Laziness.
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I guess it was.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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Wait, you have a town read on a player you put in your scum pile?↑ SafetyDance wrote:I THINK SHE'S THE MOST TOWN OUT OF YOU THREE. THEREFORE THE TOWN READ. WHAT CAN'T YOU UNDERSTAND?I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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Initially. I'll admit that I'm now returning the favor.↑ SafetyDance wrote:Lol, and I'm meant to be the insulting one?I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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No it doesn't - it shows that I'm sometime forgetful and/or lazy. Why the fuck would I care about my post count?↑ SafetyDance wrote:The fact that bulder for example, quotes and doesn't even both trimming them to what is relevant to what he is responding to shows he doesn't really care about anything other than his post count and making them look busy.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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You can't possibly have been following the game and still refer to her as him.
I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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You know that old philosophical question: "if a tree in the forest falls and nobody is around, does it still make a sound?"? I've been thinking... If a man speaks his mind and no woman is around, is he still wrong?I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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↑ orcinus_theoriginal wrote:
You feeling okay, fery?
I realized that I could use this game to try out a tell.
So far, in every game I played, if a person drunk posts, they've been town.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CoincidenceI ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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↑ fferyllt wrote:↑ orcinus_theoriginal wrote:Morning fery.
Of all the nicks/abbrevs of my account name I like this one best.
From now on I will refer to asgirl.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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We both know that's not what I meant with more specific, girl.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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Is it? I thought it was cute. You are a girl, aren't you?I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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I wish I had some brilliant thought to share but I don't.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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Orly...I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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This is some elaborate fence-sitting that's advantageous for you as scum because it allows you to act pro-town by advocating your own lynch for the better of town while still in reality fighting it.
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All I'm saying is that you can't use self-meta as an indicator of your alignment.
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No, it does not "boil down" to that. Read the last sentence.↑ fferyllt wrote:This was the post where I thought it sounded like he knew I was town. I can see myself posting something similar to someone. And I can't imagine not putting the phrase "If you are town" in there somewhere.
↑ buldermar wrote:
I don't often lecture you, but in this situation I'd say that self-voting is considerably anti-town as you effectively deprive town some information that could have been obtained from vote analysis.
I'm off to bed soon, but I'll respond to every question you may have as detailed as possible when I wake up.
And here's his counter-argument. It boils down to "statistically you're probably town". That seems weak.
↑ buldermar wrote:↑ fferyllt wrote:↑ buldermar wrote:
I don't often lecture you, but in this situation I'd say that self-voting is considerably anti-town as you effectively deprive town some information that could have been obtained from vote analysis.
I'm off to bed soon, but I'll respond to every question you may have as detailed as possible when I wake up.
It's carefully worded, but there's an assumption in here that I'd be moved by the argument that self-voting would deprive town of information.
I think that's assumption that I'm town.
What the fuck is wrong with you? Even if you're by far the scummiest person in this game it would be extreme if I thought that you'd be more likely to flip scum than town statistically speaking. You know this, and you know I know this, but you conveniently ignore it because you also know that most people just think in absolute terms of "either scum or town", i.e., many people mistakingly think that because someone is more scummy than someone else on day one, that person is also more likely to be scum than town.
That being said, I'm pointing out that you're acting inherently anti-town which, should you turn out to be town, would be something in your game that you can improve on.
I think discussing this with you is a waste of time at this point. You're obviously going to insist in your perspective if you're scum and if you're town you really should have read me clearly as town by now.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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↑ fferyllt wrote:
I don't know what I'll do when push comes to shove. I have self-voted in the past when I thought my situation or my role indicated it was better for town if I were out of the game. In one case, I did that and it probably lost the game for town two days later, so I'm more cautious now than in the past. No matter how snake-bitten I may appear to be as town. As scum, I have tactically self-voted a few times with no intention of keeping my vote on myself. My self-voting prior to when it matters won't tell much about my alignment.
A majority-lynch mechanic is different from what I'm used to, and self-votes have a totally different impact from the type of games I've played elsewhere.
