your postcount without really contributing. I like Titus the most aside from LL, mainly because of the early interactions regarding the 'gut vote' and the good cop bad cop thing.
So for me now: town leaning LL, Titus. Mafia leaning: Tapio, maybe Homura, maybe TSE but mainly VOTE: Cheeky- Homura
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Homura Goon
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Feel she's trying to sort and has been the most transparent spot in the game. She's elaborating on her reads and answering questions. Significant in a stagnant gamestate where it would be opportune for scum to blend in. Reads are in conflict, but considering the lack of content from most players that's to be expected.In post 284, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:
Could you elaborate on your Cheeky read?In post 270, Homura wrote:Re-read last night and digested a bit.
Think LL is hard-tunneling town. TSE is town. Cheeky is town. Titus is maybe town, but nebulous. QQ/Crush might be town, but I want to see content I can actually parse.
Earlier Phoenix townlean might be wrong. Lynchpool of {Karnage, Tapioca!slot, Phoenix}. Low confidence on most reads.- Homura
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What's your read of me, Cheeky?In post 279, CheekyTeeky wrote:I think the rest of my reads are pretty self-explanatory.- Homura
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Homura Goon
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Same question for you.In post 281, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:I’m liking Titus enthusiasm this game.
LL had a Townie entrance
Phoenix is contributioning quite a bit. In a more Townie way then scummy.
Tap’s interaction with me felt Genuine Town.- Homura
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Homura Goon
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Short answer: yes, and I'll elaborate more once TSE answers.In post 324, LuckyLuciano wrote: Is this valuable information? Why?- Homura
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Homura Goon
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Spoiler:
Think I've found my problem with this game.
Too much acquiescing going on. There's not enough energy in most pushes. Players back off too easily. Two options:
1.) Town are finding each other and mindmelding. Falls apart on a closer glance at the interactions I've quoted above, where Karnage and TSE in particular respond as such to players who are scumreading them.
or, more likely:
2.) Scum are taking advantage of the gamestate being in stasis and the lack of a coherent wagon to dissolve pushes and cause either 1.) a rushed mislynch or 2.) a no lynch entirely.- Homura
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Homura Goon
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There's a fine line between obstinately hard-tunneling on a read and being completely complacent on a read, and the latter is far more scum-indicative. Scum want to keep their options open, scum want to look as if they're pushing but not actually pushing, scum want to seem town. The only caveat is that the complacency surrounding the pushes can be attributed to general apathy towards the game and has a higher+rand chance of implicating town. Reevaluating my reads taking that into consideration:
TSE — My biggest strength, if I had to name one, would be my ability to discern between newbtown play/poor logical play and scumplay. It's not something I'm able to articulate, but I'm seeing that crucial difference on the town side for TSE. My townread on him lost a bit of strength since I replaced in, but this is still the only read I'm even slightly confident about. Despite his stated apathy towards the game, see that he's still trying to solve and has reads.
Karnage — Didn't like a lot of his posts, nor his insistence on Titus elaborating on her theory, which I thought was already well-explained. 64, 70, and 147 in particular are iffy, and I'm not getting a sense of an actual reads progression, or reads in general. Dislike the lack of a response to my 295. The caveat might apply more for Karnage here, however; feel like the apathy comes more from town!Karnage and that scum!Karnage would effort a bit more.
Ph0enix — 16 feels like an awkward LAMIST attempt to take the game out of RVS — what was Titus supposed to make of it? 47 and 65 are fluff, and I dislike his fixation on QQ's slot. Didn't like the reaction to Luciano in 252 and the vote. 302 feels shade-y on my slot, but even if unintentional was an odd question to ask. WRT the Luciano-Phoenix interaction, Phoenix never elaborated on why he's not able to see Luciano's push objectively from a town POV. The last "okay" is the worst offender of my complacency theory. He evidently considers Luciano his biggest scumread to the point of wanting him to be the lynch in 356, but not enough to push him? There's also a lack of a read progression on any other slot as well, similar to Karnage.- Homura
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Run that through me again. I wasn't present during LunarRest interactions. Have you mistaken me for their slot?In post 315, Crush wrote: I don't mafia lean your slot because of meta arguments, I just don't like meta arguments. Especially not in a newbie game because I, and probably more people, have never played with players in said meta read. I can't evaluate meta based arguments because I have no indication of their meta, so for me meta arguments contribute null to the game. The main reason I lean mafia on your slot are the posts made by LunarRest regarding the Titus vote switch after RVS, it seemed like she was reaching for the sky. I dislike the entire theatre around that vote switch.- Homura
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Homura Goon
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In post 316, Crush wrote:Also about the first part of #291 , I don't think most of my reads are null since I do lean (if only slightly) on most players. If you would interpret that as me null reading everyone that's fine, but don't expect me to develop all in reads D1 like LL does. I would also like to remind you that my vote on Cheeky made that wagon the leading one, I could also have voted for the equally big TSE and LL wagons.Spoiler:
Saw these as nullreads. You did elaborate on some of them, but I find it strange that you scumlean me over them from your explanations. Especially considering it amounted to "I don't like meta arguments" and something I wasn't even present for.