Okay, I'll ask you so that we get a clear answer. If you're getting to L-1 and there is no appropriate counter-wagon, and if both of orc and I agrees that you should be todays lynch, would you self-vote? Yes or no.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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I don't have any flavor knowledge at all, but I know on theoretical grounds alone that you can't use it as an argument for being town. I believe I've pointed out why at least three times already - don't make me do it again.↑ fferyllt wrote:Yes, in your second post after I called you out on the implicit assumption in your first post, you said "should you turn out to be town".
I have to go back through this. It's at the root of my uncertainties about you. After I got past the WKing I still had this, along with your apparently not getting that a Kara Thrace safe claim should not have been wasted on a VT role claim. In one post, it looked like you were even arguing that I'd claimed a power role.
Please do point out in what post I was arguing that you had claimed a power role and additionally, regardless of whether or not you succesfully pull such post out of your little scum-hat, explain to me why it should be indicative of alignment in the first place.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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↑ fferyllt wrote:↑ buldermar wrote:↑ fferyllt wrote:
I don't know what I'll do when push comes to shove. I have self-voted in the past when I thought my situation or my role indicated it was better for town if I were out of the game. In one case, I did that and it probably lost the game for town two days later, so I'm more cautious now than in the past. No matter how snake-bitten I may appear to be as town. As scum, I have tactically self-voted a few times with no intention of keeping my vote on myself. My self-voting prior to when it matters won't tell much about my alignment.
A majority-lynch mechanic is different from what I'm used to, and self-votes have a totally different impact from the type of games I've played elsewhere.
Okay, I'll ask you so that we get a clear answer. If you're getting to L-1 and there is no appropriate counter-wagon, and if both of orc and I agrees that you should be todays lynch, would you self-vote? Yes or no.
Right now, your agreement would be irrelevant. If orcinus thinks I should self-hammer and I think I should self-hammer I absolutely will. If he doesn't and I think I should, I don't know what I'll do, yet.
Yeah see you're still fence-sitting like crazy because you can just pull the last minut "I don't think I should self-hammer" stunt and claim that you never said you would. Thus, it's utterly useless with respect to your alignment.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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Please do - also make sure to read all of the games in which I explain the difference between arguing from a global vantage point and arguing from a local vantage point, as you still seem not to fully grasp that concept.
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↑ fferyllt wrote:
Why would I have dropped it in the first place if I were scum? You can try to handwave away that I got you to L-2 in a hurry, with at least one other player having indicated they were leaning scum on you. But, there is hard evidence of that in the game thread. It was a conscious decision on my part that would increase the likelihood of my lynch.
You would have dropped it in the first place as scum because you were likely getting lynched if you didn't. But that's all besides the fact that you can't use it as an indicator of alignment when it's a decision in your hands, as I've also explained several times. I'm getting quite annoyed here.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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↑ fferyllt wrote:Fascinating - http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... 3#p4651393
There's a time for self-voting - http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... 5#p4366255
An analysis of a self-vote that was rescinded - http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... 7#p4290177
I was hoping to find a a game where buldermar emphaticly told someone else that self-voting is anti-town, and to see that he didn't make any sort of "If you are town" qualification. I didn't find that. His argument to me about not self-voting doesn't quite line up with the above posts, though.
In the firts game, I promised to self-vote the following day if we lynched the person of my choice becauseI knew that the person was scum with more than 90% certainty.How the hell is that related to this situation?
In the second quote I'm statingexactly the oppositeof what you're insinuating, namely thatyou should not self-vote.In addition, you would have known this had you read the other posts of that game regarding self-voting. For instance:↑ buldermar wrote:
Your statement entails self-voting being optimal under certain circumstances. Since this is wrong for this setup, me neglecting pointing it out would lead to a net utility loss from the town perspective relative to if I do point it out. I sincerely disagree that pointing something out that would lead to a decreasement in the odds of town winning if omitted qualifies as corner case theory talk.
As for the lack of vote, that's a simple one: I'm convinced that I can obtain more information during this day and thus make a more qualified estimate of peoples alignment before voting. The difference between voting person A before voting person B who gets lynchedandnot voting person A before voting person B who gets lynched is negligible when voting person A is unreasoned (as is the case with random votes). In other words, I simply prefer to postpone voting until I have preferences regarding who to lynch (i.e. until I have some information to base my vote on).
You might object that the random votes themselves is a valid method to obtain such information, and that's in my opinion reasonable. However, I think that discussion without the random votes is an equally valid and viable method.
FWIW I'd like to be proven wrong as the general consensus seems to be that RVS is a necessity.
In the final quote I also explain that self-voting is anti-town, as it's more advantageous for scum than town.
So, let's summarize this.
1) You use a game in which I already know for a fact that a player is scum. In this game, I tried to make people vote that person (and succeeded IIRC) by promising to self-vote and by proposing a signature bet (which I was subsequently banned for). In this game I make no qualification of "if you're town", so that's a blatant lie.
2) You insinuate that I'm saying "there is a time for self-voting" when I am in fact sayingthe exact oppositein the second link. I state that, in this setup, self-voting is always bad, as evident not only from that post alone but also other posts in the same game made by me on the same topic. This is another blatant lie from you.
3) In the final quote I explain precisely that self-voting is anti-town, as you claim to be hoping to find. You probably didn't read that post carefully, did you? How unfortunate to pretend to be a busy and thorough town player and then make such a subtle but significant slip.
If it isn't already obvious, consider my vote firmly placed on ff and the only reason that I am going to consider voting someone else is if there is no way she's getting lynched today.
If you don't really want to read into the games she linked, just do me a favor and read the 2nd linked post and tell me how on earth I am stating that "there is a time for self-voting" in that post.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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Maybe in our next game you wont be scum and things will be a bit easier for you.↑ fferyllt wrote:This is really the first game we've ever played where we've engaged anywhere near this much. Maybe it just takes a good serious shitfest of a game to work things out. If so, I hope one game is enough. In one case it took almost a year's worth of games before one player and I got past the day 1 sledge phase.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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↑ fferyllt wrote:↑ buldermar wrote:
I don't have any flavor knowledge at all, but I know on theoretical grounds alone that you can't use it as an argument for being town. I believe I've pointed out why at least three times already - don't make me do it again.↑ fferyllt wrote:Yes, in your second post after I called you out on the implicit assumption in your first post, you said "should you turn out to be town".
I have to go back through this. It's at the root of my uncertainties about you. After I got past the WKing I still had this, along with your apparently not getting that a Kara Thrace safe claim should not have been wasted on a VT role claim. In one post, it looked like you were even arguing that I'd claimed a power role.
Please do point out in what post I was arguing that you had claimed a power role and additionally, regardless of whether or not you succesfully pull such post out of your little scum-hat, explain to me why it should be indicative of alignment in the first place.
This one.
I'll admit that was phrased poorly, but given the context it should be quite obvious to you that what I meant is that you'd ofc use a great fake flavor role claim that's commonly attributed a power role if it would keep you alive.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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↑ fferyllt wrote:
This post looks fed up and frustrated.
That's exactly how I feel as well.
But, it does at least look like town frustration. I don't think I've ever seen someone this certain I'm scum and wrong before. Well, maybe once, but the guy had a lot of issues.
orc, vote me please, and I'll hammer.
Pls orc.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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I still think you either don't or pretend to not understand the point I am trying to convey. I'd go as far as stating that because I'm making the point I'm making, I must think highly of your scum game.↑ fferyllt wrote:↑ buldermar wrote:↑ fferyllt wrote:↑ buldermar wrote:
I don't have any flavor knowledge at all, but I know on theoretical grounds alone that you can't use it as an argument for being town. I believe I've pointed out why at least three times already - don't make me do it again.↑ fferyllt wrote:Yes, in your second post after I called you out on the implicit assumption in your first post, you said "should you turn out to be town".
I have to go back through this. It's at the root of my uncertainties about you. After I got past the WKing I still had this, along with your apparently not getting that a Kara Thrace safe claim should not have been wasted on a VT role claim. In one post, it looked like you were even arguing that I'd claimed a power role.
Please do point out in what post I was arguing that you had claimed a power role and additionally, regardless of whether or not you succesfully pull such post out of your little scum-hat, explain to me why it should be indicative of alignment in the first place.
This one.
I'll admit that was phrased poorly, but given the context it should be quite obvious to you that what I meant is that you'd ofc use a great fake flavor role claim that's commonly attributed a power role if it would keep you alive.