WRT the leading wagons — pressure was on Cheeky from Titus when you repped in, so I saw that as a sheep. My vote had also been a dead vote, so the Luciano wagon isn't applicable. Can you elaborate which direction your leans are on for the reads I quoted?- Homura
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It's in the quote.In post 394, Ph0enix wrote:"16 feels like an awkward LAMIST attempt to take the game out of RVS"
So what's the problem with that?
Why do you care where my vote is, especially on a wagon no one else was on?I didn't want a vote you possibly don't know is there be there, what's so strange about it?
How it was opportunistic? Luciano was the only player to scumread you at that point — you were the biggest general TR by everyone else. Opportunistic would be if Luciano jumped on you for little cause just to scumread you, but he expressed a scumread even before your reaction vote and your argument.His push is opportunistic. So what if I'm playing differently from another Town game of mine? And the statement that everything that is not reads equals not contributing, it's just - what???
Because throughout your interaction with Luciano, you haven't once attempted a push back. You've only defended yourself the entire time. You obviously scumread him, so why aren't you pushing him? Why did you back off when he did even though you're scumreading him?How have I not pushed him, exactly?- Homura
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Homura Goon
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Gathering you don’t think much of my theory. I’m not too confident on it myself, since I feel I could just be jumping on town who didn’t want to play. Can you case Cheeky for me?In post 396, Titus wrote:players are encouraging pointless spam wall fights and ignoring the townies who say it needs to stop. Just saying.
Cheeky and Karnage are good votes.- Homura
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Homura Goon
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In post 459, Non lmh wrote:VOTE: titus
d1 scumlean, scummy unvote, never did the se voice thing either
Is this town-indicative for Titus?In post 468, Non lmh wrote:titus did put on an se hat after all, missed it- Homura
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Do consider the SE hat more town-indicative, but since then she's changed her tone.In post 488, Non lmh wrote:never played with titus so idk if the se thing is town indicative
it's just that I found it odd that she hadn't done something she said she'd do- Homura
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Homura Goon
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Titus, don't misunderstand what I'm about to say. I want to believe you're town, but I don't like how you shut down my theory and flat-out refused to case Cheeky when I asked you to. Which should be the bare minimum if you want to push a counterwagon in opposition of a wagon you staunchly disliked. You proceeded to call my and LL's push on Phoenix as "poor townplay," then voted for Phoenix's wagon instead of convincing players to vote for your preferred Cheeky wagon.
I admit that I'm a player not quite at the standard I'd like to be, but I'm trying to improve. If you're town, all I ask is that you help me see where you're at.- Homura
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Don't think scum!Karnage says this, but he's mentally left the game either way if his lack of response to requests for reads indicates anything.In post 460, Karnage wrote:If I need to be the lynch I'm ok with that in order to avoid a no lynch
Intent to hammer in ~6 hours, or someone else can do so to squeeze as much time out of the deadline as possible.- Homura
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If that's your meta, I'll take your word for it. But I'd rather not stake a lynch on an unsubstantiated tonal read for now.In post 498, Titus wrote:Do not expect my reads to be better or more accurate because I am an IC. I prefer to keep my hands off D1 and asses what happened and why. Early game is my weakest point.
Day 1 is less about being right but observing the motivations of people imo. To me, if I get the best out of town, we win, even if my reads aren't so hot.
What do you think of Karnage's EoD posts?- Homura
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Does town!Non lolhammer like that?In post 574, Wooper wrote:non why did you hammer your townread before deadline while i was still catching up?- Homura
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Happy birthday!In post 571, Titus wrote:My curious thing is why the votes switched to Karnage and not LL if the bulk of the votes were because of Phoenix v LL bogging up the thread?
Can't parse your question. Karnage was the leading scumread, Luciano the leading townread. The Luciano-Ph0enix interaction factored little into my intent on Karnage. Why do you think Luciano should have been the wagon?- Homura
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You're breaking my heart.In post 579, Wooper wrote:Homura-chan...if walpurgisnacht comes and kills all the other towneis... let's go back to day one together to save madoka and save the world...
P-edit: Fair. I'm kind of in a weird place WRT sorting everyone myself.- Homura
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Homura Goon
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Kind of on the fence about it. On one hand, I generally trust my gut for players like TSE, but feel now that I may have gotten the wrong impression of him.
Like, I see what you mean about his town and scumrange being broad, but looking at the timing of his vote on Ph0enix it felt a lot more beneficial for scum!TSE? Both Luciano and I were pushing Ph0enix and his reasoning for his sheep vote amounted to wanting Ph0enix as a policy lynch. 403 felt like he was townspewing Ph0enix despite his subsequent vote on him. Find it hard to see that vote coming from a town-motivated perspective.- Homura
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Where do you stand on the Cheeky slot, Titus?In post 611, Titus wrote:I agree. I kinda want to sort LL and Nom for VCA reasons.
I strongly feel TSE was being a town asshole yesterday.
I still feel Homura is town.- Homura
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Homura Goon
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I'm not a fan of voting for a player I was reading as town just because they'll end up clashing with another player I also read as town. Can't see the town!TSE motivation — town doesn't advocate for a flimsily-reasoned policy lynch at that stage of the game, but scum!TSE benefits.In post 591, ceejayvinoya wrote:Tse was very much against the environment that LL vs Phoenix is bringing into the game. He believes it favors mafia, especially if both sides are town. I'm not a big fan of it myself, but I see that it makes sense, reading through LL vs Phoenix was a chore to me.- Homura
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What about Wooper's direct play was scummy, Mena?In post 739, Menalque wrote:Let’s put it this way: there are enough people townreading you that I’m not really interested in brute forcing your lynch over all else because I’m not confident enough that I’m right and they’re all wrong. THAT SAID I do feel v good about wooper!scum (admittedly mostly based on cheeky’s play > his direct play) and am willing to push that pretty hard, and if he does flip scum then I will be lynching you tomorrow literally 100% of the time if I’m still alive- Homura
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In post 814, LuckyLuciano wrote:The gang's all here, I'm excited!- Homura
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I'm still not understanding why you're stuck on this point, Titus. Karnage was the compromise lynch because he was the secondmost scumread. You actuallyIn post 745, Titus wrote:
This is true. This doesn't explain why Karnage over Cheeky or LL as the deadline lynch or why we got into that spot despite me fighting it.In post 662, Wooper wrote:
so like reading back he kinda just didn't seem to have been townread and people flash compromised on him after ph0enix claimed jailkeeper and the ph wagon fell to piecesIn post 660, Menalque wrote:Why was karnage lynched?
ngl i wanted your slot eod but we had like two (2) votes for it and then non just lolhammered karnage
so
deadline compromise lynchledthe wagon on Karnage, but now you're hung up on why everyone else agreed with you. If you wanted Cheeky or Luciano as the compromise deadline lynch over Karnage, why didn't you vote one of them intead?- Homura
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Because this is making me feel you knew Karnage would flip green and wanted to cast shade on both of your scumreads for not being wagoned.In post 829, Homura wrote:I'm still not understanding why you're stuck on this point, Titus. Karnage was the compromise lynch because he was the secondmost scumread. You actually led the wagon on Karnage, but now you're hung up on why everyone else agreed with you. If you wanted Cheeky or Luciano as the compromise deadline lynch over Karnage, why didn't you vote one of them intead?
Am I misunderstanding your intentions here?- Homura
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In post 838, Crush wrote:ELI5 why TSE is suddenly (almost) universally town read?- Homura
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This is always town.In post 856, Crush wrote:No I think p25 and p26 CJV is pretty towny, but when I factor TSE in the slot is still net. red for me. That's why I'm interested in hearing why TSE = green.- Homura
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{Crush, Luciano, Wooper}, in that order.In post 860, LuckyLuciano wrote:@Homura, what's your town block looking like atm?- Homura
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It's less his play being individually towny (though that factors in it as well), and more that he's on the same mindmeld as me WRT the TSE/ceejay read. He gave voice to a lot of thoughts I wasn't able to vocalize, like 572. In retrospect, I also feel his admittance to mixing up me and LunarRest was town-indicative as well.In post 869, Wooper wrote:
convince me on crushIn post 862, Homura wrote:
{Crush, Luciano, Wooper}, in that order.In post 860, LuckyLuciano wrote:@Homura, what's your town block looking like atm?- Homura
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@Luciano, can I hear your thoughts on this?In post 912, Menalque wrote: what I said was that the story of how LL is presenting those reads does not make sense nor do his actions if those reads are that strong
if LL on D1 was super confident in phoenix scum (he was) then that confidence should have been shaken by being wrong (it wasn't) but given that it wasn't then he should still be arrogantly overconfident in his wrongness (he is) in which case he doesn't need to sort the other slots he just needs them to vote for scum (he was trying to look like he wanted to sort them)
that story does not make sense from a town mindset - Homura
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