And here you make the argument again that I would intentionally do something bad for my team if I were scum.
The first time we went through all this, that argument on your part pretty much convinced me that you had to be scum because it's not predicated on any sort of respect for my scum game. It's contemptuous of it. And it's in stark contrast to your initial arguments that I'm too valuable to d1 lynch because of my town game.
Townie outrage about being misread. I guess we both have it.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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What the fuck do you mean? You must be thinking worse of her game that I suspected.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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About this, I think contacting me on gchat to get me to post in this game while you can still post is not okay even though you're lynched. That being said, I'm going to assume that everything you've written has been honest and can be used tomorrow. If you want to change your mind on something specifically, or want to point out that you didn't mean what you wrote in any particular posts at the time you wrote them, please do so.
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I can't believe you're still seriously entertaining the idea of me being scum, but whatever.
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Okay I am going to point out that you indeed did misrepresent them in my subsequent post.↑ fferyllt wrote:
I didn't misrepresent them IMO. I found them and linked them for players to read and make up their own minds if your advice to me was in line with your prior discussions.
So, should I have taken your earlier advice about self-hammering? Or should I have done what I said I would and you said I wouldn't - self hammer if orc agreed I should go?
I think that because you're VT and because I wasn't going to seriously look into the possibility of lynching anyone else it is a close call. If you put an orc-gun to my head, I'd have to say that you shouldn't have done it, even if you would have gotten lynched anyway, because we would have gotten one more vote on you to do bandwagon analysis from. And in the case that we somehow didn't, lynching someone else who actually has a possibility of being scum (as oppose to you since you're town), wouldn't have been that bad either. Worst case would be a no-lynch followed by lynching you on day 2, but that's pretty unlikely.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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Read this quote carefully in addition to the one below from the same game:
Do you really think I am arguing that there is a place for self-voting?↑ buldermar wrote:
Your statement entails self-voting being optimal under certain circumstances. Since this is wrong for this setup, me neglecting pointing it out would lead to a net utility loss from the town perspective relative to if I do point it out. I sincerely disagree that pointing something out that would lead to a decreasement in the odds of town winning if omitted qualifies as corner case theory talk.
As for the lack of vote, that's a simple one: I'm convinced that I can obtain more information during this day and thus make a more qualified estimate of peoples alignment before voting. The difference between voting person A before voting person B who gets lynchedandnot voting person A before voting person B who gets lynched is negligible when voting person A is unreasoned (as is the case with random votes). In other words, I simply prefer to postpone voting until I have preferences regarding who to lynch (i.e. until I have some information to base my vote on).
You might object that the random votes themselves is a valid method to obtain such information, and that's in my opinion reasonable. However, I think that discussion without the random votes is an equally valid and viable method.
FWIW I'd like to be proven wrong as the general consensus seems to be that RVS is a necessity.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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I don't know, I kind of build up my perception of this game on the premise that you'd flip scum - at least since the last couple of pages. I'm going to have to thoroughly reread the game either today or, if I'm not nk'ed, tomorrow.
I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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There was at least one post that struck me as coming from town and I know I perhaps should have mentioned it but I was still sufficiently convinced that you were town and I didn't want to risk being mislynched over also reading a post as town while insisting on your lynch.↑ fferyllt wrote:
I'm still flabbergasted and incredulous that town-you could misread me this badly, to the point that nothing I've posted since I put a vote on you struck you as coming from a town PoV.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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Well especially that part made me think that you could not possibly be misrepresenting me like this as town - especially not since you at the time didn't even think i was scum. I think there is in particular one post that I misread...↑ fferyllt wrote:↑ buldermar wrote:Read this quote carefully in addition to the one below from the same game:
Do you really think I am arguing that there is a place for self-voting?↑ buldermar wrote:
Your statement entails self-voting being optimal under certain circumstances. Since this is wrong for this setup, me neglecting pointing it out would lead to a net utility loss from the town perspective relative to if I do point it out. I sincerely disagree that pointing something out that would lead to a decreasement in the odds of town winning if omitted qualifies as corner case theory talk.
As for the lack of vote, that's a simple one: I'm convinced that I can obtain more information during this day and thus make a more qualified estimate of peoples alignment before voting. The difference between voting person A before voting person B who gets lynchedandnot voting person A before voting person B who gets lynched is negligible when voting person A is unreasoned (as is the case with random votes). In other words, I simply prefer to postpone voting until I have preferences regarding who to lynch (i.e. until I have some information to base my vote on).
You might object that the random votes themselves is a valid method to obtain such information, and that's in my opinion reasonable. However, I think that discussion without the random votes is an equally valid and viable method.
FWIW I'd like to be proven wrong as the general consensus seems to be that RVS is a necessity.
You argued that it was "wrong for this setup", not that it was wrong, period. But, I'll grant that my label overstated what I'd gathered from this discussion.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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↑ buldermar wrote:
LOL you pretty much confirmed yourself as scum in this post. If you were town and actually considered me scum you'd think that succesfully getting me lynched would close to confirm you as being town. However, if you're scum who pretends to be thinking that I'm scum but actually knows that I'm not you'd make↑ fferyllt wrote:↑ pitoli wrote:I'm very apprehensive of how quickly we got to L-1 on ffery. The last few pages have been weird honestly and hard for me to read a la ffery's and buldermar's new cases. I like that buldermar at least unvoted whilst not backing down from his position, that makes him seem more town to me than anything else he's done.
Lurker and Nero just seem opportunistic to me, I'd be willing to lynch either of them until they become more open with their reads/reactions to the last couple of pages.
@Sryrana - what made you change your vote so quickly?
@Ffery - I feel like town should fight harder against their own mislynch since you're at least confirmed to yourself, no matter how great your doubts are on another town-looking mislynch. Do you think your lynch would provide the town with the most information?
Never watched BSG so I really don't get the references/significance of claiming Kara, I think that particular point is moot.
I think in general you are right about fighting mislynch. If I am all but certain to be mislynched sooner or later, then sooner may be better, especially if there's something worthwhile to be learned from the bandwagon.exactlythis kind of slip, knowing thateven ifyou get me lynched, you'll be up next once I flip.
Please attempt to explain yourself out of this one.
VOTE: ffI ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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Act like what? I'd point out where you're wrong, but I don't even get what the fuck it is you're convinced that you're seing.↑ orcinus_theoriginal wrote:Why would buldermar act like that after you turned town?
There's absolutely no point to continue acting like town for such an extended period of time.
Why why why where is the motivation
Scum defending a lynch.
Fuck.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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I don't feel like this is entirely fair. I pointed out where I think I made a critical mistake in my analysis. I do think that much of my skepticism regarding you stems from your sudden change in opinion with respect to me. I'm not insisting that it's entirely your fault that I thought you were scum.↑ fferyllt wrote:↑ orcinus_theoriginal wrote:Why would buldermar act like that after you turned town?
There's absolutely no point to continue acting like town for such an extended period of time.
Why why why where is the motivation
Scum defending a lynch.
Fuck.
He's obsessive about being right. Or in this case, about being justified in being wrong - i.e., it's my fault entirely that he thought I was scum. It pings for me too, but I have seen him argue long past when there's an utility in continuing in other games. It wasn't a twilight situation, though.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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I don't think so either.↑ fferyllt wrote:↑ orcinus_theoriginal wrote:Ugh but then
The WKing is too blatant
Did Buldermar and I ever call you ideal lynch at the same time
I don't think so.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf.- buldermar
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Well obviously given the result I wasn't right, but at the same time it is not entirely obvious to me where I should have thought differently about something, aside from maybe one or two posts that were very decisive for my opinion.↑ pitoli wrote:↑ buldermar wrote:
Act like what? I'd point out where you're wrong, but I don't even get what the fuck it is you're convinced that you're seing.↑ orcinus_theoriginal wrote:Why would buldermar act like that after you turned town?
There's absolutely no point to continue acting like town for such an extended period of time.
Why why why where is the motivation
Scum defending a lynch.
Fuck.
Act like you were right to push the lynch, despite fery's town flip.I ♥ pirate mollie and I slurp her bathwater. I also have a big fat mancrush on awsum gandalf. - buldermar
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